This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.20
1.29
0.88
0.62
1.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.13
1.60
1.38
1.12
0.86
2.14
vs Weaker (15)
0.87
0.80
1.22
0.67
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.9%
Under 1.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.3%
Under 2.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.2%
Under 3.5
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
37.0%
No
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.5%
2-0
14.6%
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-1 ✓
8.6%
3-0
8.1%
0-1
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
Oviedo goals ↓
Almeria goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
5.1%
1.8%
0.3%
0.1%
1
16%
11%
3.0%
0.6%
0.1%
2
15%
8.6%
2.5%
0.5%
0.1%
3
8.1%
4.8%
1.4%
0.3%
0.0%
4
3.4%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Oviedo goals (down), columns = Almeria goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Rayo Vallecano
1.81
Huesca
1.79
Sporting Gijon
1.69
Zaragoza
1.69
Valladolid
1.60
Numancia
1.55
Oviedo
1.55
Cadiz
1.52
Osasuna
1.52
Granada CF
1.45
Tenerife
1.40
Lugo
1.31
Reus Deportiu
1.24
Alcorcon
1.24
Gimnastic
1.24
Cordoba
1.21
Albacete
1.17
Almeria
1.14
Cultural Leonesa
1.14
Barcelona B
1.05
Mallorca
0.79
Sevilla B
0.76
Oviedo is 0.40 points better than Almeria in terms of average points per game (1.55 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.64
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Huesca
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Tenerife
1.38
Cordoba
1.36
Zaragoza
1.36
Granada CF
1.31
Oviedo
1.29
Cultural Leonesa
1.29
Numancia
1.24
Barcelona B
1.10
Gimnastic
1.05
Osasuna
1.05
Cadiz
1.00
Lugo
0.93
Almeria
0.90
Alcorcon
0.88
Mallorca
0.88
Albacete
0.83
Reus Deportiu
0.74
Sevilla B
0.69
Oviedo is 0.38 goals better than Almeria in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 0.90).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cadiz
0.69
Osasuna
0.81
Sporting Gijon
0.95
Huesca
0.95
Numancia
0.98
Reus Deportiu
1.00
Alcorcon
1.00
Zaragoza
1.05
Almeria
1.07
Albacete
1.10
Rayo Vallecano
1.14
Lugo
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Tenerife
1.19
Granada CF
1.19
Gimnastic
1.19
Barcelona B
1.29
Valladolid
1.31
Sevilla B
1.43
Cordoba
1.55
Cultural Leonesa
1.60
Mallorca
1.62
Oviedo is 0.07 goals worse than Almeria in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.07).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Oviedo
For 5.2 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.5 · Against 14.3 · Total 30.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Almeria
For 4.4 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 15.3 · Total 29.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oviedo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.1
10.0
2.4
2.1
2.7
31.1
30.2
31.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
9.3
8.0
10.3
2.7
2.2
3.2
32.2
30.0
33.9
vs Weaker (23)
8.9
8.2
9.6
2.0
1.9
2.1
29.8
30.4
29.2
% over line
41%
30%
50%
34%
29%
38%
95%
100%
92%
% under line
59%
70%
50%
66%
71%
62%
5%
0%
8%
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.8
10.2
2.3
2.2
2.5
30.0
27.8
32.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
11.9
13.5
9.5
1.9
2.3
1.4
29.6
28.3
31.5
vs Weaker (23)
10.3
10.0
10.7
2.9
2.2
3.7
30.2
27.2
33.3
% over line
59%
75%
40%
32%
38%
25%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
41%
25%
60%
68%
62%
75%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Valladolid
11.3
Almeria
11.0
Huesca
10.9
Rayo Vallecano
10.8
Zaragoza
10.7
Numancia
10.7
Lugo
10.5
Sporting Gijon
10.1
Cadiz
10.0
Granada CF
10.0
Mallorca
9.8
Barcelona B
9.8
Alcorcon
9.7
Tenerife
9.7
Cultural Leonesa
9.7
Gimnastic
9.4
Cordoba
9.3
Oviedo
9.1
Sevilla B
9.0
Reus Deportiu
9.0
Albacete
8.8
Osasuna
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sevilla B
6.4
Tenerife
5.7
Lugo
5.6
Gimnastic
5.6
Osasuna
5.6
Oviedo
5.5
Valladolid
5.5
Rayo Vallecano
5.4
Numancia
5.4
Huesca
5.4
Almeria
5.3
Zaragoza
5.3
Granada CF
5.3
Albacete
5.2
