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Panevėžys vs TransINVEST Vilnius Prediction & Stats

Date: 31/10/2026
Time: 12:15
Panevėžys
Panevėžys
Vs
43%
28%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Panevėžys are tipped to take the win, a 43% chance that the home side will come out on top. The model sees a 28% draw and a 29% chance for TransINVEST Vilnius to win. The average goal tally is 2.6, with the most likely total being two goals at a 26% probability. The single scoreline the model favours is 1-1, with a 13.6% chance, and that is the only scoreline to mention. Panevėžys, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, have been scoring 1.22 goals per game while conceding just 0.44. TransINVEST Vilnius, on the road, average 1.83 goals scored and 1.00 conceded versus comparable teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.0%), Under 5.5 (95.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (89.0%), Home +2 handicap (88.0%) and Under 4.5 (87.7%). All percentages are expressed as percentages.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panevėžys win
42.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius win
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PanevėžysPanevėžys

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W12L11D03L11D20W01L02L20W30WA·ATM20/05A·MIN23/06H·HEG04/07A·KAU11/07H·DŽI03/08A·TRA10/08A·ŠIA17/08A·SUD23/08H·FK 30/08A·BAN03/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.071.250.581.891.39
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.411.141.220.441.541.62
vs Weaker (8)2.250.881.331.002.800.80
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D00D13L13L10W21W02L11D30WH·HEG20/05A·DAI24/06A·SUD06/07H·BAN12/07A·FK 19/07H·DŽI26/07A·HEG02/08H·PAN10/08A·KAU16/08H·ŠIA24/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.570.872.140.932.940.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.700.901.500.751.831.00
vs Weaker (20)3.000.852.401.003.600.70
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.3%
Under 2.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
Panevėžys goals ↓
TransINVEST Vilnius goals →
01234
08.6%7.3%4.9%1.9%0.5%
19.5%14%7.1%2.7%0.8%
27.8%9.0%5.2%2.0%0.6%
33.8%4.4%2.5%1.0%0.3%
41.4%1.6%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panevėžys goals (down), columns = TransINVEST Vilnius goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.67
Kauno Žalgiris
2.20
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.38
Banga
1.38
Panevėžys
1.38
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
Hegelmann Litauen
0.75
Šiauliai
0.38
Panevėžys and TransINVEST Vilnius are level in average points per game (both 1.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.33
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.17
Kauno Žalgiris
2.00
Banga
1.25
Hegelmann Litauen
1.25
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.12
Panevėžys
1.12
Šiauliai
0.75
Panevėžys and TransINVEST Vilnius are level in goals scored per game (both 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kauno Žalgiris
0.20
Suduva Marijampole
0.33
Panevėžys
1.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.25
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.33
Banga
1.50
Džiugas Telšiai
1.57
Hegelmann Litauen
2.00
Šiauliai
2.62
Panevėžys is 0.25 goals better than TransINVEST Vilnius in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Panevėžys or Draw
71.4%
Avg Implied -
43%
28%
29%
covers Panevėžys + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys or TransINVEST Vilnius
71.5%
Avg Implied -
43%
28%
29%
covers Panevėžys + TransINVEST Vilnius
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or TransINVEST Vilnius
57.1%
Avg Implied -
43%
28%
29%
covers Draw + TransINVEST Vilnius
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Panevėžys over/under 0.5
Over
76.7%
Under
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys over/under 1.5
Over
42.7%
Under
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys over/under 2.5
Over
18.0%
Under
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys over/under 3.5
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5
Over
68.3%
Under
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5
Over
31.9%
Under
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5
Over
11.0%
Under
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 3.5
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Panevėžys, so a minus line means Panevėžys give that many goals of a start and TransINVEST Vilnius receive them. At -1, Panevėžys must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Panevėžys win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Panevėžys)
Panevėžys -2
8.3%
Draw -2
13.2%
TransINVEST Vilnius +2
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Panevėžys)
Panevėžys -1
21.5%
Draw -1
21.4%
TransINVEST Vilnius +1
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Panevėžys)
Panevėžys +1
71.4%
Draw +1
16.6%
TransINVEST Vilnius -1
12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Panevėžys)
Panevėžys +2
88.0%
Draw +2
8.2%
TransINVEST Vilnius -2
3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PanevėžysPanevėžys

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D02L10W10W01L00D20W10WA·ATM20/05A·MIN23/06H·HEG04/07A·KAU11/07H·DŽI03/08A·TRA10/08A·ŠIA17/08A·SUD23/08H·FK 30/08A·BAN03/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.430.580.170.940.61
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.680.500.560.110.770.77
vs Weaker (8)1.120.250.670.331.400.20
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D11D02L00D10W01L01L10WH·HEG20/05A·DAI24/06A·SUD06/07H·BAN12/07A·FK 19/07H·DŽI26/07A·HEG02/08H·PAN10/08A·KAU16/08H·ŠIA24/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.431.000.431.380.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.500.400.500.250.500.50
vs Weaker (20)1.550.451.200.501.900.40
Clean sheet %70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panevėžys over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PanevėžysPanevėžys

