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Osipovichy vs Volna Result & Analysis

Date: 30/10/2022
Time: 10:00
Final 0-1
Osipovichy
Osipovichy
Vs
20%
25%
55%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Volna
Volna
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with Volna projected to beat Osipovichy. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a lively match, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 11.8% chance. Osipovichy, playing at home against a stronger side, have scored only 0.75 goals per game while conceding 2.38. Volna, on the road against a weaker opponent, average 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Home win probability sits at 20%, a draw at 25%, and an away win at 55%. The model’s selection includes an Over 1.5 with a 79.5% chance, the only other pick. The recent form shows Osipovichy coming off a 0-6 loss to Niva, while Volna have endured three straight defeats, most recently 0-2 to Ostrovets FC. The final score of 0-1 confirms the predicted outcome.

Results analysis

The match ended 0-1, confirming the model’s pick of an away win, which it had forecast with a 55% probability. The win extends Volna’s run, while Osipovichy come off a 0-6 defeat. The model’s favourite was correct, and the predicted 2-goal total did not materialise. The only other selection, Over 1.5 goals, with a 79.5% chance, missed as the game produced just one goal. The final score of 0-1 matched the actual result, and the model’s prediction for the winner held true. All figures are taken directly from the data.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osipovichy win✗ Miss
20.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Volna win✓ Hit
54.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D30W04L11D12L23L04L01L01L12LA·LOK24/07A·BAR14/08H·SHA21/08A·LID27/08H·NAF03/09A·ORS18/09H·SMO01/10A·ML 09/10H·OST15/10A·MOL22/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.902.380.602.101.182.64
vs Stronger (18)0.942.500.752.381.102.60
vs Similar (3)0.671.670.001.002.003.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VolnaVolna

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L13L23L20W31W11D20W11D01L03LH·SMO23/07A·ML 13/08A·OST21/08H·MOL27/08A·SLO11/09H·LOK17/09H·BAR02/10H·SHA09/10A·LID16/10H·NAF22/10
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.951.432.361.361.501.50
vs Stronger (4)1.751.752.001.501.502.00
vs Similar (13)1.311.461.431.571.171.33
vs Weaker (4)4.251.006.000.502.501.50
Clean sheet %19% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.3%
Under 2.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.9%
Under 3.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.8%
No
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.4%
0-1 ✓
9.1%
0-0
6.6%
1-3
6.1%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
Osipovichy goals ↓
Volna goals →
01234
06.6%9.1%9.4%5.8%2.7%
14.7%12%9.9%6.1%2.8%
23.0%5.6%5.2%3.2%1.5%
31.1%2.0%1.8%1.1%0.5%
40.3%0.5%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Osipovichy goals (down), columns = Volna goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Naftan
2.21
Smorgon
2.17
Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.88
ML Vitebsk
1.71
Ostrovets FC
1.67
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.62
Volna
1.50
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.21
Orsha
1.12
Lida
1.08
Slonim
0.75
Osipovichy
0.54
Baranovichi
0.50
Osipovichy is 0.96 points worse than Volna in terms of average points per game (0.54 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Shakhtyor Petrikov
2.88
Naftan
2.29
Smorgon
1.92
ML Vitebsk
1.88
Volna
1.83
Ostrovets FC
1.75
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.62
Lida
1.46
Orsha
1.38
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.25
Baranovichi
1.04
Slonim
1.00
Osipovichy
0.88
Osipovichy is 0.96 goals worse than Volna in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 1.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Naftan
0.79
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.83
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.00
Smorgon
1.12
ML Vitebsk
1.42
Ostrovets FC
1.42
Volna
1.46
Lida
1.79
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.88
Orsha
2.17
Slonim
2.21
Osipovichy
2.21
Baranovichi
2.88
Osipovichy is 0.75 goals worse than Volna in terms of goals conceded per game (2.21 vs 1.46).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D02L01L02L03L02L01L01L11DA·LOK24/07A·BAR14/08H·SHA21/08A·LID27/08H·NAF03/09A·ORS18/09H·SMO01/10A·ML 09/10H·OST15/10A·MOL22/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.241.190.301.100.181.27
vs Stronger (18)0.281.170.381.250.201.10
vs Similar (3)0.001.330.000.500.003.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %29% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VolnaVolna

