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Osipovichy vs Volna Result & Analysis

Date: 25/06/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 0-2
Osipovichy
Osipovichy
Vs
28%
30%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Volna
Volna
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Osipovichy face a clear favourite in Volna, who are tipped to win away. The model projects a 43% chance of a Volna victory, 30% for a draw and 28% for an Osipovichy win, with an expected total of 2.4 goals. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.1% probability. Osipovichy, playing at home against a stronger side, have averaged 0.64 goals scored and 2.18 conceded, while Volna, on the road against a weaker opponent, average 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 3.5 goals at 77.7% and Over 1.5 goals at 70.6%. The model’s selection for the match result is an away win. The probabilities for the three outcomes are 28% for a home win, 30% for a draw, and 43% for an away win.

Results analysis

The model’s prediction proved spot on as Volna secured a 0-2 away victory, extending their winning streak after a 0-6 loss to Niva. The pre-match favourite, Away win, carried a 43% probability and was correct. The model’s selections also delivered: Under 3.5 goals, with a 77.7% chance, hit; Over 1.5 goals, at 70.6%, hit. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 fell short, and the total of 2.4 goals was slightly below the 2-goal outcome. Overall, the favoured result and the key picks all came through, confirming the model’s accuracy for this Belarusian fixture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osipovichy win✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Volna win✓ Hit
42.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L02L13L14L12L42W01L11D13L13LA·ARS08/04A·LOK14/04H·BAR22/04A·SLO30/04H·ML 08/05A·OST13/05H·MOL20/05A·SHA28/05H·ORS11/06A·BUM18/06
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.972.330.622.231.242.41
vs Stronger (25)0.922.320.642.181.142.43
vs Similar (5)1.202.400.502.501.672.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VolnaVolna

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L20W01L42W13L10W11D22D12L30WA·FC 15/04H·LID23/04A·ARS30/04H·LOK06/05A·BAR13/05H·SLO20/05A·ML 27/05H·OST03/06A·MOL11/06H·SHA17/06
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.372.131.201.001.53
vs Stronger (4)1.751.752.501.501.002.00
vs Similar (20)1.151.351.601.100.701.60
vs Weaker (6)2.831.173.671.332.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.6%
Under 1.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.3%
Under 2.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.3%
Under 3.5
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.6%
No
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
0-2 ✓
8.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
4.9%
Osipovichy goals ↓
Volna goals →
01234
010%11%8.3%3.8%1.3%
18.1%14%8.7%4.0%1.3%
24.9%6.7%4.6%2.1%0.7%
31.7%2.3%1.6%0.7%0.2%
40.5%0.6%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Osipovichy goals (down), columns = Volna goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.53
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.28
FC Vitebsk
2.28
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.94
ML Vitebsk
1.91
Baranovichi
1.50
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
1.44
Volna
1.34
Lida
1.28
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.28
Niva
1.28
Ostrovets FC
1.22
Bumprom
1.19
Orsha
0.97
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.69
Slonim
0.69
Osipovichy
0.16
Osipovichy is 1.19 points worse than Volna in terms of average points per game (0.16 vs 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.69
ML Vitebsk
2.62
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.34
FC Vitebsk
2.12
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
1.94
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.72
Ostrovets FC
1.69
Niva
1.66
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.59
Orsha
1.56
Baranovichi
1.44
Bumprom
1.41
Lida
1.38
Volna
1.28
Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.03
Slonim
0.81
Osipovichy
0.66
Osipovichy is 0.62 goals worse than Volna in terms of goals scored per game (0.66 vs 1.28).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.69
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.75
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.94
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.25
Lida
1.50
Baranovichi
1.53
Volna
1.53
ML Vitebsk
1.62
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
1.62
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.75
Orsha
1.94
Ostrovets FC
1.94
Bumprom
1.94
Slonim
1.97
Niva
2.06
Shakhtyor Petrikov
2.25
Osipovichy
2.66
Osipovichy is 1.12 goals worse than Volna in terms of goals conceded per game (2.66 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L10W00D10W10W01L00D11D00DA·ARS08/04A·LOK14/04H·BAR22/04A·SLO30/04H·ML 08/05A·OST13/05H·MOL20/05A·SHA28/05H·ORS11/06A·BUM18/06
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.301.100.381.080.241.12
vs Stronger (25)0.281.120.361.090.211.14
vs Similar (5)0.401.000.501.000.331.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VolnaVolna

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W00D20W11D10W00D20W10W30WA·FC 15/04H·LID23/04A·ARS30/04H·LOK06/05A·BAR13/05H·SLO20/05A·ML 27/05H·OST03/06A·MOL11/06H·SHA17/06
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.471.200.400.670.53
vs Stronger (4)0.750.501.500.000.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.750.450.900.500.600.40
vs Weaker (6)1.670.502.000.331.330.67
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Osipovichy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L03L14L02L32W00D11D02L13LA·ARS08/04A·LOK14/04H·BAR22/04A·SLO30/04H·ML 08/05A·OST13/05H·MOL20/05A·SHA28/05H·ORS11/06A·BUM18/06
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.230.231.151.001.29
vs Stronger (25)0.641.200.271.090.931.29
vs Similar (5)0.801.400.001.501.331.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VolnaVolna

