This opponent (Cagliari) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cagliari
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.87
1.69
0.81
1.29
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.07
1.00
1.38
0.75
0.71
1.29
vs Weaker (15)
1.93
0.73
2.00
0.88
1.86
0.57
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Parma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
61.3%
Under 1.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
32.8%
Under 2.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.6%
Under 3.5
85.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.7%
No
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.9%
0-0 ✓
14.6%
0-1
12.4%
1-0
11.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
Parma goals ↓
Cagliari goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
12%
7.2%
2.5%
0.6%
1
12%
15%
7.0%
2.4%
0.6%
2
6.4%
6.6%
3.4%
1.2%
0.3%
3
2.1%
2.2%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Parma goals (down), columns = Cagliari goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Frosinone
2.11
Genoa
1.95
Cagliari
1.65
Bari
1.64
Sudtirol
1.56
Parma
1.55
Reggina
1.41
Palermo
1.29
Modena
1.26
Venezia
1.26
Ascoli
1.24
Pisa
1.24
Como
1.24
Cittadella
1.13
Ternana
1.13
Cosenza
1.10
Perugia
1.03
Brescia
1.02
Spal
1.00
Benevento
0.92
Parma is 0.10 points worse than Cagliari in terms of average points per game (1.55 vs 1.65).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Frosinone
1.66
Bari
1.43
Genoa
1.39
Venezia
1.33
Cagliari
1.33
Pisa
1.26
Palermo
1.26
Reggina
1.26
Parma
1.25
Como
1.24
Modena
1.24
Spal
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Ascoli
1.05
Sudtirol
0.98
Ternana
0.97
Brescia
0.93
Cittadella
0.89
Benevento
0.87
Cosenza
0.80
Parma is 0.08 goals worse than Cagliari in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Frosinone
0.68
Genoa
0.74
Sudtirol
0.85
Cagliari
0.88
Bari
0.95
Parma
1.05
Pisa
1.11
Reggina
1.18
Cittadella
1.18
Ascoli
1.24
Como
1.26
Benevento
1.29
Palermo
1.29
Venezia
1.33
Spal
1.34
Cosenza
1.35
Perugia
1.37
Ternana
1.37
Modena
1.39
Brescia
1.48
Parma is 0.17 goals worse than Cagliari in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 0.88).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Parma
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Cagliari
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Parma
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
9.8
11.8
1.5
1.8
1.2
32.4
33.2
31.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
6.5
6.5
-
0.7
1.3
0.0
35.0
35.0
-
vs Weaker (33)
11.7
11.5
11.8
2.0
2.1
1.8
31.8
32.2
31.4
% over line
82%
67%
100%
20%
24%
16%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
18%
33%
0%
80%
76%
84%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Cagliari) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cagliari
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
6.6
10.8
0.9
0.5
1.2
29.6
28.4
30.8
vs Stronger (3)
7.7
7.7
-
1.3
1.3
-
27.7
27.7
-
vs Similar (26)
8.5
5.0
10.2
1.2
0.8
1.5
30.7
29.5
31.2
vs Weaker (21)
13.0
-
13.0
0.4
0.0
0.8
29.0
-
29.0
% over line
40%
20%
60%
12%
8%
17%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
60%
80%
40%
88%
92%
83%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Parma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
11.0
Benevento
11.0
Venezia
10.5
Spal
10.5
Bari
10.5
Como
10.5
Frosinone
10.5
Reggina
10.4
Parma
10.3
Ascoli
10.0
Ternana
9.9
Cittadella
9.5
Perugia
9.5
Palermo
9.4
Cagliari
9.0
Genoa
8.9
Cosenza
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Perugia
5.9
Pisa
5.8
Frosinone
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Reggina
5.5
Parma
5.5
Venezia
5.4
Como
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Spal
5.2
Ternana
4.8
Palermo
4.8
Brescia
4.6
Benevento
4.6
Genoa
4.6
Cagliari
4.5
Bari
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
33.7
Cittadella
33.4
Perugia
33.0
Pisa
32.8
Ascoli
31.3
Palermo
31.3
Frosinone
31.2
Spal
30.8
Como
29.9
Parma
29.4
Ternana
29.1
Benevento
28.6
