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Otrant-Olympic vs Bokelj Result & Analysis

Date: 28/09/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 1-2
Otrant-Olympic
Otrant-Olympic
Vs
47%
27%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bokelj
Bokelj
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

šŸŽÆ 1. Model Analysis

Otrant-Olympic wināœ— Miss
47.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawāœ— Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bokelj wināœ“ Hit
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

āš½ 2. Goal Analysis

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W22D10W23L31W01L22D11D13L00DH·MLA31/05A·MLA04/06A·MOR04/08A·PET11/08H·JEZ17/08A·JED21/08H·DEČ25/08A·BUD31/08H·SUT14/09A·ARS22/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.770.672.210.791.380.56
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (20)1.350.851.561.001.180.73
vs Weaker (9)2.780.223.400.402.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Bokelj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BokeljBokelj

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-773W30W20W10W01L04L03L11D01L20WA·MLA18/05H·INT25/05H·JEZ04/08A·JED11/08H·DEČ18/08A·BUD21/08H·SUT25/08A·ARS31/08H·PET14/09H·MOR22/09← Second LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.770.831.690.751.860.93
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (20)1.800.801.670.752.000.88
vs Weaker (9)1.890.561.750.752.000.40
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.3%
Under 1.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.1%
Under 2.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.9%
Under 3.5
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.8%
No
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
7.5%
1-2 āœ“
6.7%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
Otrant-Olympic goals ↓
Bokelj goals →
01234
07.5%6.1%4.2%1.6%0.5%
19.1%13%6.7%2.6%0.7%
28.3%9.4%5.4%2.1%0.6%
34.4%5.1%2.9%1.1%0.3%
41.8%2.1%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Otrant-Olympic goals (down), columns = Bokelj goals (across).

šŸ’Ŗ 3. Team Strengths Analysis

šŸ† Total PPG

Points / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.36
Petrovac
1.67
Sutjeska
1.42
Dečić
1.33
Bokelj
1.22
Mornar
1.22
Arsenal Tivat
1.21
Jedinstvo
1.19
Jezero
1.18
Otrant-Olympic
0.97
Lovćen
0.50
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Otrant-Olympic is 0.25 points worse than Bokelj in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.22).

āš”ļø Attack

Goals scored / game
Buducnost Podgorica
2.50
Petrovac
1.39
Jedinstvo
1.25
Otrant-Olympic
1.19
Sutjeska
1.11
Mornar
1.11
Jezero
0.97
Arsenal Tivat
0.95
Dečić
0.94
Bokelj
0.86
Lovćen
0.00
Rudar (Montenegro)
0.00
Otrant-Olympic is 0.33 goals better than Bokelj in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 0.86).

šŸ›”ļø Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Buducnost Podgorica
0.81
Dečić
0.86
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.00
Petrovac
1.03
Sutjeska
1.06
Jezero
1.16
Arsenal Tivat
1.24
Bokelj
1.39
Otrant-Olympic
1.47
Mornar
1.47
Jedinstvo
1.61
Lovćen
2.00
Otrant-Olympic is 0.08 goals worse than Bokelj in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.39).

ā±ļø Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

šŸŽ² 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

šŸ”€ 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

šŸ„… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

āš–ļø 7. Handicap

ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D10W10W31W00D00D10W12L00DH·MLA31/05A·MLA04/06A·MOR04/08A·PET11/08H·JEZ17/08A·JED21/08H·DEČ25/08A·BUD31/08H·SUT14/09A·ARS22/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.171.140.210.620.12
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (20)0.600.250.780.330.450.18
vs Weaker (9)1.440.001.800.001.000.00
Clean sheet %87% (+56pp vs league)
This opponent (Bokelj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BokeljBokelj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W10W10W00D00D01L00D00D01L10WA·MLA18/05H·INT25/05H·JEZ04/08A·JED11/08H·DEČ18/08A·BUD21/08H·SUT25/08A·ARS31/08H·PET14/09H·MOR22/09← Second LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.270.690.310.860.21
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.800.250.670.251.000.25
vs Weaker (9)0.780.220.750.500.800.00
Clean sheet %73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D00D13L00D01L22D01L01L00DH·MLA31/05A·MLA04/06A·MOR04/08A·PET11/08H·JEZ17/08A·JED21/08H·DEČ25/08A·BUD31/08H·SUT14/09A·ARS22/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.501.070.570.750.44
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.750.600.780.670.730.55
vs Weaker (9)1.330.221.600.401.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Bokelj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BokeljBokelj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L20W10W10W01L03L03L11D00D10WA·MLA18/05H·INT25/05H·JEZ04/08A·JED11/08H·DEČ18/08A·BUD21/08H·SUT25/08A·ARS31/08H·PET14/09H·MOR22/09← Second LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.571.000.441.000.71
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (20)1.000.551.000.501.000.62
vs Weaker (9)1.110.331.000.251.200.40
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ„… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bokelj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

