Paris Saint Germain are the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 73% chance of a home win, 17% for a draw and 9% for a Monaco victory. The model’s pick is a home win, driven by PSG’s strong home form: they average 2.69 goals scored and only 0.85 conceded at home against weaker opponents, while Monaco struggles on the road, conceding 4.0 goals on average to stronger teams. The expected total is 3.3 goals, with the most likely total being three goals at 22%. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0 for PSG, with a 11.7% probability. Suggested selections include Over 1.5 goals at 84.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 77.7%, Under 5.5 cards at 76.9%, Under 11.5 corners at 75.7%, Over 19.5 fouls at 74.9% (miss), Home win at 73.3% (edge 3%) and Under 25.5 fouls at 72.3%. PSG’s recent draw streak and Monaco’s three-game winning run add intrigue, but the venue advantage keeps the home side ahead.
Results analysis
The upset came as Paris Saint Germain, the pre-match favourite with a 73.3% chance of victory, fell short, losing 1-3 to Monaco. The model’s call was wrong, but many other selections hit. Over 1.5 goals, with an 84.3% probability, proved correct, as did Over 2.5 cards (77.7%) and Under 5.5 cards (76.9%). Under 11.5 corners (75.7%) also hit, while Over 19.5 fouls (74.9%) missed. The Home win pick, despite its edge of 3%, was wrong, yet Under 25.5 fouls (72.3%) succeeded. Monaco’s 3-game winning streak carried them to a deserved away victory, extending their run after a 4-1 win over Gornik Zabrze.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Paris Saint Germain win✗ Miss
73.3%
Avg Implied 70.1% · @ 1.34
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
17.4%
Avg Implied 16.9% · @ 5.55
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Monaco win✓ Hit
9.2%
Avg Implied 12.9% · @ 7.27
Edge
-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Paris Saint Germain
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.30
1.03
2.57
0.93
2.06
1.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.33
1.67
1.00
2.00
1.50
1.50
vs Weaker (27)
2.41
0.96
2.69
0.85
2.14
1.07
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Monaco) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Monaco
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.53
1.40
1.27
1.47
1.80
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
2.60
1.67
1.67
1.50
4.00
vs Similar (13)
1.15
1.46
1.29
1.29
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (12)
1.67
1.17
1.40
1.00
1.86
1.29
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.3%
Under 1.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.1%
@ 1.32-8.0%
Under 2.5
36.9%
@ 3.26+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.0%
Under 3.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.7%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
4.7%
Paris Saint Germain goals ↓
Monaco goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.6%
2.3%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
1
8.8%
8.3%
3.0%
0.8%
0.2%
2
12%
9.3%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
3
9.6%
7.6%
3.0%
0.8%
0.2%
4
5.9%
4.7%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Paris Saint Germain goals (down), columns = Monaco goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.24
Lens
2.06
Rodez
2.00
Lille
1.79
Lyon
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Marseille
1.74
Monaco
1.59
Strasbourg
1.56
Toulouse
1.33
Lorient
1.32
Paris FC
1.29
Stade Brestois 29
1.15
Angers
1.06
Le Havre
1.03
Auxerre
1.00
Nice
1.00
Nantes
0.70
Saint Etienne
0.67
Metz
0.50
RED Star FC 93
0.00
Paris Saint Germain is 0.65 points better than Monaco in terms of average points per game (2.24 vs 1.59).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.18
