PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis Result & Analysis

PAOK’s recent victory over Atromitos and a strong home form that has seen them average 1.71 goals while conceding just 0.14 points to weaker opposition make a home win the model’s pick. The probability of a PAOK win is 59%, a draw 26%, and an Aris win 15%. The expected total goals hover at 2.5, with the most likely total of two goals occurring 27% of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for PAOK, with a 13.3% chance. PAOK’s home scoring and conceding figures against weaker teams are 1.71 and 0.14 respectively, while Aris, playing away against stronger sides, averages only 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 94.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 91.0%, Over 21.5 fouls at 88.0%, Over 3.5 cards at 79.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 78.2%, Over 23.5 fouls at 77.9%, Under 3.5 at 76.3%, and Over 1.5 at 71.8%. All probabilities are expressed as percentages.

PAOK’s 3-1 win over Aris Thessalonikis extended their recent victory streak, while Aris, on a five-game winning run, fell short. The model’s pre-match favourite was a Home win with a 59% probability, and that call proved correct. The suggested picks were mixed: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 94.5%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 88.0%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 78.2%, and Over 1.5 hit at 71.8%. The other selections missed - Over 2.5 cards at 91.0%, Over 3.5 cards at 79.5%, Over 23.5 fouls at 77.9%, and Under 3.5 at 76.3%. The model’s predictions were therefore a blend of accurate and off-target outcomes.