Pardubice enter the match after a hard-hit defeat, while Artis are still reeling from three consecutive losses. The model still favours a home win, giving Pardubice a 48 % chance, a draw 31 %, and an away win 21 %. The expected total goals is 2.1, with the most likely total being two goals at 28 %. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Pardubice, with a 14.9 % probability. Both sides have similar offensive and defensive averages against comparable opponents: Pardubice score 1.08 and concede 1.25 at home, Artis score 1.08 and concede 1.08 away. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8 %), Under 6.5 (99.4 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.3 %), Away under 3.5 goals (99.2 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.2 %), Under 5.5 (97.9 % with a 9 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.7 %), and Away under 2.5 goals (95.6 %).
Results analysis
The upset was stark: Pardubice, the pre-match favourite, fell short as Artis snatched a 2-1 victory, extending their two-game winning streak. The model had tipped a home win with a 48% probability, but that call was wrong. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.2%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.4%), Under 5.5 (98.1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.3%), and Away under 2.5 goals (95.8%). The final score of 1-2 confirmed the model’s selections, yet the predicted winner proved inaccurate.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Pardubice win✗ Miss
48.5%
Avg Implied 64.9% · @ 1.42
Edge
-16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.47
Betano
1.45
Dafabet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Draw✗ Miss
31.1%
Avg Implied 21.3% · @ 4.34
Edge
+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.64
Dafabet
4.60
1xBet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Artis win✓ Hit
20.4%
Avg Implied 13.8% · @ 6.69
Edge
+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
7.10
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Pinnacle
6.94
Betano
6.80
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Pardubice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.43
1.20
1.47
1.60
1.40
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
1.25
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.33
vs Similar (26)
1.35
1.46
1.21
1.50
1.50
1.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Artis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Artis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.57
1.56
2.06
1.36
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
3.00
0.50
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.48
1.56
1.69
2.00
1.25
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.67
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.7%
@ 1.21-14.4%
Under 1.5
37.3%
@ 4.05+14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Under
Betfair
4.33
Betano
4.15
Pinnacle
4.14
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
34.4%
@ 1.69-21.1%
Under 2.5
65.6%
@ 2.11+21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
BetVictor
1.69
Under
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
Betfair
2.15
10Bet
2.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.7%
@ 2.69-19.0%
Under 3.5
84.3%
@ 1.42+19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.89
BetVictor
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.70
Betfair
2.70
Under
Betano
1.50
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.2%
@ 1.85-9.7%
No
59.8%
@ 1.85+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.95
Superbet
1.90
Betfair
1.90
BetVictor
1.87
William Hil
1.85
No
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.87
Betfair
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.2%@ 6.58+8.4%
1-1
13.8%@ 8.01+8.2%
0-0
13.8%@ 11.81+10.0%
2-0
10.8%@ 6.58+4.0%
0-1
8.3%@ 16.28+5.6%
2-1
8.3%@ 7.51+2.3%
1-2 ✓
4.8%@ 18.71+2.4%
3-0
4.7%@ 9.27-0.1%
Pardubice goals ↓
Artis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
8.3%
3.6%
0.9%
0.2%
1
15%
14%
4.8%
1.2%
0.2%
2
11%
8.3%
3.1%
0.8%
0.2%
3
4.7%
3.6%
1.4%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.6%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pardubice goals (down), columns = Artis goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.33
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Slovan Liberec
2.17
Zbrojovka Brno
2.17
FK Jablonec
2.00
Baník Ostrava
1.80
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Teplice
1.67
Sparta Praha
1.50
Hradec Králové
1.40
Plzen
1.20
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Artis
0.67
Slovácko
0.33
Pardubice
0.17
Zlin
0.00
Pardubice is 0.50 points worse than Artis in terms of average points per game (0.17 vs 0.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.83
Plzen
2.20
Mlada Boleslav
2.20
Teplice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.67
Sigma Olomouc
1.67
Slovan Liberec
1.33
Bohemians 1905
1.20
FK Jablonec
1.20
Artis
1.00
Zlin
0.83
Pardubice
0.83
Slovácko
0.83
Hradec Králové
0.80
Baník Ostrava
0.80
Pardubice is 0.17 goals worse than Artis in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Slovan Liberec
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.80
Slavia Praha
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno
0.83
Hradec Králové
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc
1.33
Sparta Praha
1.67
Pardubice
2.00
Teplice
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Artis
2.17
Zlin
2.17
Plzen
2.40
Pardubice is 0.17 goals better than Artis in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 2.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sparta Praha
65%
Plzen
59%
Sigma Olomouc
58%
Slavia Praha
54%
Hradec Králové
54%
FK Jablonec
52%
Mlada Boleslav
50%
Teplice
49%
Slovácko
48%
Slovan Liberec
47%
Baník Ostrava
47%
Bohemians 1905
47%
Zbrojovka Brno
45%
Zlin
43%
Artis
42%
Pardubice
40%