Bari
28.3
Genoa
27.9
Cagliari
27.8
Cosenza
27.5
Venezia
27.5
Brescia
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.7%
Under 9.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
81.1%
Under 3.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
95.7%
Under 21.5
4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Parma
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.57
0.50
0.81
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.92
0.42
0.67
0.50
1.17
0.33
vs Weaker (18)
0.56
0.61
0.50
0.50
0.60
0.70
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Cagliari) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cagliari
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.62
0.56
0.71
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.47
0.47
0.50
0.50
0.43
0.43
vs Weaker (15)
0.87
0.47
0.75
0.62
1.00
0.29
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Parma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Parma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cagliari over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cagliari over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cagliari over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Parma
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.53
0.64
0.21
0.31
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.58
0.92
0.83
0.17
0.33
1.67
vs Weaker (18)
0.39
0.28
0.50
0.25
0.30
0.30
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Cagliari) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cagliari
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.40
1.06
0.25
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.53
0.88
0.25
0.29
0.86
vs Weaker (15)
1.07
0.27
1.25
0.25
0.86
0.29
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Parma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Parma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cagliari over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cagliari over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cagliari over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Parma
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Franco Vázquez24%
Adrian Benedyczak24%
Dennis Man20%
Drissa Camara17%
Roberto Inglese17%
Gennaro Tutino12%
Valentin Mihăilă12%
Enrico Del Prato8%
Luca Zanimacchia6%
Jayden Oosterwolde6%
Woyo Coulibaly5%
Cristian Ansaldi5%
Lautaro Valenti4%
Ange-Yoan Bonny4%
Simon Sohm3%
Adrián Bernabé3%
Nahuel Estévez3%
Gianluigi Buffon0%
Elias Cobbaut0%
Yordan Osorio0%
Stanko Jurić0%
Simone Romagnoli0%
Leandro Chichizola0%
Gabriel Charpentier0%
Vassilis Zagaritis0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
Botond Balogh0%
Antoine Hainaut0%
Alessandro Circati0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Woyo Coulibaly30%
Jayden Oosterwolde28%
Botond Balogh27%
Lautaro Valenti25%
Vassilis Zagaritis23%
Antoine Hainaut23%
Stanko Jurić23%
Drissa Camara22%
Franco Vázquez21%
Nahuel Estévez21%
Valentin Mihăilă18%
Simon Sohm17%
Enrico Del Prato17%
Luca Zanimacchia17%
Adrián Bernabé16%
Leandro Chichizola16%
Ange-Yoan Bonny15%
Cristian Ansaldi14%
Yordan Osorio13%
Alessandro Circati13%
Elias Cobbaut9%
Dennis Man7%
Gennaro Tutino6%
Adrian Benedyczak6%
Roberto Inglese4%
Gianluigi Buffon0%
Simone Romagnoli0%
Gabriel Charpentier0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Franco Vázquez18%
Simon Sohm14%
Lautaro Valenti12%
Valentin Mihăilă12%
Adrián Bernabé10%
Cristian Ansaldi10%
Elias Cobbaut9%
Nahuel Estévez8%
Gennaro Tutino6%
Luca Zanimacchia6%
Woyo Coulibaly5%
Drissa Camara4%
Roberto Inglese4%
Ange-Yoan Bonny4%
Dennis Man3%
Adrian Benedyczak3%
Gianluigi Buffon0%
Yordan Osorio0%
Stanko Jurić0%
Enrico Del Prato0%
Simone Romagnoli0%
Leandro Chichizola0%
Gabriel Charpentier0%
Vassilis Zagaritis0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
Botond Balogh0%
Jayden Oosterwolde0%
Antoine Hainaut0%
Alessandro Circati0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Franco Vázquez24%
Valentin Mihăilă24%
Adrián Bernabé13%
