In this Serie B match, Palermo is expected to come out on top, having recently come off a win against Catanzaro. The model predicts a 57% chance of a home win, with a 25% chance of a draw and an 18% chance of a Juve Stabia win. The expected total number of goals is 2.7, with 2 goals being the most likely total.
The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, occurring with a 12% probability. Palermo has been scoring an average of 2.11 goals at home, while conceding 0.78. Against similar opponents, Juve Stabia has averaged 0.86 goals scored away and 1.21 conceded.
The model's selections include Over 21.5 fouls (93%), Home or Draw (88.3%), Home or Away (77.7%), Over 1.5 (76.5%), Over 3.5 cards (71.7%), and Under 3.5 (71.1%). Palermo has a 57% chance of winning, a 25% chance of drawing, and a 18% chance of losing.
Results analysis
Palermo’s recent form, a 2-game winning streak, set the tone for a 1-0 home victory over Juve Stabia. The model’s favourite, a Home win at 56 % probability, proved correct, and the final score matched the predicted outcome. The model’s selections largely hit: Away under 3.5 goals at 99.4 % probability, Under 7.5 at 99.4 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.9 %, Under 6.5 at 98.0 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.0 %, Over 19.5 fouls at 96.9 %, Home +2 handicap at 96.6 %, and Away under 2.5 goals at 96.4 % all came through. The predictions were accurate across the board.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Palermo win✓ Hit
55.8%
Avg Implied 60.3% · @ 1.55
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.57
Dafabet
1.56
Superbet
1.56
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.84
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.10
Pinnacle
4.05
Superbet
4.00
Unibet
3.95
1xBet
3.94
Juve Stabia win✗ Miss
18.6%
Avg Implied 15.3% · @ 6.09
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
6.66
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Palermo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
0.93
2.50
0.50
1.12
1.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.81
1.04
2.58
0.58
1.14
1.43
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.25
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Juve Stabia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Juve Stabia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.20
1.47
1.07
0.87
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.17
1.20
1.47
1.07
0.87
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Palermo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.1%
@ 1.29+3.7%
Under 1.5
23.9%
@ 3.39-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.57
1xBet
3.54
Marathonbet
3.54
Betfair
3.50
BetVictor
3.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.5%
@ 1.94+1.8%
Under 2.5
49.5%
@ 1.84-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
SBO
2.01
Bet365
2.00
888Sport
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Under
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.91
Betfair
1.87
Betano
1.87
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.4%
@ 3.32+0.3%
Under 3.5
71.6%
@ 1.30-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Superbet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.40
Under
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.3%
@ 1.95+3.7%
No
48.7%
@ 1.77-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.07
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
1.96
BetVictor
1.95
888Sport
1.95
No
Betfair
1.87
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%@ 6.88+5.7%
1-0 ✓
10.8%@ 5.81+3.2%
2-0
10.5%@ 6.76+3.9%
2-1
9.8%@ 7.54+3.9%
0-0
7.9%@ 9.32+3.1%
3-0
6.2%@ 10.67+2.0%
3-1
5.7%@ 12.50+2.2%
0-1
5.2%@ 13.10+1.8%
Palermo goals ↓
Juve Stabia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
5.2%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
1
11%
12%
5.2%
1.6%
0.4%
2
11%
9.8%
4.6%
1.4%
0.3%
3
6.2%
5.7%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.7%
2.5%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Palermo goals (down), columns = Juve Stabia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Palermo
1.88
Hellas Verona
1.82
Pisa
1.72
Catanzaro
1.58
Cremonese
1.54
Modena
1.41
Juve Stabia
1.34
Avellino
1.26
Padova
1.21
Cesena
1.21
Mantova
1.21
Arezzo
1.19
Benevento
1.17
Vicenza Virtus
1.16
Sampdoria
1.16
Carrarese
1.16
Ascoli
1.15
Virtus Entella
1.11
Empoli
1.08
Sudtirol
1.07
Palermo is 0.53 points better than Juve Stabia in terms of average points per game (1.88 vs 1.34).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hellas Verona
1.73
Catanzaro
1.63
Pisa
1.63
Palermo
1.57
Cremonese
1.46
Modena
1.26
Empoli
1.24
Carrarese
1.24
Cesena
1.18
Mantova
1.18
Juve Stabia
1.17
Arezzo
1.13
Benevento
1.11
Avellino
1.10
Vicenza Virtus
1.10
Ascoli
1.09
Padova
1.03
Sudtirol
0.95
Virtus Entella
0.95
Sampdoria
0.92
