This opponent (Athens Kallithea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AK
Athens Kallithea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.57
1.07
1.73
0.80
1.40
vs Stronger (15)
0.80
1.67
0.88
1.88
0.71
1.43
vs Similar (15)
1.07
1.47
1.29
1.57
0.88
1.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
58.3%
Under 1.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.9%
@ 2.44-8.5%
Under 2.5
70.1%
@ 1.52+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.7%
Under 3.5
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.6%
No
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.1%
1-0
14.6%
1-1
14.6%
0-1 ✓
11.0%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
5.1%
Panetolikos goals ↓
Athens Kallithea goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
11%
5.1%
1.4%
0.3%
1
15%
15%
5.5%
1.5%
0.3%
2
8.6%
7.2%
3.0%
0.8%
0.2%
3
3.1%
2.6%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panetolikos goals (down), columns = Athens Kallithea goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.36
Panathinaikos
1.92
AEK Athens FC
1.75
Aris Thessalonikis
1.74
PAOK
1.72
Asteras Tripolis
1.55
Levadiakos
1.48
Panetolikos
1.40
Atromitos
1.37
OFI Crete
1.19
OFI
1.19
Panserraikos
1.12
Kallithea
1.00
Volos NFC
0.98
Athens Kallithea
0.94
Lamia
0.54
Panetolikos is 0.46 points better than Athens Kallithea in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PAOK
1.97
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.78
AEK Athens FC
1.53
Levadiakos
1.48
Panathinaikos
1.36
Aris Thessalonikis
1.32
OFI Crete
1.25
OFI
1.25
Panserraikos
1.24
Asteras Tripolis
1.24
Atromitos
1.21
Kallithea
1.00
Athens Kallithea
0.94
Volos NFC
0.93
Panetolikos
0.83
Lamia
0.56
Panetolikos is 0.11 goals worse than Athens Kallithea in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 0.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.67
AEK Athens FC
0.81
Panetolikos
0.81
Aris Thessalonikis
1.00
Panathinaikos
1.00
Atromitos
1.08
Levadiakos
1.12
Asteras Tripolis
1.16
PAOK
1.19
Kallithea
1.44
OFI Crete
1.47
OFI
1.47
Athens Kallithea
1.49
Volos NFC
1.55
Panserraikos
1.69
Lamia
1.76
Panetolikos is 0.68 goals better than Athens Kallithea in terms of goals conceded per game (0.81 vs 1.49).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
AEK Athens FC
65%
PAOK
58%
Olympiakos Piraeus
57%
Panathinaikos
57%
Aris Thessalonikis
54%
Levadiakos
49%
Panserraikos
49%
OFI
48%
Volos NFC
47%
Atromitos
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Kallithea
45%
Panetolikos
43%
Lamia
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Panetolikos
For 3.9 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.4 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AK
Athens Kallithea
For 5.1 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 2.5 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 13.3 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Panetolikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.4
8.4
5.1
6.2
4.1
27.2
27.3
27.0
vs Stronger (14)
8.9
9.1
8.6
5.2
5.6
4.9
27.1
26.3
28.0
vs Similar (36)
8.2
8.1
8.3
5.0
6.4
3.8
27.2
27.8
26.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
29%
26%
32%
72%
88%
58%
81%
87%
76%
% under line
71%
74%
68%
28%
12%
42%
19%
13%
24%
This opponent (Athens Kallithea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AK
Athens Kallithea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (30)
9.9
9.9
10.0
5.9
5.9
5.8
29.8
30.0
29.6
vs Stronger (15)
11.9
11.5
12.3
6.1
6.0
6.3
30.6
30.5
30.7
vs Similar (15)
8.0
8.0
8.0
5.6
5.9
5.4
29.0
29.4
28.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
53%
60%
73%
73%
73%
93%
93%
93%
% under line
43%
47%
40%
27%
27%
27%
7%
7%
7%
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Panathinaikos
10.0
Athens Kallithea
9.9
Kallithea
9.9
OFI Crete
9.3
OFI
9.2
AEK Athens FC
9.2
Lamia
9.1
PAOK
9.0
Aris Thessalonikis
8.9
Asteras Tripolis
8.8
Panserraikos
8.8
Volos NFC
8.5
Levadiakos
8.5
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.4
Atromitos
8.2
Panetolikos
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panserraikos
7.0
Volos NFC
6.5
Levadiakos
6.4
Atromitos
6.4
Kallithea
6.0
OFI
5.9
Athens Kallithea
5.9
AEK Athens FC
5.9
Asteras Tripolis
5.9
OFI Crete
5.9
Panathinaikos
5.8
Aris Thessalonikis
5.7
Panetolikos
5.3
PAOK
5.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
5.0
Lamia
4.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Volos NFC
33.8
Levadiakos
30.6
Atromitos
29.9
Athens Kallithea
29.8
Panserraikos
29.7
Panathinaikos
29.5
OFI Crete
29.2
OFI
28.9
Aris Thessalonikis
28.6
Kallithea
28.6
Lamia
27.9
Panetolikos
27.5
AEK Athens FC
27.4
Asteras Tripolis
26.9
PAOK
