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Otrant-Olympic vs Lovćen Result & Analysis

Date: 22/10/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 0-0
Otrant-Olympic
Otrant-Olympic
Vs
60%
23%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lovćen
Lovćen
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Otrant-Olympic win✗ Miss
59.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lovćen win✗ Miss
17.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D23L10W11D20W20W12L10W31WH·GRB26/08A·LOV02/09H·ISK09/09A·KOM13/09H·BOK17/09A·BER24/09H·IGA30/09A·MLA04/10H·INT08/10A·GRB15/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.731.470.871.270.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.501.001.551.091.430.86
vs Weaker (12)1.170.331.250.251.120.38
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LovćenLovćen

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W00D10W12L06L21W22D21W13L10WA·BER26/08H·OTR02/09H·INT13/09A·GRB17/09A·MLA20/09A·IGA24/09H·ISK30/09H·KOM04/10A·BOK08/10H·BER14/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.751.170.831.172.67
vs Stronger (7)1.002.001.001.001.003.33
vs Similar (5)1.401.401.500.501.332.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.7%
Under 1.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.7%
Under 2.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.3%
Under 3.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.4%
No
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
6.6%
0-0 ✓
5.7%
2-2
5.1%
Otrant-Olympic goals ↓
Lovćen goals →
01234
05.7%3.8%2.4%0.8%0.2%
18.7%11%5.0%1.7%0.4%
29.8%10.0%5.1%1.7%0.4%
36.6%6.7%3.4%1.2%0.3%
43.4%3.4%1.7%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Otrant-Olympic goals (down), columns = Lovćen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bokelj
2.22
Otrant-Olympic
2.19
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.58
Grbalj
1.50
Igalo
1.28
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.19
Lovćen
1.14
Kom
1.14
Internacional Podgorica
0.89
Berane
0.69
Otrant-Olympic is 1.06 points better than Lovćen in terms of average points per game (2.19 vs 1.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bokelj
1.97
Otrant-Olympic
1.78
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.75
Kom
1.44
Grbalj
1.33
Igalo
1.11
Lovćen
1.00
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.00
Internacional Podgorica
1.00
Berane
0.94
Otrant-Olympic is 0.78 goals better than Lovćen in terms of goals scored per game (1.78 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Otrant-Olympic
0.56
Bokelj
0.78
Igalo
1.06
Grbalj
1.33
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.42
Lovćen
1.61
Kom
1.61
Internacional Podgorica
1.69
Berane
1.94
Otrant-Olympic is 1.06 goals better than Lovćen in terms of goals conceded per game (0.56 vs 1.61).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D20W10W01L10W00D00D00D11DH·GRB26/08A·LOV02/09H·ISK09/09A·KOM13/09H·BOK17/09A·BER24/09H·IGA30/09A·MLA04/10H·INT08/10A·GRB15/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.270.670.330.400.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.500.330.640.360.290.29
vs Weaker (12)0.580.170.750.250.500.12
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LovćenLovćen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D10W01L04L21W02L01L12L00DA·BER26/08H·OTR02/09H·INT13/09A·GRB17/09A·MLA20/09A·IGA24/09H·ISK30/09H·KOM04/10A·BOK08/10H·BER14/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.581.170.330.670.831.67
vs Stronger (7)0.711.430.500.751.002.33
vs Similar (5)0.400.800.000.500.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D03L00D10W10W20W12L10W20WH·GRB26/08A·LOV02/09H·ISK09/09A·KOM13/09H·BOK17/09A·BER24/09H·IGA30/09A·MLA04/10H·INT08/10A·GRB15/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.470.800.530.870.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.000.670.910.731.140.57
vs Weaker (12)0.580.170.500.000.620.25
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LovćenLovćen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D11D02L00D20W20W01L10WA·BER26/08H·OTR02/09H·INT13/09A·GRB17/09A·MLA20/09A·IGA24/09H·ISK30/09H·KOM04/10A·BOK08/10H·BER14/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.580.580.830.170.331.00
vs Stronger (7)0.290.570.500.250.001.00
vs Similar (5)1.000.601.500.000.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
GRB (2)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic's squad is €1m more valuable than Lovćen's (€2m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic and Lovćen have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOK (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic and Lovćen have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOK (8)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic and Lovćen have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
OTR wins
1
Draws
0
LOV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Otrant-Olympic vs Lovćen · H/A from OTR
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/23ALovćen Vs OTR0-0

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/10/23AGrbalj Vs OTR1-3
08/10/23HOTR Vs Internacional Podgorica1-0
04/10/23AMladost Lješkopolje Vs OTR2-1
30/09/23HOTR Vs Igalo2-0
24/09/23ABerane Vs OTR0-2
17/09/23HOTR Vs Bokelj1-1
13/09/23AKom Vs OTR0-1
09/09/23HOTR Vs Iskra (Montenegro)2-3
02/09/23ALovćen Vs OTR0-0
26/08/23HOTR Vs Grbalj1-1

LovćenLovćen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/10/23HLOV Vs Berane1-0
08/10/23ABokelj Vs LOV3-1
04/10/23HLOV Vs Kom2-1
30/09/23HLOV Vs Iskra (Montenegro)2-2
24/09/23AIgalo Vs LOV1-2
20/09/23AMladost Lješkopolje Vs LOV6-0
17/09/23AGrbalj Vs LOV2-1
13/09/23HLOV Vs Internacional Podgorica1-0
02/09/23HLOV Vs Otrant-Olympic0-0
26/08/23ABerane Vs LOV1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Otrant-Olympic
Otrant-Olympic
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.35
HomeDLDWW1.39
AwayDWWLW1.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%35%35%
AVG goals2.202.262.13
Over 1.5 %70%74%65%
Over 2.5 %39%39%39%
Over 3.5 %15%13%17%
Scored1.091.260.91
Conceded1.111.001.22
BTTS41%48%35%
Clean Sheet37%43%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Lovćen
Lovćen
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW1.42
HomeDWDWW1.83
AwayWLLWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%50%33%
AVG goals2.922.003.83
Over 1.5 %75%50%100%
Over 2.5 %75%50%100%
Over 3.5 %33%17%50%
Scored1.171.171.17
Conceded1.750.832.67
BTTS67%50%83%
Clean Sheet25%50%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BokeljBokelj3680
67%
2.2
7128+43
2.8
83%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.8
-
2Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3679
64%
2.2
6420+44
2.3
72%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.6
-
3Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3657
44%
1.6
6351+12
3.2
81%
64%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.4
-
4GrbaljGrbalj3654
42%
1.5
4848+0
2.7
83%
58%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
5IgaloIgalo3646
36%
1.3
4038+2
2.2
72%
36%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
6Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3643
33%
1.2
3648-12
2.3
58%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
7KomKom3641
33%
1.1
5258-6
3.1
83%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
8LovćenLovćen3641
28%
1.1
3658-22
2.6
69%
58%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
9Internacional PodgoricaInternacional Podgorica3632
19%
0.9
3661-25
2.7
67%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
10BeraneBerane3625
17%
0.7
3470-36
2.9
75%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
Montenegro: Second League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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