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Otrant-Olympic vs Petrovac Result & Analysis

Date: 09/08/2026
Time: 18:00
Final 0-0
Otrant-Olympic
Otrant-Olympic
Vs
44%
26%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Petrovac's recent struggles on the road, where they've scored just 1.13 goals per game against similar opponents, contrast with Otrant-Olympic's strong home form, averaging 2.71 goals per game at home against similar opponents. However, the model's selection, the home win, is not the most likely outcome, with a 44% chance.

The model's favoured match result is a home win, with the draw at 26% and the away win at 30%. The expected total goals is 3.0, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 12.3% chance.

Otrant-Olympic's home scoring and conceding statistics are 2.71 and 1.14 goals per game, respectively, while Petrovac's away scoring and conceding statistics are 1.13 and 1.33 goals per game.

The model's selection is the Over 1.5, with an 80.9% chance and a 16% edge. The suggested picks include the Over 1.5 at 80.9%, the Home win at 44%, the Draw at 26%, and the Away win at 30%.

Results analysis

The draw between Otrant-Olympic and Petrovac extends the home team's run of consecutive draws, now at three matches. The final score was 0-0, resulting in a draw. This outcome was not predicted by the pre-match favourite, Otrant-Olympic, who were expected to win with a 44% probability. However, the model's selection was incorrect, as the home team failed to deliver. The model had suggested picking Over 1.5 goals, which had an 80.9% probability of occurring, but ultimately missed. The model's call was wrong, as Petrovac secured a draw despite having a relatively low 30% probability of winning pre-match.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Otrant-Olympic win✗ Miss
44.1%
Avg Implied 33.3% · @ 2.72
Edge
+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.77
William Hil
2.75
Pinnacle
2.75
Dafabet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.71
Draw✓ Hit
26.3%
Avg Implied 31.6% · @ 2.86
Edge
-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Dafabet
2.95
Betano
2.92
Betfair
2.88
Petrovac win✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied 35.0% · @ 2.58
Edge
-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.67
Betfair
2.63
Marathonbet
2.60
1xBet
2.60
William Hil
2.60

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W40W20W21W20W10W22D42W20W12LA·INT08/04H·RUD12/04A·BER18/04H·LOV26/04A·IGA02/05H·MLA10/05A·ISK16/05H·GRB20/05A·KOM24/05A·MLA02/08← Second LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.130.932.860.931.500.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)2.310.773.400.801.620.75
vs Weaker (17)2.001.062.561.001.381.12
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D01L13L11D01L10W11D11D01LA·BOK08/04A·JEZ12/04H·SUT18/04A·ARS26/04H·DEČ02/05A·MLA10/05H·JED16/05A·MOR20/05H·BUD24/05H·BOK01/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.071.130.801.131.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.131.071.130.801.131.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.9%
@ 1.41+16.2%
Under 1.5
19.1%
@ 2.59-16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.72
Superbet
2.72
Marathonbet
2.56
1xBet
2.56
BetVictor
2.52
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.2%
@ 2.29+16.9%
Under 2.5
42.8%
@ 1.54-16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.36
Bet365
2.35
1xBet
2.31
Marathonbet
2.31
Superbet
2.27
Under
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.56
BetVictor
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Betano
1.53
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.8%
@ 4.19+13.0%
Under 3.5
65.2%
@ 1.17-13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.75
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Betano
3.70
Under
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Marathonbet
1.15
BetVictor
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.5%
@ 1.91+12.4%
No
39.5%
@ 1.76-12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
BetVictor
1.95
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.87
No
William Hil
1.80
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.76
BetVictor
1.75
Betano
1.75