25.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
24.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
43.2%
Under 9.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
84.2%
Under 3.5
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
86.9%
Under 21.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Panetolikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.43
0.36
0.29
0.38
0.56
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
0.75
0.20
0.60
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.32
0.44
0.11
0.46
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Athens Kallithea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AK
Athens Kallithea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.67
0.40
0.73
0.33
0.60
vs Stronger (15)
0.33
0.53
0.38
0.62
0.29
0.43
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.80
0.43
0.86
0.38
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panetolikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athens Kallithea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athens Kallithea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athens Kallithea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Panetolikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.40
0.50
0.43
0.50
0.38
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.62
0.60
0.60
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.32
0.44
0.33
0.54
0.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Athens Kallithea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AK
Athens Kallithea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.90
0.67
1.00
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (15)
0.47
1.13
0.50
1.25
0.43
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.67
0.86
0.71
0.50
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panetolikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panetolikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athens Kallithea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athens Kallithea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athens Kallithea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 4.5 cards
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
70.1%
1.52
-
-
-
-
-
+8.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Panetolikos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Apostolos Apostolopoulos15%
Andrews Tetteh15%
Sergio Díaz12%
Georgios Liavas12%
Andrija Majdevac12%
Giannis Bouzoukis10%
Facundo Pérez10%
Sebastián Lomónaco9%
Miguel Luís7%
Epameinondas Pantelakis4%
Andrés Roa4%
Christos Belevonis4%
Nikola Stajić3%
Michalis Bakakis0%
Lucas Cháves0%
Charis Mavrias0%
Christos Sielis0%
Daniel Lajud0%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Pedro Silva0%
Vangelis Nikolaou0%
Georgios Agapakis0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
David Galiatsos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Galiatsos33%
Andrews Tetteh31%
Christos Sielis30%
Michalis Bakakis29%
Epameinondas Pantelakis29%
Facundo Pérez29%
Sergio Díaz25%
Sebastian Mladen25%
Sebastián Lomónaco18%
Giannis Bouzoukis17%
Georgios Liavas16%
Miguel Luís14%
Christos Belevonis14%
Sotiris Kontouris12%
Andrés Roa11%
Charis Mavrias10%
Nikola Stajić10%
Andrija Majdevac8%
Lucas Cháves6%
Daniel Lajud4%
Pedro Silva0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Vangelis Nikolaou0%
Georgios Agapakis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrews Tetteh23%
Pedro Silva13%
Michalis Bakakis8%
Charis Mavrias7%
Georgios Liavas6%
Andrija Majdevac4%
Daniel Lajud4%
Giannis Bouzoukis3%
Nikola Stajić3%
Facundo Pérez3%
Miguel Luís0%
Sebastián Lomónaco0%
Andrés Roa0%
Lucas Cháves0%
Sergio Díaz0%
Christos Sielis0%
Epameinondas Pantelakis0%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Christos Belevonis0%
Vangelis Nikolaou0%
Georgios Agapakis0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
David Galiatsos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Georgios Agapakis14%
Andrija Majdevac8%
Daniel Lajud8%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos8%
Andrews Tetteh8%
Pedro Silva7%
Sergio Díaz6%
Georgios Liavas6%
Sebastián Lomónaco5%
Giannis Bouzoukis3%
Michalis Bakakis0%
Miguel Luís0%
Andrés Roa0%
Lucas Cháves0%
Charis Mavrias0%
Christos Sielis0%
Epameinondas Pantelakis0%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Facundo Pérez0%
Nikola Stajić0%
Christos Belevonis0%
Vangelis Nikolaou0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
David Galiatsos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panetolikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC
PAOK
Levadiakos
Asteras Tripolis
Atromitos
Panserraikos
Volos NFC
OFI
Kallithea
Lamia