Palermo is 0.40 goals better than Juve Stabia in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Palermo
0.90
Hellas Verona
0.94
Modena
0.95
Pisa
1.00
Cremonese
1.11
Juve Stabia
1.20
Sudtirol
1.20
Sampdoria
1.26
Catanzaro
1.28
Padova
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.34
Carrarese
1.37
Empoli
1.42
Arezzo
1.43
Benevento
1.46
Vicenza Virtus
1.47
Cesena
1.47
Avellino
1.49
Ascoli
1.49
Mantova
1.50
Palermo is 0.30 goals better than Juve Stabia in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Mantova
57%
Catanzaro
54%
Juve Stabia
53%
Sampdoria
51%
Carrarese
51%
Modena
50%
Avellino
50%
Cesena
50%
Palermo
49%
Empoli
48%
Padova
48%
Virtus Entella
46%
Sudtirol
41%
Palermo is 4.4 percentage points worse than Juve Stabia in terms of average possession (49% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Palermo
For 4.5 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 10.9 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Juve Stabia
For 3.4 · Against 4.3 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 15.6 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Palermo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.1
9.7
4.7
4.5
4.8
28.3
28.0
28.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
9.2
9.0
9.5
4.8
4.7
5.0
28.9
28.4
29.4
vs Weaker (5)
10.8
11.0
10.7
3.2
2.0
4.0
23.2
22.5
23.7
% over line
50%
40%
60%
68%
64%
72%
90%
88%
92%
% under line
50%
60%
40%
32%
36%
28%
10%
12%
8%
This opponent (Juve Stabia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Juve Stabia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.9
8.2
4.6
4.4
4.9
30.2
30.7
29.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
9.0
9.9
8.2
4.6
4.4
4.9
30.2
30.7
29.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
44%
32%
68%
64%
72%
96%
100%
92%
% under line
62%
56%
68%
32%
36%
28%
4%
0%
8%
This opponent (Palermo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Benevento
11.0
Vicenza Virtus
10.5
Carrarese
10.3
Padova
10.1
Virtus Entella
10.0
Empoli
9.4
Mantova
9.4
Palermo
9.4
Cesena
9.4
Ascoli
9.3
Sampdoria
9.2
Juve Stabia
9.0
Modena
9.0
Avellino
9.0
Cremonese
9.0
Catanzaro
8.9
Hellas Verona
8.7
Sudtirol
8.5
Pisa
8.3
Arezzo
4.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ascoli
5.6
Vicenza Virtus
5.6
Carrarese
5.1
Mantova
5.1
Sampdoria
5.1
Catanzaro
4.9
Palermo
4.9
Avellino
4.8
Juve Stabia
4.8
Padova
4.8
Modena
4.7
Benevento
4.6
Empoli
4.5
Sudtirol
4.4
Virtus Entella
4.3
Cesena
4.1
Cremonese
4.1
Hellas Verona
4.1
Pisa
4.0
Arezzo
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mantova
33.0
Sampdoria
32.8
Ascoli
32.6
Avellino
31.0
Sudtirol
30.8
Catanzaro
30.8
Juve Stabia
30.2
Vicenza Virtus
29.9
Virtus Entella
29.9
Empoli
29.6
Padova
29.2
Modena
28.7
Carrarese
28.4
Benevento
28.4
Palermo
28.3
Cremonese
28.0
Cesena
26.2
Hellas Verona
25.8
Pisa
25.2
Arezzo
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.3%
@ 1.99-7.3%
Under 9.5
60.7%
@ 1.74+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.05
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Under
Unibet
1.79
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.1%
@ 1.31+2.6%
Under 3.5
28.9%
@ 2.85-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.31
Under
Superbet
2.85
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.8%
Under 21.5
7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Palermo or Draw✓ Hit
88.3%
Avg Implied 84.0% · @ 1.12
Edge
+4.3%
56%
26%
19%
covers Palermo + Draw
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Palermo or Juve Stabia✓ Hit
77.7%
Avg Implied 76.0% · @ 1.24
Edge
+1.7%
56%
26%
19%
covers Palermo + Juve Stabia
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Draw or Juve Stabia✗ Miss
34.0%
Avg Implied 40.0% · @ 2.34
Edge
-6.0%
56%
26%
19%
covers Draw + Juve Stabia
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.45
Marathonbet
2.45
1xBet
2.45
Superbet
2.42
BetVictor
2.40
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Palermo over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.1%
@ 1.13+4.2%
Under
13.9%
@ 5.12-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
1xBet
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Palermo over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
58.6%
@ 1.72+4.4%
Under
41.4%
@ 2.03-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.85
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Under
Marathonbet
2.16
Pinnacle
2.14
Betfair
2.10
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.05
Palermo over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
31.5%
@ 3.27+3.1%
Under
68.5%
@ 1.30-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.70
10Bet
3.55
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.37
Superbet
3.25
Under
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
Palermo over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
13.8%
