Partizani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with a 46% chance for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 27% for Partizani and 27% for a draw. The expected total is 2.7 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13% probability. Partizani, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 0.71 conceded. Egnatia, on the road against a similar side, averages 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Recent form shows Partizani coming off a defeat, while Egnatia remains unbeaten in five matches. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 with a 76.9% chance and Under 3.5 with a 70.6% chance. The probabilities for the match outcomes are 27% for a home win, 27% for a draw, and 46% for an away win. Each selection is presented with its exact percentage.

The pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win with a 46% chance, failed to materialise as the match finished 1-1, a draw. Partizani, who had just come off a defeat, could not overturn the stalemate, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë, unbeaten in their last five, held on to a point. The model’s selection was therefore wrong. The suggested picks performed well: Over 1.5, with a 76.9% probability, hit, and Under 3.5, at 70.6%, also hit. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely 1-1 outcome, which had a 13% probability. The result left the model’s favourite disappointed.