Pardubice is 1.5 percentage points worse than Artis in terms of average possession (40% vs 42%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Pardubice
For 4.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 13.8 · Total 29.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Artis
For 3.4 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 13.6 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pardubice
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.4
9.6
4.1
4.2
3.9
25.9
26.0
25.9
vs Stronger (9)
10.4
10.5
10.2
3.7
4.2
3.2
23.1
22.8
23.5
vs Similar (39)
10.0
10.6
9.4
4.3
4.3
4.3
26.5
26.7
26.4
vs Weaker (2)
7.0
7.0
-
1.0
2.0
0.0
26.0
26.0
-
% over line
57%
55%
58%
50%
57%
44%
78%
77%
79%
% under line
43%
45%
42%
50%
43%
56%
22%
23%
21%
This opponent (Artis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Artis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
7.2
9.7
0.4
0.4
0.4
26.4
24.5
29.0
vs Stronger (3)
5.0
5.0
-
0.3
0.5
0.0
34.0
34.0
-
vs Similar (43)
8.8
8.0
9.7
0.5
0.5
0.5
25.2
21.3
29.0
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
29%
0%
67%
4%
4%
4%
71%
50%
100%
% under line
71%
100%
33%
96%
96%
96%
29%
50%
0%
This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mlada Boleslav
11.2
Slavia Praha
10.8
Zbrojovka Brno
10.6
Bohemians 1905
10.3
Slovácko
10.3
Pardubice
10.1
Baník Ostrava
10.0
Hradec Králové
9.9
FK Jablonec
9.8
Slovan Liberec
9.8
Sparta Praha
9.7
Plzen
9.5
Zlin
9.3
Sigma Olomouc
9.3
Teplice
9.0
Artis
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Slovan Liberec
5.3
Plzen
5.3
Sparta Praha
4.8
Slavia Praha
4.5
Teplice
4.5
Pardubice
4.4
Baník Ostrava
4.2
Sigma Olomouc
4.2
Mlada Boleslav
4.1
FK Jablonec
4.1
Zlin
3.9
Slovácko
3.9
Hradec Králové
3.7
Bohemians 1905
3.7
Zbrojovka Brno
3.6
Artis
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slovan Liberec
28.9
Zlin
28.7
Teplice
28.2
Sigma Olomouc
26.8
Slavia Praha
26.7
Slovácko
26.6
FK Jablonec
26.5
Artis
26.4
Plzen
26.1
Mlada Boleslav
25.5
Pardubice
25.4
Baník Ostrava
24.6
Sparta Praha
24.4
Bohemians 1905
22.9
Hradec Králové
22.8
Zbrojovka Brno
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.0%
@ 2.10+9.1%
Under 9.5
47.0%
@ 1.65-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Under
Unibet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Superbet
1.61
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.2%
@ 1.29-13.6%
Under 3.5
42.8%
@ 3.12+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.27
Under
Betano
3.25
Superbet
3.00
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.5%
Under 21.5
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Pardubice or Draw✗ Miss
79.6%
Avg Implied 85.9% · @ 1.08
Edge
-6.3%
48%
31%
20%
covers Pardubice + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Pardubice or Artis✓ Hit
68.9%
Avg Implied 79.4% · @ 1.17
Edge
-10.5%
48%
31%
20%
covers Pardubice + Artis
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Draw or Artis✓ Hit
51.5%
Avg Implied 34.8% · @ 2.68
Edge
+16.8%
48%
31%
20%
covers Draw + Artis
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.77
10Bet
2.75
1xBet
2.71
Marathonbet
2.71
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Pardubice over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.1%
@ 1.09-12.4%
Under
26.9%
@ 6.41+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
Under
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.60
BetVictor
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.20
Pardubice over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.8%
@ 1.51-23.8%
Under
62.2%
@ 2.42+23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.55
BetVictor
1.53
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.46
Marathonbet
2.45
1xBet
2.45
Betano
2.42
Pardubice over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.6%
@ 2.60-21.2%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.45+21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.80
BetVictor
2.63
Unibet
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.55
Under
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Pardubice over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 5.21-13.5%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.14+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.10
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.70
Under
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.08
Artis over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
53.3%
@ 1.67-2.3%
Under
46.7%
@ 2.09+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
BetVictor
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.16
Betano
2.15
Unibet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Artis over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
17.8%
@ 4.22-4.2%
Under
82.2%
@ 1.19+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.50
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
Under
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Artis over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 12.19-3.6%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.03+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
11.25
1xBet
11.20
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Artis over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.8%
@ 45.00-99.2%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Superbet
39.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Pardubice, so a minus line means Pardubice give that many goals of a start and Artis receive them. At -1, Pardubice must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Pardubice win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Pardubice)Actual: Artis
Pardubice -2
8.6%
@ 3.90-14.4%
Draw -2
14.9%
@ 4.13-6.7%
Artis +2
76.5%
@ 1.61+21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Superbet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.68
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