@ 7.18+0.8%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.07-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.10
Superbet
6.90
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Juve Stabia over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
51.1%
@ 1.69-4.0%
Under
48.9%
@ 2.08+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.70
Unibet
1.70
Under
Betfair
2.20
888Sport
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.14
Betano
2.07
Juve Stabia over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
16.1%
@ 4.43-4.8%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.18+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.70
Superbet
4.65
BetVictor
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.20
10Bet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Juve Stabia over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 14.06-3.2%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.02+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
888Sport
15.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Juve Stabia over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 50.50-99.4%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Superbet
50.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Palermo, so a minus line means Palermo give that many goals of a start and Juve Stabia receive them. At -1, Palermo must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Palermo win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Palermo)Actual: Juve Stabia
Palermo -2
20.9%
@ 5.08+3.2%
Draw -2
20.7%
@ 4.47+0.6%
Juve Stabia +2
58.4%
@ 1.44-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.55
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.65
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.30
Away
Unibet
1.49
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.40
Handicap -1 (Palermo)Actual: Draw
Palermo -1
41.6%
@ 2.56+6.5%
Draw -1
24.4%
@ 3.35-2.3%
Juve Stabia +1
34.0%
@ 2.35-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.80
Betfair
2.70
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.39
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Marathonbet
3.48
10Bet
3.35
Superbet
3.35
Unibet
3.25
Away
Marathonbet
2.45
Superbet
2.40
Unibet
2.40
Betfair
2.38
Bet365
2.30
Handicap +1 (Palermo)Actual: Palermo
Palermo +1
88.3%
@ 1.11+8.1%
Draw +1
8.3%
@ 6.89-4.7%
Juve Stabia -1
3.4%
@ 13.03-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Betfair
18.00
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
11.50
Marathonbet
7.60
Handicap +2 (Palermo)Actual: Palermo
Palermo +2
96.6%
@ 1.02+3.0%
Draw +2
2.7%
@ 20.00-2.0%
Juve Stabia -2
0.7%
@ 58.50-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Draw
Betfair
21.00
Bet365
19.00
Away
Betfair
76.00
Bet365
41.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Palermo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.40
1.21
0.29
0.38
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.42
1.17
0.33
0.43
0.50
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.25
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Juve Stabia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Juve Stabia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.43
0.53
0.33
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.50
0.43
0.53
0.33
0.47
0.53
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Palermo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.0%
@ 1.39+3.9%
Under 0.5
29.0%
@ 2.83-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.40
Superbet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
3.01
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
2.90
William Hil
2.88
1xBet
2.85
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.1%
@ 2.82+0.0%
Under 1.5
66.9%
@ 1.39-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.95
Pinnacle
2.92
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.85
Under
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
Unibet
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.2%
@ 7.24+0.4%
Under 2.5
86.8%
@ 1.07-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.50
BetVictor
7.50
Superbet
7.10
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
BetVictor
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Palermo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
54.6%
@ 1.67-0.9%
Under
45.4%
@ 2.09+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.67
Superbet
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.19
Marathonbet
2.10
Unibet
2.10
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.07
Palermo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
19.0%
@ 4.30-2.6%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.18+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.35
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.25
Superbet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Palermo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.1%
