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Partick vs Raith Rovers Result & Analysis

Date: 27/08/2022
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Partick
Partick
Vs
33%
34%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Partick win✓ Hit
33.0%
Avg Implied 46.0% · @ 2.01
Edge
-12.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
33.5%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.22
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers win✗ Miss
33.4%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.65
Edge
+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PartickPartick

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L10W13L32W11D11D23L23L41WA·QUE08/04H·RAI16/04H·DUN23/04A·AYR29/04A·DUN30/07H·HAM06/08H·HAM06/08A·QUE13/08A·QUE13/08H·INV19/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.230.870.801.531.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.041.220.620.851.431.57
vs Weaker (3)2.671.332.500.503.003.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L21W20WA·COV30/07H·DUN06/08H·MOR13/08A·HAM20/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.001.001.001.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.8%
Under 1.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
32.4%
@ 2.07-12.7%
Under 2.5
67.6%
@ 1.70+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.3%
Under 3.5
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.4%
No
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.9%
0-0
14.9%
0-1
12.2%
1-0
12.1%
0-2
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-1 ✓
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
Partick goals ↓
Raith Rovers goals →
01234
015%12%6.8%2.3%0.6%
112%15%6.8%2.3%0.6%
26.7%6.8%3.4%1.1%0.3%
32.2%2.2%1.1%0.4%0.1%
40.6%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Partick goals (down), columns = Raith Rovers goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Airdrie United
2.25
Dundee
1.96
Queens Park
1.61
Ayr
1.61
Queen's Park
1.61
Ayr Utd
1.61
Morton
1.60
Partick
1.52
Alloa Athletic
1.50
Inverness CT
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.19
Raith Rovers
1.19
Arbroath
0.96
Hamilton Academical
0.93
Cove Rangers
0.87
Hamilton
0.86
Falkirk
0.00
Partick is 0.32 points better than Raith Rovers in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 1.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Airdrie United
2.25
Dundee
2.02
Queens Park
1.75
Queen's Park
1.75
Partick
1.73
Ayr
1.69
Ayr Utd
1.69
Morton
1.52
Alloa Athletic
1.50
Inverness CT
1.37
Raith Rvs
1.28
Raith Rovers
1.28
Cove Rangers
1.12
Falkirk
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.95
Hamilton
0.86
Arbroath
0.79
Partick is 0.45 goals better than Raith Rovers in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.28).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Airdrie United
1.00
Dundee
1.02
Morton
1.19
Ayr
1.19
Ayr Utd
1.19
Arbroath
1.23
Inverness CT
1.29
Raith Rvs
1.36
Raith Rovers
1.36
Partick
1.38
Queens Park
1.44
Queen's Park
1.44
Hamilton Academical
1.70
Hamilton
1.75
Cove Rangers
2.19
Alloa Athletic
2.50
Falkirk
3.50
Partick is 0.02 goals worse than Raith Rovers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 1.36).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

PartickPartick

For 4.7 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.3

🚩 Corners

1408682251565333272732314107611659105A·QUEH·HAMA·AYRH·DUNH·RAIA·QUEH·ARBA·KILA·DUNH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.9

🟨 Cards

50312212241321323321450335A·QUEH·HAMA·AYRH·DUNH·RAIA·QUEH·ARBA·KILA·DUNH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 10.3 · Total 19.8

⚠️ Fouls

250111061497914121310121071398771021201623252217221517A·QUEH·HAMA·AYRH·DUNH·RAIA·QUEH·ARBA·KILA·DUNH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

PartickPartick

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.79.62.82.82.920.819.721.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (43)9.89.89.83.03.03.020.719.721.7
vs Weaker (7)8.58.78.32.01.82.321.220.022.3
% over line52%48%57%30%32%28%43%26%61%
% under line48%52%43%70%68%72%57%74%39%
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dundee
11.3
Hamilton
10.4
Airdrie United
10.2
Morton
10.2
Ayr
10.1
Arbroath
10.0
Falkirk
10.0
Queens Park
10.0
Raith Rvs
9.9
Partick
9.7
Cove Rangers
9.3
Inverness CT
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Falkirk
4.3
Raith Rvs
4.2
Hamilton
3.8
Dundee
3.8
Cove Rangers
3.8
Queens Park
3.5
Inverness CT
3.5
Airdrie United
3.4
Arbroath
3.4
Ayr
3.3
Partick
3.2
Morton
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dundee
24.6
Hamilton
23.4
Inverness CT
23.2
Arbroath
23.0
Falkirk
22.0
Raith Rvs
21.9
Cove Rangers
21.8
Partick
20.9
Morton
20.9
Ayr
20.5
Airdrie United
19.6
Queens Park
19.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.9%
Under 9.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
36.8%
Under 3.5
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
37.2%
Under 21.5
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PartickPartick

