PAOK vs Olympiakos Piraeus Result & Analysis

The contest between PAOK and Olympiakos Piraeus is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 30% for a home victory, 29% for a draw, and 41% for an Olympiakos win, making the latter the most likely outcome. The average number of goals expected is 2.5, with the most probable total being two goals at a 27% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 14% probability.

PAOK, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.57 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Olympiakos, on the road against a similar side, averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Recent form adds intrigue: PAOK has slipped after a defeat to Brann, while Olympiakos remains unbeaten in five games, having edged Atromitos 1-0.

The model’s selections include: Over 2.5 cards at 92.9%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.3%, Under 10.5 corners at 73.1%, and Over 1.5 goals at 72.3%. Other picks such as Over 19.5 fouls, Over 21.5 fouls, Over 3.5 cards, Under 3.5, and Over 2.5 cards are also listed with their respective probabilities.

PAOK’s recent form, a streak of LWDLL that ended in a 2-3 loss to Brann, gave the home side a shaky start, while Olympiakos Piraeus, unbeaten in their last five with a 1-0 win over Atromitos, carried momentum into the match. The final score of 2-3 confirmed the away win that the model had picked, and the prediction was correct. The model had forecast a 41% chance of an away victory and a 2.5-goal total, yet the match produced five goals, well above the expected 2.5. Among the suggested picks, Over 2.5 cards hit at 92.9%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 82.3%, Under 10.5 corners hit at 73.1%, and Over 1.5 hit at 72.3%. All other selections - Over 19.5 fouls, Over 21.5 fouls, Over 3.5 cards, and Under 3.5 - missed, with probabilities of 91.9%, 83.5%, 83.2%, and 76.0% respectively.