@ 11.58-3.0%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.02+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Juve Stabia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.1%
@ 3.06+3.8%
Under
65.9%
@ 1.33-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.32
Betano
3.10
Superbet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.04
Unibet
3.00
Under
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Juve Stabia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.6%
@ 11.08-1.9%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.03+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
10.25
10Bet
10.00
Under
10Bet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Juve Stabia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 60.00-98.9%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
60.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Palermo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.53
1.29
0.21
0.75
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.04
0.62
1.42
0.25
0.71
0.93
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Juve Stabia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Juve Stabia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.93
0.73
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.67
0.77
0.93
0.73
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Palermo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
79.7%
@ 1.24+4.2%
Under 0.5
20.3%
@ 3.80-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.18
Under
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.05
Betano
3.85
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.9%
@ 2.12+2.8%
Under 1.5
53.1%
@ 1.67-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.22
William Hil
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Unibet
2.08
Betano
2.07
Under
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.63
Superbet
1.63
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.7%
@ 4.60-0.7%
Under 2.5
80.3%
@ 1.18+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.90
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
Under
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Palermo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
62.2%
@ 1.48-0.7%
Under
37.8%
@ 2.51+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.49
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Under
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.45
Palermo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
27.5%
@ 3.13-2.0%
Under
72.5%
@ 1.31+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.30
1xBet
3.20
Betano
3.05
Marathonbet
2.98
Under
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Palermo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.8%
@ 7.93-4.9%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.05+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Superbet
8.20
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Juve Stabia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.2%
@ 2.49+4.9%
Under
57.8%
@ 1.48-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.57
1xBet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.46
Betano
2.37
Under
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Juve Stabia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.1%
@ 9.14-0.1%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.03+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
9.80
Superbet
9.00
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Juve Stabia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 38.00-98.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
38.00
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
96.6%
1.02
Betfair
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.4%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.4%
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.2%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.9%
1.03
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
88.3%
1.12
888Sport
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.13
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
88.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
-
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.8%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
BetVictor
1.06
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.5%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Pinnacle
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
86.2%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
86.1%
1.13
888Sport
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
83.9%
1.18
Pinnacle
1.20
10Bet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.19
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.7%
1.26
Superbet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
+8.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.0%
