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Partizani vs Tirana Result & Analysis

Date: 03/10/2025
Time: 17:00
Final 0-3
Partizani
Partizani
Vs
44%
33%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tirana
Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Partizani winâś— Miss
44.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
33.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tirana winâś“ Hit
22.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

PartizaniPartizani

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D21W11D00D10W00D14L01L13LH·AF 27/04A·EGN05/05A·DIN10/05A·KAL10/07H·KAL17/07H·VOR24/08H·TEU30/08A·VLL13/09H·AF 20/09A·BYL27/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.101.000.670.671.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.831.101.000.670.671.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L30W11D01L20W00D13L11D02L12LA·AF 31/03H·PAR07/04A·SKE12/04H·TEU19/04A·DIN27/04A·BYL23/08A·VOR31/08H·FLA13/09A·EGN20/09H·DIN27/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.231.291.140.941.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.101.231.291.140.941.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Partizani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%16%025%128%218%39%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.3%
Under 1.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
31.0%
Under 2.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.4%
Under 3.5
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.4%
No
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.5%
1-0
15.5%
1-1
14.2%
2-0
9.9%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.0%
0-2
4.2%
Partizani goals ↓
Tirana goals →
01234
016%9.6%4.2%1.1%0.2%
116%14%5.0%1.3%0.2%
29.9%7.6%2.9%0.8%0.1%
33.9%3.0%1.2%0.3%0.1%
41.2%0.9%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Partizani goals (down), columns = Tirana goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Besa Kavajë
2.00
AF Elbasani
1.74
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.69
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.62
Dinamo Tirana
1.33
Partizani
1.33
Pogradeci
1.33
Tirana
1.22
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Vora
1.17
Bylis
1.14
Flamurtari
1.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.00
Partizani is 0.11 points better than Tirana in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
AF Elbasani
1.36
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Dinamo Tirana
1.15
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.13
Flamurtari
1.08
Vora
1.08
Bylis
1.06
Partizani
1.06
Tirana
1.00
Pogradeci
1.00
Besa Kavajë
1.00
Teuta Durrës
0.89
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.00
Kastrioti Krujë
0.00
Partizani is 0.06 goals better than Tirana in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Besa Kavajë
0.00
Pogradeci
0.33
Vllaznia Shkodër
0.85
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.90
Dinamo Tirana
0.97
Teuta Durrës
1.00
AF Elbasani
1.08
Vora
1.11
Flamurtari
1.25
Tirana
1.28
Partizani
1.33
Bylis
1.39
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
2.00
Kastrioti Krujë
3.00
Partizani is 0.06 goals worse than Tirana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PartizaniPartizani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D11D00D00D10W00D11D01L11DH·AF 27/04A·EGN05/05A·DIN10/05A·KAL10/07H·KAL17/07H·VOR24/08H·TEU30/08A·VLL13/09H·AF 20/09A·BYL27/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.500.600.330.200.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.400.500.600.330.200.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W01L00D10W00D01L10W01L01LA·AF 31/03H·PAR07/04A·SKE12/04H·TEU19/04A·DIN27/04A·BYL23/08A·VOR31/08H·FLA13/09A·EGN20/09H·DIN27/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.400.570.290.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.530.400.570.290.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Partizani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Partizani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PartizaniPartizani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W11D00D00D00D03L00D02LH·AF 27/04A·EGN05/05A·DIN10/05A·KAL10/07H·KAL17/07H·VOR24/08H·TEU30/08A·VLL13/09H·AF 20/09A·BYL27/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.600.400.330.470.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.430.600.400.330.470.87
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W10W01L10W00D12L01L01L11DA·AF 31/03H·PAR07/04A·SKE12/04H·TEU19/04A·DIN27/04A·BYL23/08A·VOR31/08H·FLA13/09A·EGN20/09H·DIN27/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.830.710.860.440.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.570.830.710.860.440.81
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Partizani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Partizani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.586.6%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
AE (25)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
VOR (25)
€4m
BK (21)
€2m
POG (14)
€2m
IF (26)
€2m
KK (18)
€2m
Partizani and Tirana have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
VOR (10)
€2m
BK (6)
€1m
POG (5)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
IF (9)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
Partizani and Tirana have a similar attack value (both €2m).

