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Otrant-Olympic vs Mladost DG Result & Analysis

Date: 18/03/2023
Time: 13:30
Final 0-1
Otrant-Olympic
Otrant-Olympic
Vs
38%
30%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mladost DG
Mladost DG
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Otrant-Olympic win✗ Miss
37.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG win✓ Hit
31.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L03L30W02L11D01L21W12L21W11DA·BOK16/10A·MLA22/10H·BER30/10H·NIK12/11A·IGA16/11A·GRB20/11H·ZET27/11H·MLA03/12A·KOM05/03H·BOK11/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.711.671.001.270.402.10
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.572.000.881.380.172.83
vs Weaker (7)1.001.001.331.000.751.00
Clean sheet %14% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost DG) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost DGMladost DG

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L30W00D03L03L00D12L04L03L31WA·KOM16/10H·OTR22/10A·BOK30/10A·BER05/11H·IGA10/11A·NIK20/11H·GRB27/11H·ZET03/12A·MLA05/03H·KOM11/03
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.481.331.821.271.101.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.141.071.431.290.860.86
vs Weaker (7)2.141.862.501.251.672.67
Clean sheet %38% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%019%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.0%
Under 1.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.4%
Under 2.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.7%
Under 3.5
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
0-1 ✓
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.9%
Otrant-Olympic goals ↓
Mladost DG goals →
01234
011%9.1%5.9%2.2%0.6%
110%14%7.4%2.8%0.8%
27.3%8.2%4.6%1.7%0.5%
33.0%3.4%1.9%0.7%0.2%
40.9%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Otrant-Olympic goals (down), columns = Mladost DG goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Mladost DG
1.74
Berane
1.62
Kom
1.56
Bokelj
1.50
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.41
Igalo
1.29
Grbalj
1.18
Otrant-Olympic
1.12
Zeta
1.09
Nikšić
0.89
Otrant-Olympic is 0.62 points worse than Mladost DG in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.74).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Mladost DG
1.26
Kom
1.24
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.18
Igalo
1.09
Bokelj
1.03
Berane
1.03
Zeta
0.97
Otrant-Olympic
0.94
Nikšić
0.84
Grbalj
0.82
Otrant-Olympic is 0.32 goals worse than Mladost DG in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Berane
0.74
Bokelj
0.82
Grbalj
0.94
Igalo
1.03
Mladost DG
1.03
Kom
1.03
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.03
Otrant-Olympic
1.24
Zeta
1.26
Nikšić
1.63
Otrant-Olympic is 0.21 goals worse than Mladost DG in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L11D03L00D10W00D10W01L10W00DA·MLA09/10H·KOM12/10A·BOK16/10A·MLA22/10H·BER30/10A·GRB20/11H·ZET27/11H·MLA03/12A·KOM05/03H·BOK11/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.790.500.500.221.11
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.251.000.430.570.001.60
vs Weaker (7)0.570.430.670.330.500.50
Clean sheet %42% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost DG) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost DGMladost DG

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D00D00D03L00D12L02L03L11DA·KOM16/10H·OTR22/10A·BOK30/10A·BER05/11H·IGA10/11A·NIK20/11H·GRB27/11H·ZET03/12A·MLA05/03H·KOM11/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.810.820.910.300.70
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.710.710.860.430.57
vs Weaker (7)0.571.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L01L03L20W01L11D11D11D11DA·MLA09/10H·KOM12/10A·BOK16/10A·MLA22/10H·BER30/10A·GRB20/11H·ZET27/11H·MLA03/12A·KOM05/03H·BOK11/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.890.600.700.111.11
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.331.080.570.710.001.60
vs Weaker (7)0.430.570.670.670.250.50
Clean sheet %32% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost DG) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost DGMladost DG

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W00D03L00D00D00D02L00D20WA·KOM16/10H·OTR22/10A·BOK30/10A·BER05/11H·IGA10/11A·NIK20/11H·GRB27/11H·ZET03/12A·MLA05/03H·KOM11/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.521.000.360.800.70
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.360.710.430.430.29
vs Weaker (7)1.570.861.500.251.671.67
Clean sheet %71% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost DG over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
GRB (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic's squad is €1m less valuable than Mladost DG's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (8)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic and Mladost DG have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic and Mladost DG have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic and Mladost DG have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
OTR wins
0
Draws
2
MD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Otrant-Olympic vs Mladost DG · H/A from OTR
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/22AMladost DG Vs OTR3-0
04/09/22HOTR Vs Mladost DG1-2

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/03/23HOTR Vs Bokelj1-1
05/03/23AKom Vs OTR1-2
03/12/22HOTR Vs Mladost Lješkopolje1-2
27/11/22HOTR Vs Zeta2-1
20/11/22AGrbalj Vs OTR1-0
16/11/22AIgalo Vs OTR1-1
12/11/22HOTR Vs Nikšić0-2
30/10/22HOTR Vs Berane3-0
22/10/22AMladost DG Vs OTR3-0
16/10/22ABokelj Vs OTR4-0

Mladost DGMladost DG

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/03/23HMD Vs Kom3-1
05/03/23AMladost Lješkopolje Vs MD3-0
03/12/22HMD Vs Zeta0-4
27/11/22HMD Vs Grbalj1-2
20/11/22ANikšić Vs MD0-0
10/11/22HMD Vs Igalo0-3
05/11/22ABerane Vs MD3-0
30/10/22ABokelj Vs MD0-0
22/10/22HMD Vs Otrant-Olympic3-0
16/10/22AKom Vs MD3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Otrant-Olympic
Otrant-Olympic
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD0.71
HomeWLWLD0.91
AwayLLDLW0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%18%10%
AVG goals2.382.272.50
Over 1.5 %81%82%80%
Over 2.5 %48%55%40%
Over 3.5 %14%9%20%
Scored0.711.000.40
Conceded1.671.272.10
BTTS48%64%30%
Clean Sheet14%27%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Mladost DG
Mladost DG
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW1.52
HomeWLLLW1.73
AwayLDLDL1.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%55%30%
AVG goals2.813.092.50
Over 1.5 %76%82%70%
Over 2.5 %71%82%60%
Over 3.5 %33%36%30%
Scored1.481.821.10
Conceded1.331.271.40
BTTS38%36%40%
Clean Sheet38%36%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Mladost DGMladost DG3459
50%
1.7
4335+8
2.3
56%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.0
-
2BeraneBerane3455
47%
1.6
3525+10
1.8
47%
21%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.7
-
3KomKom3453
44%
1.6
4235+7
2.3
62%
44%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
4BokeljBokelj3451
38%
1.5
3528+7
1.9
56%
38%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.00.8
-
5Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3448
35%
1.4
4035+5
2.2
62%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6IgaloIgalo3545
31%
1.3
3836+2
2.1
69%
40%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
7GrbaljGrbalj3440
29%
1.2
2832-4
1.8
47%
26%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
8Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3438
26%
1.1
3242-10
2.2
68%
41%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.2
-
9ZetaZeta3437
29%
1.1
3343-10
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
10NikšićNikšić1917
21%
0.9
1631-15
2.5
79%
42%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
Montenegro: Second League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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