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Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai Result & Analysis

Date: 27/08/2022
Time: 16:00
Final 3-2
Panevėžys
Panevėžys
Vs
62%
23%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Džiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panevėžys win✓ Hit
62.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai win✗ Miss
15.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PanevėžysPanevėžys

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L50W12L21W00D02L21W14L12L21WH·FK 19/06A·JON22/06H·ŠIA25/06A·BAN02/07H·MIL07/07A·MIL14/07H·KAU23/07A·SUD07/08H·ŠIA13/08H·BAN21/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.460.881.540.771.361.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.201.051.360.911.001.22
vs Weaker (4)2.750.002.500.003.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L20W23L14L01L12L11D22D05L22DA·FK 22/06H·JON26/06A·ŠIA03/07H·FK 10/07H·BAN17/07A·FK 22/07A·BAN29/07H·JON06/08A·HEG12/08A·ŠIA20/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.841.001.581.002.08
vs Stronger (9)0.782.331.252.250.402.40
vs Similar (16)1.121.560.881.251.381.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %16% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.1%
Under 2.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.7%
Under 3.5
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.7%
No
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
Panevėžys goals ↓
Džiugas Telšiai goals →
01234
06.1%3.8%2.2%0.7%0.2%
19.5%11%4.5%1.4%0.3%
211%9.9%4.6%1.4%0.3%
37.3%6.8%3.1%1.0%0.2%
43.7%3.4%1.6%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panevėžys goals (down), columns = Džiugas Telšiai goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.33
Kauno Žalgiris
1.75
Panevėžys
1.72
Hegelmann Litauen
1.69
FK Trakai
1.64
Suduva Marijampole
1.53
Šiauliai
1.39
Banga
0.83
Džiugas Telšiai
0.75
Jonava
0.08
Panevėžys is 0.97 points better than Džiugas Telšiai in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 0.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.36
Hegelmann Litauen
1.72
Kauno Žalgiris
1.53
FK Trakai
1.47
Panevėžys
1.39
Suduva Marijampole
1.33
Šiauliai
1.08
Džiugas Telšiai
0.94
Banga
0.92
Jonava
0.33
Panevėžys is 0.44 goals better than Džiugas Telšiai in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 0.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0.75
Panevėžys
0.86
Hegelmann Litauen
0.89
Kauno Žalgiris
1.03
Šiauliai
1.08
Suduva Marijampole
1.11
FK Trakai
1.14
Banga
1.50
Džiugas Telšiai
1.86
Jonava
2.86
Panevėžys is 1.00 goals better than Džiugas Telšiai in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.86).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PanevėžysPanevėžys

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L30W11D11D00D01L10W02L01L20WH·FK 19/06A·JON22/06H·ŠIA25/06A·BAN02/07H·MIL07/07A·MIL14/07H·KAU23/07A·SUD07/08H·ŠIA13/08H·BAN21/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.460.620.380.730.55
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.600.550.640.450.560.67
vs Weaker (4)1.000.000.500.001.500.00
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W12L01L00D11D00D20W02L21WA·FK 22/06H·JON26/06A·ŠIA03/07H·FK 10/07H·BAN17/07A·FK 22/07A·BAN29/07H·JON06/08A·HEG12/08A·ŠIA20/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.480.720.500.500.460.92
vs Stronger (9)0.220.890.500.750.001.00
vs Similar (16)0.620.620.500.380.750.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %48% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panevėžys over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PanevėžysPanevėžys

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W01L10W00D01L11D12L11D01LH·FK 19/06A·JON22/06H·ŠIA25/06A·BAN02/07H·MIL07/07A·MIL14/07H·KAU23/07A·SUD07/08H·ŠIA13/08H·BAN21/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.790.420.920.380.640.45
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.600.500.730.450.440.56
vs Weaker (4)1.750.002.000.001.500.00
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Džiugas Telšiai) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W11D13L01L01L11D02L03L01LA·FK 22/06H·JON26/06A·ŠIA03/07H·FK 10/07H·BAN17/07A·FK 22/07A·BAN29/07H·JON06/08A·HEG12/08A·ŠIA20/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.521.120.501.080.541.15
vs Stronger (9)0.561.440.751.500.401.40
vs Similar (16)0.500.940.380.880.621.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %24% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panevėžys over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Džiugas Telšiai over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
DT (22)
€5m
Panevėžys's squad is €1m more valuable than Džiugas Telšiai's (€6m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
Panevėžys and Džiugas Telšiai have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
Panevėžys and Džiugas Telšiai have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
Panevėžys and Džiugas Telšiai have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
PAN wins
0
Draws
0
DT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Panevėžys vs Džiugas Telšiai · H/A from PAN
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/22HPAN Vs Džiugas Telšiai1-0
20/03/22ADžiugas Telšiai Vs PAN0-1

PanevėžysPanevėžys

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/22HPAN Vs Banga2-1
13/08/22HPAN Vs Šiauliai1-2
07/08/22ASuduva Marijampole Vs PAN4-1
23/07/22HPAN Vs Kauno Žalgiris2-1
14/07/22AMilsami Orhei Vs PAN2-0
07/07/22HPAN Vs Milsami Orhei0-0
02/07/22ABanga Vs PAN1-2
25/06/22HPAN Vs Šiauliai1-2
22/06/22AJonava Vs PAN0-5
19/06/22HPAN Vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius0-2

Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/22AŠiauliai Vs DT2-2
12/08/22AHegelmann Litauen Vs DT5-0
06/08/22HDT Vs Jonava2-2
29/07/22ABanga Vs DT1-1
22/07/22AFK Trakai Vs DT2-1
17/07/22HDT Vs Banga0-1
10/07/22HDT Vs FK Trakai1-4
03/07/22AŠiauliai Vs DT3-2
26/06/22HDT Vs Jonava2-0
22/06/22AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs DT2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Panevėžys
Panevėžys
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.79
HomeLDWLW2.00
AwayLWWLL1.55
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%62%45%
AVG goals2.332.312.36
Over 1.5 %71%77%64%
Over 2.5 %54%54%55%
Over 3.5 %12%8%18%
Scored1.461.541.36
Conceded0.880.771.00
BTTS42%46%36%
Clean Sheet50%46%55%
Corners9.504.0015.00
Cards3.00-3.00
Džiugas Telšiai
Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLD0.60
HomeDWLLD0.67
AwayLLDLD0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %8%8%8%
AVG goals2.842.583.08
Over 1.5 %72%58%85%
Over 2.5 %52%42%62%
Over 3.5 %32%33%31%
Scored1.001.001.00
Conceded1.841.582.08
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet16%25%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius3684
72%
2.3
8527+58
3.1
78%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2332.40.8
-
2Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris3663
50%
1.8
5537+18
2.6
81%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.51.0
-
3PanevėžysPanevėžys3662
50%
1.7
5031+19
2.2
67%
47%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.40.9
-
4Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen3661
44%
1.7
6232+30
2.6
75%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.70.9
-
5FK TrakaiFK Trakai3659
47%
1.6
5341+12
2.6
72%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole3655
42%
1.5
4840+8
2.4
81%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.31.1
-
7ŠiauliaiŠiauliai3650
36%
1.4
3939+0
2.2
61%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2231.11.1
-
8BangaBanga3630
17%
0.8
3354-21
2.4
75%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2120.91.5
-
9Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai3627
14%
0.8
3467-33
2.8
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1220.91.9
-
10JonavaJonava363
0%
0.1
12103-91
3.2
86%
64%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.32.9
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

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