Paks, fresh from a 1-1 draw, will look to leverage their strong home attack, scoring an average of 2.36 goals and conceding 2.09 against similarly ranked opponents. Debreceni VSC, after a 2-2 draw away, will rely on their 1.67 goals per game and 1.5 conceded, a slightly tighter defense. The model projects a high-scoring affair, with an average of 3.6 goals expected and the most likely total of three goals at 21%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.5% chance. The favourite result is a home win, with probabilities of 45% for Paks, 23% for a draw, and 32% for Debreceni VSC. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4% with a 5% edge, Under 7.5 at 96.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.1% with a 5% edge, Over 19.5 fouls at 94.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.2% with a 4% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 92.4% with a 5% edge, Under 6.5 at 92.3% with a 3% edge, and Away under 3.5 goals at 91.2% with a 2% edge.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Paks win
44.8%
Avg Implied 47.5% · @ 1.93
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.02
Betano
1.98
Dafabet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
William Hil
1.95
Draw
23.2%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.74
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.97
Unibet
3.90
Betfair
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Betano
3.80
Debreceni VSC win
32.0%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.27
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Betano
3.35
Superbet
3.35
Dafabet
3.35
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Paks
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.67
2.47
1.93
1.13
1.40
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
1.75
2.00
1.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.70
1.74
2.36
2.09
1.08
1.42
vs Weaker (3)
3.00
1.00
3.50
1.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Debreceni VSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Debreceni VSC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.47
1.12
1.31
1.57
1.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
2.50
0.00
2.50
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (26)
1.46
1.31
1.29
1.14
1.67
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.8%
@ 1.10+4.3%
Under 1.5
11.2%
@ 5.98-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.12
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Under
Pinnacle
6.64
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Superbet
5.90
1xBet
5.75
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70.6%
@ 1.38+3.4%
Under 2.5
29.4%
@ 2.83-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
3.01
Betfair
2.88
Bet365
2.88
Betano
2.82
10Bet
2.80
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
49.5%
@ 1.95+1.6%
Under 3.5
50.5%
@ 1.79-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.05
Betfair
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.86
Betano
1.82
Betfair
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
70.8%
@ 1.37+3.4%
No
29.2%
@ 2.83-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.36
No
Betfair
3.00
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.90
Superbet
2.87
Marathonbet
2.84
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.5%@ 7.48+3.5%
2-1
8.5%@ 7.87+2.9%
1-2
7.2%@ 10.65+3.0%
2-2
7.1%@ 9.59+2.5%
3-1
5.6%@ 11.53+1.8%
2-0
5.1%@ 11.89+1.4%
3-2
4.7%@ 14.32+1.6%
1-0
4.3%@ 11.34+0.4%
Paks goals ↓
Debreceni VSC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.5%
3.5%
3.6%
2.0%
0.8%
1
4.3%
9.5%
7.2%
4.0%
1.7%
2
5.1%
8.5%
7.1%
3.9%
1.6%
3
3.4%
5.6%
4.7%
2.6%
1.1%
4
1.7%
2.8%
2.3%
1.3%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Paks goals (down), columns = Debreceni VSC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.00
Puskas Academy
2.00
Ujpest
1.67
Gyori ETO FC
1.50
MTK Budapest
1.50
Paks
1.33
Vasas
1.33
Budapest Honved
1.20
Nyiregyhaza
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.00
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.50
Paks is 0.33 points better than Debreceni VSC in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paks
2.17
Ujpest
2.17
MTK Budapest
2.17
Gyori ETO FC
1.83
Vasas
1.67
Puskas Academy
1.67
Ferencvarosi TC
1.60
Budapest Honved
1.60
Kisvarda FC
1.17
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Nyiregyhaza
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.83
Paks is 1.17 goals better than Debreceni VSC in terms of goals scored per game (2.17 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.17
Vasas
