This match between Panetolikos and Asteras Tripolis is finely balanced, with recent form telling a story of its own. Panetolikos are coming off a defeat, having lost 1-2 to Asteras Tripolis in their last encounter, while Asteras Tripolis are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including a 2-1 win over Panetolikos.
The model predicts a home win for Panetolikos, with a 38% chance of success, closely followed by a draw at 31%, and an away win for Asteras Tripolis at 31%. The expected total number of goals is 2.3, with the most likely total number of goals being 2.
The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 14.5%. Panetolikos have been averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.38 conceded at home, while Asteras Tripolis have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded away from home against similar opponents.
The model's selections include Over 21.5 fouls at 87.6%, Under 3.5 cards at 79.5%, and Over 3.5 cards at 77.3%. Panetolikos have a 38% chance of winning, a 31% chance of drawing, and a 31% chance of losing.
Results analysis
Panetolikos’ recent win extended their run, and the model’s favourite of a home win at 40 % proved correct as the match finished 3-1. The pre-match pick of a home victory was right, and the model’s selection of Under 7.5 goals at 99.7 % hit, as did Under 6.5 at 99.0 %. The model also correctly predicted Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.5 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.4 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.2 %) and Under 5.5 (96.9 %). All of the model’s picks were settled, with every probability expressed as a percentage.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Panetolikos win✓ Hit
40.3%
Avg Implied 33.1% · @ 2.81
Edge
+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.03
Bet365
3.00
1xBet
2.90
Superbet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.90
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied 31.4% · @ 2.96
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.08
Dafabet
3.05
Betano
3.05
Superbet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Asteras Tripolis win✗ Miss
29.4%
Avg Implied 35.5% · @ 2.62
Edge
-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.87
Unibet
2.75
Dafabet
2.75
10Bet
2.66
888Sport
2.63
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Panetolikos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.40
0.85
1.77
0.82
1.12
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.60
0.33
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.15
1.30
1.29
1.57
1.08
1.15
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asteras Tripolis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.37
1.40
1.07
0.53
1.67
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.80
0.25
1.75
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.96
1.33
1.50
0.90
0.57
1.64
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
5.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.8%
@ 1.44+5.2%
Under 1.5
30.2%
@ 2.63-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Unibet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Under
Pinnacle
2.78
Betano
2.75
Superbet
2.75
Betfair
2.70
888Sport
2.63
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.2%
@ 2.40+3.0%
Under 2.5
57.8%
@ 1.54-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.48
Betfair
2.45
Betano
2.42
Superbet
2.42
Marathonbet
2.40
Under
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.5%
@ 4.55+0.9%
Under 3.5
78.5%
@ 1.18-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.83
BetVictor
4.80
Superbet
4.60
888Sport
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Under
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.1%
@ 1.97+2.1%
No
50.9%
@ 1.75-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
No
Betfair
1.80
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.76
888Sport
1.75
Bet365
1.75
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%@ 5.46+6.2%
1-0
10.8%@ 6.75+4.3%
0-0
10.7%@ 6.81+4.2%
0-1
8.7%@ 6.54+2.0%
2-1
8.4%@ 9.78+3.9%
2-0
7.9%@ 11.94+4.2%
1-2
7.0%@ 9.73+2.4%
0-2
5.4%@ 11.26+1.5%
Panetolikos goals ↓
Asteras Tripolis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.7%
5.4%
1.9%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
7.0%
2.5%
0.7%
2
7.9%
8.4%
4.5%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.4%
3.6%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.1%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panetolikos goals (down), columns = Asteras Tripolis goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.29
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.12
PAOK
2.06
Panathinaikos
1.71
Levadiakos
1.61
Aris Thessalonikis
1.44
Atromitos
1.29
Iraklis 1908
1.22
OFI
1.22
Kifisia
1.18
Kalamata
1.03
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Panetolikos and Asteras Tripolis are level in average points per game (both 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levadiakos
2.00
PAOK
1.88
AEK Athens FC
1.76
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.68
Panathinaikos
1.56
Atromitos
1.39
OFI
1.34
Kifisia
1.18
Iraklis 1908
1.17
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Kalamata
0.99
Panetolikos and Asteras Tripolis are level in goals scored per game (both 1.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.50
AEK Athens FC
0.62
PAOK
