PAOK, currently on a two-match losing streak, is the clear favourite to win against Levadiakos, with a predicted 66% chance of taking the three points at home. This is largely due to Levadiakos' struggles on the road, particularly against stronger opponents, where they average just 0.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per match. PAOK, on the other hand, has a strong home record, scoring an average of 2.62 goals per match and conceding just 0.5.
The model predicts a 3.0 expected total goals, with the most likely score being 2-0 in favour of PAOK, occurring with a 11.5% probability. PAOK's home win percentage is 66%, with draw and away win percentages at 21% and 13%, respectively. The model's selection for this match is a Home win.
The model's suggested picks include Home or Draw (91.4% probability), Over 21.5 fouls (91.0%), Home or Away (81.4%), Over 1.5 (81.1%), and Over 3.5 cards (76.4%).
Results analysis
PAOK’s recent form, highlighted by a 4-0 win over Levadiakos, set the stage for a decisive home victory that the model predicted correctly. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 73 % probability and the outcome matched the actual 4-0 result. The model’s selections performed impressively: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.5 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.4 %, Under 7.5 at 98.9 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.9 %, Home +2 handicap at 97.6 %, Under 6.5 at 97.0 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 96.9 %, and Over 19.5 fouls at 95.8 %. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick was either hit or missed as recorded.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
PAOK win✓ Hit
72.7%
Avg Implied 67.9% · @ 1.37
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.40
Dafabet
1.39
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Draw✗ Miss
18.6%
Avg Implied 20.0% · @ 4.63
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.94
Marathonbet
4.85
Dafabet
4.80
1xBet
4.75
BetVictor
4.75
Levadiakos win✗ Miss
8.6%
Avg Implied 12.0% · @ 7.73
Edge
-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
8.50
Betano
8.50
10Bet
8.30
Dafabet
8.20
Betfair
8.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
PAOK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
0.97
1.81
0.56
1.36
1.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.25
1.10
1.20
0.60
1.30
1.60
vs Weaker (10)
2.30
0.70
2.83
0.50
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Levadiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levadiakos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.50
2.07
1.21
1.31
1.75
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
2.50
1.00
2.00
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (21)
2.00
1.19
2.50
0.90
1.55
1.45
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.9%
@ 1.20+2.1%
Under 1.5
20.1%
@ 4.20-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.40
Pinnacle
4.35
Superbet
4.35
Betano
4.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.2%
@ 1.67-0.1%
Under 2.5
43.8%
@ 2.15+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.70
Superbet
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Under
Betano
2.22
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
Superbet
2.17
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.8%
@ 2.65-1.4%
Under 3.5
66.2%
@ 1.44+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.72
Betfair
2.70
Betano
2.67
Under
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.6%
@ 1.89-4.4%
No
55.4%
@ 1.82+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.95
Unibet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
1xBet
1.90
Betfair
1.90
No
Betfair
1.87
Betano
1.87
888Sport
1.85
William Hil
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.6%@ 6.39+6.7%
1-0
11.2%@ 6.72+4.6%
3-0
10.3%@ 8.75+5.2%
2-1
9.1%@ 7.67+3.3%
1-1
8.9%@ 8.38+3.6%
3-1
6.9%@ 10.33+2.6%
0-0
6.1%@ 12.35+2.5%
4-0 ✓
5.8%@ 14.99+2.9%
PAOK goals ↓
Levadiakos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
2.8%
1.2%
0.3%
0.0%
1
11%
8.9%
2.7%
0.6%
0.1%
2
14%
9.1%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
3
10%
6.9%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
4
5.8%
3.9%
1.3%
0.3%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PAOK goals (down), columns = Levadiakos goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.29
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.12
PAOK
2.06
Panathinaikos
1.71
Levadiakos
1.61
Aris Thessalonikis
1.44
Atromitos
1.29
Iraklis 1908
1.22
OFI
1.22
Kifisia
1.18
Kalamata
1.03
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
PAOK is 0.45 points better than Levadiakos in terms of average points per game (2.06 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levadiakos
2.00
PAOK
1.88
AEK Athens FC
1.76
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.68
Panathinaikos
1.56
Atromitos
1.39
OFI
1.34
Kifisia
1.18
Iraklis 1908
1.17
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Kalamata
0.99
PAOK is 0.12 goals worse than Levadiakos in terms of goals scored per game (1.88 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.50
AEK Athens FC
0.62
PAOK
0.76
Panathinaikos
1.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.06
Atromitos
1.18
Asteras Tripolis
1.39
Kifisia
1.42
Panetolikos
1.42
Iraklis 1908
1.48
Levadiakos
1.50
Volos NFC
1.67
OFI
1.72
Kalamata
1.75
PAOK is 0.74 goals better than Levadiakos in terms of goals conceded per game (0.76 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Olympiakos Piraeus
60%
PAOK
60%
AEK Athens FC
57%
Levadiakos
56%
Atromitos
53%
Panathinaikos
53%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Kifisia
48%
Volos NFC
46%
Panetolikos
46%
OFI
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
PAOK is 3.2 percentage points better than Levadiakos in terms of average possession (60% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
PAOK
For 5.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 13.1 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Levadiakos
