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Oviedo vs Burgos Prediction & Stats

Date: 06/09/2026
Time: 14:15
Oviedo
Oviedo
Vs
32%
42%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Burgos
Burgos
Spain: Segunda División
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Oviedo enter the match after a win, while Burgos come off a defeat, a contrast that hints at a tight contest. The model favours a draw, assigning 42% to that outcome, with home win 32% and away win 27%. The expected total goals is 1.3, and the single most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 27.5%. Oviedo’s home form shows they average 0.36 goals scored and conceded against similar opposition, whereas Burgos, on the road, average 0.79 goals scored and 0.93 conceded against similar teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5, Under 6.5, and Under 5.5 with probabilities of 100%, 100%, and 99.7% respectively, the latter offering a 5% edge. Other picks are Away under 3.5 goals at 99.6%, Home under 3.5 goals at 99.4% with a 9% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Under 4.5 at 98.8% with an 8% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1% with a 3% edge. These figures suggest a low-scoring draw is most likely, with both sides unlikely to exceed two goals.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oviedo win
32.3%
Avg Implied 48.1% · @ 1.93
Edge
-15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.99
Betano
1.98
Unibet
1.96
SBO
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Draw
41.6%
Avg Implied 29.7% · @ 3.12
Edge
+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.33
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.24
Pinnacle
3.22
Betano
3.20
Burgos win
26.1%
Avg Implied 22.3% · @ 4.16
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.54
1xBet
4.46
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Betano
4.30

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OviedoOviedo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L03L00D02L01L03L00D01L10WH·VIL23/04H·ELC26/04A·REA03/05H·GET10/05A·REA14/05H·ALA17/05A·MAL23/05H·GRA15/08H·LEG22/08A·ALB29/08← La LigaSegunda División →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.400.470.600.872.20
vs Stronger (10)0.601.900.751.250.502.33
vs Similar (20)0.701.150.360.361.112.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Burgos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurgosBurgos

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L11D00D00D10W20W10W32W01L22DA·CAS18/04H·DEP25/04A·REA03/05H·ALM09/05A·GRA16/05A·CUL24/05H·FC 31/05H·COR16/08A·SPO23/08H·REA31/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.831.500.750.790.93
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (29)1.210.791.600.670.790.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

8%16%25%33%27%033%125%210%34%41%50%6+
The model estimates around 1.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (33%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.8%
@ 1.49-23.2%
Under 1.5
60.2%
@ 2.54+23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.52
BetVictor
1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Under
Betano
2.70
Marathonbet
2.62
1xBet
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.54
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.2%
@ 2.50-22.4%
Under 2.5
84.8%
@ 1.50+22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.63
Bet365
2.60
Betfair
2.55
Unibet
2.55
1xBet
2.48
Under
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.57
10Bet
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
4.7%
@ 4.90-14.3%
Under 3.5
95.3%
@ 1.15+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.25
Unibet
5.20
Pinnacle
5.20
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
BetVictor
1.13
Both teams to score
Yes
24.8%
@ 2.14-18.4%
No
75.2%
@ 1.63+18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.25
Unibet
2.16
William Hil
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
1xBet
2.13
No
Betano
1.70
William Hil
1.65
10Bet
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.62

