The contest between Oţelul and Rapid is a knife-edge affair, with the model pointing to an away win as the most probable outcome. Home advantage gives Oţelul a 33% chance of triumph, a 31% chance of a draw, and Rapid 36% to lift the trophy. The average goal tally is 2.4, with the model estimating a 28% chance that exactly two goals will be scored. The single most likely final score is 1-1, carrying a 14.4% probability.
Oţelul, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.82 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Rapid, on the road, averages 0.78 goals scored and 1.78 conceded against comparable opposition. The recent form of both sides is encouraging, each coming off a win.
The model’s selections are overwhelmingly defensive: Under 7.5 goals (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.7%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.4% with a 7% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (97.0% with a 5% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.8% with a 5% edge), and Under 5.5 (96.6% with a 4% edge).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Oţelul win
33.5%
Avg Implied 32.2% · @ 2.86
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
3.00
Unibet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.91
1xBet
2.91
William Hil
2.90
Draw
30.5%
Avg Implied 29.5% · @ 3.12
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Unibet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.18
10Bet
3.15
Rapid win
36.0%
Avg Implied 38.3% · @ 2.40
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.52
Pinnacle
2.48
Betano
2.47
10Bet
2.46
William Hil
2.45
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Oţelul
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.50
1.73
1.27
1.00
1.73
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
2.00
1.33
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.55
1.41
1.82
1.00
1.27
1.82
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.10
1.00
1.07
1.20
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.90
1.38
1.00
1.15
0.75
1.75
vs Weaker (9)
1.56
0.44
1.00
0.50
1.71
0.43
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Oţelul) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
69.7%
@ 1.34-0.1%
Under 1.5
30.3%
@ 3.09+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Pinnacle
3.21
Betano
3.20
Unibet
3.10
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.2%
@ 2.06-3.4%
Under 2.5
57.8%
@ 1.73+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.08
Pinnacle
2.07
Under
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
1xBet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.4%
@ 3.63-4.2%
Under 3.5
78.6%
@ 1.25+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Superbet
3.70
Betano
3.65
Under
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
49.4%
@ 1.79-2.2%
No
50.6%
@ 1.91+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.78
BetVictor
1.78
No
Superbet
1.97
William Hil
1.95
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.93
BetVictor
1.93
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%@ 5.74+6.7%
0-0
10.7%@ 8.17+5.3%
0-1
10.0%@ 7.20+3.9%
1-0
9.5%@ 7.97+4.0%
1-2
7.9%@ 8.89+3.0%
2-1
7.6%@ 9.89+3.1%
0-2
6.9%@ 10.86+2.8%
2-0
6.3%@ 13.25+2.9%
Oţelul goals ↓
Rapid goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
10%
6.9%
2.8%
0.8%
1
9.5%
14%
7.9%
3.2%
1.0%
2
6.3%
7.6%
4.6%
1.9%
0.6%
3
2.4%
2.9%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.7%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Oţelul goals (down), columns = Rapid goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Rapid
1.71
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.71
Universitatea Craiova
1.57
FCSB
1.57
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.43
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.43
Arges Pitesti
1.43
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
FC Voluntari
0.71
Csikszereda
0.14
Oţelul is 0.29 points worse than Rapid in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.83
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
FCSB
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.29
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.14
Rapid
1.14
FC Voluntari
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.57
Csikszereda
0.57
Arges Pitesti
0.57
Oţelul is 0.14 goals better than Rapid in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.43
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.57
Rapid
0.57
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.71
Arges Pitesti
0.71
FC Botosani
1.14
FCSB
1.14
Farul Constanta
1.14
Oţelul
1.14
Universitatea Craiova
1.29
Uta Arad
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.43
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.67
Csikszereda
1.86
FC Voluntari
2.57
Oţelul is 0.57 goals worse than Rapid in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 0.57).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
60%
FCSB
58%
Universitatea Cluj
57%
Dinamo Bucuresti
56%
Oţelul
55%
CFR 1907 Cluj
55%
FC Botosani
53%
Rapid
50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
49%
Farul Constanta
48%
Uta Arad
46%
Corvinul Hunedoara
44%
Arges Pitesti
44%
Petrolul Ploiesti
42%
Csikszereda
42%
FC Voluntari
41%
Oţelul is 5.3 percentage points better than Rapid in terms of average possession (55% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Oţelul
For 4.3 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 12.8 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rapid
For 6.3 · Against 5.1 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oţelul
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.3
9.4
4.0
4.8
3.2
26.7
26.9
26.5
vs Stronger (9)
8.0
8.8
7.0
5.1
5.2
5.0
25.6
23.4
28.2
vs Similar (38)
9.9
9.8
10.1
3.7
4.6
2.9
27.0