RED Star FC 93
2.00
Lens
1.94
Marseille
1.85
Monaco
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Strasbourg
1.71
Lyon
1.56
Lille
1.53
Rodez
1.50
Toulouse
1.42
Lorient
1.41
Paris FC
1.38
Stade Brestois 29
1.26
Nice
1.14
Auxerre
1.00
Metz
0.94
Le Havre
0.94
Nantes
0.88
Angers
0.85
Saint Etienne
0.33
Paris Saint Germain is 0.41 goals better than Monaco in terms of goals scored per game (2.18 vs 1.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Paris Saint Germain
0.85
Rodez
1.00
Lens
1.03
Lille
1.09
Lyon
1.18
Auxerre
1.29
Le Havre
1.29
Marseille
1.32
Saint Etienne
1.33
Strasbourg
1.38
Toulouse
1.39
Angers
1.41
Rennes
1.47
Paris FC
1.47
Lorient
1.50
Nantes
1.58
Monaco
1.59
Stade Brestois 29
1.62
Nice
1.69
Metz
2.24
RED Star FC 93
3.00
Paris Saint Germain is 0.74 goals better than Monaco in terms of goals conceded per game (0.85 vs 1.59).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Paris Saint Germain
69%
RED Star FC 93
63%
Marseille
57%
Lille
56%
Lyon
55%
Monaco
54%
Strasbourg
54%
Rennes
54%
Saint Etienne
52%
Lens
51%
Paris FC
50%
Metz
49%
Le Havre
47%
Nice
47%
Lorient
45%
Auxerre
44%
Stade Brestois 29
43%
Toulouse
42%
Nantes
42%
Angers
42%
Rodez
38%
Paris Saint Germain is 15.0 percentage points better than Monaco in terms of average possession (69% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Paris Saint Germain
For 6.4 · Against 2.6 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 11.4 · Total 20.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Monaco
For 4.7 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 10.0 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Paris Saint Germain
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.1
9.3
2.8
2.8
2.8
19.3
19.0
19.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
9.5
9.3
9.7
4.8
5.3
4.3
22.5
19.3
25.7
vs Weaker (44)
9.2
9.1
9.3
2.5
2.5
2.6
18.8
19.0
18.7
% over line
44%
52%
36%
32%
36%
28%
32%
24%
40%
% under line
56%
48%
64%
68%
64%
72%
68%
76%
60%
This opponent (Monaco) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Monaco
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
8.6
9.6
4.3
4.0
4.5
24.6
24.6
24.6
vs Stronger (5)
11.0
9.0
14.0
4.6
4.7
4.5
20.0
20.0
20.0
vs Similar (23)
8.9
8.8
8.9
4.1
4.3
3.9
25.4
27.4
23.3
vs Weaker (22)
9.0
8.1
9.6
4.4
3.2
5.0
24.7
22.0
26.3
% over line
38%
26%
48%
60%
57%
63%
72%
74%
70%
% under line
62%
74%
52%
40%
43%
37%
28%
26%
30%
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Nice
10.4
Rodez
10.3
Stade Brestois 29
9.9
Auxerre
9.8
Lyon
9.7
Rennes
9.6
Lille
9.5
Lens
9.5
Saint Etienne
9.5
Le Havre
9.4
Nantes
9.4
Paris FC
9.2
Paris Saint Germain
9.2
Monaco
9.2
Toulouse
9.1
Metz
9.1
Marseille
8.9
RED Star FC 93
8.8
Strasbourg
8.6
Lorient
8.5
Angers
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lyon
4.8
Lens
4.7
Auxerre
4.6
Nantes
4.5
Rennes
4.5
Toulouse
4.5
Monaco
4.5
Paris FC
4.4
Marseille
4.3
Strasbourg
4.3
Lille
4.3
Nice
4.2
Rodez
4.1
Lorient
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.1
Le Havre
4.0
Metz
3.8
Stade Brestois 29
3.8
RED Star FC 93
3.7
Angers
3.5
Paris Saint Germain
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lens
26.0
Saint Etienne
25.9
Toulouse
25.9
RED Star FC 93
25.8
Lyon
25.5
Nantes
25.4
Le Havre
25.4
Stade Brestois 29
25.2
Rodez
25.0
Auxerre
25.0
Rennes
24.6
Monaco
24.6
Nice
24.5
Lille
24.3
Paris FC
24.1
Lorient
24.0
Metz
23.4
Strasbourg
23.3
Marseille
23.3
Angers
22.8
Paris Saint Germain
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.2%
Under 9.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.6%
Under 3.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
59.4%
Under 21.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Paris Saint Germain