For 2.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 7.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 7.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 18.3 · Total 33.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
PAOK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
9.0
8.7
3.4
3.3
3.5
24.5
23.7
25.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
9.2
9.5
8.9
3.9
4.1
3.6
24.6
24.2
25.0
vs Weaker (21)
8.3
8.2
8.4
2.8
2.4
3.3
24.3
22.9
25.8
% over line
36%
45%
26%
56%
50%
62%
69%
70%
68%
% under line
64%
55%
74%
44%
50%
38%
31%
30%
32%
This opponent (Levadiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levadiakos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.8
8.8
4.8
4.9
4.6
30.4
30.7
29.9
vs Stronger (13)
9.8
8.7
11.0
4.8
3.6
6.3
30.7
30.3
31.0
vs Similar (32)
8.2
8.6
7.7
4.7
5.3
3.9
31.3
32.1
30.4
vs Weaker (5)
9.2
10.5
8.3
5.0
6.0
4.3
24.8
22.5
26.3
% over line
45%
50%
40%
70%
74%
65%
95%
91%
100%
% under line
55%
50%
60%
30%
26%
35%
5%
9%
0%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kifisia
9.5
Asteras Tripolis
9.4
Aris Thessalonikis
9.3
Kalamata
9.0
OFI
9.0
Atromitos
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
PAOK
8.8
AEK Athens FC
8.7
Panetolikos
8.7
Volos NFC
8.6
Levadiakos
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.4
Iraklis 1908
5.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kifisia
6.6
OFI
5.6
Volos NFC
5.6
Kalamata
5.5
Asteras Tripolis
5.5
Levadiakos
5.5
AEK Athens FC
5.4
Panetolikos
5.4
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Panathinaikos
5.1
Atromitos
4.9
PAOK
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
Iraklis 1908
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Kalamata
38.0
Iraklis 1908
36.5
Kifisia
32.2
Atromitos
30.4
Levadiakos
30.3
Volos NFC
30.3
AEK Athens FC
29.5
OFI
28.5
Aris Thessalonikis
28.4
Panathinaikos
28.3
Asteras Tripolis
27.6
Panetolikos
27.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.4
PAOK
24.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Under
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Unibet
1.86
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
1.85
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.38
Under
Superbet
2.65
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
PAOK or Draw✓ Hit
91.4%
Avg Implied 87.1% · @ 1.08
Edge
+4.3%
73%
19%
9%
covers PAOK + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
888Sport
1.08
Betfair
1.08
PAOK or Levadiakos✓ Hit
81.4%
Avg Implied 80.7% · @ 1.16
Edge
+0.7%
73%
19%
9%
covers PAOK + Levadiakos
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Draw or Levadiakos✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied 32.2% · @ 2.91
Edge
-4.9%
73%
19%
9%
covers Draw + Levadiakos
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.10
Betano
3.00
Marathonbet
2.96
1xBet
2.93
Superbet
2.92
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
PAOK over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
89.6%
@ 1.08+3.2%
Under
10.4%
@ 6.87-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Under
Betfair
7.50
888Sport
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.80
PAOK over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
66.1%
@ 1.46+2.5%
Under
33.9%
@ 2.55-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.62
Marathonbet
2.58
Unibet
2.55
Superbet
2.55
PAOK over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
39.4%
@ 2.46+1.5%
Under
60.6%
@ 1.50-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.62
Bet365
2.50
888Sport
2.50
Betfair
2.50
1xBet
2.49
Under
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Superbet
1.51
PAOK over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
19.3%
@ 4.71-0.4%
Under
80.7%
@ 1.15+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
888Sport
4.80
Superbet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
888Sport
1.15
Levadiakos over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
48.9%
@ 1.72-5.1%
Under
51.1%
@ 2.02+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.78
Unibet
1.76
Superbet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
Betano
2.07
BetVictor
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Levadiakos over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
14.6%
@ 4.62-5.5%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.16+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.75
BetVictor
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.70
Superbet
4.70
Under
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Levadiakos over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 14.69-3.5%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.02+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
888Sport
17.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
9.75
Under
888Sport
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Levadiakos over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.5%
@ 50.50-99.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Superbet
50.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to PAOK, so a minus line means PAOK give that many goals of a start and Levadiakos receive them. At -1, PAOK must win by two or more to land; a one-goal PAOK win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (PAOK)Actual: PAOK
PAOK -2
27.8%
@ 3.53+2.3%
Draw -2
22.0%
@ 4.04-0.3%
Levadiakos +2
50.3%
@ 1.72-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
3.35
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Away
Unibet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Superbet
1.71
Handicap -1 (PAOK)Actual: PAOK
PAOK -1
49.7%
@ 2.01+5.4%
Draw -1
23.0%
@ 3.55-2.1%
Levadiakos +1
27.3%
@ 2.92-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Betfair
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
3.50
Away
10Bet
3.00
Unibet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.96
Superbet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Handicap +1 (PAOK)Actual: PAOK
PAOK +1
91.4%
@ 1.07+5.0%
Draw +1
6.2%
@ 10.00-3.0%
Levadiakos -1
2.4%
@ 21.00-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