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
AE (5)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
VOR (4)
€1m
BK (7)
€1m
POG (2)
€0m
IF (6)
€0m
Partizani and Tirana have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
VOR (11)
€1m
BK (8)
€1m
POG (7)
€1m
IF (11)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
Partizani and Tirana have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
PAR wins
4
Draws
1
TIR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Partizani vs Tirana · H/A from PAR
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/25ATirana Vs PAR3-0
09/02/25HPAR Vs Tirana1-1
01/12/24ATirana Vs PAR0-0
21/09/24HPAR Vs Tirana0-0
28/04/24ATirana Vs PAR1-2
16/02/24HPAR Vs Tirana2-1
03/12/23ATirana Vs PAR1-1
19/10/23HPAR Vs Tirana2-1

PartizaniPartizani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25ABylis Vs PAR3-1
20/09/25HPAR Vs AF Elbasani0-1
13/09/25AVllaznia Shkodër Vs PAR4-1
30/08/25HPAR Vs Teuta Durrës0-0
24/08/25HPAR Vs Vora1-0
17/07/25HPAR Vs Kalju Nomme0-0
10/07/25AKalju Nomme Vs PAR1-1
10/05/25ADinamo Tirana Vs PAR1-2
05/05/25AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs PAR0-0
27/04/25HPAR Vs AF Elbasani2-0

TiranaTirana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25HTIR Vs Dinamo Tirana1-2
20/09/25AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs TIR2-0
13/09/25HTIR Vs Flamurtari1-1
31/08/25AVora Vs TIR3-1
23/08/25ABylis Vs TIR0-0
27/04/25ADinamo Tirana Vs TIR0-2
19/04/25HTIR Vs Teuta Durrës0-1
12/04/25ASkenderbeu Korce Vs TIR1-1
07/04/25HTIR Vs Partizani3-0
31/03/25AAF Elbasani Vs TIR2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Partizani
Partizani
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLL1.36
HomeWDWDL1.48
AwayDWDLL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%32%32%
AVG goals1.901.602.20
Over 1.5 %64%48%80%
Over 2.5 %26%16%36%
Over 3.5 %12%12%12%
Scored0.940.920.96
Conceded0.960.681.24
BTTS42%40%44%
Clean Sheet38%48%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Tirana
Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL1.06
HomeDWLDL1.21
AwayDWDLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%25%15%
AVG goals2.222.292.15
Over 1.5 %68%62%73%
Over 2.5 %42%42%42%
Over 3.5 %22%25%19%
Scored1.081.171.00
Conceded1.141.121.15
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet36%38%35%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani3968
49%
1.7
5342+11
2.4
67%
51%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.1
-
2Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë3966
49%
1.7
5035+15
2.2
62%
33%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2131.30.9
-
3Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër3963
46%
1.6
4433+11
2.0
56%
28%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.10.8
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana3952
33%
1.3
4538+7
2.1
69%
33%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.21.0
-
5PartizaniPartizani3648
36%
1.3
3848-10
2.4
72%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.3
-
6Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës3745
27%
1.2
3337-4
1.9
49%
27%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2130.91.0
-
7TiranaTirana3644
31%
1.2
3646-10
2.3
69%
31%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.3
-
8VoraVora3642
28%
1.2
3940-1
2.2
64%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
9BylisBylis3641
28%
1.1
3850-12
2.4
67%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
10FlamurtariFlamurtari3636
22%
1.0
3945-6
2.3
69%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11PogradeciPogradeci34
33%
1.3
31+2
1.3
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.00.3
-
12Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë24
50%
2.0
20+2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.00.0
-
13Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.02.0
-
14Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1100.03.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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