4.00
Away
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
Unibet
1.56
Handicap -1 (Pardubice)Actual: Artis
Pardubice -1
23.5%
@ 2.15-17.9%
Draw -1
25.0%
@ 3.47-0.7%
Artis +1
51.5%
@ 2.71+18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.20
Unibet
2.20
Superbet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Betfair
2.10
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
10Bet
3.45
Away
Betfair
2.80
Bet365
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.71
Superbet
2.67
Handicap +1 (Pardubice)Actual: Draw
Pardubice +1
79.6%
@ 1.10-1.8%
Draw +1
14.0%
@ 7.41+1.9%
Artis -1
6.5%
@ 13.65-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
7.50
Unibet
7.50
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
14.00
Unibet
12.50
Marathonbet
7.10
Handicap +2 (Pardubice)Actual: Pardubice
Pardubice +2
93.5%
@ 1.02-0.4%
Draw +2
5.0%
@ 23.00+0.9%
Artis -2
1.4%
@ 51.00-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Draw
Bet365
23.00
Away
Bet365
51.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pardubice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.53
0.73
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.25
0.00
1.00
0.67
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.58
0.62
0.57
0.71
0.58
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Artis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Artis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.83
0.75
1.19
0.71
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.50
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.84
0.77
1.15
0.58
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.1%
@ 1.31+0.3%
Under 0.5
28.9%
@ 3.19-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
William Hil
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Pinnacle
3.24
1xBet
3.16
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.6%
@ 2.46-2.1%
Under 1.5
64.4%
@ 1.49+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.62
Betano
2.57
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Under
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
William Hil
1.50
BetVictor
1.49
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.8%
@ 5.74-4.4%
Under 2.5
88.2%
@ 1.11+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Betano
5.60
1xBet
5.35
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pardubice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
56.5%
@ 1.54-3.8%
Under
43.5%
@ 2.34+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Under
Pinnacle
2.41
Superbet
2.37
10Bet
2.35
Unibet
2.33
1xBet
2.31
Pardubice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.3%
@ 3.59-7.6%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.25+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.65
1xBet
3.64
Marathonbet
3.64
10Bet
3.55
Superbet
3.45
Under
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Pardubice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 8.68-7.1%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.04+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
9.00
Superbet
8.80
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Artis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
32.6%
@ 2.98+1.5%
Under
67.4%
@ 1.35-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.23
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
2.95
Betano
2.95
1xBet
2.88
Under
Betano
1.37
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Artis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 11.59-2.7%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.03+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
11.75
1xBet
11.70
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Artis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 55.00-99.3%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
55.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pardubice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.87
0.67
0.73
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.85
0.64
0.79
0.92
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Artis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Artis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.81
0.88
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.80
0.72
0.92
0.85
0.67
0.58
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.8%
@ 1.18-1.7%
Under 0.5
23.2%
@ 4.31+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.17
Under
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
1xBet
4.33
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.2%
@ 1.88-7.1%
Under 1.5
57.8%
@ 1.83+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.90
1xBet
1.87
Under
10Bet
1.91
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Bet365
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.0%
@ 3.79-7.5%
Under 2.5
83.0%
@ 1.23+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Under
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pardubice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
60.4%
@ 1.36-7.7%
Under
39.6%
@ 2.90+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Under
10Bet
3.00
Betano
2.95
Superbet
2.85
1xBet
2.80
Pardubice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
23.5%
@ 2.67-11.1%
Under
76.5%
@ 1.41+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.75
Superbet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.65
10Bet
2.62
Betano
2.60
Under
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Pardubice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 6.36-7.1%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.08+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Artis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
38.2%
@ 2.37-1.0%
Under
61.8%
@ 1.52+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.45
1xBet
2.44
Marathonbet
2.38
Betano
2.32
10Bet
2.25
Under
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.49
