The contest between Panathinaikos and Olympiakos Piraeus is a tight one, with the model pointing to an away win as the most likely outcome. The expected total of 2.6 goals sits comfortably around the 2-goal mark, which is the most probable total with a 27% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.9% probability. Panathinaikos, playing at home against a stronger side, averages just 0.5 goals scored and concedes 2.0, while Olympiakos, on the road against a weaker opponent, nets 1.23 and concedes only 0.38. Home win probability is 33%, draw 29%, and away win 37%. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.5%), Under 5.5 (95.4%), Under 4.5 (88.3%), Home under 2.5 goals (87.1%), and Away under 2.5 goals (85.2%). All figures are presented as percentages, and every selection is listed with its corresponding probability.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, an away win, did not materialise, as the match finished 1-1, a draw. Panathinaikos, unbeaten in their last five, held Olympiakos Piraeus to a single goal, while the visitors also scored once. The model’s call was wrong, despite the 37% probability of an away victory. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 at 99.5%, Under 6.5 at 98.4%, Home under 3.5 goals at 96.3%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.5%, Under 5.5 at 95.4%, Under 4.5 at 88.3%, Home under 2.5 goals at 87.1%, and Away under 2.5 goals at 85.2%. The final score matched the most likely 1-1 outcome, confirming the low-scoring nature predicted.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Panathinaikos win✗ Miss
33.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus win✗ Miss
37.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Panathinaikos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.80
1.50
0.64
1.25
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.50
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.00
1.12
1.67
0.67
0.60
1.40
vs Weaker (20)
1.60
0.55
1.67
0.33
1.55
0.73
Clean sheet %
50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.60
1.67
0.60
1.27
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.83
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.50
2.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.38
0.50
1.55
0.64
1.23
0.38
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.7%
Under 1.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.1%
Under 2.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.5%
Under 3.5
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.3%
No
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.9%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
9.0%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
Panathinaikos goals ↓
Olympiakos Piraeus goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.0%
9.0%
6.8%
3.0%
1.0%
1
8.3%
14%
8.4%
3.7%
1.2%
2
5.9%
7.8%
5.2%
2.3%
0.8%
3
2.4%
3.2%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.8%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panathinaikos goals (down), columns = Olympiakos Piraeus goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Nea Ionia
2.33
Aris Avato
2.33
Asteras Tripolis
2.29
PAOK
2.25
Ethnikos Piraeus
2.25
Apollon Krya Vrysi
2.25
Volos NFC
2.00
Kifisia
2.00
Panserraikos
2.00
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.00
Iraklis 1908
2.00
OFI
2.00
PAS Giannina
2.00
Kampaniakos Chalastra
2.00
Kavala
2.00
Makedonikos Neapolis
2.00
Panargiakos
2.00
Anagennisi Artas
2.00
Panachaiki FC
1.86
Panathinaikos
1.75
AEK Athens FC
1.67
Diagoras
1.67
Zakynthos
1.67
Panthrakikos
1.50
Kalamata
1.50
Ilioupoli
1.50
Niki Volos
1.50