Cadiz
5.2
Mallorca
5.2
Alcorcon
5.0
Barcelona B
4.8
Sporting Gijon
4.7
Cultural Leonesa
4.6
Cordoba
4.3
Reus Deportiu
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Albacete
33.6
Lugo
33.0
Alcorcon
32.3
Tenerife
31.9
Valladolid
31.5
Mallorca
31.4
Oviedo
31.1
Gimnastic
30.5
Cordoba
30.5
Zaragoza
30.0
Almeria
30.0
Reus Deportiu
29.9
Cultural Leonesa
29.3
Sporting Gijon
29.1
Cadiz
29.0
Sevilla B
28.9
Huesca
28.8
Granada CF
28.2
Rayo Vallecano
28.1
Numancia
27.9
Osasuna
27.7
Barcelona B
27.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.9%
Under 9.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.6%
Under 3.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.3%
Under 21.5
4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Oviedo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.57
0.71
0.43
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.53
0.83
0.67
0.33
0.44
vs Weaker (15)
0.53
0.60
0.62
0.25
0.43
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.47
0.53
0.35
0.23
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.60
0.50
0.38
0.29
0.86
vs Weaker (15)
0.40
0.33
0.56
0.33
0.17
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Oviedo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.57
0.93
0.36
0.81
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.78
0.89
vs Weaker (15)
1.13
0.47
1.38
0.38
0.86
0.57
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Almeria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Almeria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.76
0.53
0.38
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.73
1.00
0.88
0.75
0.57
1.29
vs Weaker (15)
0.47
0.47
0.67
0.33
0.17
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Almeria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Oviedo · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pablo Sáenz33%
Alexandru Ișfan0%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexandru Ișfan67%
Youness Lachhab67%
Samu Rodríguez33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexandru Ișfan33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexandru Ișfan33%
Jacobo González33%
Víctor Mingo33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Almeria · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Federico Bonini33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrián Embarba33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Miguel de la Fuente0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Nicolás Melamed33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Stefan Džodić0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Miguel de la Fuente33%
Stefan Džodić33%
Andrés Fernández0%
Léo Baptistão0%
Federico Bonini0%
Álex Muñoz0%
Mikel Vesga0%
Adrián Embarba0%
Jorge Pulido0%
Nicolás Melamed0%
Brian Cipenga0%
Daijiro Chirino0%
Marcos Luna0%
Quim Junyent0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
ALB (27)
€18m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
CL (20)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Oviedo's squad is €24m less valuable than Almeria's (€30m vs €54m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALM (11)
€38m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
GC (5)
€6m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
CL (8)
€3m
HUE (9)
€2m
Oviedo's attack is €24m less valuable than Almeria's (€15m vs €38m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OSA (4)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
CL (4)
€1m
Oviedo's midfield is €1m more valuable than Almeria's (€6m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
MAL (10)
€16m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
COR (12)
€7m
ALB (10)
€5m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€2m
HUE (8)
€2m
Oviedo's defence is €1m less valuable than Almeria's (€10m vs €11m).
Spain: Segunda División 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Rayo Vallecano
Huesca
Sporting Gijon
Zaragoza
Valladolid
Numancia
Cadiz
Osasuna
Granada CF
Tenerife
Lugo
Alcorcon
Gimnastic
Cordoba
Albacete
Cultural Leonesa
Mallorca