Panevėžys vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius Result & Analysis

The match between Panevėžys and FK Zalgiris Vilnius is a tight affair, with the model favouring an away win. Home win probability is 32%, a draw 29%, and an away win 40%. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a moderate scoring game, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.6% chance. Panevėžys, playing at home, averages 1.11 goals scored and 0.67 conceded against similar opposition, while Zalgiris, on the road, averages 1.14 scored and 2.29 conceded versus the same tier. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 at 99.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4%, Under 6.5 at 98.2%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.2%, Home under 3.5 goals at 96.3%, Under 5.5 at 94.8%, and Away under 3.5 goals at 94.6%. Panevėžys has recently struggled, losing two in a row and falling 0-2 to Suduva Marijampole, whereas Zalgiris comes off a win, having beaten Džiugas Telšiai 2-0. The balance of form and the model’s probabilities suggest a cautious, low-scoring contest with the visitors slightly ahead.

The pre-match favourite, FK Zalgiris Vilnius, did not come through, as Panevėžys secured a 2-0 home win, extending their recent win. The model had picked an away win with a 40% probability, but this was wrong. The match produced 2 goals, matching the most likely total of 2 and the 26% probability for that scoreline. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.4%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.1%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.0%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.4%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 96.3%, Under 5.5 hit at 94.8%, and Away under 3.5 goals hit at 94.6%. The model’s selections all proved accurate, even though its favourite was wrong.