0.76
Panathinaikos
1.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.06
Atromitos
1.18
Asteras Tripolis
1.39
Kifisia
1.42
Panetolikos
1.42
Iraklis 1908
1.48
Levadiakos
1.50
Volos NFC
1.67
OFI
1.72
Kalamata
1.75
Panetolikos is 0.03 goals worse than Asteras Tripolis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Olympiakos Piraeus
60%
PAOK
60%
AEK Athens FC
57%
Levadiakos
56%
Atromitos
53%
Panathinaikos
53%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Kifisia
48%
Volos NFC
46%
Panetolikos
46%
OFI
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Panetolikos is 0.8 percentage points better than Asteras Tripolis in terms of average possession (46% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Panetolikos
For 3.5 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 15.2 · Total 29.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Asteras Tripolis
For 5.7 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 11.9 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Panetolikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
9.1
8.1
4.6
4.4
4.7
27.1
25.7
28.3
vs Stronger (17)
9.4
8.7
10.1
4.2
4.0
4.3
27.9
27.1
28.7
vs Similar (33)
8.2
9.3
7.2
4.8
4.6
4.9
26.7
25.0
28.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
57%
30%
68%
61%
74%
84%
71%
96%
% under line
57%
43%
70%
32%
39%
26%
16%
29%
4%
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asteras Tripolis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.1
9.5
4.8
5.5
4.2
28.0
27.5
28.5
vs Stronger (12)
9.3
10.0
8.7
4.6
4.8
4.3
28.5
28.4
28.5
vs Similar (37)
9.9
10.1
9.8
5.1
6.1
4.2
27.8
27.3
28.4
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
59%
55%
70%
75%
65%
84%
91%
77%
% under line
43%
41%
45%
30%
25%
35%
16%
9%
23%
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kifisia
9.5
Asteras Tripolis
9.4
Aris Thessalonikis
9.3
Kalamata
9.0
OFI
9.0
Atromitos
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
PAOK
8.8
AEK Athens FC
8.7
Panetolikos
8.7
Volos NFC
8.6
Levadiakos
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.4
Iraklis 1908
5.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kifisia
6.6
OFI
5.6
Volos NFC
5.6
Kalamata
5.5
Asteras Tripolis
5.5
Levadiakos
5.5
AEK Athens FC
5.4
Panetolikos
5.4
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Panathinaikos
5.1
Atromitos
4.9
PAOK
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
Iraklis 1908
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Kalamata
38.0
Iraklis 1908
36.5
Kifisia
32.2
Atromitos
30.4
Levadiakos
30.3
Volos NFC
30.3
AEK Athens FC
29.5
OFI
28.5
Aris Thessalonikis
28.4
Panathinaikos
28.3
Asteras Tripolis
27.6
Panetolikos
27.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.4
PAOK
24.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
41.9%
@ 2.26+1.3%
Under 9.5
58.1%
@ 1.54-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Marathonbet
2.31
Pinnacle
2.29
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.21
Under
Superbet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.59
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.52
Unibet
1.52
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
77.4%
Under 3.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.0%
Under 21.5
12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Panetolikos or Draw✓ Hit
68.8%
Avg Implied 64.9% · @ 1.44
Edge
+4.0%
40%
30%
29%
covers Panetolikos + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
BetVictor
1.45
10Bet
1.44
Panetolikos or Asteras Tripolis✓ Hit
69.3%
Avg Implied 68.7% · @ 1.36
Edge
+0.5%
40%
30%
29%
covers Panetolikos + Asteras Tripolis
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Draw or Asteras Tripolis✗ Miss
61.9%
Avg Implied 66.4% · @ 1.41
Edge
-4.5%
40%
30%
29%
covers Draw + Asteras Tripolis
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Panetolikos over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.8%
@ 1.41+4.8%
Under
29.2%
@ 2.73-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.46
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Under
Betano
2.82
Pinnacle
2.80
888Sport
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Panetolikos over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
34.9%
@ 3.00+4.0%
Under
65.1%
@ 1.35-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.31
Marathonbet
3.16
BetVictor
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Betfair
3.00
Under
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Panetolikos over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
12.8%
@ 7.84+0.8%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.06-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.60
1xBet
8.50
888Sport
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.06
Panetolikos over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 20.31-1.1%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.01+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
26.00
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Asteras Tripolis over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.4%
@ 1.38-0.6%
Under
33.6%
@ 2.81+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
888Sport
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
3.05
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Superbet
2.85
Asteras Tripolis over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.8%
@ 2.89-2.4%
Under
70.2%
