This opponent (Feirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feirense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.13
1.13
1.27
0.87
1.00
vs Stronger (15)
0.73
1.00
1.00
1.14
0.50
0.88
vs Similar (15)
1.27
1.27
1.25
1.38
1.29
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Pacos Ferreira) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
57.6%
Under 1.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
29.3%
Under 2.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.3%
Under 3.5
87.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.4%
No
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.5%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
14.1%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
7.9%
2-1 ✓
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.7%
Pacos Ferreira goals ↓
Feirense goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
12%
5.7%
1.6%
0.4%
1
14%
15%
5.8%
1.7%
0.4%
2
7.9%
6.8%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
3
2.7%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pacos Ferreira goals (down), columns = Feirense goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Benfica
2.38
Sporting CP
2.29
SC Braga
2.21
Rio Ave
1.50
Maritimo
1.38
Chaves
1.38
Boavista
1.32
Guimaraes
1.26
Tondela
1.12
Portimonense
1.12
Belenenses
1.09
Aves
1.00
Moreirense
0.94
Setubal
0.94
Feirense
0.91
Estoril
0.88
Pacos Ferreira
0.88
Pacos Ferreira is 0.03 points worse than Feirense in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 0.91).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Porto
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
2.18
Sporting CP
1.85
Portimonense
1.53
Chaves
1.38
Guimaraes
1.32
Tondela
1.21
Rio Ave
1.18
Setubal
1.15
Maritimo
1.06
Aves
1.06
Boavista
1.03
Belenenses
0.97
Pacos Ferreira
0.97
Feirense
0.94
Estoril
0.85
Moreirense
0.85
Pacos Ferreira is 0.03 goals better than Feirense in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 0.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Benfica
0.65
Sporting CP
0.71
SC Braga
0.85
Rio Ave
1.24
Boavista
1.29
Belenenses
1.35
Feirense
1.41
Maritimo
1.44
Tondela
1.47
Moreirense
1.47
Aves
1.50
Chaves
1.62
Guimaraes
1.65
Pacos Ferreira
1.74
Portimonense
1.76
Estoril
1.79
Setubal
1.82
Pacos Ferreira is 0.32 goals worse than Feirense in terms of goals conceded per game (1.74 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Pacos Ferreira
For 5.9 · Against 6.2 · Total 12.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 19.4 · Against 12.5 · Total 31.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Feirense
For 4.5 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 19.4 · Against 18.2 · Total 37.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pacos Ferreira
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.1
11.5
2.2
2.2
2.1
30.4
32.2
28.8
vs Stronger (23)
11.0
11.8
10.2
2.1
2.5
1.7
33.0
35.2
30.8
vs Similar (27)
10.7
8.8
12.3
2.2
2.0
2.4
28.5
29.8
27.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
44%
70%
34%
32%
36%
95%
100%
90%
% under line
42%
56%
30%
66%
68%
64%
5%
0%
10%
This opponent (Feirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feirense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
10.4
11.9
2.3
2.7
2.0
35.6
35.6
35.7
vs Stronger (24)
10.9
11.2
10.6
2.3
2.8
1.8
37.0
32.8
40.4
vs Similar (26)
11.3
9.8
13.5
2.4
2.5
2.2
34.4
37.5
29.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
68%
60%
78%
32%
38%
25%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
32%
40%
22%
68%
62%
75%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Pacos Ferreira) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Chaves
11.7
Benfica
11.6
Feirense
11.1
Guimaraes
11.1
Estoril
10.9
Pacos Ferreira
10.8
FC Porto
10.8
Sporting CP
10.2
Moreirense
10.1
Boavista
9.9
Portimonense
9.8
Tondela
9.7
Maritimo
9.5
SC Braga
9.4
Setubal
9.4
Aves
9.3
Belenenses
9.2
Rio Ave
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Feirense
6.2
Pacos Ferreira
5.7
Rio Ave
5.6
Setubal
5.3
Guimaraes
5.2
FC Porto
5.2
Estoril
5.2
SC Braga
5.0
Tondela
5.0
Boavista
4.9
Belenenses
4.9
Moreirense
4.8
Aves
4.6
Maritimo
4.5
Chaves
4.5
Portimonense
4.4
Sporting CP
4.3
Benfica
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Feirense
35.6
Setubal
35.4
Belenenses
34.5
SC Braga
34.0
Rio Ave
33.5
Guimaraes
33.2
Estoril
32.9
Maritimo
32.7
Moreirense
32.7
Sporting CP
31.9
Aves
31.7
Tondela
31.2
Chaves
30.4
Pacos Ferreira
30.4
Boavista
30.4
Portimonense
29.5
FC Porto
29.3
Benfica
29.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
62.4%
Under 9.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
84.4%
Under 3.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
98.6%
Under 21.5
1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pacos Ferreira
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.53
0.40
0.27
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
0.83
0.71
0.29
0.40
1.60
vs Similar (18)
0.33
0.33
0.12
0.25
0.50
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Feirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feirense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.73
0.53
0.80
0.27
0.67
vs Stronger (15)
0.40
0.60
0.57
0.57
0.25
0.62
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.87
0.50
1.00
0.29
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Pacos Ferreira) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pacos Ferreira over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pacos Ferreira over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pacos Ferreira over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feirense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feirense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feirense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pacos Ferreira
