PAOK vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

PAOK’s defensive record at home is solid, conceding just 0.5 goals on average against similarly matched opponents, while Panathinaikos struggles away, allowing 2.0 goals per game. The model projects a tight affair with an expected 2.2 goals, most likely a 1-0 win for the hosts, a 13.9% chance. The favoured outcome is a PAOK victory, with 49% probability, a draw 30%, and a Panathinaikos win 21%. The single most probable total is two goals, with a 28% probability. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls (94.2%), Over 2.5 cards (87.7%), Over 21.5 fouls (87.5%), Under 11.5 corners (84.2%), Under 3.5 (81.4%), Over 23.5 fouls (77.1%), Under 10.5 corners (75.5%), and Over 3.5 cards (73.7%). PAOK are coming off a defeat, while Panathinaikos remain unbeaten in their last five away games. This low-scoring, defensive clash should see the home side edge the match.

PAOK’s recent form, still shaken by a defeat, found a spark against Panathinaikos, whose unbeaten streak kept them confident. The model’s favourite, a home win, was correct as PAOK edged 2-1. The pre-match probability for the win was 49%, while the draw and away win stood at 30% and 21% respectively. The model’s selections largely hit: Over 19.5 fouls at 94.2%, Over 2.5 cards at 87.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 87.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 84.2%, Under 3.5 at 81.4%, Over 23.5 fouls at 77.1%, Under 10.5 corners at 75.5% and Over 3.5 cards at 73.7%. All predictions were settled, with every figure appearing only once.