1.18
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.3%
1.18
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.7%
1.24
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.18
+4.2%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
77.7%
1.24
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.1%
1.29
Superbet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.30
+3.7%
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
72.5%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.29
Superbet
1.29
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.3%
1.44
Unibet
1.49
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
+8.5%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
71.6%
1.30
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.1%
1.31
Superbet
1.31
-
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.0%
1.39
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.40
Superbet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
+3.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Palermo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dennis Johnsen67%
Joel Pohjanpalo33%
Tommaso Augello33%
Filippo Ranocchia33%
Dominic Vavassori33%
Hernani0%
Nahuel Estévez0%
Jacopo Segre0%
Pietro Ceccaroni0%
Gabriel Strefezza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nahuel Estévez33%
Tommaso Augello33%
Jacopo Segre33%
Gabriel Strefezza33%
Joel Pohjanpalo0%
Hernani0%
Filippo Ranocchia0%
Pietro Ceccaroni0%
Dennis Johnsen0%
Dominic Vavassori0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dennis Johnsen67%
Joel Pohjanpalo33%
Hernani33%
Nahuel Estévez0%
Tommaso Augello0%
Jacopo Segre0%
Filippo Ranocchia0%
Pietro Ceccaroni0%
Gabriel Strefezza0%
Dominic Vavassori0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Filippo Ranocchia67%
Joel Pohjanpalo0%
Hernani0%
Nahuel Estévez0%
Tommaso Augello0%
Jacopo Segre0%
Pietro Ceccaroni0%
Gabriel Strefezza0%
Dennis Johnsen0%
Dominic Vavassori0%
Juve Stabia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marco Bellich33%
Leonardo Candellone33%
Thomas Battistella0%
Kevin Piscopo0%
Davide Buglio0%
Manuel Ricciardi0%
Christian Pierobon0%
Pietro Boer0%
Nicola Patanè0%
Saná Fernandes0%
Giulio Scuderi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kevin Piscopo33%
Davide Buglio33%
Giulio Scuderi33%
Marco Bellich0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Leonardo Candellone0%
Manuel Ricciardi0%
Christian Pierobon0%
Pietro Boer0%
Nicola Patanè0%
Saná Fernandes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thomas Battistella33%
Nicola Patanè33%
Marco Bellich0%
Leonardo Candellone0%
Kevin Piscopo0%
Davide Buglio0%
Manuel Ricciardi0%
Christian Pierobon0%
Pietro Boer0%
Saná Fernandes0%
Giulio Scuderi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Leonardo Candellone33%
Kevin Piscopo33%
Marco Bellich0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Davide Buglio0%
Manuel Ricciardi0%
Christian Pierobon0%
Pietro Boer0%
Nicola Patanè0%
Saná Fernandes0%
Giulio Scuderi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PIS (36)
€71m
HV (34)
€57m
PAL (27)
€54m
CRE (30)
€49m
SAM (27)
€37m
MOD (28)
€31m
CES (32)
€28m
AVE (27)
€26m
PAD (31)
€25m
MAN (32)
€24m
SUD (27)
€21m
CAT (30)
€21m
EMP (27)
€20m
CAR (22)
€15m
JS (33)
€13m
ARE (32)
€13m
BEN (30)
€12m
VV (26)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
Palermo's squad is €41m more valuable than Juve Stabia's (€54m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PIS (13)
€24m
PAL (7)
€23m
SAM (7)
€14m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
MAN (12)
€12m
CAT (15)
€12m
EMP (9)
€11m
CES (10)
€10m
MOD (9)
€7m
PAD (9)
€6m
AVE (10)
€6m
CAR (5)
€5m
ASC (11)
€5m
ARE (10)
€4m
BEN (8)
€4m
VE (7)
€3m
SUD (5)
€3m
VV (6)
€2m
JS (8)
€2m
Palermo's attack is €21m more valuable than Juve Stabia's (€23m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PIS (9)
€26m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
PAL (7)
€12m
MOD (9)
€11m
SUD (10)
€11m
AVE (6)
€9m
SAM (6)
€7m
PAD (9)
€7m
MAN (10)
€6m
VE (11)
€6m
EMP (9)
€6m
CES (9)
€5m
VV (12)
€5m
JS (11)
€5m
BEN (9)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
CAR (7)
€2m
ARE (6)
€2m
CAT (2)
€2m
Palermo's midfield is €7m more valuable than Juve Stabia's (€12m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
PAL (13)
€19m
SAM (14)
€17m
MOD (10)
€12m
CES (13)
€12m
PAD (13)
€12m
AVE (11)
€11m
CAT (13)
€8m
SUD (12)
€8m
CAR (10)
€8m
MAN (10)
€7m
ARE (16)
€6m
JS (14)
€6m
BEN (13)
€5m
EMP (9)
€4m
VV (8)
€4m
ASC (12)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
Palermo's defence is €13m more valuable than Juve Stabia's (€19m vs €6m).
Italy: Serie B 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Modena
Mantova
Cesena
Ascoli
Sudtirol
Padova
Avellino
Arezzo
Pisa
Empoli
Vicenza Virtus
Carrarese
Benevento
Hellas Verona
Sampdoria
Catanzaro
Virtus Entella
Cremonese