Betfair
21.00
Handicap +2 (PAOK)Actual: PAOK
PAOK +2
97.6%
@ 1.01+2.7%
Draw +2
1.9%
@ 26.00-1.8%
Levadiakos -2
0.5%
@ 71.00-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
Draw
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
26.00
Away
Betfair
91.00
Bet365
51.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
PAOK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.33
0.94
0.38
0.79
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.40
0.20
0.40
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (10)
1.60
0.20
2.17
0.33
0.75
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Levadiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levadiakos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.64
0.64
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
0.88
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.71
0.80
0.50
0.82
0.91
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.8%
@ 1.30+0.9%
Under 0.5
27.2%
@ 3.33-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Under
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
35.6%
@ 2.41-3.1%
Under 1.5
64.4%
@ 1.52+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Pinnacle
2.54
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.44
Betfair
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.55
Superbet
1.54
William Hil
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Betano
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.1%
@ 5.51-3.7%
Under 2.5
86.9%
@ 1.11+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betano
5.60
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.50
1xBet
5.40
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PAOK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
57.2%
@ 1.50-4.9%
Under
42.8%
@ 2.46+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.51
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Under
Pinnacle
2.56
10Bet
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Unibet
2.45
1xBet
2.40
PAOK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
20.6%
@ 3.36-6.9%
Under
79.4%
@ 1.28+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.50
1xBet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
10Bet
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Under
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
PAOK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 8.40-4.7%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.04+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.40
Superbet
8.20
Betano
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Levadiakos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
30.4%
@ 3.07+0.2%
Under
69.6%
@ 1.33-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.44
Unibet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Betano
3.05
10Bet
3.00
Under
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Levadiakos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.5%
@ 11.67-2.6%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.02+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Levadiakos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 60.00-99.4%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
60.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
PAOK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.88
0.19
0.57
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.70
1.00
0.20
0.50
1.20
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.50
0.67
0.17
0.75
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Levadiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levadiakos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.77
1.43
0.57
0.75
0.94
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.62
0.75
1.00
0.50
2.25
vs Similar (21)
1.19
0.48
1.70
0.40
0.73
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.2%
@ 1.18+2.6%
Under 0.5
18.8%
@ 4.36-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Under
Betano
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Superbet
4.40
1xBet
4.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
47.9%
@ 1.87-1.7%
Under 1.5
52.1%
@ 1.84+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.89
Unibet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Under
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.0%
@ 3.71-5.0%
Under 2.5
80.0%
@ 1.24+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.66
Marathonbet
3.58
Under
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PAOK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
68.7%
@ 1.35-0.4%
Under
31.3%
@ 3.02+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Under
Betano
3.10
1xBet
3.00
Superbet
2.95
PAOK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
31.7%
@ 2.58-4.4%
Under
68.3%
@ 1.45+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.65
1xBet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.55
Betano
2.50
Under
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
PAOK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.6%
@ 6.00-6.8%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.10+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.30
Superbet
6.20
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Levadiakos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
40.5%
@ 2.46+2.9%
Under
59.5%
@ 1.49-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.52
Marathonbet
2.51
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.40
Under
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.51
Superbet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.45
Levadiakos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.3%
@ 8.65-1.4%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.04+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.30
Superbet
9.00
1xBet
8.70
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Levadiakos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 38.00-97.9%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
38.00
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
97.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.9%
1.02
888Sport
