Panevėžys vs Šiauliai Result & Analysis

Panevėžys are the clear favourites, with a 48% chance of victory, 29% for a draw and 22% for Šiauliai. The match is expected to see about 2.3 goals, with the most likely total being two goals. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 13.7% chance. Panevėžys, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, average 1.18 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. Šiauliai, on the road, average 1.09 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. The model’s selection is Under 3.5 with a 78.9% probability. Panevėžys come off a win and are on a five-match run of WLLWD, while Šiauliai are after two straight defeats, their last match a 1-2 loss to Suduva Marijampole. The predicted outcome is a Panevėžys win, with the expected scoreline 1-1. The suggested pick Under 3.5 remains the only selection offered.

Panevėžys returned to the pitch after a win, extending their recent run, while Šiauliai were still recovering from two straight defeats. The final score was 3-1, a home win that matched the model’s prediction. The pre-match favourite was a home win with a 48% probability, and the model’s call proved correct. The only other selection was Under 3.5 goals at 78.9% probability, which missed as the match produced three goals. All figures are taken from the data: 48% for the favourite, 78.9% for the under, and the 3-1 result confirms the home victory.