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.33
Puskas Academy
1.33
Debreceni VSC
1.50
Budapest Honved
1.60
Ujpest
1.67
MTK Budapest
1.67
Nyiregyhaza
1.67
Paks
2.17
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.50
Paks is 0.67 goals worse than Debreceni VSC in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
58%
Debreceni VSC
55%
Gyori ETO FC
53%
Budapest Honved
52%
Ujpest
51%
Nyiregyhaza
51%
Paks
50%
MTK Budapest
50%
Zalaegerszegi TE
49%
Puskas Academy
45%
Vasas
43%
Kisvarda FC
42%
Paks is 4.8 percentage points worse than Debreceni VSC in terms of average possession (50% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Paks
For 5.5 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 13.3 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Debreceni VSC
For 7.5 · Against 5.0 · Total 12.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.9 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Paks
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.4
10.8
3.9
4.2
3.7
28.3
28.8
27.8
vs Stronger (7)
11.7
11.3
12.0
5.6
4.7
6.2
30.1
33.0
28.0
vs Similar (39)
10.4
10.3
10.4
3.9
4.6
3.4
28.0
28.2
27.7
vs Weaker (4)
8.0
8.0
-
0.8
1.0
0.0
24.0
24.0
-
% over line
60%
47%
72%
56%
54%
58%
86%
76%
94%
% under line
40%
53%
28%
44%
46%
42%
14%
24%
6%
This opponent (Debreceni VSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Debreceni VSC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.6
9.2
3.5
3.5
3.6
27.1
27.4
26.8
vs Stronger (5)
9.4
9.0
10.0
2.6
2.3
3.0
29.6
31.3
27.0
vs Similar (45)
10.0
10.9
9.2
3.6
3.6
3.6
26.7
26.7
26.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
53%
40%
46%
52%
40%
82%
84%
80%
% under line
54%
47%
60%
54%
48%
60%
18%
16%
20%
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Nyiregyhaza
11.0
Paks
10.4
Gyori ETO FC
10.0
Debreceni VSC
9.9
Ujpest
9.9
Kisvarda FC
9.9
MTK Budapest
9.8
Puskas Academy
9.7
Ferencvarosi TC
9.7
Budapest Honved
9.5
Zalaegerszegi TE
8.9
Vasas
4.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nyiregyhaza
6.0
Paks
5.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
5.1
Debreceni VSC
5.1
Ujpest
5.0
Puskas Academy
4.8
Gyori ETO FC
4.8
Ferencvarosi TC
4.7
MTK Budapest
4.4
Budapest Honved
4.1
Kisvarda FC
4.1
Vasas
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Nyiregyhaza
32.0
Paks
28.6
Ferencvarosi TC
27.9
Debreceni VSC
27.8
Puskas Academy
27.7
Ujpest
26.2
Gyori ETO FC
24.9
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.8
MTK Budapest
24.6
Kisvarda FC
24.1
Vasas
23.0
Budapest Honved
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.9%
@ 1.48-12.0%
Under 9.5
50.1%
@ 2.41+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.48
Unibet
1.44
Under
Unibet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.39
Marathonbet
2.33
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.3%
Under 3.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
88.1%
Under 21.5
11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Paks or Draw
68.0%
Avg Implied 72.0% · @ 1.28
Edge
-4.0%
45%
23%
32%
covers Paks + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.34
William Hil
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Paks or Debreceni VSC
76.8%
Avg Implied 75.9% · @ 1.22
Edge
+0.9%
45%
23%
32%
covers Paks + Debreceni VSC
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.21
Draw or Debreceni VSC
55.2%
Avg Implied 52.1% · @ 1.77
Edge
+3.1%
45%
23%
32%
covers Draw + Debreceni VSC
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.80
SBO
1.80
Superbet
1.76
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Paks over/under 0.5
Over
86.2%
@ 1.10+1.9%
Under
13.8%
@ 5.91-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Under
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.05
10Bet
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.90
Paks over/under 1.5
Over
59.0%
@ 1.55-0.8%
Under
41.0%
@ 2.30+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Under
Pinnacle
2.44
Betfair
2.38
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.31
Marathonbet
2.31
Paks over/under 2.5
Over
31.9%
@ 2.71-2.2%
Under
68.1%
@ 1.40+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.90
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Superbet
2.72
Pinnacle
2.70
Under
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Paks over/under 3.5
Over
14.0%
@ 5.53-2.8%
Under
86.0%
@ 1.12+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.45
1xBet
5.10
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Debreceni VSC over/under 0.5
Over
81.1%
@ 1.21+4.9%
Under
18.9%
@ 3.88-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Under
Superbet
4.00
Betano
4.00