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W11D11D01L01L10W00D02L00D20WA·ATM20/05A·MIN23/06H·HEG04/07A·KAU11/07H·DŽI03/08A·TRA10/08A·ŠIA17/08A·SUD23/08H·FK 30/08A·BAN03/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.630.670.420.940.78
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.730.640.670.330.770.85
vs Weaker (8)1.120.620.670.671.400.60
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (TransINVEST Vilnius) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D02L11D10W11D01L10W20WH·HEG20/05A·DAI24/06A·SUD06/07H·BAN12/07A·FK 19/07H·DŽI26/07A·HEG02/08H·PAN10/08A·KAU16/08H·ŠIA24/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.431.140.501.560.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.200.501.000.501.330.50
vs Weaker (20)1.450.401.200.501.700.30
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panevėžys over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TransINVEST Vilnius over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.5%-------
Under 6.598.3%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.1%-------
Under 5.595.1%-------
Home under 3.5 goals94.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals89.0%-------
Home +2 handicap88.0%-------
Under 4.587.7%-------
Home under 2.5 goals82.0%-------
Away +2 handicap78.5%-------
Home over 0.5 goals76.7%-------
Over 1.574.6%-------
Under 3.573.5%-------
Home or Away71.5%-------
Home or Draw71.4%-------
Home +1 handicap71.4%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
TV (24)
€5m
DT (22)
€5m
Panevėžys and TransINVEST Vilnius have a similar squad value (both €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
TV (8)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
Panevėžys and TransINVEST Vilnius have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
TV (5)
€1m
Panevėžys's midfield is €1m more valuable than TransINVEST Vilnius's (€2m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
TV (11)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
Panevėžys and TransINVEST Vilnius have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
PAN wins
2
Draws
1
TV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Panevėžys vs TransINVEST Vilnius · H/A from PAN
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/26ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs PAN0-2
09/11/24ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs PAN0-0
01/10/24HPAN Vs TransINVEST Vilnius2-1
19/06/24ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs PAN3-0
21/04/24HPAN Vs TransINVEST Vilnius1-1

PanevėžysPanevėžys

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/26ABanga Vs PAN0-3
30/08/26HPAN Vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius2-0
23/08/26ASuduva Marijampole Vs PAN2-0
17/08/26AŠiauliai Vs PAN1-0
10/08/26ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs PAN0-2
03/08/26HPAN Vs Džiugas Telšiai1-1
11/07/26AKauno Žalgiris Vs PAN3-0
04/07/26HPAN Vs Hegelmann Litauen1-1
23/06/26AMinija Vs PAN2-1
20/05/26AAtmosfera Vs PAN0-3

TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/08/26HTV Vs Šiauliai3-0
16/08/26AKauno Žalgiris Vs TV1-1
10/08/26HTV Vs Panevėžys0-2
02/08/26AHegelmann Litauen Vs TV1-2
26/07/26HTV Vs Džiugas Telšiai1-0
19/07/26AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs TV3-1
12/07/26HTV Vs Banga1-3
06/07/26ASuduva Marijampole Vs TV0-0
24/06/26ADainava Vs TV1-1
20/05/26HTV Vs Hegelmann Litauen2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Panevėžys
Panevėžys
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.62
HomeLWDDW1.71
AwayLWLLW1.55
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%45%
AVG goals2.942.193.48
Over 1.5 %82%67%93%
Over 2.5 %52%29%69%
Over 3.5 %28%14%38%
Scored1.841.382.17
Conceded1.100.811.31
BTTS46%33%55%
Clean Sheet36%43%31%
Corners---
Cards---
TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW2.12
HomeWLWLW2.08
AwayDDLWD2.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%67%65%
AVG goals3.302.793.77
Over 1.5 %82%75%88%
Over 2.5 %64%58%69%
Over 3.5 %40%29%50%
Scored2.402.042.73
Conceded0.900.751.04
BTTS48%33%62%
Clean Sheet46%54%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole616
83%
2.7
142+12
2.7
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2122.30.3
-
2FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius612
67%
2.0
138+5
3.5
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2332.21.3
-
3Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris511
60%
2.2
101+9
2.2
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4242.00.2
-
4PanevėžysPanevėžys811
38%
1.4
98+1
2.1
88%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.11.0
-
5TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius811
38%
1.4
910-1
2.4
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.2
-
6BangaBanga811
38%
1.4
1012-2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.21.5
-
7Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai78
29%
1.1
811-3
2.7
71%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.6
-
8Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen86
12%
0.8
1016-6
3.2
100%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.22.0
-
9ŠiauliaiŠiauliai83
12%
0.4
621-15
3.4
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2230.82.6
-
10FK TrakaiFK Trakai00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

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