Partizani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Result & Analysis

Defensive solidity will dictate a tight, low-scoring affair. The model favours an away win, with the odds 28% for Partizani, 35% for a draw and 37% for Egnatia Rrogozhinë. The expected goal total sits at 1.9, with the most likely total of two goals carrying a 28% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is a 0-0 stalemate, with a 16.6% probability. Partizani, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 0.93 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. Egnatia Rrogozhinë, on the road, averages 0.88 goals scored and 0.88 conceded against comparable opposition. The model’s selections include an Under 3.5 goal pick at 87.8% and an Under 2.5 goal pick at 71.0%. Both teams have been evenly matched defensively, suggesting a compact game where the away side’s recent unbeaten run may prove decisive.

The upset came early as Partizani overturned the pre-match favourite, winning 2-0 and ending a run of defeats. The model had tipped an away win with a 37% probability, but the prediction proved wrong. Its other selections performed well: the Under 3.5 goal market hit with an 87.8% chance, and Under 2.5 also hit, backed by a 71.0% probability. The most likely scoreline was 0-1, a 28% chance, yet the match finished 2-0. Partizani’s recent form shows a string of losses, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë have remained unbeaten in five outings. The model’s call was incorrect, but its low-goal predictions were spot on.