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W01L22D02L00D11D02L02L00DA·FC 15/04H·LID23/04A·ARS30/04H·LOK06/05A·BAR13/05H·SLO20/05A·ML 27/05H·OST03/06A·MOL11/06H·SHA17/06
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.900.930.800.331.00
vs Stronger (4)1.001.251.001.501.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.400.900.700.600.101.20
vs Weaker (6)1.170.671.671.000.670.33
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Osipovichy) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Osipovichy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osipovichy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
Osipovichy and Volna have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
FV (13)
€2m
FDM (9)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
NIV (5)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
Osipovichy and Volna have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
FDM (6)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
Osipovichy and Volna have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
Osipovichy and Volna have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
OSI wins
0
Draws
2
VOL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Osipovichy vs Volna · H/A from OSI
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/22HOSI Vs Volna0-1
09/07/22AVolna Vs OSI8-1

OsipovichyOsipovichy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/06/23ABumprom Vs OSI3-1
11/06/23HOSI Vs Orsha1-3
28/05/23AShakhtyor Petrikov Vs OSI1-1
20/05/23HOSI Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 40-1
13/05/23AOstrovets FC Vs OSI2-4
08/05/23HOSI Vs ML Vitebsk1-2
30/04/23ASlonim Vs OSI4-1
22/04/23HOSI Vs Baranovichi1-3
14/04/23ALokomotiv Gomel Vs OSI2-0
08/04/23AArsenal (Belarus) Vs OSI4-0

VolnaVolna

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/06/23HVOL Vs Shakhtyor Petrikov3-0
11/06/23AMolodechno-DYuSSh 4 Vs VOL2-1
03/06/23HVOL Vs Ostrovets FC2-2
27/05/23AML Vitebsk Vs VOL1-1
20/05/23HVOL Vs Slonim1-0
13/05/23ABaranovichi Vs VOL3-1
06/05/23HVOL Vs Lokomotiv Gomel4-2
30/04/23AArsenal (Belarus) Vs VOL1-0
23/04/23HVOL Vs Lida2-0
15/04/23AFC Dnepr Mogilev Vs VOL3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Osipovichy
Osipovichy
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLL0.49
HomeLLLLL0.31
AwayLLWDL0.63
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %11%6%16%
AVG goals3.262.623.79
Over 1.5 %83%75%89%
Over 2.5 %63%56%68%
Over 3.5 %46%31%58%
Scored0.910.561.21
Conceded2.342.062.58
BTTS51%38%63%
Clean Sheet9%6%11%
Corners---
Cards---
Volna
Volna
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLW1.50
HomeWWWDW1.94
AwayLLLDL1.06
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%56%28%
AVG goals3.033.502.56
Over 1.5 %81%89%72%
Over 2.5 %58%61%56%
Over 3.5 %39%50%28%
Scored1.672.281.06
Conceded1.361.221.50
BTTS58%56%61%
Clean Sheet28%39%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Arsenal (Belarus)Arsenal (Belarus)3281
81%
2.5
8630+56
3.6
84%
69%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.70.9
-
2FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev3273
69%
2.3
7524+51
3.1
75%
56%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.8
-
3FC VitebskFC Vitebsk3273
72%
2.3
6822+46
2.8
72%
66%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2012.10.7
-
4Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel3262
59%
1.9
5540+15
3.0
88%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.2
-
5ML VitebskML Vitebsk3261
59%
1.9
8452+32
4.2
94%
81%
69%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6352.61.6
-
6BaranovichiBaranovichi3248
44%
1.5
4649-3
3.0
81%
53%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.5
-
7Zhodino YuzhnoeZhodino Yuzhnoe3246
41%
1.4
6252+10
3.6
88%
72%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
8VolnaVolna3243
38%
1.3
4149-8
2.8
72%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
9LidaLida3241
38%
1.3
4448-4
2.9
72%
62%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.5
-
10Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 43241
34%
1.3
5156-5
3.3
88%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.61.8
-
11NivaNiva3241
38%
1.3
5366-13
3.7
88%
69%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.72.1
-
12Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC3239
31%
1.2
5462-8
3.6
84%
69%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.71.9
-
13BumpromBumprom3238
31%
1.2
4562-17
3.3
88%
66%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.9
-
14OrshaOrsha3231
25%
1.0
5062-12
3.5
88%
75%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.9
-
15SlonimSlonim3222
16%
0.7
2663-37
2.8
62%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.0
-
16Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov3222
19%
0.7
3372-39
3.3
81%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
17OsipovichyOsipovichy325
3%
0.2
2185-64
3.3
84%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.72.7
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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