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Pinnacle
3.90
Debreceni VSC over/under 1.5
Over
49.6%
@ 2.07+4.6%
Under
50.4%
@ 1.69-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.05
Betano
2.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.73
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Debreceni VSC over/under 2.5
Over
23.4%
@ 4.38+2.2%
Under
76.6%
@ 1.17-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Debreceni VSC over/under 3.5
Over
8.8%
@ 10.07-0.6%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.04+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
9.30
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Paks, so a minus line means Paks give that many goals of a start and Debreceni VSC receive them. At -1, Paks must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Paks win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Paks)
Paks -2
12.0%
@ 5.96-2.9%
Draw -2
13.7%
@ 5.39-2.8%
Debreceni VSC +2
74.3%
@ 1.30+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
6.40
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Superbet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.50
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.45
Unibet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Away
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
Unibet
1.26
Handicap -1 (Paks)
Paks -1
25.7%
@ 3.17-2.3%
Draw -1
19.1%
@ 4.00-3.1%
Debreceni VSC +1
55.2%
@ 1.77+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.30
Unibet
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Bet365
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Away
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.74
Unibet
1.74
Handicap +1 (Paks)
Paks +1
68.0%
@ 1.29-0.7%
Draw +1
15.9%
@ 5.27-1.0%
Debreceni VSC -1
16.1%
@ 6.16+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.25
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.80
Away
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Unibet
5.60
Handicap +2 (Paks)
Paks +2
83.9%
@ 1.09-0.2%
Draw +2
9.6%
@ 9.65+0.1%
Debreceni VSC -2
6.5%
@ 14.50+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.09
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
8.30
Away
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
12.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Paks
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.73
1.07
0.87
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.96
0.78
1.18
1.00
0.75
0.58
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Debreceni VSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Debreceni VSC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.38
0.69
0.71
0.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.69
0.43
0.64
0.83
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.1%
@ 1.21-1.5%
Under 0.5
24.9%
@ 3.96+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.9%
@ 2.00-5.6%
Under 1.5
59.1%
@ 1.74+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
William Hil
2.05
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.8%
@ 4.06-5.9%
Under 2.5
83.2%
@ 1.19+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
William Hil
4.20
Betano
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.95
Under
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
William Hil
1.20
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Paks over/under 0.5 HT
Over
58.6%
@ 1.59+0.2%
Under
41.4%
@ 2.23-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.66
Betano
1.62
Unibet
1.60
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Under
Pinnacle
2.39
10Bet
2.30
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Betano
2.20
Paks over/under 1.5 HT
Over
21.6%
@ 3.74-3.1%
Under
78.4%
@ 1.23+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.85
Marathonbet
3.74
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.70
1xBet
3.70
Under
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Paks over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.9%
@ 9.46-3.9%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.03+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Superbet
9.80
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Debreceni VSC over/under 0.5 HT
Over
43.6%
@ 1.88-5.5%
Under
56.4%
@ 1.82+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.91
Unibet
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.87
Under
1xBet
1.86
10Bet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Betano
1.80
Debreceni VSC over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.8%
@ 5.42-5.3%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.11+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.40
Superbet