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
1.50
Nea Artaki
1.50
Atromitos Palamas
1.50
Evosmou
1.50
Thyella Kamari
1.50
Trikala
1.50
Mandraikos
1.50
Aigeas Plomariou
1.50
Erani Filiatra
1.50
Panionios
1.43
Egaleo
1.40
Larisa
1.33
Aris Thessalonikis
1.33
Atromitos
1.00
Korinthos
1.00
Saronikos Anavyssou
1.00
Kallithea
0.67
Afantou
0.50
Panetolikos
0.00
Lamia
0.00
Levadiakos
0.00
Kissamikos
0.00
Episkopi
0.00
Ermionida
0.00
Olympiakos Volos
0.00
Thyella Katsikas
0.00
Doxa Volakas
0.00
Diagoras Ikaria
0.00
Ermis Amyntaio
0.00
Orestis Orestiadas
0.00
Kydonias
0.00
Naousa
0.00
Smolikas Falanis
0.00
Spartakos Graikochoriou
0.00
Thyella Chalkeiou
0.00
Apollon Paralimniou
0.00
PAO Vardas
0.00
Agios Nikolaos
0.00
Akadimia Platamona
0.00
Agios Dimitrios Agrinio
0.00
Eordaikos
0.00
Apollo Efpaliou
0.00
Lefkimmi
0.00
Sartis
0.00
Thyella Patras
0.00
Astrapi Mesopotamia
0.00
Astir Stavros
0.00
Byron Kavala
0.00
Panlakonikos
0.00
Ermis Kanaliou
0.00
Pallixouriakos
0.00
Kilkisiakos
0.00
Panathinaikos is 0.25 points worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PAS Giannina
6.00
Panthrakikos
4.50
Kifisia
3.40
Iraklis 1908
3.00
PAOK
2.75
Nea Artaki
2.50
Apollon Krya Vrysi
2.50
Zakynthos
2.17
Kavala
2.00
Panargiakos
2.00
Doxa Volakas
2.00
Ethnikos Piraeus
2.00
Atromitos Palamas
2.00
Evosmou
2.00
Aigeas Plomariou
2.00
Erani Filiatra
2.00
Anagennisi Artas
2.00
Panlakonikos
2.00
Asteras Tripolis
1.86
OFI
1.75
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.71
Volos NFC
1.67
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.67
Ilioupoli
1.50
Niki Volos
1.50
Trikala
1.50
Panachaiki FC
1.43
Atromitos
1.33
Panionios
1.29
Panathinaikos
1.25
Egaleo
1.20
Panetolikos
1.00
Larisa
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Levadiakos
1.00
Kissamikos
1.00
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
1.00
Olympiakos Volos
1.00
Mandraikos
1.00
Apollon Paralimniou
1.00
Agios Nikolaos
1.00
Akadimia Platamona
1.00
Eordaikos
1.00
Thyella Patras
1.00
Astrapi Mesopotamia
1.00
Aris Avato
1.00
Saronikos Anavyssou
1.00
AEK Athens FC
0.83
Aris Thessalonikis
0.67
Diagoras
0.67
Nea Ionia
0.67
Kalamata
0.50
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.50
Thyella Kamari
0.50
Afantou
0.50
Kallithea
0.33
Lamia
0.00
Episkopi
0.00
Ermionida
0.00
Korinthos
0.00
Thyella Katsikas
0.00
Diagoras Ikaria
0.00
Ermis Amyntaio
0.00
Orestis Orestiadas
0.00
Kydonias
0.00
Naousa
0.00
Smolikas Falanis
0.00
Spartakos Graikochoriou
0.00
Thyella Chalkeiou
0.00
PAO Vardas
0.00
Agios Dimitrios Agrinio
0.00
Apollo Efpaliou
0.00
Lefkimmi
0.00
Sartis
0.00
Astir Stavros
0.00
Byron Kavala
0.00
Ermis Kanaliou
0.00
Pallixouriakos
0.00
Kilkisiakos
0.00
Panathinaikos is 0.46 goals worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.00
Diagoras
0.00
Korinthos
0.00
Nea Ionia
0.00
Larisa
0.33
Aris Avato
0.33
Anagennisi Artas
0.33
Kifisia
0.40
PAOK
0.50
Iraklis 1908
0.50
Kalamata
0.50
Ilioupoli
0.50
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
0.50
Asteras Tripolis
0.57
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.57
Aris Thessalonikis
0.67
PAS Giannina
0.67
Kallithea
0.67
Panionios
0.86
OFI
0.88
Panthrakikos
1.00
Panathinaikos
1.00
Lamia
1.00
Volos NFC
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.00
Episkopi
1.00
Ethnikos Piraeus
1.00
Orestis Orestiadas
1.00
Smolikas Falanis
1.00
Thyella Kamari
1.00
Mandraikos
1.00
Aigeas Plomariou
1.00
Astir Stavros
1.00
Afantou
1.00
Saronikos Anavyssou
1.00
Byron Kavala
1.00
Kilkisiakos
1.00
Panachaiki FC
1.29
AEK Athens FC
1.33
Kavala
1.33
Zakynthos
1.33
Niki Volos
1.50
Nea Artaki
1.50
Atromitos Palamas
1.50
Evosmou
1.50
Apollon Krya Vrysi
1.50
Erani Filiatra
1.50
