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Panevėžys II vs FA Šiauliai II Result & Analysis

Date: 27/05/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 0-4
Panevėžys II
Panevėžys II
Vs
50%
25%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FA Šiauliai II
FA Šiauliai II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panevėžys II win✗ Miss
50.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II win✓ Hit
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D01L20W34L22D21W12L31W02LA·BAB08/03H·NEP17/03A·NEV22/03H·BE129/03A·FK 06/04H·HEG15/04A·BAN29/04H·ATM03/05A·TAU12/05A·KAU20/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.801.361.141.812.38
vs Stronger (6)1.002.501.000.501.003.50
vs Similar (9)1.891.221.750.502.001.80
vs Weaker (15)1.671.871.251.622.142.14
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (FA Šiauliai II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D01L23L12L01L15L03L41W31W25LH·GAR09/03H·MIN16/03A·BAB22/03H·NEP29/03A·NEV05/04H·BE113/04A·FK 27/04H·HEG05/05A·BAN13/05H·ATM19/05
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.672.472.122.251.142.71
vs Stronger (15)1.532.732.002.501.222.89
vs Similar (9)1.561.782.401.200.502.50
vs Weaker (6)2.172.832.003.003.002.00
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.0%
Under 1.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.0%
Under 2.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.6%
Under 3.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.4%
No
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
1-0
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
Panevėžys II goals ↓
FA Šiauliai II goals →
01234
05.8%4.7%3.5%1.4%0.4%
17.5%12%6.5%2.6%0.8%
27.9%9.7%5.9%2.4%0.7%
34.8%5.9%3.6%1.5%0.5%
42.2%2.7%1.7%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panevėžys II goals (down), columns = FA Šiauliai II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FK Trakai
2.47
Be1 NFA
2.10
Babrungas
1.90
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.90
Tauras
1.57
Nevėžis
1.57
Atmosfera
1.47
Ekranas
1.30
BFA
1.23
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.17
Hegelmann II
1.13
Panevėžys II
1.13
FA Šiauliai II
1.07
Minija
1.03
Garliava
0.77
Banga II
0.40
Panevėžys II is 0.07 points better than FA Šiauliai II in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Trakai
2.33
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.13
Be1 NFA
1.90
Babrungas
1.87
Tauras
1.83
FA Šiauliai II
1.77
BFA
1.50
Nevėžis
1.47
Ekranas
1.40
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.30
Hegelmann II
1.23
Panevėžys II
1.23
Atmosfera
1.20
Garliava
0.97
Minija
0.93
Banga II
0.60
Panevėžys II is 0.53 goals worse than FA Šiauliai II in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 1.77).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Trakai
0.63
Be1 NFA
0.87
Babrungas
0.93
Tauras
1.03
Nevėžis
1.07
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.27
Atmosfera
1.30
Minija
1.33
Ekranas
1.60
BFA
1.60
Garliava
1.70
Panevėžys II
1.77
Hegelmann II
1.97
Kauno Žalgiris II
2.03
Banga II
2.27
FA Šiauliai II
2.30
Panevėžys II is 0.53 goals better than FA Šiauliai II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.77 vs 2.30).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L10W21W11D10W00D11D00DA·BAB08/03H·NEP17/03A·NEV22/03H·BE129/03A·FK 06/04H·HEG15/04A·BAN29/04H·ATM03/05A·TAU12/05A·KAU20/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.500.360.691.06
vs Stronger (6)0.501.330.500.000.502.00
vs Similar (9)0.780.670.500.501.000.80
vs Weaker (15)0.530.530.500.380.570.71
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FA Šiauliai II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D13L01L01L01L01L11D10W10WH·GAR09/03H·MIN16/03A·BAB22/03H·NEP29/03A·NEV05/04H·BE113/04A·FK 27/04H·HEG05/05A·BAN13/05H·ATM19/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.001.000.810.501.21
vs Stronger (15)0.671.200.831.000.561.33
vs Similar (9)0.670.781.000.600.251.00
vs Weaker (6)1.170.831.200.801.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panevėžys II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D10W13L11D11D12L20W02LA·BAB08/03H·NEP17/03A·NEV22/03H·BE129/03A·FK 06/04H·HEG15/04A·BAN29/04H·ATM03/05A·TAU12/05A·KAU20/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.070.860.791.121.31
vs Stronger (6)0.501.170.500.500.501.50
vs Similar (9)1.110.561.250.001.001.00
vs Weaker (15)1.131.330.751.251.571.43
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FA Šiauliai II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D01L10W11D00D14L02L30W21W15LH·GAR09/03H·MIN16/03A·BAB22/03H·NEP29/03A·NEV05/04H·BE113/04A·FK 27/04H·HEG05/05A·BAN13/05H·ATM19/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.471.121.440.641.50
vs Stronger (15)0.871.531.171.500.671.56
vs Similar (9)0.891.001.400.600.251.50
vs Weaker (6)1.002.000.802.202.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panevėžys II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FA Šiauliai II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HI (4)
€0m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HI (2)
€0m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
PI wins
1
Draws
2
FŠI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Panevėžys II vs FA Šiauliai II · H/A from PI
DateH/AGameScore
11/10/23HPI Vs FA Šiauliai II3-0
29/05/23AFA Šiauliai II Vs PI3-3
03/10/22AFA Šiauliai II Vs PI3-1
29/05/22HPI Vs FA Šiauliai II2-5

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/24AKauno Žalgiris II Vs PI2-0
12/05/24ATauras Vs PI1-3
03/05/24HPI Vs Atmosfera1-2
29/04/24ABanga II Vs PI1-2
15/04/24HPI Vs Hegelmann II2-2
06/04/24AFK Trakai Vs PI4-3
29/03/24HPI Vs Be1 NFA2-0
22/03/24ANevėžis Vs PI1-0
17/03/24HPI Vs Neptūną Klaipėda0-0
08/03/24ABabrungas Vs PI0-0

FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/24HFŠI Vs Atmosfera2-5
13/05/24ABanga II Vs FŠI1-3
05/05/24HFŠI Vs Hegelmann II4-1
27/04/24AFK Trakai Vs FŠI3-0
13/04/24HFŠI Vs Be1 NFA1-5
05/04/24ANevėžis Vs FŠI1-0
29/03/24HFŠI Vs Neptūną Klaipėda1-2
22/03/24ABabrungas Vs FŠI3-2
16/03/24HFŠI Vs Minija0-1
09/03/24HFŠI Vs Garliava0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Panevėžys II
Panevėžys II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL1.18
HomeLDWDL1.12
AwayLLWWL1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%29%35%
AVG goals3.262.793.69
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %66%54%77%
Over 3.5 %38%25%50%
Scored1.501.331.65
Conceded1.761.462.04
BTTS60%50%69%
Clean Sheet20%25%15%
Corners---
Cards---
FA Šiauliai II
FA Šiauliai II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL0.96
HomeLLLWL1.15
AwayLLLLW0.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%30%22%
AVG goals3.443.483.39
Over 1.5 %80%70%91%
Over 2.5 %68%67%70%
Over 3.5 %40%48%30%
Scored1.361.631.04
Conceded2.081.852.35
BTTS54%63%43%
Clean Sheet12%11%13%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FK TrakaiFK Trakai3074
80%
2.5
7019+51
3.0
73%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.6
-
2Be1 NFABe1 NFA3063
63%
2.1
5726+31
2.8
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
3BabrungasBabrungas3057
53%
1.9
5628+28
2.8
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda3057
57%
1.9
6438+26
3.4
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.3
-
5TaurasTauras3047
43%
1.6
5531+24
2.9
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
6NevėžisNevėžis3047
43%
1.6
4432+12
2.5
70%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
7AtmosferaAtmosfera3044
43%
1.5
3639-3
2.5
70%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
8EkranasEkranas3039
33%
1.3
4248-6
3.0
80%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
9BFABFA3037
30%
1.2
4548-3
3.1
83%
53%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
10Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3035
33%
1.2
3961-22
3.3
97%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
11Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3034
30%
1.1
3753-16
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
12Hegelmann IIHegelmann II3034
33%
1.1
3759-22
3.2
90%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
13FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3032
33%
1.1
5369-16
4.1
87%
77%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
14MinijaMinija3031
20%
1.0
2840-12
2.3
67%
37%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
15GarliavaGarliava3023
17%
0.8
2951-22
2.7
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
16Banga IIBanga II3012
7%
0.4
1868-50
2.9
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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