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W02L20W01L01L01L01L20WA·QUE08/04H·RAI16/04H·DUN23/04A·AYR29/04A·DUN30/07H·HAM06/08H·HAM06/08A·QUE13/08A·QUE13/08H·INV19/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.530.200.330.670.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.330.520.080.380.570.64
vs Weaker (3)1.330.671.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L00D10WA·COV30/07H·DUN06/08H·MOR13/08A·HAM20/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.500.000.500.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.250.500.000.500.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Partick over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PartickPartick

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D11D12L10W10W22D22D21WA·QUE08/04H·RAI16/04H·DUN23/04A·AYR29/04A·DUN30/07H·HAM06/08H·HAM06/08A·QUE13/08A·QUE13/08H·INV19/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.670.470.870.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.700.700.540.460.860.93
vs Weaker (3)1.330.671.500.501.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D21W10WA·COV30/07H·DUN06/08H·MOR13/08A·HAM20/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.750.501.000.500.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.750.501.000.500.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Partick over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards90.9%--------
Under 25.5 fouls87.9%--------
Under 3.585.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards80.4%--------
Under 23.5 fouls77.5%--------
Under 11.5 corners73.5%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
Partick's squad is €1m more valuable than Raith Rovers's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
Partick and Raith Rovers have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (7)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Partick and Raith Rovers have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Partick and Raith Rovers have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
PAR wins
0
Draws
0
RR wins

Head-to-head

Partick vs Raith Rovers · H/A from PAR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

PartickPartick

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/08/22HPAR Vs Inverness CT4-1
13/08/22AQueens Park Vs PAR3-2
13/08/22AQueen's Park Vs PAR3-2
06/08/22HPAR Vs Hamilton1-1
06/08/22HPAR Vs Hamilton Academical1-1
30/07/22ADundee Vs PAR2-3
29/04/22AAyr Vs PAR3-1
23/04/22HPAR Vs Dunfermline1-0
16/04/22HPAR Vs Raith Rvs0-1
08/04/22AQueen of Sth Vs PAR0-1

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/22AHamilton Academical Vs RR0-2
13/08/22HRR Vs Morton2-1
06/08/22HRR Vs Dundee0-1
30/07/22ACove Rangers Vs RR2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLW1.58
HomeLWDDW1.92
AwayWLWLL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%56%32%
AVG goals2.742.083.40
Over 1.5 %66%52%80%
Over 2.5 %50%28%72%
Over 3.5 %40%24%56%
Scored1.621.441.80
Conceded1.120.641.60
BTTS42%20%64%
Clean Sheet48%60%36%
Corners9.639.659.61
Cards3.093.003.17
Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWW1.50
HomeLW1.50
AwayLW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals2.002.002.00
Over 1.5 %75%50%100%
Over 2.5 %25%50%0%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored1.001.001.00
Conceded1.001.001.00
BTTS25%50%0%
Clean Sheet25%0%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DundeeDundee52102
56%
2.0
10553+52
3.0
79%
52%
38%
9.8
56%
3.6
38%
21.2
50%
5
1222.01.0
-
2MortonMorton5283
42%
1.6
7962+17
2.7
77%
58%
27%
11.9
81%
5.3
75%
23.4
56%
1
0001.51.2
-
3PartickPartick5279
42%
1.5
9072+18
3.1
81%
63%
42%
10.8
75%
4.1
44%
19.9
31%
3
1111.71.4
-
4Inverness CTInverness CT5275
38%
1.4
7167+4
2.7
77%
54%
23%
12.5
62%
2.4
25%
15.9
25%
1
0001.41.3
-
5
A
Ayr		3658
44%
1.6
6143+18
2.9
81%
56%
39%
10.8
58%
3.1
31%
18.9
28%
0
0001.71.2
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd3658
44%
1.6
6143+18
2.9
81%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.2
-
7Queens ParkQueens Park3658
47%
1.6
6352+11
3.2
83%
61%
39%
12.6
86%
3.0
36%
18.5
25%
0
0001.81.4
-
8QueenQueen's Park3658
47%
1.6
6352+11
3.2
83%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.4
-
9ArbroathArbroath5250
17%
1.0
4164-23
2.0
65%
27%
13%
11.8
69%
4.3
62%
20.7
50%
1
0000.81.2
-
10Cove RangersCove Rangers5245
19%
0.9
58114-56
3.3
87%
62%
37%
10.2
56%
3.8
56%
20.2
38%
0
0001.12.2
-
11Raith RoversRaith Rovers3643
31%
1.2
4649-3
2.6
78%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.31.4
-
12
RR
Raith Rvs		3643
31%
1.2
4649-3
2.6
78%
44%
25%
9.6
47%
4.1
61%
19.7
42%
0
0001.31.4
-
13Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical4037
22%
0.9
3868-30
2.6
68%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
14
H
Hamilton		3631
19%
0.9
3163-32
2.6
69%
42%
28%
11.3
69%
4.3
56%
22.6
56%
0
0000.91.8
-
15Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United49
75%
2.2
94+5
3.2
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
16Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic23
50%
1.5
35-2
4.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.5
-
17FalkirkFalkirk20
0%
0.0
27-5
4.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.03.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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