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
27.4%@ 6.59+20.8%
1-0
17.7%@ 5.09+9.2%
0-1
15.1%@ 8.14+9.7%
1-1
12.8%@ 5.75+5.3%
2-0
6.8%@ 7.44+1.0%
0-2
5.0%@ 18.27+2.7%
2-1
4.2%@ 8.30-1.0%
1-2
3.6%@ 13.02+0.3%
Oviedo goals ↓
Burgos goals →
01234
027%15%5.0%1.0%0.2%
118%13%3.6%0.7%0.1%
26.8%4.2%1.3%0.3%0.0%
31.6%1.0%0.3%0.1%0.0%
40.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Oviedo goals (down), columns = Burgos goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Girona
1.96
Almeria
1.72
Burgos
1.71
Mallorca
1.70
Las Palmas
1.68
Castellón
1.66
Eibar
1.60
Oviedo
1.58
Cordoba
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.45
AD Ceuta FC
1.45
Albacete
1.40
FC Andorra
1.38
Tenerife
1.34
Sabadell
1.16
Granada CF
1.14
Celta de Vigo II
1.14
Eldense
1.13
Real Sociedad II
1.12
Valladolid
1.10
Leganes
1.10
Cadiz
1.02
Oviedo is 0.14 points worse than Burgos in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Girona
1.87
Almeria
1.87
Castellón
1.66
Mallorca
1.62
Oviedo
1.51
FC Andorra
1.48
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Cordoba
1.36
Albacete
1.33
Las Palmas
1.32
Tenerife
1.28
Eibar
1.24
Real Sociedad II
1.24
AD Ceuta FC
1.21
Granada CF
1.19
Burgos
1.14
Sabadell
1.10
Celta de Vigo II
1.09
Eldense
1.08
Valladolid
1.05
Leganes
1.02
Cadiz
0.98
Oviedo is 0.37 goals better than Burgos in terms of goals scored per game (1.51 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burgos
0.79
Girona
0.92
Eibar
0.95
Las Palmas
0.95
Mallorca
1.06
Oviedo
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Castellón
1.25
FC Andorra
1.29
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Albacete
1.31
Granada CF
1.33
Tenerife
1.35
Valladolid
1.36
Cordoba
1.45
Cadiz
1.45
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Almeria
1.48
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Sabadell
1.56
Celta de Vigo II
1.58
Eldense
1.59
Oviedo is 0.35 goals worse than Burgos in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 0.79).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Andorra
61%
Cordoba
58%
Las Palmas
56%
Castellón
55%
Almeria
52%
Leganes
51%
AD Ceuta FC
51%
Granada CF
50%
Valladolid
50%
Eibar
49%
Burgos
46%
Cadiz
46%
Sporting Gijon
46%
Real Sociedad II
44%
Albacete
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

OviedoOviedo

For 5.0 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

130589232555254194561713115107910977A·ALBH·LEGH·GRAA·MALH·ALAA·REAH·GETA·REAH·ELCH·VIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

90333123123143211121546453473239A·ALBH·LEGH·GRAA·MALH·ALAH·GETH·ELCH·VILA·CELH·SEV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 11.5 · Total 24.0

⚠️ Fouls

35014101671713810131814791649211491124233018312125133520A·ALBH·LEGH·GRAA·MALH·ALAA·REAH·GETA·REAH·ELCH·VIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BurgosBurgos

For 3.7 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

14054441722953104227317988498144108H·REAA·SPOH·CORH·FC A·CULA·GRAH·ALMA·REAH·DEPA·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.3

🟨 Cards

7012213223425242443253244776677H·REAA·SPOH·CORH·FC A·CULA·GRAH·ALMA·REAH·DEPA·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 15.0 · Total 27.1

⚠️ Fouls

330131812151411712161314177910231315151731272519293116332832H·REAA·SPOH·CORH·FC A·CULA·GRAH·ALMA·REAH·DEPA·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

OviedoOviedo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.39.34.13.94.325.123.826.3
vs Stronger (14)9.99.410.42.53.11.920.620.720.4
vs Similar (36)9.19.28.94.84.25.326.825.028.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line48%48%48%62%64%60%68%64%72%
% under line52%52%52%38%36%40%32%36%28%
This opponent (Burgos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurgosBurgos

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.58.48.65.35.55.126.626.326.9
vs Stronger (1)9.09.0-4.04.0-18.018.0-
vs Similar (48)8.58.48.65.55.65.326.826.626.9
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line31%28%35%78%84%72%82%80%83%
% under line69%72%65%22%16%28%18%20%17%
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Albacete
10.8
Cordoba
10.6
Mallorca
10.1
Castellón
10.0
Sporting Gijon
9.7
Cadiz
9.5
Almeria
9.5
Leganes
9.5
Real Sociedad II
9.4
Eibar
9.3
Eldense
9.3
Oviedo
9.3
Girona
9.2
Granada CF
9.2
Tenerife
9.1
Valladolid
9.1
FC Andorra
8.9
AD Ceuta FC
8.8
Sabadell
8.7
Burgos
8.5
Las Palmas
8.1
Celta de Vigo II
7.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Castellón
6.0
Real Sociedad II
5.9
Valladolid
5.7
Celta de Vigo II
5.7
Cordoba
5.6
Burgos
5.6
Almeria
5.6
Granada CF
5.5
FC Andorra
5.4
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Eibar
5.2
AD Ceuta FC
5.2
Cadiz
5.1
Leganes
5.0
Tenerife
4.8
Sabadell
4.7
Las Palmas
4.6
Albacete
4.5
Girona
4.5
Eldense
4.4
Mallorca
4.4
Oviedo
4.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Cordoba
29.9
Real Sociedad II
28.8
Valladolid
28.6
Celta de Vigo II
28.3
Castellón
28.1
AD Ceuta FC
27.6
Las Palmas
27.6
FC Andorra
27.6
Sabadell
27.6
Granada CF
27.4
Tenerife
27.1
Almeria
26.6
Burgos
26.5
Leganes
26.0
Cadiz
25.6
Eibar
25.5
Girona
25.4
Oviedo
25.1
Eldense
24.4
Mallorca
24.3
Sporting Gijon
22.6
Albacete
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
37.7%
@ 2.14-5.4%
Under 9.5
62.3%
@ 1.62+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
Pinnacle
2.16
Unibet
1.98
Under
Unibet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
75.5%
Under 3.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
82.4%
Under 21.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Oviedo or Draw
73.9%
Avg Implied 77.6% · @ 1.20
Edge
-3.8%
32%
42%
26%
covers Oviedo + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Oviedo or Burgos
58.4%
Avg Implied 71.0% · @ 1.31
Edge
-12.6%
32%
42%
26%
covers Oviedo + Burgos
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Draw or Burgos
67.7%
Avg Implied 51.4% · @ 1.82
Edge
+16.4%
32%
42%
26%
covers Draw + Burgos
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.89
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
SBO
1.84
Bet365
1.83

