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Otrant-Olympic vs Zeta Result & Analysis

Date: 25/05/2023
Time: 15:30
Final 3-3
Otrant-Olympic
Otrant-Olympic
Vs
41%
33%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zeta
Zeta
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Otrant-Olympic win✗ Miss
40.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
33.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zeta win✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W11D30W00D31W01L10W00D00DH·IGA29/03H·GRB08/04A·ZET12/04A·MLA16/04H·KOM22/04A·BOK26/04A·MLA30/04H·BER06/05A·IGA10/05A·GRB21/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.201.140.930.751.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.841.581.001.250.731.82
vs Weaker (11)1.090.551.330.500.800.60
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZetaZeta

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L11D01L11D03L10W12L11D01LH·MLA01/04A·KOM08/04H·OTR12/04H·MLA16/04A·BER22/04H·IGA26/04H·GRB06/05H·BOK10/05A·MLA14/05H·KOM21/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.230.941.311.001.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.111.371.001.551.251.12
vs Weaker (11)0.731.000.800.800.671.17
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%025%128%218%39%43%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.2%
Under 1.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
31.8%
Under 2.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
13.9%
Under 3.5
86.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.0%
No
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.1%
1-1
14.6%
1-0
14.3%
0-1
10.4%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.9%
Otrant-Olympic goals ↓
Zeta goals →
01234
015%10%4.9%1.4%0.3%
114%15%5.6%1.6%0.3%
28.9%7.5%3.2%0.9%0.2%
33.4%2.8%1.2%0.3%0.1%
41.0%0.8%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Otrant-Olympic goals (down), columns = Zeta goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Mladost DG
1.74
Berane
1.62
Kom
1.56
Bokelj
1.50
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.41
Igalo
1.29
Grbalj
1.18
Otrant-Olympic
1.12
Zeta
1.09
Nikšić
0.89
Otrant-Olympic is 0.03 points better than Zeta in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.09).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Mladost DG
1.26
Kom
1.24
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.18
Igalo
1.09
Bokelj
1.03
Berane
1.03
Zeta
0.97
Otrant-Olympic
0.94
Nikšić
0.84
Grbalj
0.82
Otrant-Olympic is 0.03 goals worse than Zeta in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Berane
0.74
Bokelj
0.82
Grbalj
0.94
Igalo
1.03
Mladost DG
1.03
Kom
1.03
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.03
Otrant-Olympic
1.24
Zeta
1.26
Nikšić
1.63
Otrant-Olympic is 0.03 goals better than Zeta in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.26).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W01L10W00D01L00D00D00D00DH·IGA29/03H·GRB08/04A·ZET12/04A·MLA16/04H·KOM22/04A·BOK26/04A·MLA30/04H·BER06/05A·IGA10/05A·GRB21/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.600.710.430.190.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.330.830.620.620.101.00
vs Weaker (12)0.580.250.830.170.330.33
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZetaZeta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L10W01L11D02L00D01L10W00DH·MLA01/04A·KOM08/04H·OTR12/04H·MLA16/04A·BER22/04H·IGA26/04H·GRB06/05H·BOK10/05A·MLA14/05H·KOM21/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.570.380.620.570.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.630.580.550.730.750.38
vs Weaker (11)0.180.550.000.400.330.67
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W20W00D30W01L10W00D00DH·IGA29/03H·GRB08/04A·ZET12/04A·MLA16/04H·KOM22/04A·BOK26/04A·MLA30/04H·BER06/05A·IGA10/05A·GRB21/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.600.500.500.500.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.560.780.500.620.600.90
vs Weaker (12)0.420.330.500.330.330.33
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZetaZeta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L01L00D00D01L10W11D01L01LH·MLA01/04A·KOM08/04H·OTR12/04H·MLA16/04A·BER22/04H·IGA26/04H·GRB06/05H·BOK10/05A·MLA14/05H·KOM21/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.670.560.690.430.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.470.790.450.820.500.75
vs Weaker (11)0.550.450.800.400.330.50
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Otrant-Olympic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Otrant-Olympic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.586.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
GRB (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (8)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
OTR wins
1
Draws
1
ZET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Otrant-Olympic vs Zeta · H/A from OTR
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/23AZeta Vs OTR1-1
27/11/22HOTR Vs Zeta2-1
02/10/22AZeta Vs OTR2-0

Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/05/23AGrbalj Vs OTR0-0
10/05/23AIgalo Vs OTR0-0
06/05/23HOTR Vs Berane1-0
30/04/23AMladost DG Vs OTR1-0
26/04/23ABokelj Vs OTR1-3
22/04/23HOTR Vs Kom0-0
16/04/23AMladost Lješkopolje Vs OTR0-3
12/04/23AZeta Vs OTR1-1
08/04/23HOTR Vs Grbalj3-0
29/03/23HOTR Vs Igalo2-0

ZetaZeta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/05/23HZET Vs Kom0-1
14/05/23AMladost Lješkopolje Vs ZET1-1
10/05/23HZET Vs Bokelj1-2
06/05/23HZET Vs Grbalj1-0
26/04/23HZET Vs Igalo0-3
22/04/23ABerane Vs ZET1-1
16/04/23HZET Vs Mladost DG0-1
12/04/23HZET Vs Otrant-Olympic1-1
08/04/23AKom Vs ZET2-0
01/04/23HZET Vs Mladost Lješkopolje1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Otrant-Olympic
Otrant-Olympic
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDD1.12
HomeLWWDW1.25
AwayWWLDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%31%24%
AVG goals2.062.002.12
Over 1.5 %67%69%65%
Over 2.5 %39%44%35%
Over 3.5 %12%6%18%
Scored0.881.060.71
Conceded1.180.941.41
BTTS36%44%29%
Clean Sheet33%44%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Zeta
Zeta
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.09
HomeLLWLL1.24
AwayLWLDD0.94
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%35%25%
AVG goals2.122.122.12
Over 1.5 %64%59%69%
Over 2.5 %36%35%38%
Over 3.5 %12%18%6%
Scored0.910.880.94
Conceded1.211.241.19
BTTS42%35%50%
Clean Sheet24%35%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Mladost DGMladost DG3459
50%
1.7
4335+8
2.3
56%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.0
-
2BeraneBerane3455
47%
1.6
3525+10
1.8
47%
21%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.7
-
3KomKom3453
44%
1.6
4235+7
2.3
62%
44%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
4BokeljBokelj3451
38%
1.5
3528+7
1.9
56%
38%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.00.8
-
5Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3448
35%
1.4
4035+5
2.2
62%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6IgaloIgalo3545
31%
1.3
3836+2
2.1
69%
40%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
7GrbaljGrbalj3440
29%
1.2
2832-4
1.8
47%
26%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
8Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3438
26%
1.1
3242-10
2.2
68%
41%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.2
-
9ZetaZeta3437
29%
1.1
3343-10
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
10NikšićNikšić1917
21%
0.9
1631-15
2.5
79%
42%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
Montenegro: Second League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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