@ 1.37+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.98
Betano
2.92
888Sport
2.90
Under
1xBet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Asteras Tripolis over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.8%
@ 7.29-3.0%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.07+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.50
Superbet
7.10
BetVictor
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Betfair
1.07
Asteras Tripolis over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 19.94-2.3%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
26.00
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Panetolikos, so a minus line means Panetolikos give that many goals of a start and Asteras Tripolis receive them. At -1, Panetolikos must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Panetolikos win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Panetolikos)Actual: Draw
Panetolikos -2
5.8%
@ 15.00-0.2%
Draw -2
11.4%
@ 8.17+0.3%
Asteras Tripolis +2
82.8%
@ 1.10-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
18.00
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
12.00
Draw
Betfair
9.00
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
7.00
Away
Unibet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Handicap -1 (Panetolikos)Actual: Panetolikos
Panetolikos -1
17.2%
@ 6.14+2.5%
Draw -1
20.9%
@ 4.16-0.7%
Asteras Tripolis +1
61.9%
@ 1.41-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.55
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.40
Draw
Marathonbet
4.45
Betfair
4.33
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
3.95
Unibet
3.75
Away
Unibet
1.45
10Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Handicap +1 (Panetolikos)Actual: Panetolikos
Panetolikos +1
68.8%
@ 1.44+6.7%
Draw +1
18.4%
@ 4.05-3.7%
Asteras Tripolis -1
12.8%
@ 5.67-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Away
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.55
Betfair
5.50
Handicap +2 (Panetolikos)Actual: Panetolikos
Panetolikos +2
87.2%
@ 1.11+5.4%
Draw +2
8.9%
@ 7.67-2.9%
Asteras Tripolis -2
3.9%
@ 14.33-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.00
Away
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
15.00
Superbet
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Panetolikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.80
0.38
0.92
0.41
0.71
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
0.80
0.33
0.83
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.80
0.43
1.00
0.54
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asteras Tripolis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.60
0.67
0.40
0.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
1.40
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.58
0.70
0.40
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.0%
@ 1.50+5.2%
Under 0.5
33.0%
@ 2.44-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
BetVictor
1.52
Pinnacle
1.52
Under
William Hil
2.60
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.45
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
29.0%
@ 3.41+1.7%
Under 1.5
71.0%
@ 1.28-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.48
Under
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.0%
@ 9.42-1.0%
Under 2.5
91.0%
@ 1.05+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
9.90
1xBet
9.90
William Hil
9.00
Betfair
9.00
Under
Betano
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.03
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panetolikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
46.5%
@ 2.37+7.2%
Under
53.5%
@ 1.53-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.53
Marathonbet
2.43
Superbet
2.42
1xBet
2.38
Betano
2.35
Under
10Bet
1.57
Unibet
1.55
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Panetolikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 8.24-0.2%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.05+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.90
1xBet
8.50
Superbet
8.20
10Bet
7.50
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.01
Panetolikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 33.00-97.4%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
33.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
39.3%
@ 2.33-0.7%
Under
60.7%
@ 1.55+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.42
Unibet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.35
Superbet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.31
Under
Pinnacle
1.60
10Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.53
Asteras Tripolis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.4%
@ 7.88-2.4%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.06+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.90
1xBet
8.00
Superbet
7.50
Betano
7.50
10Bet
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
Asteras Tripolis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 29.00-98.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Panetolikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.60
0.46
0.85
0.41
0.41
vs Stronger (10)
0.00
0.80
0.00
1.17
0.00
0.25
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.50
0.86
0.57
0.54
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asteras Tripolis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.80
0.40
0.13
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.40
0.25
0.25