šŸ”„ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.3%-------āœ“ Hit
Under 3.570.1%-------āœ“ Hit

šŸ’° 14. Squad value

šŸ’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
JED (17)
€1m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic and Bokelj have a similar squad value (both €2m).

āš”ļø Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
JED (5)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic and Bokelj have a similar attack value (both €1m).

šŸ§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic and Bokelj have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

šŸ›”ļø Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
JED (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
R( (2)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic and Bokelj have a similar defence value (both €1m).

šŸ¤ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
OTR wins
4
Draws
3
BOK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Otrant-Olympic vs Bokelj · H/A from OTR
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/24ABokelj Vs OTR2-1
24/03/24HOTR Vs Bokelj0-0
12/11/23ABokelj Vs OTR1-1
17/09/23HOTR Vs Bokelj1-1
26/04/23ABokelj Vs OTR1-3
11/03/23HOTR Vs Bokelj1-1
16/10/22ABokelj Vs OTR4-0
28/08/22HOTR Vs Bokelj1-2

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/24AArsenal Tivat Vs OTR0-0
14/09/24HOTR Vs Sutjeska1-3
31/08/24ABuducnost Podgorica Vs OTR1-1
25/08/24HOTR Vs Dečić2-2
21/08/24AJedinstvo Vs OTR1-0
17/08/24HOTR Vs Jezero3-1
11/08/24APetrovac Vs OTR3-2
04/08/24AMornar Vs OTR0-1
04/06/24AMladost DG Vs OTR2-2
31/05/24HOTR Vs Mladost DG1-0

BokeljBokelj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/24HBOK Vs Mornar2-0
14/09/24HBOK Vs Petrovac0-1
31/08/24AArsenal Tivat Vs BOK1-1
25/08/24HBOK Vs Sutjeska0-3
21/08/24ABuducnost Podgorica Vs BOK4-0
18/08/24HBOK Vs Dečić0-1
11/08/24AJedinstvo Vs BOK0-1
04/08/24HBOK Vs Jezero2-0
25/05/24HBOK Vs Internacional Podgorica3-0
18/05/24AMladost LjeŔkopolje Vs BOK3-7

šŸ“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Otrant-Olympic
Otrant-Olympic
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLD1.96
HomeWWWDL2.17
AwayWLLDD1.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%62%46%
AVG goals2.342.712.00
Over 1.5 %66%75%58%
Over 2.5 %40%46%35%
Over 3.5 %26%33%19%
Scored1.621.921.35
Conceded0.720.790.65
BTTS42%50%35%
Clean Sheet56%50%62%
Corners---
Cards---
Bokelj
Bokelj
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW2.02
HomeWLLLW2.15
AwayWWWLD1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%65%54%
AVG goals2.462.462.46
Over 1.5 %74%81%67%
Over 2.5 %46%46%46%
Over 3.5 %16%15%17%
Scored1.641.731.54
Conceded0.820.730.92
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet38%38%38%
Corners---
Cards---

šŸ† 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ā‚¬mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica3685
72%
2.4
9029+61
3.3
89%
61%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.50.8
-
2PetrovacPetrovac3660
47%
1.7
5037+13
2.4
67%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.0
-
3SutjeskaSutjeska3651
39%
1.4
4038+2
2.2
75%
33%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
4DečićDečić3648
28%
1.3
3431+3
1.8
58%
22%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.90.9
-
5Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat3846
29%
1.2
3647-11
2.2
66%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.2
-
6JezeroJezero3845
29%
1.2
3744-7
2.1
63%
32%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.2
-
7MornarMornar3644
33%
1.2
4053-13
2.6
83%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.5
-
8BokeljBokelj3644
36%
1.2
3150-19
2.2
64%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.4
-
9JedinstvoJedinstvo3643
31%
1.2
4558-13
2.9
81%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
10Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3635
25%
1.0
4353-10
2.7
67%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
11LovćenLovćen21
0%
0.5
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
12Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)20
0%
0.0
02-2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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