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Partizani vs Tirana Prediction & Stats

Date: 11/10/2026
Time: 15:00
Partizani
Partizani
Vs
42%
30%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tirana
Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Partizani’s recent 1-2 loss to Laci and Tirana’s 0-3 defeat to Egnatia Rrogozhinë leave both sides in a tight spot, making this Superliga clash a genuine toss-up. The model favours a home win, with a 40% chance, followed by a 30% draw and a 30% away win. The average goal tally sits at 2.4, so a 2-goal game is most likely, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 14.3%. Partizani, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.27 conceded, while Tirana, away, averages 1.07 scored and 1.6 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.5%), Under 5.5 (96.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.7%), Under 4.5 (90.6%), Away under 2.5 goals (90.3%) and Home +2 handicap (87.8%). All selections carry their own probabilities, with no single outcome dominating beyond the model’s pick.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Partizani win
41.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tirana win
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PartizaniPartizani

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D02L03L11D12L14L02L21W00D12LA·TEU21/03H·VLL04/04A·AF 13/04H·BYL19/04A·TIR25/04H·FLA02/05A·EGN06/05H·DIN10/05H·TEU22/08H·LAC29/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.301.201.271.131.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.171.301.201.271.131.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D31W11D21W10W10W31W03L13LH·VOR22/03A·FLA03/04H·EGN12/04A·DIN18/04H·PAR25/04A·TEU02/05H·VLL06/05A·AF 10/05A·EGN23/08A·TEU30/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.370.931.131.071.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.001.370.931.131.071.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Partizani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
71.8%
Under 1.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
44.7%
Under 2.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
23.4%
Under 3.5
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
50.9%
No
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.2%
Partizani goals ↓
Tirana goals →
01234
09.8%8.1%5.2%1.9%0.5%
110%14%7.0%2.6%0.7%
27.9%8.7%4.8%1.8%0.5%
33.6%4.0%2.2%0.8%0.2%
41.2%1.3%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Partizani goals (down), columns = Tirana goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
AF Elbasani
1.74
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.69
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.62
Partizani
1.33
Dinamo Tirana
1.33
Tirana
1.22
Teuta Durrës
1.22
Vora
1.17
Skenderbeu Korce
1.17
Laci
1.09
Partizani is 0.11 points better than Tirana in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
AF Elbasani
1.36
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1.28
Dinamo Tirana
1.15
Vllaznia Shkodër
1.13
Vora
1.08
Partizani
1.06
Tirana
1.00
Skenderbeu Korce
0.91
Teuta Durrës
0.89
Laci
0.85
Partizani is 0.06 goals better than Tirana in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vllaznia Shkodër
0.85
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0.90
Dinamo Tirana
0.97
Teuta Durrës
1.00
AF Elbasani
1.08
Vora
1.11
Skenderbeu Korce
1.21
Tirana
1.28
Laci
1.29
Partizani
1.33
Partizani is 0.06 goals worse than Tirana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Partizani or Draw
71.0%
Avg Implied -
42%
30%
29%
covers Partizani + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Partizani or Tirana
70.5%
Avg Implied -
42%
30%
29%
covers Partizani + Tirana
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Tirana
58.5%
Avg Implied -
42%
30%
29%
covers Draw + Tirana
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Partizani over/under 0.5
Over
74.4%
Under
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 1.5
Over
39.5%
Under
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 2.5
Over
15.8%
Under
84.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 3.5
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 0.5
Over
66.7%
Under
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5
Over
30.1%
Under
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5
Over
10.0%
Under
90.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 3.5
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Partizani, so a minus line means Partizani give that many goals of a start and Tirana receive them. At -1, Partizani must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Partizani win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Partizani)
Partizani -2
7.3%
Draw -2
12.7%
Tirana +2
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Partizani)
Partizani -1
20.0%
Draw -1
21.5%
Tirana +1
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Partizani)
Partizani +1
71.0%
Draw +1
17.1%
Tirana -1
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Partizani)
Partizani +2
88.2%
Draw +2
8.3%
Tirana -2
3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PartizaniPartizani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D11D10W12L01L20W00D01LA·TEU21/03H·VLL04/04A·AF 13/04H·BYL19/04A·TIR25/04H·FLA02/05A·EGN06/05H·DIN10/05H·TEU22/08H·LAC29/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.500.870.330.400.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.630.500.870.330.400.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W00D01L00D10W10W03L10WH·VOR22/03A·FLA03/04H·EGN12/04A·DIN18/04H·PAR25/04A·TEU02/05H·VLL06/05A·AF 10/05A·EGN23/08A·TEU30/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.330.670.470.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.400.700.330.670.470.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Partizani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Partizani over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PartizaniPartizani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L03L00D02L02L01L01L00D11DA·TEU21/03H·VLL04/04A·AF 13/04H·BYL19/04A·TIR25/04H·FLA02/05A·EGN06/05H·DIN10/05H·TEU22/08H·LAC29/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.330.930.730.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.530.800.330.930.730.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TiranaTirana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L21W11D20W10W00D21W00D03LH·VOR22/03A·FLA03/04H·EGN12/04A·DIN18/04H·PAR25/04A·TEU02/05H·VLL06/05A·AF 10/05A·EGN23/08A·TEU30/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.600.470.600.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.600.670.600.470.600.87
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Partizani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Partizani over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partizani over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirana over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.6%-------
Under 6.598.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.4%-------
Under 5.596.0%-------
Home under 3.5 goals95.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals90.0%-------
Under 4.589.6%-------
Home +2 handicap88.2%-------
Home under 2.5 goals84.2%-------
Away +2 handicap80.0%-------
Under 3.576.6%-------
Home over 0.5 goals74.4%-------
Over 1.571.8%-------
Home or Draw71.0%-------
Home +1 handicap71.0%-------
Home or Away70.5%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (24)
€7m
DT (27)
€7m
TD (22)
€6m
PAR (29)
€5m
AE (25)
€5m
TIR (20)
€5m
VS (23)
€4m
SK (27)
€4m
VOR (25)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
Partizani and Tirana have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
PAR (13)
€2m
TD (9)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
TIR (7)
€2m
ER (6)
€2m
VOR (10)
€2m
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
VS (6)
€1m
Partizani and Tirana have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
ER (5)
€1m
VS (7)
€1m
TIR (5)
€1m
AE (5)
€1m
LAC (6)
€1m
TD (4)
€1m
PAR (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
VOR (4)
€1m
Partizani and Tirana have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ER (13)
€3m
TD (9)
€3m
VS (10)
€3m
TIR (8)
€2m
DT (11)
€2m
AE (10)
€2m
PAR (11)
€2m
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
VOR (11)
€1m
Partizani and Tirana have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
PAR wins
3
Draws
3
TIR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Partizani vs Tirana · H/A from PAR
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26ATirana Vs PAR2-1
15/02/26HPAR Vs Tirana2-0
07/12/25ATirana Vs PAR0-2
03/10/25HPAR Vs Tirana0-3
07/04/25ATirana Vs PAR3-0
09/02/25HPAR Vs Tirana1-1
01/12/24ATirana Vs PAR0-0
21/09/24HPAR Vs Tirana0-0

