Partizani vs Dinamo Tirana Result & Analysis

Partizani’s defensive record at home shows they concede more than they score, with an average of 1.36 goals allowed versus 1.07 scored against similar opposition. Dinamo Tirana, on the road, keeps a tighter book, conceding only 0.79 while scoring 0.93, suggesting a tighter contest. The model projects a low-scoring affair, expecting just 2.1 goals on average. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.9% chance, and the overall most probable total is two goals, at 28%. The favourite outcome is an away win, with 35% probability, while the home win and draw each sit at 33%. The suggested pick is Under 3.5 goals, with an 84.6% probability. Partizani entered the match after a draw, whereas Dinamo Tirana came off a defeat. The match is poised to be a tight, low-scoring game with Dinamo Tirana slightly ahead.

The upset came early as Partizani overturned the pre-match favourite, Dinamo Tirana, with a 2-1 victory. The model had tipped an away win at 35 % probability, but the call was wrong. The match finished 2-1 for the home side, extending Partizani’s run after a recent draw. Dinamo’s form had been shaky, coming off a defeat, while Partizani had only managed a draw in their last game. The model’s single other selection, Under 3.5 goals, hit its mark with an 84.6 % probability, confirming the low-scoring nature of the encounter.