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Oviedo over/under 0.5
Over
51.3%
@ 1.26-22.0%
Under
48.7%
@ 3.47+22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Under
Marathonbet
3.64
Pinnacle
3.60
BetVictor
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Oviedo over/under 1.5
Over
16.3%
@ 2.35-23.4%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.54+23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.43
Unibet
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Betfair
2.38
BetVictor
2.38
Under
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Oviedo over/under 2.5
Over
3.7%
@ 5.28-14.0%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.13+14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.30
Under
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Oviedo over/under 3.5
Over
0.6%
@ 12.12-7.2%
Under
99.4%
@ 1.03+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Burgos over/under 0.5
Over
46.2%
@ 1.67-9.3%
Under
53.8%
@ 2.08+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.72
BetVictor
1.70
Betano
1.65
Under
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.15
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Pinnacle
2.07
Burgos over/under 1.5
Over
12.8%
@ 4.26-8.9%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.18+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
1xBet
4.30
10Bet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Burgos over/under 2.5
Over
2.5%
@ 11.74-5.6%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.03+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Marathonbet
11.25
1xBet
11.20
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Burgos over/under 3.5
Over
0.4%
@ 51.00-99.6%
Under
99.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Oviedo, so a minus line means Oviedo give that many goals of a start and Burgos receive them. At -1, Oviedo must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Oviedo win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Oviedo)
Oviedo -2
2.2%
@ 8.88-7.9%
Draw -2
7.8%
@ 5.63-8.1%
Burgos +2
90.0%
@ 1.21+16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
9.00
10Bet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.40
Draw
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Unibet
5.40
Away
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Unibet
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Handicap -1 (Oviedo)
Oviedo -1
10.0%
@ 3.77-13.7%
Draw -1
22.2%
@ 3.39-4.2%
Burgos +1
67.7%
@ 1.80+17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.58
Draw
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Unibet
3.25
Away
Marathonbet
1.86
Bet365
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Unibet
1.74
Betfair
1.73
Handicap +1 (Oviedo)
Oviedo +1
73.9%
@ 1.21+0.9%
Draw +1
19.0%
@ 4.92+1.1%
Burgos -1
7.2%
@ 9.69-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Draw
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Marathonbet
3.94
Away
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
6.45
Handicap +2 (Oviedo)
Oviedo +2
92.8%
@ 1.03+2.0%
Draw +2
5.8%
@ 14.00-0.9%
Burgos -2
1.4%
@ 37.50-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
13.00
Away
Betfair
41.00
Bet365
34.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OviedoOviedo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L02L00D01L01L01L00D01L10WH·VIL23/04H·ELC26/04A·REA03/05H·GET10/05A·REA14/05H·ALA17/05A·MAL23/05H·GRA15/08H·LEG22/08A·ALB29/08← La LigaSegunda División →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.630.200.330.470.93
vs Stronger (10)0.100.700.250.250.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.450.600.180.360.780.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Burgos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurgosBurgos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D00D00D00D20W10W22D01L11DA·CAS18/04H·DEP25/04A·REA03/05H·ALM09/05A·GRA16/05A·CUL24/05H·FC 31/05H·COR16/08A·SPO23/08H·REA31/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.750.500.430.57
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (29)0.620.520.800.470.430.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
64.7%
@ 1.53+3.8%
Under 0.5
35.3%
@ 2.38-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.55
BetVictor
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Unibet
1.52
Under
Betfair
2.50
William Hil
2.45
10Bet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.40
1xBet
2.39
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
26.0%
@ 3.52-0.4%
Under 1.5
74.0%
@ 1.27+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.70
Betano
3.55
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.48
Under
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
8.0%
@ 10.04-1.3%
Under 2.5
92.0%
@ 1.04+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
11.00
Bet365
11.00
BetVictor
10.50
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
9.50
Under
Betano
1.06
William Hil
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
BetVictor
1.02

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 HT
Over
43.0%
@ 2.04-2.4%
Under
57.0%
@ 1.70+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.06
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Unibet
1.66
Oviedo over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.3%
@ 6.47-5.1%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.08+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
10Bet
6.25
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Oviedo over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.9%
@ 17.50-3.6%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Burgos over/under 0.5 HT
Over
33.1%
@ 2.94+1.6%
Under
66.9%
@ 1.35-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.31
Marathonbet
2.98
Betano
2.90
Unibet
2.85
10Bet
2.80
Under
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.36
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Burgos over/under 1.5 HT
Over
5.8%
@ 10.17-3.4%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.03+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.25
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Burgos over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OviedoOviedo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L00D01L00D02L00D00D00DH·VIL23/04H·ELC26/04A·REA03/05H·GET10/05A·REA14/05H·ALA17/05A·MAL23/05H·GRA15/08H·LEG22/08A·ALB29/08← La LigaSegunda División →
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.770.270.270.401.27
vs Stronger (10)0.501.200.501.000.501.33
vs Similar (20)0.250.550.180.000.331.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Burgos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurgosBurgos

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D00D10W00D00D10W00D11DA·CAS18/04H·DEP25/04A·REA03/05H·ALM09/05A·GRA16/05A·CUL24/05H·FC 31/05H·COR16/08A·SPO23/08H·REA31/08
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.300.750.250.360.36
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (29)0.590.280.800.200.360.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.6%
@ 1.35+4.5%
Under 0.5
26.4%
@ 3.01-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
Under
Betano
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Unibet
2.85
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.8%
@ 2.62+1.4%
Under 1.5
63.2%
@ 1.43-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.75
William Hil
2.70
Unibet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.57
1xBet
2.57
Under
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Unibet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.7%
@ 6.40-0.8%
Under 2.5
86.3%
@ 1.09+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
7.00
Marathonbet
6.25
1xBet
6.25
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.1%
@ 1.71-4.2%
Under
49.9%
@ 2.02+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Under
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
10Bet
2.00
Oviedo over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.4%
@ 4.54-5.0%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.16+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Oviedo over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.8%
@ 11.38-5.5%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Burgos over/under 0.5 2H
Over
42.6%
@ 2.42+4.3%
Under
57.4%
@ 1.50-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.46
1xBet
2.46
10Bet
2.40
Betano
2.35
Under
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Burgos over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.3%
@ 8.93-0.1%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.03+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.00
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Burgos over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.5100.0%-------
Under 6.5100.0%-------
Under 5.599.7%1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
--+4.7%
Away under 3.5 goals99.6%-------
Home under 3.5 goals99.4%1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
---+7.2%
Under 4.598.8%1.03
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Bet365
1.04
BetVictor
1.02
1xBet
1.01
+8.1%
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.6%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.1%1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
---+3.6%
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.8%-------
Away under 2.5 goals97.5%1.03
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.02
--+5.6%
Home under 2.5 2H goals97.2%1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
---+5.5%
Home under 2.5 goals96.3%1.13
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
+14.0%
Under 3.595.3%1.15
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
BetVictor
1.13
+14.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals94.2%1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
---+3.4%
Home +2 handicap92.8%1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
---+2.0%
Under 2.5 HT goals92.0%1.04
Betano
1.06
William Hil
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
BetVictor
1.02
+1.3%
Over 19.5 fouls91.2%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals90.7%1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
-+5.1%
Away +2 handicap90.0%1.21
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Unibet
1.20
Betfair
1.17
+16.0%
Away under 1.5 2H goals89.7%1.03
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-+0.1%
Over 2.5 cards88.7%-------
Away under 1.5 goals87.2%1.18
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
+8.9%
Under 2.5 2H goals86.3%1.09
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
+0.8%
Home under 1.5 2H goals84.6%1.16
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-+5.0%
Under 11.5 corners82.8%1.20
Unibet
1.27
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
--+6.6%
Over 21.5 fouls82.4%-------
Over 3.5 cards75.5%-------
BTTS No75.2%1.63
Betano
1.70
William Hil
1.65
10Bet
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.62
+18.4%
Under 1.5 HT goals74.0%1.27
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
+0.4%
Home or Draw73.9%1.20
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.20
-3.8%
Home +1 handicap73.9%1.21
Unibet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
+0.9%
Under 10.5 corners73.7%1.35
Unibet
1.42
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
-+6.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals73.6%1.35
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
+4.5%