Roberto Inglese12%
Dennis Man10%
Adrian Benedyczak9%
Drissa Camara9%
Gennaro Tutino6%
Luca Zanimacchia6%
Nahuel Estévez5%
Woyo Coulibaly5%
Cristian Ansaldi5%
Stanko Jurić3%
Gianluigi Buffon0%
Simon Sohm0%
Elias Cobbaut0%
Yordan Osorio0%
Lautaro Valenti0%
Enrico Del Prato0%
Simone Romagnoli0%
Leandro Chichizola0%
Gabriel Charpentier0%
Vassilis Zagaritis0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
Botond Balogh0%
Jayden Oosterwolde0%
Antoine Hainaut0%
Ange-Yoan Bonny0%
Alessandro Circati0%
Cagliari
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gianluca Lapadula51%
Leonardo Pavoletti23%
Marco Mancosu19%
Gastón Pereiro11%
Zito Luvumbo10%
Alessandro Deiola10%
Paulo Azzi10%
Gabriele Zappa9%
Nunzio Lella5%
Nicolas Viola5%
Marko Rog4%
Christos Kourfalidis4%
Giorgio Altare3%
Antoine Makoumbou2%
Nahitan Nández0%
Antonio Barreca0%
Vincenzo Millico0%
Elio Capradossi0%
Edoardo Goldaniga0%
Boris Radunović0%
Filippo Falco0%
Alberto Dossena0%
Alessandro Di Pardo0%
Nik Prelec0%
Franco Carboni0%
Adam Obert0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vincenzo Millico33%
Alberto Dossena30%
Marko Rog26%
Franco Carboni25%
Nahitan Nández24%
Gabriele Zappa24%
Edoardo Goldaniga23%
Giorgio Altare20%
Paulo Azzi19%
Alessandro Deiola13%
Elio Capradossi12%
Gianluca Lapadula12%
Zito Luvumbo12%
Leonardo Pavoletti12%
Nicolas Viola11%
Antoine Makoumbou10%
Christos Kourfalidis9%
Marco Mancosu7%
Filippo Falco7%
Adam Obert6%
Nunzio Lella5%
Alessandro Di Pardo5%
Boris Radunović5%
Antonio Barreca4%
Gastón Pereiro0%
Nik Prelec0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vincenzo Millico20%
Nahitan Nández16%
Marco Mancosu15%
Christos Kourfalidis13%
Nik Prelec12%
Gastón Pereiro11%
Gianluca Lapadula10%
Franco Carboni8%
Alessandro Deiola6%
Elio Capradossi6%
Gabriele Zappa6%
Zito Luvumbo5%
Paulo Azzi5%
Marko Rog4%
Adam Obert3%
Antonio Barreca0%
Nunzio Lella0%
Leonardo Pavoletti0%
Nicolas Viola0%
Edoardo Goldaniga0%
Boris Radunović0%
Filippo Falco0%
Giorgio Altare0%
Alberto Dossena0%
Alessandro Di Pardo0%
Antoine Makoumbou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianluca Lapadula29%
Leonardo Pavoletti27%
Marco Mancosu22%
Alessandro Deiola19%
Nicolas Viola11%
Alberto Dossena7%
Zito Luvumbo7%
Filippo Falco7%
Elio Capradossi6%
Nahitan Nández5%
Nunzio Lella5%
Christos Kourfalidis4%
Giorgio Altare3%
Gabriele Zappa0%
Gastón Pereiro0%
Marko Rog0%
Antonio Barreca0%
Vincenzo Millico0%
Edoardo Goldaniga0%
Boris Radunović0%
Paulo Azzi0%
Alessandro Di Pardo0%
Nik Prelec0%
Franco Carboni0%
Antoine Makoumbou0%
Adam Obert0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (34)
€488m
GEN (32)
€182m
PAR (28)
€142m
CAG (31)
€134m
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
PIS (36)
€71m
PAL (27)
€54m
MOD (28)
€31m
SUD (27)
€21m
BEN (30)
€12m
ASC (29)
€11m
BAR (22)
€8m
Parma's squad is €8m more valuable than Cagliari's (€142m vs €134m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
GEN (9)
€54m
CAG (11)
€51m
VEN (9)
€39m
PAR (8)
€35m
FRO (8)
€34m
PIS (13)
€24m
PAL (7)
€23m
MOD (9)
€7m
ASC (11)
€5m
BEN (8)
€4m
SUD (5)
€3m
BAR (6)
€2m
Parma's attack is €16m less valuable than Cagliari's (€35m vs €51m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
GEN (6)
€44m
VEN (11)
€31m
CAG (9)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
PAL (7)
€12m
MOD (9)
€11m
SUD (10)
€11m
BEN (9)
€3m
BAR (6)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
Parma's midfield is €29m more valuable than Cagliari's (€60m vs €31m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (14)
€144m
GEN (17)
€84m
CAG (11)
€52m
VEN (16)
€47m
PAR (12)
€46m
FRO (14)
€24m
PIS (14)
€22m
PAL (13)
€19m
MOD (10)
€12m
SUD (12)
€8m
BEN (13)
€5m
BAR (10)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
Parma's defence is €5m less valuable than Cagliari's (€46m vs €52m).
Italy: Serie B 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Frosinone
Genoa
Bari
Sudtirol
Reggina
Venezia
Palermo
Modena
Pisa
Como
Ascoli
Cosenza
Cittadella
Ternana
Brescia
Perugia
Spal
Benevento