27.1
26.8
vs Weaker (3)
7.0
7.0
7.0
4.7
5.5
3.0
26.7
33.5
13.0
% over line
41%
42%
41%
52%
67%
38%
83%
83%
82%
% under line
59%
58%
59%
48%
33%
62%
17%
17%
18%
This opponent (Rapid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.3
9.8
4.1
4.2
4.0
23.4
23.5
23.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (31)
11.1
11.2
10.9
4.0
4.3
3.7
22.1
22.5
21.6
vs Weaker (19)
8.3
8.0
8.5
4.2
3.9
4.4
25.5
25.9
25.3
% over line
43%
50%
36%
48%
50%
46%
54%
50%
59%
% under line
57%
50%
64%
52%
50%
54%
46%
50%
41%
This opponent (Oţelul) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.2
Universitatea Cluj
10.0
Rapid
9.9
Farul Constanta
9.9
FC Botosani
9.8
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.7
Uta Arad
9.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Oţelul
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.4
Arges Pitesti
9.4
FC Voluntari
8.8
Csikszereda
8.8
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.7
Universitatea Craiova
8.7
Corvinul Hunedoara
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Universitatea Craiova
5.1
FC Botosani
5.0
Arges Pitesti
5.0
FCSB
4.9
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.7
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.7
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.7
Uta Arad
4.7
Rapid
4.6
FC Voluntari
4.6
Csikszereda
4.5
Farul Constanta
4.4
Oţelul
4.3
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.2
Universitatea Cluj
4.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Botosani
26.6
Oţelul
26.6
Arges Pitesti
25.3
Petrolul Ploiesti
25.3
Csikszereda
25.0
FCSB
24.9
Uta Arad
24.3
Corvinul Hunedoara
24.0
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
23.9
FC Voluntari
23.8
Universitatea Craiova
23.8
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.6
Rapid
23.5
Farul Constanta
23.2
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.7
Universitatea Cluj
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.1%
@ 2.05-0.1%
Under 9.5
54.9%
@ 1.69+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.00
Under
Unibet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.76
Superbet
1.76
10Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.64
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.5%
Under 3.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
70.8%
Under 21.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Oţelul or Draw
64.0%
Avg Implied 61.4% · @ 1.52
Edge
+2.6%
34%
31%
36%
covers Oţelul + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Unibet
1.53
Oţelul or Rapid
69.5%
Avg Implied 71.0% · @ 1.31
Edge
-1.5%
34%
31%
36%
covers Oţelul + Rapid
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Draw or Rapid
66.5%
Avg Implied 67.7% · @ 1.38
Edge
-1.2%
34%
31%
36%
covers Draw + Rapid
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
1xBet
1.37
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Oţelul over/under 0.5
Over
68.6%
@ 1.35+0.1%
Under
31.4%
@ 2.94-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Under
Superbet
3.05
Pinnacle
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Oţelul over/under 1.5
Over
32.2%
@ 2.73-1.9%
Under
67.8%
@ 1.41+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.84
Superbet
2.80
Unibet
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Oţelul over/under 2.5
Over
11.2%
@ 6.76-2.6%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.08+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
1xBet
6.70
Betfair
6.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Oţelul over/under 3.5
Over
3.0%
@ 17.25-2.6%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Rapid over/under 0.5
Over
70.2%
@ 1.29-1.8%
Under
29.8%
@ 3.31+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Under
Pinnacle
3.45
Superbet
3.45
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
Rapid over/under 1.5
Over
34.1%
@ 2.42-4.4%
Under
65.9%
@ 1.51+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.50
Superbet
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.45
10Bet
2.45
Under
Superbet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Rapid over/under 2.5
Over
12.2%
@ 5.63-4.2%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.11+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
1xBet
5.70
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Rapid over/under 3.5
Over
3.5%
@ 13.31-3.7%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.03+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.25
1xBet
10.00
Under
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Oţelul, so a minus line means Oţelul give that many goals of a start and Rapid receive them. At -1, Oţelul must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Oţelul win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Oţelul)
Oţelul -2
4.6%
@ 14.50-1.7%
Draw -2
9.8%
@ 8.57-0.8%
Rapid +2
85.6%
@ 1.09+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
15.00
Superbet
15.00
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
13.00
Draw
Betfair
9.00
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
8.30
Unibet
8.00
Away
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Handicap -1 (Oţelul)
Oţelul -1
14.4%
@ 6.15-0.2%
Draw -1
19.1%
@ 4.40-1.3%
Rapid +1
66.5%
@ 1.38+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Unibet
6.25
Marathonbet
5.75
10Bet
5.75
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.35
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
4.20
Away
10Bet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Handicap +1 (Oţelul)
Oţelul +1
64.0%
@ 1.52+5.3%
Draw +1
20.0%
@ 3.94-2.7%
Rapid -1
16.0%
@ 4.83-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.56
Superbet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Draw
Superbet
4.15
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
10Bet
3.90
Away