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.3%
1.04
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.05
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
91.4%
1.08
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
888Sport
1.08
Betfair
1.08
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
91.4%
1.07
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.4%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.7%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
89.6%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.9%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
85.4%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
82.6%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.18
Superbet
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
81.4%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
888Sport
1.18
Superbet
1.18
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.2%
1.18
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.16
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
80.7%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
888Sport
1.15
+0.4%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.0%
1.24
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.9%
1.20
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
79.4%
1.28
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
+6.9%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.8%
1.30
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home win
72.7%
1.37
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.40
Dafabet
1.39
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.38
+4.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
PAOK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rahman Baba33%
Anestis Mythou33%
Cherif Ndiaye0%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Greg Taylor0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Dimitrios Chatsidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Greg Taylor33%
Cherif Ndiaye0%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
Rahman Baba0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Anestis Mythou0%
Dimitrios Chatsidis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cherif Ndiaye0%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
Rahman Baba0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Greg Taylor0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Anestis Mythou0%
Dimitrios Chatsidis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cherif Ndiaye33%
Baptiste Santamaria33%
Dimitrios Chatsidis33%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Rahman Baba0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Greg Taylor0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Anestis Mythou0%
Levadiakos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fabricio Pedrozo37%
Alen Ožbolt33%
Benjamin Verbič25%
Sebastián Palacios21%
Stipe Jurić20%
Giannis Kosti19%
Ognjen Ožegović18%
Hisham Layous18%
Panagiotis Symelidis14%
Guillermo Balzi12%
Giorgos Nikas9%
Panagiotis Liagas8%
Konstantinos Goumas8%
Marios Vichos6%
Georgios Manthatis5%
Triantafyllos Tsapras3%
Hörður Magnússon0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Enis Çokaj0%
Joel Abu Hanna0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Giannis Tsivelekidis0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Lamarana Jallow0%
Taxiarchis Filon0%
Georgios Katris0%
Christos Papadopoulos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christos Papadopoulos40%
Giannis Kosti27%
Enis Çokaj26%
Panagiotis Symelidis24%
Konstantinos Goumas23%
Benjamin Verbič20%
Georgios Kornezos20%
Guillermo Balzi19%
Lamarana Jallow18%
Sebastián Palacios17%
Alen Ožbolt17%
Fabricio Pedrozo17%
Joel Abu Hanna15%
Panagiotis Liagas12%
Hörður Magnússon11%
Giannis Tsivelekidis11%
Georgios Manthatis11%
Taxiarchis Filon9%
Yury Lodygin7%
Triantafyllos Tsapras6%
Marios Vichos3%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Ognjen Ožegović0%
Stipe Jurić0%
Hisham Layous0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Georgios Katris0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Triantafyllos Tsapras32%
Sebastián Palacios24%
Guillermo Balzi23%
Alen Ožbolt17%
Giannis Tsivelekidis11%
Georgios Manthatis11%
Hisham Layous9%
Konstantinos Goumas8%
Benjamin Verbič5%
Panagiotis Symelidis5%
Panagiotis Liagas4%
Enis Çokaj3%
Marios Vichos3%
Hörður Magnússon0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Giannis Kosti0%
Joel Abu Hanna0%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Ognjen Ožegović0%
Fabricio Pedrozo0%
Stipe Jurić0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Lamarana Jallow0%
Taxiarchis Filon0%
Georgios Katris0%
Christos Papadopoulos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alen Ožbolt21%
Sebastián Palacios10%
Fabricio Pedrozo10%
Giannis Kosti8%
Benjamin Verbič5%
Hisham Layous5%
Panagiotis Liagas4%
Guillermo Balzi4%
Hörður Magnússon0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Enis Çokaj0%
Joel Abu Hanna0%
Georgios Manthatis0%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Marios Vichos0%
Panagiotis Symelidis0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Ognjen Ožegović0%
Stipe Jurić0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Giannis Tsivelekidis0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Triantafyllos Tsapras0%
Lamarana Jallow0%
Konstantinos Goumas0%
Taxiarchis Filon0%
Georgios Katris0%
Christos Papadopoulos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
PAOK's squad is €66m more valuable than Levadiakos's (€82m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
PAOK's attack is €24m more valuable than Levadiakos's (€30m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
PAOK's midfield is €23m more valuable than Levadiakos's (€28m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
PAOK's defence is €19m more valuable than Levadiakos's (€24m vs €5m).
Greece: Super League 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
OFI
Kifisia
Volos NFC
Iraklis 1908
Atromitos
Kalamata
Asteras Tripolis