Artis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
8.2%
@ 8.24-3.0%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.05+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Marathonbet
8.70
Superbet
8.30
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Artis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 23.25-2.5%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
34.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.4%
1.01
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.1%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.6%
1.14
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.08
+13.5%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
94.0%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+12.7%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.5%
1.08
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
+3.0%
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.2%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
84.3%
1.42
Betano
1.50
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Superbet
1.41
+19.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.0%
1.23
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
82.2%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
+4.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.7%
1.25
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
79.6%
1.08
Betano
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
-6.3%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
79.6%
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Unibet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-1.8%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.8%
1.18
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.17
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.5%
1.41
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.38
+11.1%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
73.1%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
-12.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.1%
1.31
Betano
1.37
William Hil
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.7%
1.23
Unibet
1.27
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.19
-
-3.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Pardubice
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Boledovic40%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Václav Drchal0%
Michal Hlavatý0%
Simon Bammens0%
Abdoull Tanko0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Vojtěch Patrák0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Jason Noslin0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Jan Trédl0%
Tomáš Jelínek0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Kahuan0%
Victor Samuel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Emmanuel Godwin40%
Vojtěch Patrák33%
Václav Drchal20%
Michal Hlavatý20%
Jason Noslin20%
Jan Trédl20%
Victor Samuel20%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Simon Bammens0%
Abdoull Tanko0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Tomáš Jelínek0%
Kahuan0%
Tobias Boledovic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michal Hlavatý20%
Jan Trédl20%
Tobias Boledovic20%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Václav Drchal0%
Simon Bammens0%
Abdoull Tanko0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Vojtěch Patrák0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Jason Noslin0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Tomáš Jelínek0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Kahuan0%
Victor Samuel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tomáš Jelínek33%
Abdoull Tanko25%
Jason Noslin20%
Tobias Boledovic20%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Václav Drchal0%
Michal Hlavatý0%
Simon Bammens0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Vojtěch Patrák0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Jan Trédl0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Kahuan0%
Victor Samuel0%
Artis
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Quadri Adediran33%
Sacha Komljenovic20%
Alexis Alegue17%
Issa Fomba17%
Martin Pospisil0%
Dominik Plechatý0%
Dominik Preisler0%
David Šimek0%
Adam Carlén0%
Adam Petrák0%
Papalélé0%
Stepan Harazim0%
Tadeas Stoppen0%
Neil Glossoa0%
El Hadji Latyr Ndiaye0%
Emmanuel Fully0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Neil Glossoa50%
Emmanuel Fully25%
Alexis Alegue17%
Adam Carlén17%
Issa Fomba17%
El Hadji Latyr Ndiaye17%
Martin Pospisil0%
Dominik Plechatý0%
Dominik Preisler0%
David Šimek0%
Adam Petrák0%
Papalélé0%
Stepan Harazim0%
Tadeas Stoppen0%
Sacha Komljenovic0%
Quadri Adediran0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Quadri Adediran33%
Neil Glossoa33%
Papalélé17%
Alexis Alegue0%
Martin Pospisil0%
Dominik Plechatý0%
Dominik Preisler0%
David Šimek0%
Adam Carlén0%
Adam Petrák0%
Stepan Harazim0%
Issa Fomba0%
Tadeas Stoppen0%
Sacha Komljenovic0%
El Hadji Latyr Ndiaye0%
Emmanuel Fully0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Quadri Adediran67%
David Šimek20%
Issa Fomba17%
Alexis Alegue0%
Martin Pospisil0%
Dominik Plechatý0%
Dominik Preisler0%
Adam Carlén0%
Adam Petrák0%
Papalélé0%
Stepan Harazim0%
Tadeas Stoppen0%
Sacha Komljenovic0%
Neil Glossoa0%
El Hadji Latyr Ndiaye0%
Emmanuel Fully0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
Pardubice's squad is €5m more valuable than Artis's (€14m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
Pardubice's attack is €2m more valuable than Artis's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
Pardubice's midfield is €3m more valuable than Artis's (€4m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
Pardubice and Artis have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha
Zbrojovka Brno
Slovan Liberec
Mlada Boleslav
Sigma Olomouc
FK Jablonec
Teplice
Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava
Hradec Králové
Bohemians 1905
Plzen
Slovácko
Zlin