PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Othellos vs Anagennisi Deryneia Result & Analysis

Date: 04/11/2022
Time: 17:00
Final 2-0
Othellos
Othellos
Vs
25%
28%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Anagennisi Deryneia
Anagennisi Deryneia
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Othellos win✓ Hit
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia win✗ Miss
46.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

OthellosOthellos

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L32W10W12L12L02LH·PAE10/09H·PEY17/09A·ETH30/09H·ERM09/10A·AHI16/10H·KRA23/10A·OMO30/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.290.750.751.332.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.001.500.671.001.332.00
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %29% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W50W01L22D03L12L03LH·OLY10/09A·ALK18/09H·MEA01/10A·OMO07/10H·AYI15/10A·XYL22/10H·AE 29/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.570.501.752.671.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.752.000.002.001.502.00
vs Weaker (3)2.331.001.001.505.000.00
Clean sheet %29% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Othellos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.7%
Under 2.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.2%
Under 3.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.7%
No
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
Othellos goals ↓
Anagennisi Deryneia goals →
01234
09.1%10%8.7%4.3%1.6%
17.0%14%9.2%4.6%1.7%
24.4%6.5%4.8%2.4%0.9%
31.5%2.3%1.7%0.8%0.3%
40.4%0.6%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Othellos goals (down), columns = Anagennisi Deryneia goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Othellos
2.03
AE Zakakiou
1.93
Ethnikos Achna
1.90
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.72
PAEEK
1.44
Xylotympou
1.44
Ermis
1.43
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.38
Krasava Ypsonas
1.36
Peyia
1.34
Ayia Napa
1.26
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.22
MEAP Nisou
1.14
Omonia Aradippou
1.10
Alki Oroklini
0.53
Olympiada Lympion
0.41
Othellos is 0.81 points better than Anagennisi Deryneia in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 1.22).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Krasava Ypsonas
2.11
Xylotympou
1.70
AE Zakakiou
1.59
Ethnikos Achna
1.59
Othellos
1.59
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.45
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.33
PAEEK
1.30
Ermis
1.21
Ayia Napa
1.11
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.10
Omonia Aradippou
1.00
Peyia
0.86
MEAP Nisou
0.83
Olympiada Lympion
0.78
Alki Oroklini
0.65
Othellos is 0.25 goals better than Anagennisi Deryneia in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.33).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
AE Zakakiou
0.72
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.79
Ethnikos Achna
0.93
Othellos
0.97
Peyia
1.00
PAEEK
1.11
Omonia Aradippou
1.14
Ermis
1.14
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.17
Ayia Napa
1.22
MEAP Nisou
1.41
Xylotympou
1.44
Krasava Ypsonas
1.57
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.70
Olympiada Lympion
2.19
Alki Oroklini
2.53
Othellos is 0.74 goals better than Anagennisi Deryneia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.70).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OthellosOthellos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L01L00D11D01L00DH·PAE10/09H·PEY17/09A·ETH30/09H·ERM09/10A·AHI16/10H·KRA23/10A·OMO30/10
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.140.570.000.500.330.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.170.670.000.670.330.67
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D40W01L21W02L00D01LH·OLY10/09A·ALK18/09H·MEA01/10A·OMO07/10H·AYI15/10A·XYL22/10H·AE 29/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.860.710.001.002.000.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.500.750.001.001.000.50
vs Weaker (3)1.330.670.001.004.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Othellos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Othellos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Othellos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Othellos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OthellosOthellos

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D31W10W01L11D02LH·PAE10/09H·PEY17/09A·ETH30/09H·ERM09/10A·AHI16/10H·KRA23/10A·OMO30/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.860.710.750.251.001.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.830.830.670.331.001.33
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Deryneia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W00D01L01L12L02LH·OLY10/09A·ALK18/09H·MEA01/10A·OMO07/10H·AYI15/10A·XYL22/10H·AE 29/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.860.500.750.671.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.251.250.001.000.501.50
vs Weaker (3)1.000.331.000.501.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Othellos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Othellos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Othellos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Othellos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Deryneia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (18)
€5m
KY (20)
€4m
O2M (10)
€3m
EA (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (9)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
OTH wins
0
Draws
0
AD wins

Head-to-head

Othellos vs Anagennisi Deryneia · H/A from OTH
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

OthellosOthellos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/22AOmonia 29is Maiou Vs OTH2-0
23/10/22HOTH Vs Krasava Ypsonas1-2
16/10/22AAhironas / Onisilos Vs OTH2-1
09/10/22HOTH Vs Ermis1-0
30/09/22AEthnikos Achna Vs OTH2-3
17/09/22HOTH Vs Peyia0-1
10/09/22HOTH Vs PAEEK1-0

Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/22HAD Vs AE Zakakiou0-3
22/10/22AXylotympou Vs AD2-1
15/10/22HAD Vs Ayia Napa0-3
07/10/22AOmonia Aradippou Vs AD2-2
01/10/22HAD Vs MEAP Nisou0-1
18/09/22AAlki Oroklini Vs AD0-5
10/09/22HAD Vs Olympiada Lympion2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Othellos
Othellos
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.29
HomeWLWL1.50
AwayWLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%50%33%
AVG goals2.291.503.33
Over 1.5 %57%25%100%
Over 2.5 %43%25%67%
Over 3.5 %14%0%33%
Scored1.000.751.33
Conceded1.290.752.00
BTTS43%25%67%
Clean Sheet29%50%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Anagennisi Deryneia
Anagennisi Deryneia
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.00
HomeWLLL0.75
AwayWDL1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%25%33%
AVG goals3.002.254.00
Over 1.5 %86%75%100%
Over 2.5 %71%50%100%
Over 3.5 %29%0%67%
Scored1.430.502.67
Conceded1.571.751.33
BTTS29%0%67%
Clean Sheet29%25%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OthellosOthellos2959
66%
2.0
4628+18
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
2AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2956
55%
1.9
4621+25
2.3
62%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.7
-
3Ethnikos AchnaEthnikos Achna2955
55%
1.9
4627+19
2.5
66%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.9
-
4Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2950
48%
1.7
3223+9
1.9
55%
28%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0021.10.8
-
5Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2940
34%
1.4
4234+8
2.6
69%
38%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
6ErmisErmis2840
39%
1.4
3432+2
2.4
64%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.1
-
7XylotympouXylotympou2739
41%
1.4
4639+7
3.1
74%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.4
-
8PAEEKPAEEK2739
37%
1.4
3530+5
2.4
63%
44%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
9PeyiaPeyia2939
34%
1.3
2529-4
1.9
55%
28%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
10Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2838
36%
1.4
5944+15
3.7
89%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2012.11.6
-
11Ayia NapaAyia Napa2734
37%
1.3
3033-3
2.3
74%
37%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
12Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia2733
33%
1.2
3646-10
3.0
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
13MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2933
34%
1.1
2441-17
2.2
45%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
14Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou2932
24%
1.1
2933-4
2.1
59%
34%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.01.1
-
15Olympiada LympionOlympiada Lympion2711
7%
0.4
2159-38
3.0
74%
41%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.2
-
16Alki OrokliniAlki Oroklini179
12%
0.5
1143-32
3.2
65%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.5
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

← all matches