Atromitos
1.67
Panargiakos
1.67
Panetolikos
2.00
Levadiakos
2.00
Naousa
2.00
Trikala
2.00
Thyella Patras
2.00
Egaleo
2.60
Kissamikos
3.00
Thyella Katsikas
3.00
Thyella Chalkeiou
3.00
Agios Nikolaos
3.00
Akadimia Platamona
3.00
Agios Dimitrios Agrinio
3.00
Eordaikos
3.00
Apollo Efpaliou
3.00
Lefkimmi
3.00
Ermis Kanaliou
3.00
Pallixouriakos
3.00
Olympiakos Volos
4.00
Doxa Volakas
4.00
Kydonias
4.00
Apollon Paralimniou
4.00
Panlakonikos
4.00
Ermis Amyntaio
5.00
PAO Vardas
5.00
Astrapi Mesopotamia
5.00
Ermionida
7.00
Sartis
9.00
Spartakos Graikochoriou
11.00
Diagoras Ikaria
14.00
Panathinaikos is 0.43 goals worse than Olympiakos Piraeus in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.57).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Panathinaikos
For 10.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 12.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 16.2 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Olympiakos Piraeus
For 5.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 11.8 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Panathinaikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
11.3
8.6
5.9
5.8
6.0
29.0
28.0
30.1
vs Stronger (6)
11.8
11.3
13.0
6.5
5.8
8.0
25.2
26.0
23.0
vs Similar (15)
8.3
9.3
7.5
6.0
6.3
5.8
28.9
27.3
30.2
vs Weaker (29)
10.6
12.4
9.0
5.7
5.6
5.8
29.8
28.9
30.5
% over line
55%
68%
41%
82%
84%
80%
98%
100%
95%
% under line
45%
32%
59%
18%
16%
20%
2%
0%
5%
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.6
9.0
4.5
4.1
4.8
24.5
23.2
25.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
8.1
8.1
8.0
5.2
5.0
5.5
22.9
23.0
22.8
vs Weaker (36)
9.1
8.8
9.4
4.2
3.7
4.6
25.1
23.2
26.8
% over line
38%
29%
46%
62%
56%
68%
73%
71%
75%
% under line
62%
71%
54%
38%
44%
32%
27%
29%
25%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Panionios
10.4
Kifisia
10.2
AEK Athens FC
10.1
Kallithea
10.0
Panathinaikos
9.9
PAS Giannina
9.6
PAOK
9.1
Lamia
9.1
Asteras Tripolis
9.0
Volos NFC
9.0
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.8
Larisa
8.8
Levadiakos
8.6
Aris Thessalonikis
8.5
OFI
8.5
Ionikos
8.3
Panserraikos
8.3
Panetolikos
8.3
Atromitos
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panserraikos
7.1
Kifisia
6.7
Volos NFC
6.6
Levadiakos
6.5
Atromitos
6.3
OFI
6.1
Panathinaikos
6.1
Larisa
6.1
Aris Thessalonikis
5.9
Kallithea
5.9
Panionios
5.8
AEK Athens FC
5.7
PAOK
5.5
Panetolikos
5.5
Asteras Tripolis
5.5
PAS Giannina
5.1
Ionikos
5.1
Lamia
5.0
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Larisa
36.2
Volos NFC
33.2
Ionikos
32.9
Levadiakos
31.8
Panserraikos
31.1
Panionios
30.3
Kifisia
30.3
Atromitos
30.2
OFI
29.9
Aris Thessalonikis
29.8
PAS Giannina
29.4
Kallithea
29.2
Panathinaikos
29.1
Lamia
29.0
Panetolikos
28.8
AEK Athens FC
28.1
Asteras Tripolis
27.2
PAOK
24.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
63.3%
Under 9.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.9%
Under 3.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
62.0%
Under 21.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Panathinaikos or Draw✓ Hit
62.5%
Avg Implied -
33%
29%
37%
covers Panathinaikos + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos or Olympiakos Piraeus✗ Miss
70.9%
Avg Implied -
33%
29%
37%
covers Panathinaikos + Olympiakos Piraeus
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Olympiakos Piraeus✓ Hit
66.6%
Avg Implied -
33%
29%
37%
covers Draw + Olympiakos Piraeus
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.0%
Under
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.1%
Under
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.9%
Under
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.4%