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.75
0.80
0.50
0.14
0.93
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.4%
@ 1.33+5.1%
Under 0.5
24.6%
@ 3.14-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.20
Marathonbet
3.15
1xBet
3.15
Superbet
3.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
39.4%
@ 2.51+2.3%
Under 1.5
60.6%
@ 1.47-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.55
Superbet
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Under
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
13.5%
@ 5.97-2.1%
Under 2.5
86.5%
@ 1.10+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.00
Marathonbet
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Superbet
5.90
Under
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.07
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panetolikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.5%
@ 1.97+3.6%
Under
49.5%
@ 1.74-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.99
Betano
1.91
Under
Betano
1.83
Superbet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Panetolikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
14.8%
@ 6.17-0.2%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.09+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.70
1xBet
6.70
Superbet
6.10
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Panetolikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 15.62-3.3%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Asteras Tripolis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
44.2%
@ 1.93-3.7%
Under
55.8%
@ 1.77+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.97
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Under
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Superbet
1.74
Asteras Tripolis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 5.83-4.1%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.10+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
6.05
Superbet
5.70
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Asteras Tripolis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 15.25-3.9%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
1xBet
1.01
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.3%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.0%
1.05
Betano
1.06
William Hil
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.03
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.6%
1.06
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.03
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.2%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Betfair
1.07
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.01
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.2%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
87.2%
1.06
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
888Sport
1.06
-0.8%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
87.2%
1.11
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
86.5%
1.10
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.07
+2.1%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.2%
1.09
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
+0.2%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
82.8%
1.10
Unibet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
-
-
-0.0%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
79.8%
1.17
Betano
1.18
Unibet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.5%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Bet365
1.18
-0.9%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.4%
1.33
William Hil
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.31
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.0%
1.28
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
70.8%
1.41
Pinnacle
1.46
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
70.2%
1.37
1xBet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.0%
1.31
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
+0.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Panetolikos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Juan Manuel García25%
Béni Nkololo25%
Farley Rosa21%
Jorge Aguirre17%
Alexandru Mățan15%
Youssouph Badji13%
Kosta Aleksić12%
Sotiris Kontouris10%
Konrad Michalak9%
Lenny Lobato6%
Diego Esteban6%
Lampros Smyrlis5%
Charis Mavrias4%
Andreas Bouchalakis3%
Miguel Luís0%
Lucas Cháves0%
Christian Manrique0%
Christos Sielis0%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Lazar Kojić0%
Unai García0%
Gustav Granath0%
Yevhenii Kucherenko0%
Giannis Satsias0%
Nikola Stajić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Jeyson Chura0%
Christos Belevonis0%
Vangelis Nikolaou0%
Adriano Bregou0%
Georgios Agapakis0%
David Galiatsos0%
Deivid Hoxha0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgios Agapakis38%
Miguel Luís29%
Lazar Kojić29%
Charis Mavrias25%
Christos Sielis25%
Béni Nkololo25%
Christian Manrique24%
Andreas Bouchalakis20%
Youssouph Badji20%
Jeyson Chura20%
Kosta Aleksić18%
Jorge Aguirre17%
David Galiatsos17%
Unai García15%
Giannis Satsias15%
Farley Rosa14%
Lenny Lobato12%
Diego Esteban12%
Nikola Stajić11%
Yevhenii Kucherenko10%
Sotiris Kontouris10%
Adriano Bregou9%
Juan Manuel García8%
Lucas Cháves7%
Alexandru Mățan6%
Gustav Granath6%
Vangelis Nikolaou6%
Lampros Smyrlis5%
Konrad Michalak4%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Christos Belevonis0%