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.50
0.93
0.50
1.06
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (27)
1.07
0.44
1.00
0.38
1.14
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Monaco) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Monaco
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.73
0.73
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.20
1.00
1.33
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.69
0.57
0.86
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (12)
0.83
0.50
0.80
0.20
0.86
0.71
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monaco over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monaco over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monaco over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Paris Saint Germain
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.53
1.64
0.43
1.00
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (27)
1.33
0.52
1.69
0.46
1.00
0.57
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Monaco) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Monaco
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.83
0.67
0.53
0.93
1.13
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.40
0.67
0.33
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.77
0.71
0.43
0.83
1.17
vs Weaker (12)
0.83
0.67
0.60
0.80
1.00
0.57
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monaco over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monaco over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Monaco over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home win
73.3%
1.34
-
-
-
-
-
+3.2%
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Paris Saint Germain
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ousmane Dembélé35%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia31%
Désiré Doué29%
Bradley Barcola26%
Gonçalo Ramos21%
Nuno Mendes16%
Senny Mayulu15%
João Neves14%
Ibrahim Mbaye11%
Vitinha11%
Kang-in Lee8%
Lucas Beraldo8%
Dro Fernández8%
Quentin Ndjantou7%
Marquinhos7%
Achraf Hakimi6%
Fabián Ruiz6%
Warren Zaïre-Emery6%
Willian Pacho5%
Ilya Zabarnyi3%
Lucas Hernández0%
Matvey Safonov0%
Lucas Chevalier0%
Renato Marin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ilya Zabarnyi19%
Achraf Hakimi16%
Nuno Mendes13%
Lucas Hernández11%
Fabián Ruiz10%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia9%
Kang-in Lee8%
Lucas Beraldo8%
Quentin Ndjantou7%
Gonçalo Ramos7%
Marquinhos7%
Bradley Barcola7%
Warren Zaïre-Emery6%
Senny Mayulu5%
Matvey Safonov4%
João Neves3%
Désiré Doué3%
Vitinha2%
Ousmane Dembélé0%
Willian Pacho0%
Lucas Chevalier0%
Renato Marin0%
Ibrahim Mbaye0%
Dro Fernández0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ousmane Dembélé27%
Achraf Hakimi26%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia22%
Nuno Mendes18%
Désiré Doué18%
Fabián Ruiz16%
Quentin Ndjantou14%
Vitinha13%
João Neves11%
Bradley Barcola11%
Kang-in Lee11%
Senny Mayulu10%
Warren Zaïre-Emery10%
Lucas Hernández8%
Lucas Beraldo4%
Ibrahim Mbaye4%
Willian Pacho2%
Gonçalo Ramos2%
Marquinhos0%
Matvey Safonov0%
Ilya Zabarnyi0%
Lucas Chevalier0%
Renato Marin0%
Dro Fernández0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ousmane Dembélé35%
Désiré Doué26%
Gonçalo Ramos26%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia24%
Bradley Barcola20%
Senny Mayulu15%
Vitinha15%
Nuno Mendes11%
Fabián Ruiz10%
Kang-in Lee8%
Ibrahim Mbaye7%
Achraf Hakimi6%
João Neves6%
Lucas Beraldo4%
Warren Zaïre-Emery2%
Lucas Hernández0%
Marquinhos0%
Matvey Safonov0%
Willian Pacho0%
Ilya Zabarnyi0%
Lucas Chevalier0%
Renato Marin0%
Quentin Ndjantou0%
Dro Fernández0%
Monaco
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Folarin Balogun42%
