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Otrant-Olympic vs Sutjeska Prediction & Stats

Date: 24/10/2026
Time: 15:00
Otrant-Olympic
Otrant-Olympic
Vs
26%
28%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sutjeska
Sutjeska
Montenegro: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win for Sutjeska, with a 42% chance against Otrant-Olympic’s 30% home-side win probability and a 29% draw probability. The expected total is 2.6 goals, centring on a 2-goal match; the most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 13.7% chance. Otrant-Olympic, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, averages 2.43 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Sutjeska, on the road, averages 1.89 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.9%), Under 5.5 (95.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.4%), Home under 2.5 goals (88.6%), Under 4.5 (87.9%) and Away +2 handicap (87.4%). Both sides finish recent form on a win, with Otrant-Olympic having edged Arsenal Tivat 2-1 and Sutjeska having beaten Mladost DG 5-1.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Otrant-Olympic win
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska win
46.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W10W22D42W20W12L00D41W03L21WA·IGA02/05H·MLA10/05A·ISK16/05H·GRB20/05A·KOM24/05A·MLA02/08H·PET09/08A·SUT15/08H·DEČ23/08A·ARS30/08← Second LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.002.291.001.811.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)2.190.942.431.002.000.89
vs Weaker (14)1.861.072.141.001.571.14
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SutjeskaSutjeska

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D30W10W13L12L01L01L14L00D51WA·ARS09/05H·DEČ16/05A·MLA20/05H·JED24/05H·ML 30/07H·BUD03/08A·BOK09/08H·OTR15/08A·JEZ22/08H·MLA28/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.101.811.061.501.14
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (19)1.891.261.901.001.891.56
vs Weaker (10)1.300.701.801.000.800.40
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.8%
Under 1.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.5%
Under 2.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.7%
Under 3.5
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.2%
No
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
Otrant-Olympic goals ↓
Sutjeska goals →
01234
08.5%9.9%8.5%4.3%1.6%
16.8%13%9.3%4.7%1.8%
24.4%6.6%5.1%2.6%1.0%
31.6%2.4%1.8%0.9%0.4%
40.4%0.7%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Otrant-Olympic goals (down), columns = Sutjeska goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dečić
2.60
Mornar
2.00
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Bokelj
1.33
Petrovac
1.20
Buducnost Podgorica
1.00
Jezero
1.00
Sutjeska
0.80
Arsenal Tivat
0.80
Mladost DG
0.80
Otrant-Olympic is 0.60 points better than Sutjeska in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 0.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dečić
1.60
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Mornar
1.33
Sutjeska
1.20
Mladost DG
1.00
Petrovac
0.80
Buducnost Podgorica
0.40
Jezero
0.40
Bokelj
0.33
Arsenal Tivat
0.20
Otrant-Olympic is 0.20 goals better than Sutjeska in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dečić
0.20
Arsenal Tivat
0.40
Petrovac
0.40
Bokelj
0.50
Mornar
0.67
Buducnost Podgorica
0.80
Jezero
1.00
Sutjeska
1.40
Otrant-Olympic
1.40
Mladost DG
2.00
Otrant-Olympic and Sutjeska are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Otrant-Olympic or Draw
54.0%
Avg Implied -
26%
28%
46%
covers Otrant-Olympic + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic or Sutjeska
72.0%
Avg Implied -
26%
28%
46%
covers Otrant-Olympic + Sutjeska
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sutjeska
74.0%
Avg Implied -
26%
28%
46%
covers Draw + Sutjeska
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 0.5
Over
66.4%
Under
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 1.5
Over
29.8%
Under
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 2.5
Over
9.8%
Under
90.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 3.5
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska over/under 0.5
Over
78.2%
Under
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska over/under 1.5
Over
45.0%
Under
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska over/under 2.5
Over
19.7%
Under
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska over/under 3.5
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Otrant-Olympic, so a minus line means Otrant-Olympic give that many goals of a start and Sutjeska receive them. At -1, Otrant-Olympic must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Otrant-Olympic win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Otrant-Olympic)
Otrant-Olympic -2
3.1%
Draw -2
7.3%
Sutjeska +2
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Otrant-Olympic)
Otrant-Olympic -1
10.4%
Draw -1
15.5%
Sutjeska +1
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Otrant-Olympic)
Otrant-Olympic +1
54.0%
Draw +1
22.2%
Sutjeska -1
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Otrant-Olympic)
Otrant-Olympic +2
76.1%
Draw +2
14.3%
Sutjeska -2
9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L22D10W10W00D21W00D11DA·IGA02/05H·MLA10/05A·ISK16/05H·GRB20/05A·KOM24/05A·MLA02/08H·PET09/08A·SUT15/08H·DEČ23/08A·ARS30/08← Second LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.331.290.210.880.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.190.251.430.001.000.44
vs Weaker (14)0.930.431.140.430.710.43
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SutjeskaSutjeska

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D03L01L00D01L12L00D20WA·ARS09/05H·DEČ16/05A·MLA20/05H·JED24/05H·ML 30/07H·BUD03/08A·BOK09/08H·OTR15/08A·JEZ22/08H·MLA28/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.440.560.570.57
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (19)0.580.630.500.500.670.78
vs Weaker (10)0.400.400.400.600.400.20
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D21W20W10W02L00D20W03L10WA·IGA02/05H·MLA10/05A·ISK16/05H·GRB20/05A·KOM24/05A·MLA02/08H·PET09/08A·SUT15/08H·DEČ23/08A·ARS30/08← Second LeagueFirst League →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.671.000.790.940.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.000.691.001.001.000.44
vs Weaker (14)0.930.641.000.570.860.71
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Sutjeska) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SutjeskaSutjeska

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W10W10W11D01L00D02L00D31WA·ARS09/05H·DEČ16/05A·MLA20/05H·JED24/05H·ML 30/07H·BUD03/08A·BOK09/08H·OTR15/08A·JEZ22/08H·MLA28/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.531.380.500.930.57
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (19)1.320.631.400.501.220.78
vs Weaker (10)0.900.301.400.400.400.20
Clean sheet %57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sutjeska over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.4%-------
Under 6.598.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals97.5%-------
Under 5.595.0%-------
Away under 3.5 goals93.1%-------
Home under 2.5 goals90.2%-------
Away +2 handicap89.6%-------
Under 4.587.5%-------
Away under 2.5 goals80.3%-------
Away over 0.5 goals78.2%-------
Home +2 handicap76.1%-------
Over 1.574.8%-------
Draw or Away74.0%-------
Away +1 handicap74.0%-------
Under 3.573.3%-------
Home or Away72.0%-------
Home under 1.5 goals70.2%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (23)
€5m
MOR (23)
€4m
PET (18)
€4m
DEČ (19)
€4m
BP (21)
€3m
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
AT (14)
€1m
JEZ (17)
€1m
Otrant-Olympic's squad is €4m less valuable than Sutjeska's (€2m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BP (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
MD (8)
€1m
AT (5)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
JEZ (8)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic's attack is €2m less valuable than Sutjeska's (€1m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (5)
€1m
BP (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€1m
SUT (5)
€1m
DEČ (3)
€1m
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
AT (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
JEZ (2)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic and Sutjeska have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MOR (11)
€2m
SUT (9)
€2m
DEČ (8)
€2m
BP (10)
€2m
PET (8)
€2m
MD (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
JEZ (7)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
AT (5)
€0m
Otrant-Olympic's defence is €1m less valuable than Sutjeska's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
OTR wins
1
Draws
3
SUT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Otrant-Olympic vs Sutjeska · H/A from OTR
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26ASutjeska Vs OTR1-4
14/05/25ASutjeska Vs OTR2-0
16/03/25HOTR Vs Sutjeska0-2
10/11/24ASutjeska Vs OTR0-0
14/09/24HOTR Vs Sutjeska1-3

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AArsenal Tivat Vs OTR1-2
23/08/26HOTR Vs Dečić0-3
15/08/26ASutjeska Vs OTR1-4
09/08/26HOTR Vs Petrovac0-0
02/08/26AMladost DG Vs OTR2-1
24/05/26AKom Vs OTR0-2
20/05/26HOTR Vs Grbalj4-2
16/05/26AIskra (Montenegro) Vs OTR2-2
10/05/26HOTR Vs Mladost Lješkopolje1-0
02/05/26AIgalo Vs OTR0-2

SutjeskaSutjeska

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HSUT Vs Mladost DG5-1
22/08/26AJezero Vs SUT0-0
15/08/26HSUT Vs Otrant-Olympic1-4
09/08/26ABokelj Vs SUT1-0
03/08/26HSUT Vs Buducnost Podgorica0-1
30/07/26HSUT Vs ML Vitebsk1-2
24/05/26HSUT Vs Jedinstvo1-3
20/05/26AMladost DG Vs SUT0-1
16/05/26HSUT Vs Dečić3-0
09/05/26AArsenal Tivat Vs SUT1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Otrant-Olympic
Otrant-Olympic
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLW1.92
HomeWWWDL2.08
AwayDWLWW1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%64%52%
AVG goals3.263.602.92
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %64%68%60%
Over 3.5 %38%44%32%
Scored2.222.601.84
Conceded1.041.001.08
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Sutjeska
Sutjeska
Montenegro: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW1.72
HomeLLLLW1.85
AwayWDWLD1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%58%46%
AVG goals2.803.082.50
Over 1.5 %74%85%62%
Over 2.5 %48%58%38%
Over 3.5 %26%31%21%
Scored1.621.921.29
Conceded1.181.151.21
BTTS52%58%46%
Clean Sheet36%31%42%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DečićDečić513
80%
2.6
81+7
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.60.2
-
2MornarMornar612
50%
2.0
84+4
2.0
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.30.7
-
3BokeljBokelj68
33%
1.3
23-1
0.8
17%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.30.5
-
4Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic57
40%
1.4
77+0
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.4
-
5PetrovacPetrovac56
20%
1.2
42+2
1.2
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.80.4
-
6Buducnost PodgoricaBuducnost Podgorica55
20%
1.0
24-2
1.2
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.40.8
-
7JezeroJezero55
20%
1.0
25-3
1.4
40%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.41.0
-
8SutjeskaSutjeska54
20%
0.8
67-1
2.6
40%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.4
-
9Arsenal TivatArsenal Tivat54
0%
0.8
12-1
0.6
20%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.20.4
-
10Mladost DGMladost DG54
20%
0.8
510-5
3.0
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.02.0
-
Montenegro: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: First League stats & trends →

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