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Partizani vs Tirana Result & Analysis

Date: 21/09/2024
Time: 18:00
Final 0-0
Partizani
Partizani
Vs
40%
29%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tirana
Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Partizani win✗ Miss
39.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tirana win✗ Miss
31.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PartizaniPartizani

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D21W02L00D01L21W20W22D11DH·EGN26/05H·MAR11/07A·MAR18/07A·SAB25/07H·SAB01/08H·VLL19/08H·SKE25/08A·TEU31/08H·DIN12/09A·LAC16/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.831.290.711.231.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.000.921.000.711.001.18
vs Weaker (5)2.600.402.670.672.500.00
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D30W11D01L00D22D11D22D11DA·LAC04/05H·VLL08/05A·EGN11/05A·TOR11/07H·TOR18/07A·LAC19/08A·VLL25/08H·EGN01/09A·BYL11/09H·AF 16/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.271.071.291.691.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.361.291.081.381.601.20
vs Weaker (2)2.001.001.000.003.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Partizani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.0%
Under 1.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.5%
Under 2.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.8%
Under 3.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.4%
No
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.3%
0-0 ✓
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.4%
Partizani goals ↓
Tirana goals →
01234
08.9%7.9%5.4%2.2%0.6%
19.3%14%7.5%3.0%0.9%
27.3%8.7%5.2%2.1%0.6%
33.3%4.0%2.4%0.9%0.3%
41.1%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Partizani goals (down), columns = Tirana goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.66
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.58
Partizani
1.50
Dinamo Tirana
1.45
AF Elbasani
1.39
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Bylis
1.17
Tirana
1.08
Skenderbeu Korce
1.06
Laci
1.03
Partizani is 0.42 points better than Tirana in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.08).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.47
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.34
Dinamo Tirana
1.34
Tirana
1.19
AF Elbasani
1.11
Partizani
1.05
Skenderbeu Korce
0.97
Bylis
0.92
Laci
0.86
Teuta Durrës
0.81
Partizani is 0.14 goals worse than Tirana in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 1.19).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.79
Partizani
0.89
Laci
1.03
AF Elbasani
1.06
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.16
Teuta Durrës
1.17
Dinamo Tirana
1.18
Tirana
1.22
Skenderbeu Korce
1.25
Bylis
1.39
Partizani is 0.33 goals better than Tirana in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PartizaniPartizani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L11D00D01L00D01L10W00D11D00DH·EGN26/05H·MAR11/07A·MAR18/07A·SAB25/07H·SAB01/08H·VLL19/08H·SKE25/08A·TEU31/08H·DIN12/09A·LAC16/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.430.710.410.540.46
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.480.440.570.360.360.55
vs Weaker (5)1.400.401.330.671.500.00
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W01L01L00D10W01L01L11DA·LAC04/05H·VLL08/05A·EGN11/05A·TOR11/07H·TOR18/07A·LAC19/08A·VLL25/08H·EGN01/09A·BYL11/09H·AF 16/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.630.500.640.620.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.570.610.540.690.600.53
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.000.001.002.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Partizani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Partizani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PartizaniPartizani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D21W01L00D00D11D20W11D11DH·EGN26/05H·MAR11/07A·MAR18/07A·SAB25/07H·SAB01/08H·VLL19/08H·SKE25/08A·TEU31/08H·DIN12/09A·LAC16/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.400.590.290.690.54
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.520.480.430.360.640.64
vs Weaker (5)1.200.001.330.001.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W10W00D00D12L10W21W00DA·LAC04/05H·VLL08/05A·EGN11/05A·TOR11/07H·TOR18/07A·LAC19/08A·VLL25/08H·EGN01/09A·BYL11/09H·AF 16/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.630.570.641.060.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.790.680.540.691.000.67
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Partizani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Partizani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
AE (25)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
SK (27)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
Partizani and Tirana have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
Partizani and Tirana have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
AE (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
Partizani and Tirana have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
Partizani and Tirana have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
PAR wins
2
Draws
1
TIR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Partizani vs Tirana · H/A from PAR
DateH/AGameScore
28/04/24ATirana Vs PAR1-2
16/02/24HPAR Vs Tirana2-1
03/12/23ATirana Vs PAR1-1
19/10/23HPAR Vs Tirana2-1
17/05/23ATirana Vs PAR1-1
06/03/23HPAR Vs Tirana2-0
21/12/22ATirana Vs PAR0-1
02/10/22HPAR Vs Tirana0-2

PartizaniPartizani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/09/24ALaci Vs PAR1-1
12/09/24HPAR Vs Dinamo Tirana2-2
31/08/24ATeuta Durrës Vs PAR0-2
25/08/24HPAR Vs Skenderbeu Korce2-1
19/08/24HPAR Vs Vllaznia Shkodër0-1
01/08/24HPAR Vs Saburtalo0-0
25/07/24ASaburtalo Vs PAR2-0
18/07/24AMarsaxlokk Vs PAR1-2
11/07/24HPAR Vs Marsaxlokk1-1
26/05/24HPAR Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë0-1

TiranaTirana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/09/24HTIR Vs AF Elbasani1-1
11/09/24ABylis Vs TIR2-2
01/09/24HTIR Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë1-1
25/08/24AVllaznia Shkodër Vs TIR2-2
19/08/24ALaci Vs TIR0-0
18/07/24HTIR Vs Torpedo Kutaisi0-1
11/07/24ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs TIR1-1
11/05/24AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs TIR0-3
08/05/24HTIR Vs Vllaznia Shkodër0-0
04/05/24ALaci Vs TIR1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Partizani
Partizani
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDD1.66
HomeDDLWD1.81
AwayWWLWD1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%48%39%
AVG goals2.102.192.00
Over 1.5 %64%63%65%
Over 2.5 %34%37%30%
Over 3.5 %12%15%9%
Scored1.281.411.13
Conceded0.820.780.87
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet34%41%26%
Corners12.0012.00-
Cards4.004.503.00
Tirana
Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 1 Wins / 7 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDDD1.34
HomeLDLDD1.04
AwayWDDDD1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%21%42%
AVG goals2.842.623.04
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %54%38%69%
Over 3.5 %36%25%46%
Scored1.481.211.73
Conceded1.361.421.31
BTTS68%67%69%
Clean Sheet18%12%23%
Corners8.257.509.00
Cards3.00-3.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3863
45%
1.7
5130+21
2.1
74%
34%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.30.8
-
2Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3860
42%
1.6
5644+12
2.6
79%
55%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.51.2
-
3PartizaniPartizani3857
37%
1.5
4034+6
1.9
68%
26%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.10.9
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana3855
37%
1.4
5145+6
2.5
82%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.31.2
-
5AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani3650
31%
1.4
4038+2
2.2
75%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3644
28%
1.2
2942-13
2.0
64%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2130.81.2
-
7BylisBylis3642
31%
1.2
3350-17
2.3
64%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
8TiranaTirana3639
19%
1.1
4344-1
2.4
72%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.2
-
9Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce3638
25%
1.1
3545-10
2.2
69%
42%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.2
-
10LaciLaci3637
22%
1.0
3137-6
1.9
58%
33%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.91.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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