Ansu Fati33%
Takumi Minamino19%
Maghnes Akliouche16%
Eric Dier15%
George Ilenikhena15%
Simon Adingra12%
Aleksandr Golovin11%
Mika Biereth9%
Jordan Teze9%
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo8%
Mamadou Coulibaly8%
Lamine Camara6%
Denis Zakaria6%
Mohammed Salisu6%
Krépin Diatta0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Paul Pogba0%
Lukáš Hrádecký0%
Philipp Köhn0%
Wout Faes0%
Caio Henrique0%
Vanderson0%
Kassoum Ouattara0%
Lucas Michal0%
Christian Mawissa0%
Paris Brunner0%
Aladji Bamba0%
Pape Cabral0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mohammed Salisu28%
Denis Zakaria27%
Christian Mawissa27%
Vanderson26%
Lamine Camara26%
Wout Faes25%
Mamadou Coulibaly25%
Thilo Kehrer22%
Jordan Teze20%
Takumi Minamino19%
Aleksandr Golovin17%
Kassoum Ouattara17%
Paris Brunner14%
Krépin Diatta14%
Folarin Balogun9%
Caio Henrique9%
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo8%
Aladji Bamba8%
Maghnes Akliouche7%
Lukáš Hrádecký5%
Mika Biereth5%
Philipp Köhn3%
Ansu Fati3%
Eric Dier0%
Paul Pogba0%
Simon Adingra0%
Lucas Michal0%
George Ilenikhena0%
Pape Cabral0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maghnes Akliouche23%
Mamadou Coulibaly17%
Aleksandr Golovin14%
Takumi Minamino14%
Lamine Camara13%
Kassoum Ouattara12%
Simon Adingra12%
Folarin Balogun9%
Krépin Diatta9%
Vanderson9%
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo8%
Aladji Bamba8%
Denis Zakaria6%
Caio Henrique6%
Jordan Teze5%
Mika Biereth2%
Eric Dier0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Paul Pogba0%
Lukáš Hrádecký0%
Philipp Köhn0%
Wout Faes0%
Mohammed Salisu0%
Ansu Fati0%
Lucas Michal0%
Christian Mawissa0%
Paris Brunner0%
George Ilenikhena0%
Pape Cabral0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Folarin Balogun40%
Takumi Minamino19%
Simon Adingra18%
Maghnes Akliouche16%
Ansu Fati13%
Aleksandr Golovin11%
George Ilenikhena10%
Wout Faes6%
Mika Biereth5%
Vanderson4%
Kassoum Ouattara4%
Lamine Camara3%
Denis Zakaria3%
Thilo Kehrer2%
Jordan Teze2%
Krépin Diatta0%
Eric Dier0%
Paul Pogba0%
Lukáš Hrádecký0%
Philipp Köhn0%
Caio Henrique0%
Mohammed Salisu0%
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo0%
Lucas Michal0%
Christian Mawissa0%
Paris Brunner0%
Mamadou Coulibaly0%
Aladji Bamba0%
Pape Cabral0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
SE (30)
€93m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
MET (26)
€43m
ROD (23)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
Paris Saint Germain's squad is €1152m more valuable than Monaco's (€1477m vs €326m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
LEN (8)
€52m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
MET (11)
€17m
LH (10)
€9m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
Paris Saint Germain's attack is €490m more valuable than Monaco's (€638m vs €148m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
PF (7)
€54m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
ANG (3)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
Paris Saint Germain's midfield is €346m more valuable than Monaco's (€430m vs €84m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
PF (17)
€62m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
LOR (11)
€35m
NAN (10)
€34m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
LH (10)
€23m
SB2 (8)
€19m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
Paris Saint Germain's defence is €316m more valuable than Monaco's (€409m vs €93m).
France: Ligue 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lens
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Rennes
Strasbourg
Lorient
Toulouse
Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29
Angers
Nice
Le Havre
Auxerre
Nantes
Metz
Rodez
Saint Etienne
RED Star FC 93