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L02L21W00D11D10W10W00D01L02LH·SMO23/07A·ML 13/08A·OST21/08H·MOL27/08A·SLO11/09H·LOK17/09H·BAR02/10H·SHA09/10A·LID16/10H·NAF22/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.050.671.180.550.900.80
vs Stronger (4)1.001.001.500.500.501.50
vs Similar (13)0.690.620.570.710.830.50
vs Weaker (4)2.250.503.000.001.501.00
Clean sheet %48% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Osipovichy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W02L10W10W20W02L00D00D01LA·LOK24/07A·BAR14/08H·SHA21/08A·LID27/08H·NAF03/09A·ORS18/09H·SMO01/10A·ML 09/10H·OST15/10A·MOL22/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.190.301.001.001.36
vs Stronger (18)0.671.330.381.120.901.50
vs Similar (3)0.670.330.000.502.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VolnaVolna

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D02L20W20W01L10W11D00D01LH·SMO23/07A·ML 13/08A·OST21/08H·MOL27/08A·SLO11/09H·LOK17/09H·BAR02/10H·SHA09/10A·LID16/10H·NAF22/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.761.180.820.600.70
vs Stronger (4)0.750.750.501.001.000.50
vs Similar (13)0.620.850.860.860.330.83
vs Weaker (4)2.000.503.000.501.000.50
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Osipovichy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
Osipovichy and Volna have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
BAR (8)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
NAF (4)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
Osipovichy and Volna have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
NAF (9)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
Osipovichy and Volna have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
BAR (9)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
Osipovichy and Volna have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
OSI wins
0
Draws
1
VOL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Osipovichy vs Volna · H/A from OSI
DateH/AGameScore
09/07/22AVolna Vs OSI8-1

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/22AMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 Vs OSI2-1
15/10/22HOSI Vs Ostrovets FC0-1
09/10/22AML Vitebsk Vs OSI1-0
01/10/22HOSI Vs Smorgon0-4
18/09/22AOrsha Vs OSI3-2
03/09/22HOSI Vs Naftan1-2
27/08/22ALida Vs OSI1-1
21/08/22HOSI Vs Shakhtyor Petrikov0-4
14/08/22ABaranovichi Vs OSI0-3
24/07/22ALokomotiv Gomel Vs OSI2-2

VolnaVolna

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/22HVOL Vs Naftan0-3
16/10/22ALida Vs VOL1-0
09/10/22HVOL Vs Shakhtyor Petrikov1-1
02/10/22HVOL Vs Baranovichi2-0
17/09/22HVOL Vs Lokomotiv Gomel1-1
11/09/22ASlonim Vs VOL1-3
27/08/22HVOL Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 42-0
21/08/22AOstrovets FC Vs VOL3-2
13/08/22AML Vitebsk Vs VOL3-1
23/07/22HVOL Vs Smorgon1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Osipovichy
Osipovichy
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.48
HomeLLLLL0.50
AwayWDLLL0.45
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %10%10%9%
AVG goals3.292.703.82
Over 1.5 %81%80%82%
Over 2.5 %67%60%73%
Over 3.5 %43%30%55%
Scored0.900.601.18
Conceded2.382.102.64
BTTS48%30%64%
Clean Sheet10%10%9%
Corners---
Cards---
Volna
Volna
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLL1.57
HomeWDWDL1.73
AwayDLLWL1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%45%40%
AVG goals3.383.733.00
Over 1.5 %90%100%80%
Over 2.5 %67%64%70%
Over 3.5 %48%55%40%
Scored1.952.361.50
Conceded1.431.361.50
BTTS71%64%80%
Clean Sheet19%27%10%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NaftanNaftan2453
67%
2.2
5519+36
3.1
79%
62%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.30.8
-
2SmorgonSmorgon2452
67%
2.2
4627+19
3.0
83%
58%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.91.1
-
3Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov2445
54%
1.9
6920+49
3.7
79%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.8
-
4ML VitebskML Vitebsk2441
50%
1.7
4534+11
3.3
71%
67%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6351.91.4
-
5Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC2440
46%
1.7
4234+8
3.2
83%
67%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.81.4
-
6Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel2439
42%
1.6
3924+15
2.6
71%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
7VolnaVolna2436
42%
1.5
4435+9
3.3
88%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.5
-
8Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 42429
29%
1.2
3045-15
3.1
88%
62%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.9
-
9OrshaOrsha2427
29%
1.1
3352-19
3.5
83%
71%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.2
-
10LidaLida2426
25%
1.1
3543-8
3.2
83%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.8
-
11SlonimSlonim2418
21%
0.8
2453-29
3.2
83%
58%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.2
-
12OsipovichyOsipovichy2413
12%
0.5
2153-32
3.1
79%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.2
-
13BaranovichiBaranovichi2412
12%
0.5
2569-44
3.9
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.9
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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