Under
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.1%
Under
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.8%
Under
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Panathinaikos, so a minus line means Panathinaikos give that many goals of a start and Olympiakos Piraeus receive them. At -1, Panathinaikos must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Panathinaikos win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.23
0.73
0.27
0.33
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.17
0.50
0.25
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (24)
0.54
0.25
0.82
0.27
0.31
0.23
Clean sheet %
80% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Panathinaikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.93
0.43
0.56
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.50
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.62
1.00
0.33
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (20)
0.85
0.35
1.00
0.22
0.73
0.45
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.37
0.93
0.33
0.93
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.33
0.83
1.50
0.25
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (24)
0.83
0.25
0.73
0.36
0.92
0.15
Clean sheet %
70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Panathinaikos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fotis Ioannidis30%
Karol Świderski27%
Tetê21%
Filip Đuričić20%
Alexander Jeremejeff14%
Andraž Šporar14%
Azzedine Ounahi12%
Nemanja Maksimović11%
Facundo Pellistri10%
Anastasios Bakasetas6%
Adam Gnezda Čerin5%
Filip Mladenović5%
Tin Jedvaj4%
Willian Arão3%
Giorgos Vagiannidis3%
Sverrir Ingi Ingason3%
Zeca0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Dimitris Limnios0%
Bart Schenkeveld0%
George Baldock0%
Daniel Mancini0%
Philipp Max0%
Giannis Kotsiras0%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Manolis Siopis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Filip Mladenović42%
Erik Palmer-Brown38%
Karol Świderski33%
George Baldock33%
Filip Đuričić25%
Tin Jedvaj23%
Zeca20%
Bart Schenkeveld19%
Philipp Max18%
Fotis Ioannidis16%
Nemanja Maksimović16%
Willian Arão15%
Andraž Šporar14%
Manolis Siopis14%
Giorgos Vagiannidis14%
Adam Gnezda Čerin14%
Sverrir Ingi Ingason13%
Azzedine Ounahi12%
Tetê12%
Anastasios Bakasetas10%
Facundo Pellistri10%
Dimitris Limnios8%
Daniel Mancini8%
Alexander Jeremejeff7%
Giannis Kotsiras6%
Yury Lodygin0%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Karol Świderski20%
Azzedine Ounahi15%
Giannis Kotsiras12%
Nemanja Maksimović11%
Facundo Pellistri10%
Philipp Max9%
Dimitris Limnios8%
Daniel Mancini8%
Filip Mladenović8%
Filip Đuričić8%
Manolis Siopis7%
Tetê7%
Anastasios Bakasetas6%
Giorgos Vagiannidis6%
Tin Jedvaj4%
Fotis Ioannidis3%
Sverrir Ingi Ingason3%
Zeca0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Bart Schenkeveld0%
Willian Arão0%
George Baldock0%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Alexander Jeremejeff0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Andraž Šporar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tetê26%
Fotis Ioannidis22%
Karol Świderski20%
Filip Đuričić12%
Azzedine Ounahi12%
Alexander Jeremejeff11%
Daniel Mancini4%
Tin Jedvaj4%
Anastasios Bakasetas3%
Facundo Pellistri3%
Willian Arão3%
Adam Gnezda Čerin3%
Nemanja Maksimović3%
Zeca0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Sverrir Ingi Ingason0%
Dimitris Limnios0%
Filip Mladenović0%
Bart Schenkeveld0%
George Baldock0%
Philipp Max0%
Giannis Kotsiras0%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Andraž Šporar0%
Manolis Siopis0%
Giorgos Vagiannidis0%