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.93
0.53
0.53
0.53
1.33
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
1.25
0.57
0.57
0.40
2.20
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.72
0.50
0.50
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Feirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Feirense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.40
0.60
0.47
0.60
0.33
vs Stronger (15)
0.33
0.40
0.43
0.57
0.25
0.25
vs Similar (15)
0.87
0.40
0.75
0.38
1.00
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Pacos Ferreira) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pacos Ferreira over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pacos Ferreira over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pacos Ferreira over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feirense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feirense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Feirense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Pacos Ferreira · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Costinha50%
Joao Victor25%
David Costa14%
Vladimir Silva14%
Anilson10%
Ronaldo Lumungo9%
Nuno Cunha9%
Miguel Mota8%
Francisco Ramos0%
Gonçalo Cardoso0%
Andre Sousa0%
Rafael Vieira0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Leandro Dias0%
João Pinto0%
Kauan0%
Diegão0%
Miguel Falé0%
Pedro Rafael Oliveira0%
Fernando Gomes0%
Iuri Moreira0%
Diego Fernandes0%
Fernandinho Conceição0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fernandinho Conceição67%
Gonçalo Cardoso50%
Kauan50%
Costinha50%
Miguel Falé33%
Iuri Moreira33%
Miguel Mota25%
Fernando Gomes25%
Diegão20%
Anilson20%
Rafael Vieira18%
Ronaldo Lumungo18%
Nuno Cunha18%
Leandro Dias17%
Tiago Ferreira10%
Francisco Ramos8%
Joao Victor8%
Andre Sousa0%
João Pinto0%
Pedro Rafael Oliveira0%
Diego Fernandes0%
David Costa0%
Vladimir Silva0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Costa14%
Vladimir Silva14%
Andre Sousa10%
Anilson10%
Ronaldo Lumungo9%
Francisco Ramos8%
Joao Victor8%
Gonçalo Cardoso0%
Rafael Vieira0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Leandro Dias0%
João Pinto0%
Kauan0%
Diegão0%
Miguel Falé0%
Costinha0%
Nuno Cunha0%
Pedro Rafael Oliveira0%
Miguel Mota0%
Fernando Gomes0%
Iuri Moreira0%
Diego Fernandes0%
Fernandinho Conceição0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Miguel Falé50%
Francisco Ramos8%
Joao Victor8%
Gonçalo Cardoso0%
Andre Sousa0%
Rafael Vieira0%
Tiago Ferreira0%
Leandro Dias0%
João Pinto0%
Kauan0%
Diegão0%
Anilson0%
Ronaldo Lumungo0%
Costinha0%
Nuno Cunha0%
Pedro Rafael Oliveira0%
Miguel Mota0%
Fernando Gomes0%
Iuri Moreira0%
Diego Fernandes0%
Fernandinho Conceição0%
David Costa0%
Vladimir Silva0%
Feirense · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jonny Arriba33%
João Lima25%
Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves17%
Pedrinho0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Bruno Silva0%
Luiz Gustavo0%
Zé Ricardo0%
Diego Altube0%
Luís Santos0%
João Oliveira0%
Antonio Leal0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Desmond Nketia0%
André Lopes0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Daouda Doumbia0%
Gastón Novero0%
Pedrinho0%
Samad Popoola0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tiago Ribeiro60%
Samad Popoola60%
Zé Ricardo50%
André Lopes50%
João Lima50%
Emanuel Fernandes43%
João Oliveira33%
Jonny Arriba33%
Bruno Silva25%
Gastón Novero25%
Luiz Gustavo20%
Diego Altube20%
Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves17%
Antonio Leal14%
Pedrinho0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Luís Santos0%
Desmond Nketia0%
Daouda Doumbia0%
Pedrinho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Oliveira33%
Pedrinho0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Bruno Silva0%
Luiz Gustavo0%
Zé Ricardo0%
Diego Altube0%
Luís Santos0%
Antonio Leal0%
Tiago Ribeiro0%
Desmond Nketia0%
André Lopes0%
Jonny Arriba0%
João Lima0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Daouda Doumbia0%
Gastón Novero0%
Pedrinho0%
Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves0%
Samad Popoola0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luiz Gustavo20%
Tiago Ribeiro20%
Pedrinho0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Bruno Silva0%
Zé Ricardo0%
Diego Altube0%
Luís Santos0%
João Oliveira0%
Antonio Leal0%
Desmond Nketia0%
André Lopes0%
Jonny Arriba0%
João Lima0%
Emanuel Fernandes0%
Daouda Doumbia0%
Gastón Novero0%
Pedrinho0%
Guilherme Meira Ferreira Alves0%
Samad Popoola0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
MOR (21)
€22m
MAR (27)
€16m
TON (20)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
POR (20)
€6m
FEI (17)
€4m
PF (13)
€2m
Pacos Ferreira's squad is €2m less valuable than Feirense's (€2m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
RA (8)
€8m
MAR (10)
€7m
MOR (5)
€5m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
FEI (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
Pacos Ferreira and Feirense have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
MAR (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
Pacos Ferreira and Feirense have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
RA (13)
€21m
GUI (13)
€12m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
CHA (12)
€4m
FEI (8)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
PF (8)
€1m
Pacos Ferreira's defence is €2m less valuable than Feirense's (€1m vs €3m).
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →
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FC Porto
Benfica
Sporting CP
SC Braga
Rio Ave
Chaves
Maritimo
Boavista
Guimaraes
Portimonense
Tondela
Belenenses
Moreirense
Estoril