Superbet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.60
Handicap +2 (Oţelul)
Oţelul +2
84.0%
@ 1.15+6.6%
Draw +2
10.7%
@ 6.49-3.1%
Rapid -2
5.3%
@ 10.15-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Draw
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.10
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.25
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
11.00
Unibet
9.50
Marathonbet
6.25
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Oţelul
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
0.73
0.53
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.17
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.59
0.82
0.36
0.73
0.82
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.37
0.47
0.33
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.48
0.54
0.38
0.25
0.62
vs Weaker (9)
0.44
0.11
0.00
0.00
0.57
0.14
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Oţelul) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.2%
@ 1.42+2.7%
Under 0.5
31.8%
@ 2.69-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.81
10Bet
2.80
William Hil
2.75
Superbet
2.72
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
30.4%
@ 2.95-1.1%
Under 1.5
69.6%
@ 1.36+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.15
Pinnacle
3.05
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Under
10Bet
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.7%
@ 7.61-1.5%
Under 2.5
89.3%
@ 1.06+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
William Hil
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.60
Betano
7.30
Under
Superbet
1.08
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Oţelul over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.4%
@ 2.23+2.8%
Under
55.6%
@ 1.59-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.28
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24
Under
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Superbet
1.58
Unibet
1.57
Oţelul over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.5%
@ 7.30-1.2%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.06+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.90
1xBet
7.50
Superbet
7.30
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Oţelul over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.4%
@ 26.50-1.3%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
10Bet
26.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
Rapid over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.5%
@ 2.07-6.2%
Under
61.5%
@ 1.68+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Superbet
2.07
Under
10Bet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.68
Unibet
1.68
1xBet
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Rapid over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.5%
@ 6.50-3.8%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.08+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.85
Betano
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Superbet
6.40
10Bet
6.25
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Rapid over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.7%
@ 19.17-3.3%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Oţelul
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
1.00
0.73
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.83
0.67
1.33
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.82
1.00
0.64
0.55
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
0.53
0.73
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.90
0.46
0.77
0.50
1.12
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.14
0.29
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Oţelul) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.0%
@ 1.27+1.5%
Under 0.5
25.0%
@ 3.51-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Betano
3.60
1xBet
3.44
Marathonbet
3.44
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.7%
@ 2.25-1.8%
Under 1.5
60.3%
@ 1.60+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.35
Superbet
2.32
William Hil
2.25
Marathonbet
2.23
1xBet
2.23
Under
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
William Hil
1.60
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.4%
@ 4.90-4.6%
Under 2.5
85.6%
@ 1.15+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.25
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Oţelul over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.5%
@ 1.89-0.5%
Under
51.5%
@ 1.81+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Under
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Oţelul over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.9%
@ 5.43-1.2%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.12+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.45
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Oţelul over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.2%
@ 15.58-2.9%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.02+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Rapid over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.8%
@ 1.78-4.1%
Under
52.2%
@ 1.93+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
10Bet
1.85
Rapid over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.7%
@ 4.88-4.3%
Under
85.3%
@ 1.14+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.25
Superbet
4.90
1xBet
4.85
Marathonbet
4.85
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Rapid over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
@ 14.08-3.9%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.7%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.3%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.9%
Home under 3.5 goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.6%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.9%
Under 5.5
96.6%
1.02
Superbet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