Olympiakos Piraeus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayoub El Kaabi51%
Chiquinho22%
Gelson Martins21%
Charalampos Kostoulas20%
Kristoffer Velde15%
Roman Yaremchuk13%
Rodinei10%
Giulian Biancone10%
Panagiotis Retsos4%
David Carmo3%
Christos Mouzakitis3%
Santiago Hezze3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Giorgos Masouras0%
Willian0%
Sérgio Oliveira0%
Francisco Ortega0%
Luis Palma0%
Dani García0%
André Horta0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Costinha0%
Bruno Onyemaechi0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giulian Biancone29%
Marko Stamenić22%
Dani García21%
Santiago Hezze21%
David Carmo19%
Rodinei18%
Roman Yaremchuk17%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos17%
Panagiotis Retsos15%
Gelson Martins15%
Giorgos Masouras14%
Andreas Ndoj12%
Kristoffer Velde11%
Charalampos Kostoulas10%
Francisco Ortega9%
Bruno Onyemaechi9%
Sérgio Oliveira8%
Christos Mouzakitis6%
Costinha6%
Ayoub El Kaabi5%
Lorenzo Pirola3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis2%
Willian0%
Luis Palma0%
Chiquinho0%
André Horta0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gelson Martins30%
Rodinei23%
Ayoub El Kaabi14%
Christos Mouzakitis12%
Chiquinho11%
Willian10%
Bruno Onyemaechi9%
Costinha9%
Roman Yaremchuk7%
Giulian Biancone5%
Panagiotis Retsos4%
Kristoffer Velde4%
Charalampos Kostoulas3%
Francisco Ortega3%
Dani García3%
Santiago Hezze3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Giorgos Masouras0%
Sérgio Oliveira0%
Luis Palma0%
David Carmo0%
André Horta0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayoub El Kaabi49%
Luis Palma30%
Gelson Martins21%
Charalampos Kostoulas20%
Chiquinho17%
Kristoffer Velde15%
Costinha9%
Rodinei5%
Roman Yaremchuk3%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Giorgos Masouras0%
Willian0%
Sérgio Oliveira0%
Francisco Ortega0%
David Carmo0%
Dani García0%
André Horta0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Marko Stamenić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Santiago Hezze0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Bruno Onyemaechi0%
Christos Mouzakitis0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
EGA (40)
€6m
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
ILI (31)
€4m
PG (36)
€4m
KAV (28)
€3m
MN (29)
€3m
KC (26)
€2m
PAN (32)
€2m
Panathinaikos's squad is €65m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€109m vs €175m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
EGA (19)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
I1 (6)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
PG (12)
€1m
KAV (12)
€1m
ILI (10)
€1m
MN (10)
€1m
PAN (12)
€1m
KC (8)
€1m
Panathinaikos's attack is €38m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€46m vs €84m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
EGA (6)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
ILI (6)
€1m
KC (7)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
PG (7)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
MN (4)
€0m
PAN (7)
€0m
KAV (4)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Panathinaikos's midfield is €22m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€26m vs €47m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
EGA (15)
€2m
LAR (13)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
ILI (15)
€2m
PG (17)
€2m
KAV (12)
€1m
MN (15)
€1m
KC (11)
€1m
PAN (13)
€1m
Panathinaikos's defence is €6m less valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus's (€38m vs €44m).
Greece: Super League 1 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
Levadiakos
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Panserraikos
Volos NFC
OFI
Kallithea
Lamia