PartizaniPartizani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HPAR Vs Laci1-2
22/08/26HPAR Vs Teuta Durrës0-0
10/05/26HPAR Vs Dinamo Tirana2-1
06/05/26AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs PAR2-0
02/05/26HPAR Vs Flamurtari1-4
25/04/26ATirana Vs PAR2-1
19/04/26HPAR Vs Bylis1-1
13/04/26AAF Elbasani Vs PAR3-0
04/04/26HPAR Vs Vllaznia Shkodër0-2
21/03/26ATeuta Durrës Vs PAR2-2

TiranaTirana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ATeuta Durrës Vs TIR3-1
23/08/26AEgnatia Rrogozhinë Vs TIR3-0
10/05/26AAF Elbasani Vs TIR1-3
06/05/26HTIR Vs Vllaznia Shkodër1-0
02/05/26ATeuta Durrës Vs TIR0-1
25/04/26HTIR Vs Partizani2-1
18/04/26ADinamo Tirana Vs TIR1-1
12/04/26HTIR Vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë3-1
03/04/26AFlamurtari Vs TIR1-1
22/03/26HTIR Vs Vora3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Partizani
Partizani
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDL1.36
HomeDLWDL1.52
AwayDDLLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals2.121.842.40
Over 1.5 %64%56%72%
Over 2.5 %42%32%52%
Over 3.5 %16%12%20%
Scored0.960.921.00
Conceded1.160.921.40
BTTS42%36%48%
Clean Sheet36%48%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Tirana
Tirana
Albania: Superliga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.20
HomeWWWWW1.32
AwayDWWLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals2.402.202.60
Over 1.5 %72%60%84%
Over 2.5 %38%36%40%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.081.081.08
Conceded1.321.121.52
BTTS52%40%64%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë26
100%
3.0
61+5
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2133.00.5
-
2Teuta DurrësTeuta Durrës24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.50.5
-
3LaciLaci24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.0
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana23
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3220.50.5
-
5VoraVora23
50%
1.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.01.5
-
6Vllaznia ShkodërVllaznia Shkodër22
0%
1.0
33+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1131.51.5
-
7AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.0
-
8Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.5
-
9PartizaniPartizani21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.51.0
-
10TiranaTirana20
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.53.0
-
Albania: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: Superliga stats & trends →

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