Partizani vs Teuta Durrës Result & Analysis

Partizani are tipped to lift the win at home, with the model assigning a 49% chance to a home victory, 28% for a draw and 23% for a Teuta Durrës win. The expected total goals hover at 2.5, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.3% probability. Partizani have been scoring 1.22 goals per home game against similarly strong opponents while conceding 1.33, whereas Teuta Durrës, on the road, averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded against comparable opposition. The model’s suggested picks include Under 3.5 with a 75.2% chance and Over 1.5 with a 73.0% chance, each marked as a hit. The home side’s recent run of LDWLL, after a 1-2 loss to Laci, contrasts with Teuta’s unbeaten 5-match streak of WDWWD, highlighted by a 3-1 victory over Tirana. The forecast favours a Partizani win, with the match likely to see a modest goal tally and a 1-1 draw as the most probable scoreline.

Partizani’s recent form has dipped, coming off a defeat, yet they secured a 2-0 win over Teuta Durrës, matching the model’s predicted home victory. The model’s favourite, Home win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 49%. The match finished 2-0, a Home win, confirming the expected outcome. The model’s selections also proved accurate: Under 3.5 goals hit with a 75.2% probability, and Over 1.5 goals hit with a 73.0% probability. All suggested picks settled as predicted, and the final score aligned with the most likely 2-goal outcome, validating the model’s overall forecast.