🎽 13. Player market rates

Oviedo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pablo Sáenz33%
Alexandru Ișfan0%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexandru Ișfan67%
Youness Lachhab67%
Samu Rodríguez33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexandru Ișfan33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Jacobo González0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Víctor Mingo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexandru Ișfan33%
Jacobo González33%
Víctor Mingo33%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Costas0%
Daniel Villahermosa0%
Youness Lachhab0%
Pablo Sáenz0%
Samu Rodríguez0%
Aisar Ahmed0%
Burgos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Forés67%
Curro Sánchez33%
Javi Llabrés33%
David González33%
Víctor Mollejo0%
Pablo Galdames0%
Sergio González0%
Ander Cantero0%
José Gragera0%
Grego Sierra0%
Ignasi Vilarrasa0%
Alberto Dadie0%
Marcelo Expósito0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergio González33%
José Gragera33%
Grego Sierra33%
Víctor Mollejo0%
Pablo Galdames0%
Ander Cantero0%
Curro Sánchez0%
Ignasi Vilarrasa0%
Álex Forés0%
Alberto Dadie0%
Javi Llabrés0%
David González0%
Marcelo Expósito0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Víctor Mollejo33%
Curro Sánchez33%
Pablo Galdames0%
Sergio González0%
Ander Cantero0%
José Gragera0%
Grego Sierra0%
Ignasi Vilarrasa0%
Álex Forés0%
Alberto Dadie0%
Javi Llabrés0%
David González0%
Marcelo Expósito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Álex Forés33%
David González33%
Víctor Mollejo0%
Pablo Galdames0%
Sergio González0%
Ander Cantero0%
José Gragera0%
Grego Sierra0%
Curro Sánchez0%
Ignasi Vilarrasa0%
Alberto Dadie0%
Javi Llabrés0%
Marcelo Expósito0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
SAB (28)
€8m
CDV (22)
€8m
ELD (20)
€7m
Oviedo's squad is €13m more valuable than Burgos's (€30m vs €17m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€23m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
COR (9)
€4m
CDV (9)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (8)
€3m
Oviedo's attack is €7m more valuable than Burgos's (€15m vs €8m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
SAB (6)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
CDV (3)
€1m
Oviedo's midfield is €2m more valuable than Burgos's (€6m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
CDV (10)
€2m
Oviedo's defence is €4m more valuable than Burgos's (€10m vs €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
OVI wins
1
Draws
3
BUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Oviedo vs Burgos · H/A from OVI
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/25ABurgos Vs OVI1-2
03/11/24HOVI Vs Burgos3-1
17/02/24HOVI Vs Burgos5-0
26/08/23ABurgos Vs OVI1-0
12/02/23HOVI Vs Burgos0-1
10/09/22ABurgos Vs OVI0-0
20/02/22ABurgos Vs OVI0-1
21/10/21HOVI Vs Burgos1-3

OviedoOviedo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26AAlbacete Vs OVI0-1
22/08/26HOVI Vs Leganes0-1
15/08/26HOVI Vs Granada CF0-0
23/05/26AMallorca Vs OVI3-0
17/05/26HOVI Vs Alaves0-1
14/05/26AReal Madrid Vs OVI2-0
10/05/26HOVI Vs Getafe0-0
03/05/26AReal Betis Vs OVI3-0
26/04/26HOVI Vs Elche1-2
23/04/26HOVI Vs Villarreal1-1

BurgosBurgos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HBUR Vs Real Sociedad II2-2
23/08/26ASporting Gijon Vs BUR1-0
16/08/26HBUR Vs Cordoba3-2
31/05/26HBUR Vs FC Andorra1-0
24/05/26ACultural Leonesa Vs BUR0-2
16/05/26AGranada CF Vs BUR0-1
09/05/26HBUR Vs Almeria0-0
03/05/26AReal Sociedad II Vs BUR0-0
25/04/26HBUR Vs Deportivo La Coruna1-1
18/04/26ACastellón Vs BUR3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Oviedo
Oviedo
Spain: Segunda División
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW1.02
HomeLDLDL1.20
AwayWLLLW0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%28%20%
AVG goals2.161.482.84
Over 1.5 %62%44%80%
Over 2.5 %38%24%52%
Over 3.5 %14%4%24%
Scored0.780.600.96
Conceded1.380.881.88
BTTS36%32%40%
Clean Sheet28%44%12%
Corners9.309.289.32
Cards4.293.924.70
Burgos
Burgos
Spain: Segunda División
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD1.64
HomeDDWWD1.80
AwayLDWWL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%48%40%
AVG goals2.062.082.04
Over 1.5 %58%60%56%
Over 2.5 %34%28%40%
Over 3.5 %20%20%20%
Scored1.181.321.04
Conceded0.880.761.00
BTTS42%44%40%
Clean Sheet40%40%40%
Corners8.508.408.61
Cards5.665.755.57