+3.3%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.5%
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
+3.7%
Under 4.5
90.8%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
+3.6%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.08
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
+3.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.3%
1.06
Superbet
1.08
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.05
+1.5%
Home under 2.5 goals
88.8%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
+2.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.5%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+1.2%
Over 2.5 cards
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
87.8%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Betfair
1.11
+4.2%
Away +2 handicap
85.6%
1.09
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
-
+2.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.6%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
+4.6%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.3%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
10Bet
1.12
+4.3%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.1%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
+1.2%
Home +2 handicap
84.0%
1.15
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
+6.6%
Over 19.5 fouls
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
78.6%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+4.2%
Under 11.5 corners
77.4%
1.23
Superbet
1.31
Unibet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
-
+3.2%
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.0%
1.27
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.25
+1.5%
Over 3.5 cards
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
70.2%
1.29
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.29
-1.8%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Oţelul
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrick Fernandes57%
João Lameira29%
Teodor Lungu17%
Pedro Nuno14%
Andrézinho14%
Milen Zhelev0%
Giannis Christopoulos0%
Cosmin Dur-Bozoancă0%
Andrei Ciobanu0%
Paul Iacob0%
Miguel Silva0%
João Paulino0%
Cristian Neicu0%
Matei Frunză0%
Kazu0%
Habib Sylla0%
Denis Bordun0%
Alexandru Bălănică0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Teodor Lungu33%
Alexandru Bălănică33%
João Lameira29%
João Paulino25%
Habib Sylla17%
Andrézinho14%
Milen Zhelev0%
Giannis Christopoulos0%
Pedro Nuno0%
Patrick Fernandes0%
Cosmin Dur-Bozoancă0%
Andrei Ciobanu0%
Paul Iacob0%
Miguel Silva0%
Cristian Neicu0%
Matei Frunză0%
Kazu0%
Denis Bordun0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pedro Nuno57%
Andrei Ciobanu14%
Andrézinho14%
Milen Zhelev0%
Giannis Christopoulos0%
Patrick Fernandes0%
João Lameira0%
Cosmin Dur-Bozoancă0%
Paul Iacob0%
Miguel Silva0%
Teodor Lungu0%
João Paulino0%
Cristian Neicu0%
Matei Frunză0%
Kazu0%
Habib Sylla0%
Denis Bordun0%
Alexandru Bălănică0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pedro Nuno29%
Andrézinho14%
Milen Zhelev0%
Giannis Christopoulos0%
Patrick Fernandes0%
João Lameira0%
Cosmin Dur-Bozoancă0%
Andrei Ciobanu0%
Paul Iacob0%
Miguel Silva0%
Teodor Lungu0%
João Paulino0%
Cristian Neicu0%
Matei Frunză0%
Kazu0%
Habib Sylla0%
Denis Bordun0%
Alexandru Bălănică0%
Rapid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alex Dobre33%
Claudiu Petrila33%
Olimpiu Moruțan33%
Filip Stojilković33%
Alexandru Paşcanu25%
Daniel Graovac0%
Mohammed Kamara0%
Lars Kramer0%
Marian Aioani0%
Cătălin Vulturar0%
Denis Ciobotariu0%
Vladan Bubanja0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Constantin Grameni0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Robert Sălceanu0%
Omar El Sawy0%
Rareș Pop0%
Jason Kodor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cătălin Vulturar50%
Alexandru Paşcanu50%
Robert Sălceanu40%
Alex Dobre33%
Lars Kramer33%
Vladan Bubanja33%
Filip Stojilković33%
Mohammed Kamara25%
Denis Ciobotariu25%
Marian Aioani17%
Constantin Grameni17%
Daniel Graovac0%
Claudiu Petrila0%
Olimpiu Moruțan0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Omar El Sawy0%
Rareș Pop0%
Jason Kodor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Olimpiu Moruțan33%
Timotej Jambor33%
Omar El Sawy25%
Vladan Bubanja17%
Constantin Grameni17%
Daniel Graovac0%
Alex Dobre0%
Mohammed Kamara0%
Lars Kramer0%
Marian Aioani0%
Cătălin Vulturar0%
Claudiu Petrila0%
Denis Ciobotariu0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Filip Stojilković0%
Alexandru Paşcanu0%
Robert Sălceanu0%
Rareș Pop0%
Jason Kodor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Claudiu Petrila33%
Filip Stojilković33%
Rareș Pop33%
Alexandru Paşcanu25%
Alex Dobre17%
Olimpiu Moruțan17%
Vladan Bubanja17%
Daniel Graovac0%
Mohammed Kamara0%
Lars Kramer0%
Marian Aioani0%
Cătălin Vulturar0%
Denis Ciobotariu0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Constantin Grameni0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Robert Sălceanu0%
Omar El Sawy0%
Jason Kodor0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
Oţelul's squad is €22m less valuable than Rapid's (€7m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
Oţelul's attack is €11m less valuable than Rapid's (€2m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
Oţelul's midfield is €2m less valuable than Rapid's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
Oţelul's defence is €8m less valuable than Rapid's (€4m vs €12m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dinamo Bucuresti
Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Craiova
FCSB
Corvinul Hunedoara
Farul Constanta
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Arges Pitesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
Universitatea Cluj
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda