Panevėžys vs Šiauliai Result & Analysis

Panevėžys, hosting the match, has been solid defensively, conceding just 0.9 goals per game against similar opposition while scoring 1.1. Šiauliai, on the road, has a slightly higher average of 1.27 goals scored but also concedes 1.45, suggesting a more porous defense. The model projects a tight affair with an average of 2.1 goals, most likely 2 total, and the single most probable scoreline 1-1, carrying a 14.2% chance. The probabilities favour a home win at 46%, a draw 31%, and an away win 23%, making the home victory the clear favourite. Recent form gives Panevėžys a lift after a win, whereas Šiauliai is still recovering from two straight defeats. The only selection offered is Under 3.5 goals, with an 83.1% probability. No edge percentage is attached to this pick.

The win extends Panevėžys’ recent form, adding a second victory to a five-match run that now reads WLLWD. The model’s pre-match favourite was a Home win, with a 46% probability, and it proved correct as Panevėžys triumphed 2-0. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 did not materialise, but the final tally of 2-0 still delivered a home win. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals, with an 83.1% probability, hit the mark, as the match produced only two goals. All suggested picks settled as indicated, with no missed outcomes. The prediction model delivered a largely accurate forecast for this A Lyga fixture.