5.35
1xBet
5.30
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Debreceni VSC over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.7%
@ 15.17-4.6%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Paks
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.93
1.40
1.07
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.96
1.18
1.09
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
1.00
3.00
1.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Debreceni VSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Debreceni VSC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.77
0.75
0.62
0.86
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.75
0.00
1.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.85
0.62
0.86
0.50
0.83
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.7%
@ 1.11-4.1%
Under 0.5
20.3%
@ 5.75+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Under
1xBet
6.40
Bet365
6.00
Betano
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
51.7%
@ 1.58-6.8%
Under 1.5
48.3%
@ 2.22+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Unibet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.35
10Bet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.24
1xBet
2.24
Superbet
2.22
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
28.4%
@ 2.78-4.9%
Under 2.5
71.6%
@ 1.39+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
William Hil
2.88
Superbet
2.80
Betano
2.67
Marathonbet
2.66
Under
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.38
William Hil
1.36
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Paks over/under 0.5 2H
Over
62.6%
@ 1.39-4.4%
Under
37.4%
@ 2.81+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Under
10Bet
2.90
Betano
2.87
1xBet
2.80
Superbet
2.67
Paks over/under 1.5 2H
Over
27.6%
@ 2.77-5.8%
Under
72.4%
@ 1.39+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.95
10Bet
2.75
Betano
2.72
Marathonbet
2.71
1xBet
2.70
Under
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.35
Paks over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.9%
@ 6.70-6.0%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.07+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
7.30
1xBet
6.90
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Debreceni VSC over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.4%
@ 1.60-6.5%
Under
48.6%
@ 2.21+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Under
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Debreceni VSC over/under 1.5 2H
Over
17.3%
@ 3.86-6.6%
Under
82.7%
@ 1.21+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.92
Superbet
3.85
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.75
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Debreceni VSC over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.1%
@ 9.58-5.6%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.04+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+4.6%
Under 7.5
96.7%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+0.9%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.9%
1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
-
+5.6%
Over 19.5 fouls
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.1%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+3.9%
Under 6.5
92.3%
1.05
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
-
+1.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.1%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
-
+6.0%
Away under 3.5 goals
91.2%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-
+0.6%
Over 1.5
88.8%
1.10
10Bet
1.12
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
Unibet
1.10
+4.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.2%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
+5.3%
Over 21.5 fouls
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
86.2%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.09
+1.9%
Home under 3.5 goals
86.0%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.11
+2.8%
Home +2 handicap
83.9%
1.09
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-0.2%
Under 5.5
83.7%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
+0.7%
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.2%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
William Hil
1.20
+5.9%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
82.7%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
+6.6%
Away over 0.5 goals
81.1%
1.21
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
+4.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.7%
1.11
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
-4.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