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Granada CFGranada CF37
67%
2.3
51+4
2.0
67%
33%
33%
7.3
0%
3.7
67%
30.3
100%
17
6391.70.3
50%
2CastellónCastellón37
67%
2.3
31+2
1.3
33%
33%
0%
9.0
33%
5.7
100%
28.7
67%
21
11381.00.3
55%
3LeganesLeganes37
67%
2.3
31+2
1.3
33%
0%
0%
9.3
33%
3.3
67%
22.7
100%
30
14881.00.3
51%
4Sporting GijonSporting Gijon37
67%
2.3
20+2
0.7
0%
0%
0%
7.3
0%
4.0
67%
27.0
100%
28
14590.70.0
46%
5MallorcaMallorca36
67%
2.0
52+3
2.3
100%
33%
0%
6.7
0%
4.3
100%
22.7
67%
48
239161.70.7
-
6TenerifeTenerife36
67%
2.0
42+2
2.0
33%
33%
33%
9.0
67%
3.0
33%
25.0
100%
12
5431.30.7
-
7Las PalmasLas Palmas36
67%
2.0
66+0
4.0
100%
67%
33%
8.0
33%
3.3
33%
28.3
100%
30
143132.02.0
56%
8EibarEibar36
67%
2.0
33+0
2.0
33%
33%
33%
9.3
67%
3.3
33%
21.0
33%
15
7351.01.0
49%
9SabadellSabadell35
33%
1.7
10+1
0.3
0%
0%
0%
8.0
0%
6.0
100%
24.7
100%
8
3230.30.0
-
10GironaGirona34
33%
1.3
75+2
4.0
100%
67%
33%
6.3
0%
6.3
100%
28.3
100%
114
6428222.31.7
-
11Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II34
33%
1.3
54+1
3.0
67%
67%
33%
7.0
0%
5.7
100%
28.3
67%
8
4121.71.3
-
12BurgosBurgos34
33%
1.3
55+0
3.3
67%
67%
67%
8.3
0%
3.0
33%
27.7
100%
17
8461.71.7
46%
13Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II34
33%
1.3
44+0
2.7
67%
67%
33%
11.0
67%
4.0
33%
30.7
67%
23
15441.31.3
44%
14OviedoOviedo34
33%
1.3
11+0
0.7
0%
0%
0%
9.7
67%
5.0
100%
25.7
100%
30
156100.30.3
-
15FC AndorraFC Andorra33
33%
1.0
76+1
4.3
67%
67%
67%
6.3
0%
4.0
67%
25.0
67%
15
6372.32.0
61%
16AlmeriaAlmeria33
33%
1.0
32+1
1.7
33%
33%
0%
11.3
67%
4.3
67%
22.0
67%
54
384111.00.7
52%
17CadizCadiz33
0%
1.0
33+0
2.0
67%
33%
33%
7.3
0%
5.3
67%
25.0
67%
27
113121.01.0
46%
18CordobaCordoba33
33%
1.0
57-2
4.0
100%
100%
67%
7.3
0%
5.0
67%
32.3
100%
16
4471.72.3
58%
19ValladolidValladolid31
0%
0.3
14-3
1.7
67%
0%
0%
8.3
33%
6.3
100%
24.7
67%
26
106100.31.3
50%
20EldenseEldense31
0%
0.3
26-4
2.7
67%
67%
33%
9.3
33%
2.0
33%
18.0
33%
7
3130.72.0
-
21AlbaceteAlbacete30
0%
0.0
25-3
2.3
67%
67%
0%
11.0
67%
4.0
33%
21.3
67%
18
8450.71.7
42%
22AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC30
0%
0.0
110-9
3.7
100%
67%
33%
6.7
33%
3.7
67%
28.0
67%
10
5130.33.3
51%
Spain: Segunda División 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →

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