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%@ 5.60+4.6%
2-1
9.2%@ 9.98+4.9%
1-2
7.4%@ 9.68+3.0%
1-0
7.3%@ 6.90+1.1%
2-0
7.0%@ 11.67+3.3%
0-0 ✓
6.2%@ 6.92+0.0%
2-2
6.1%@ 14.67+3.2%
0-1
5.6%@ 6.68-0.8%
Otrant-Olympic goals ↓
Petrovac goals →
01234
06.2%5.6%4.5%2.0%0.7%
17.3%12%7.4%3.3%1.1%
27.0%9.2%6.1%2.7%0.9%
33.8%5.1%3.4%1.5%0.5%
41.6%2.1%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Otrant-Olympic goals (down), columns = Petrovac goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dečić
2.60
Mornar
2.00
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Bokelj
1.33
Petrovac
1.20
Buducnost Podgorica
1.00
Jezero
1.00
Arsenal Tivat
0.80
Sutjeska
0.80
Mladost DG
0.80
Otrant-Olympic is 0.20 points better than Petrovac in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dečić
1.60
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Mornar
1.33
Sutjeska
1.20
Mladost DG
1.00
Petrovac
0.80
Buducnost Podgorica
0.40
Jezero
0.40
Bokelj
0.33
Arsenal Tivat
0.20
Otrant-Olympic is 0.60 goals better than Petrovac in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 0.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dečić
0.20
Arsenal Tivat
0.40
Petrovac
0.40
Bokelj
0.50
Mornar
0.67
Buducnost Podgorica
0.80
Jezero
1.00
Sutjeska
1.40
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Mladost DG
2.00
Otrant-Olympic is 1.00 goals worse than Petrovac in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 0.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W10W20W10W10W01L22D10W10WA·INT08/04H·RUD12/04A·BER18/04H·LOV26/04A·IGA02/05H·MLA10/05A·ISK16/05H·GRB20/05A·KOM24/05A·MLA02/08← Second LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.301.570.210.690.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.230.152.000.000.750.25
vs Weaker (17)1.000.411.330.330.620.50
Clean sheet %73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L01L01L01L00D00D00D10W01LA·BOK08/04A·JEZ12/04H·SUT18/04A·ARS26/04H·DEČ02/05A·MLA10/05H·JED16/05A·MOR20/05H·BUD24/05H·BOK01/08
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.400.530.470.270.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.400.400.530.470.270.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W10W01L10W00D21W20W10W02LA·INT08/04H·RUD12/04A·BER18/04H·LOV26/04A·IGA02/05H·MLA10/05A·ISK16/05H·GRB20/05A·KOM24/05A·MLA02/08← Second LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.631.290.710.810.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.080.621.400.800.880.50
vs Weaker (17)1.000.651.220.670.750.62
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrovac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrovacPetrovac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D12L10W01L10W11D01L00DA·BOK08/04A·JEZ12/04H·SUT18/04A·ARS26/04H·DEČ02/05A·MLA10/05H·JED16/05A·MOR20/05H·BUD24/05H·BOK01/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.670.600.330.871.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.730.670.600.330.871.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrovac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.9%1.41
BetVictor
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
+16.2%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
Otrant-Olympic's squad is €2m less valuable than Petrovac's (€2m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
MD (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic and Petrovac have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic and Petrovac have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
MD (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic and Petrovac have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
OTR wins
0
Draws
3
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Otrant-Olympic vs Petrovac · H/A from OTR
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25HOTR Vs Petrovac2-1
22/02/25APetrovac Vs OTR2-1
06/10/24HOTR Vs Petrovac0-1
11/08/24APetrovac Vs OTR3-2

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/26AMladost DG Vs OTR2-1
24/05/26AKom Vs OTR0-2
20/05/26HOTR Vs Grbalj4-2
16/05/26AIskra (Montenegro) Vs OTR2-2
10/05/26HOTR Vs Mladost Lješkopolje1-0
02/05/26AIgalo Vs OTR0-2
26/04/26HOTR Vs Lovćen2-1
18/04/26ABerane Vs OTR0-2
12/04/26HOTR Vs Rudar (Montenegro)4-0
08/04/26AInternacional Podgorica Vs OTR0-2

PetrovacPetrovac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26HPET Vs Bokelj0-1
24/05/26HPET Vs Buducnost Podgorica1-1
20/05/26AMornar Vs PET1-1
16/05/26HPET Vs Jedinstvo1-0
10/05/26AMladost DG Vs PET1-0
02/05/26HPET Vs Dečić1-1
26/04/26AArsenal Tivat Vs PET3-1
18/04/26HPET Vs Sutjeska0-1
12/04/26AJezero Vs PET1-1
08/04/26ABokelj Vs PET0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Otrant-Olympic
Otrant-Olympic
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWL1.78
HomeLWWWW2.04
AwayWWDWL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%64%44%
AVG goals3.283.602.96
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %62%64%60%
Over 3.5 %38%44%32%
Scored2.142.601.68
Conceded1.141.001.28
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Petrovac
Petrovac
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDL1.32
HomeLDWDL1.54
AwayWDLLD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%25%
AVG goals2.181.882.50
Over 1.5 %66%58%75%
Over 2.5 %34%23%46%
Over 3.5 %20%15%25%
Scored1.181.151.21
Conceded1.000.731.29
BTTS52%35%71%
Clean Sheet28%42%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DečićDečić513
80%
2.6
81+7
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.60.2
-
2MornarMornar612
50%
2.0
84+4
2.0
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.30.7
-
3BokeljBokelj68
33%
1.3
23-1
0.8
17%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.30.5
-
4Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic57
40%
1.4
77+0
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.4
-
5PetrovacPetrovac56
20%
1.2
42+2
1.2
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.80.4
-
6Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica55
20%
1.0
24-2
1.2
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.40.8
-
7JezeroJezero55
20%
1.0
25-3
1.4
40%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.41.0
-
8SutjeskaSutjeska54
20%
0.8
67-1
2.6
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.4
-
9Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat54
0%
0.8
12-1
0.6
20%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.20.4
-
10Mladost DGMladost DG54
20%
0.8
510-5
3.0
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.02.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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