78.4%
1.23
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
+3.1%
Over 23.5 fouls
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.8%
1.22
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.21
+0.9%
Away under 2.5 goals
76.6%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
-2.2%
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.1%
1.21
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
-1.5%
Away +2 handicap
74.3%
1.30
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
Unibet
1.26
+5.7%
Under 11.5 corners
73.5%
1.56
Unibet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.49
-
-
+14.6%
Over 3.5 cards
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
72.4%
1.39
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.35
+5.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals
71.6%
1.39
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.38
William Hil
1.36
+4.9%
BTTS Yes
70.8%
1.37
William Hil
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.36
+3.4%
Over 2.5
70.6%
1.38
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
+3.4%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Paks
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
József Szalai83%
M. Pető43%
J. Windecker33%
Zsolt Haraszti20%
Andor Lapu20%
Milán Győrfi17%
Á. Kovácsik0%
Gabor Vas0%
B. Tóth0%
Dániel Böde0%
E. Silye0%
B. Balogh0%
B. Lenzsér0%
J. Szabó0%
J. Hahn0%
Kristóf Papp0%
B. Vécsei0%
Márió Zeke0%
Gergő Gyurkits0%
Milán Szekszárdi0%
K. Horváth0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
J. Windecker50%
K. Horváth43%
B. Lenzsér40%
J. Szabó40%
Kristóf Papp29%
J. Hahn25%
Andor Lapu20%
Milán Győrfi17%
M. Pető14%
Á. Kovácsik0%
Gabor Vas0%
B. Tóth0%
Dániel Böde0%
E. Silye0%
B. Balogh0%
Zsolt Haraszti0%
B. Vécsei0%
Márió Zeke0%
József Szalai0%
Gergő Gyurkits0%
Milán Szekszárdi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zsolt Haraszti40%
Andor Lapu40%
B. Vécsei33%
Kristóf Papp29%
József Szalai17%
K. Horváth14%
Á. Kovácsik0%
Gabor Vas0%
B. Tóth0%
Dániel Böde0%
E. Silye0%
B. Balogh0%
B. Lenzsér0%
J. Szabó0%
J. Hahn0%
J. Windecker0%
Márió Zeke0%
Gergő Gyurkits0%
Milán Szekszárdi0%
M. Pető0%
Milán Győrfi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
József Szalai50%
M. Pető43%
Dániel Böde25%
J. Hahn25%
Á. Kovácsik0%
Gabor Vas0%
B. Tóth0%
E. Silye0%
B. Balogh0%
B. Lenzsér0%
J. Szabó0%
Zsolt Haraszti0%
Kristóf Papp0%
J. Windecker0%
B. Vécsei0%
Márió Zeke0%
Gergő Gyurkits0%
Milán Szekszárdi0%
Andor Lapu0%
K. Horváth0%
Milán Győrfi0%
Debreceni VSC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Balázs Dzsudzsák43%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes20%
Adrián Guerrero17%
Ákos Szendrei14%
Bence Batik0%
Ádám Lang0%
Josua Mejías0%
Rotem Keller0%
Plamen Andreev0%
Botond Vajda0%
Flórián Cibla0%
Gergő Tercza0%
Shedrach Kaye0%
Blaž Bošković0%
Sohan Baldoni0%
Leon Myrtaj0%
Balázs Sain0%
Dávid Patai0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josua Mejías57%
Blaž Bošković50%
Balázs Dzsudzsák43%
Leon Myrtaj33%
Dávid Patai33%
Sohan Baldoni25%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes20%
Shedrach Kaye20%
Flórián Cibla14%
Bence Batik0%
Ádám Lang0%
Adrián Guerrero0%
Ákos Szendrei0%
Rotem Keller0%
Plamen Andreev0%
Botond Vajda0%
Gergő Tercza0%
Balázs Sain0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ákos Szendrei29%
Bence Batik0%
Ádám Lang0%
Balázs Dzsudzsák0%
Josua Mejías0%
Adrián Guerrero0%
Rotem Keller0%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes0%
Plamen Andreev0%
Botond Vajda0%
Flórián Cibla0%
Gergő Tercza0%
Shedrach Kaye0%
Blaž Bošković0%
Sohan Baldoni0%
Leon Myrtaj0%
Balázs Sain0%
Dávid Patai0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Flórián Cibla29%
Balázs Dzsudzsák14%
Josua Mejías14%
Ákos Szendrei14%
Bence Batik0%
Ádám Lang0%
Adrián Guerrero0%
Rotem Keller0%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes0%
Plamen Andreev0%
Botond Vajda0%
Gergő Tercza0%
Shedrach Kaye0%
Blaž Bošković0%
Sohan Baldoni0%
Leon Myrtaj0%
Balázs Sain0%
Dávid Patai0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
Paks and Debreceni VSC have a similar squad value (both €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
Paks and Debreceni VSC have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
Paks and Debreceni VSC have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
Paks and Debreceni VSC have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Hungary: NB I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Puskas Academy
Ujpest
Ferencvarosi TC
Gyori ETO FC
MTK Budapest
Vasas
Nyiregyhaza
Budapest Honved
Kisvarda FC
Zalaegerszegi TE