Deivid Hoxha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Youssouph Badji20%
Farley Rosa14%
Konrad Michalak13%
Alexandru Mățan9%
Béni Nkololo8%
Giannis Satsias8%
Lucas Cháves7%
Lenny Lobato6%
Lampros Smyrlis5%
Jorge Aguirre4%
Christos Sielis4%
Christian Manrique3%
Andreas Bouchalakis3%
Kosta Aleksić3%
Diego Esteban3%
Miguel Luís0%
Juan Manuel García0%
Charis Mavrias0%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Lazar Kojić0%
Unai García0%
Gustav Granath0%
Yevhenii Kucherenko0%
Nikola Stajić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Jeyson Chura0%
Christos Belevonis0%
Vangelis Nikolaou0%
Adriano Bregou0%
Georgios Agapakis0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
David Galiatsos0%
Deivid Hoxha0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Béni Nkololo25%
Farley Rosa14%
Youssouph Badji13%
Juan Manuel García8%
Jorge Aguirre8%
Lenny Lobato6%
Alexandru Mățan6%
Konrad Michalak4%
Miguel Luís0%
Andreas Bouchalakis0%
Lucas Cháves0%
Christian Manrique0%
Charis Mavrias0%
Christos Sielis0%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Kosta Aleksić0%
Lazar Kojić0%
Unai García0%
Gustav Granath0%
Yevhenii Kucherenko0%
Giannis Satsias0%
Nikola Stajić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Diego Esteban0%
Jeyson Chura0%
Christos Belevonis0%
Lampros Smyrlis0%
Vangelis Nikolaou0%
Adriano Bregou0%
Georgios Agapakis0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
David Galiatsos0%
Deivid Hoxha0%
Asteras Tripolis · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Julián Bartolo30%
Federico Macheda26%
Georgios Charalampoglou10%
Julián Chicco9%
Kalvin Ketu9%
Nikos Kaltsas7%
Christos Almyras6%
Robert Ivanov6%
Nicholas Gioacchini6%
Chidera Okoh6%
Nikolai Alho5%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe4%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis4%
Eder González4%
Pepe Castaño0%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy0%
Júnior Mendieta0%
Issiaga Sylla0%
Theofanis Tzandaris0%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos0%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos0%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Dani Fernández0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Miguel Muñoz Mora0%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil0%
Konstantinos Pomonis0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pepe Castaño75%
Alexandros Tereziou50%
Konstantinos Pomonis46%
Dani Fernández36%
Miguel Muñoz Mora32%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe30%
Nikola Šipčić29%
Robert Ivanov28%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos27%
Stefan Mitrović25%
Nikos Kaltsas21%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil20%
Nikolai Alho19%
Christos Almyras19%
Issiaga Sylla18%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy17%
Chidera Okoh17%
Federico Macheda16%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis12%
Julián Bartolo12%
Nicholas Gioacchini11%
Theofanis Tzandaris10%
Julián Chicco9%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis8%
Eder González8%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos7%
Kalvin Ketu6%
Júnior Mendieta0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Georgios Charalampoglou0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kalvin Ketu15%
Julián Chicco9%
Federico Macheda6%
Júnior Mendieta6%
Christos Almyras6%
Julián Bartolo6%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy6%
Nicholas Gioacchini6%
Nikolai Alho5%
Issiaga Sylla5%
Miguel Muñoz Mora5%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis4%
Eder González4%
Nikos Kaltsas3%
Pepe Castaño0%
Theofanis Tzandaris0%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos0%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe0%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos0%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Robert Ivanov0%
Dani Fernández0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil0%
Chidera Okoh0%
Konstantinos Pomonis0%
Georgios Charalampoglou0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Christos Almyras19%
Julián Bartolo18%
Nikos Kaltsas10%
Federico Macheda10%
Kalvin Ketu6%
Chidera Okoh6%
Pepe Castaño0%
Evgeniy Yablonskiy0%
Júnior Mendieta0%
Julián Chicco0%
Issiaga Sylla0%
Theofanis Tzandaris0%
Dimitris Emmanouilidis0%
Nikolaos Papadopoulos0%
Oluwatobiloba Alagbe0%
Konstantinos Triantafyllopoulos0%
Panagiotis Deligiannidis0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Nikolai Alho0%
Robert Ivanov0%
Eder González0%
Dani Fernández0%
Alexandros Tereziou0%
Alberto Simoni0%
Nicholas Gioacchini0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Miguel Muñoz Mora0%
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil0%
Konstantinos Pomonis0%
Georgios Charalampoglou0%
Dimitris Laskaris0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
Panetolikos and Asteras Tripolis have a similar squad value (both €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
Panetolikos's attack is €3m more valuable than Asteras Tripolis's (€7m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
Panetolikos and Asteras Tripolis have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
Panetolikos's defence is €2m less valuable than Asteras Tripolis's (€3m vs €6m).
Greece: Super League 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
OFI
Kifisia
Volos NFC
Iraklis 1908
Atromitos
Kalamata
Levadiakos