Defensive solidity is the headline for this Ligue 2 clash, with PAU conceding 1.77 goals per game at home and Sochaux only 1.0 away. The model favours a PAU victory, giving the home side a 36% chance, a 34% draw probability, and 29% for Sochaux. The average goal output is 1.9, pointing to a tight 2-goal total, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for PAU, a 13.6% chance. PAU’s home form shows 1.08 goals scored and 1.77 conceded against similar opposition, while Sochaux’s away form is 1.07 scored and 1.0 conceded. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.6%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.6% with a 4% edge), Under 5.5 (98.6% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.1% with a 4% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (97.9% with a 5% edge), and Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.3% with a 3% edge). Both teams are coming off draws, with PAU 2-2 at Rodez and Sochaux 0-0 at Clermont Foot.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
PAU win
36.4%
Avg Implied 41.4% · @ 2.24
Edge
-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.36
Dafabet
2.32
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.27
William Hil
2.25
Draw
34.1%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.20
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
Dafabet
3.30
Betano
3.25
Pinnacle
3.23
Sochaux win
29.5%
Avg Implied 29.5% · @ 3.15
Edge
+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
3.35
Betano
3.30
Unibet
3.30
Pinnacle
3.22
10Bet
3.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
PAU
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.83
1.08
1.77
1.47
1.88
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
5.00
-
-
3.00
5.00
vs Similar (27)
1.22
1.85
1.08
1.77
1.36
1.93
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
-
-
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sochaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sochaux
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.17
0.92
1.33
1.61
1.06
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
2.00
0.25
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.14
1.00
1.25
1.00
1.07
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
4.33
1.00
-
-
4.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
58.9%
@ 1.34-11.0%
Under 1.5
41.1%
@ 3.11+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.37
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.21
Betano
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Betfair
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
30.6%
@ 2.09-14.6%
Under 2.5
69.4%
@ 1.72+14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.17
Betfair
2.15
Superbet
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.10
Under
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
13.1%
@ 3.74-11.9%
Under 3.5
86.9%
@ 1.25+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.10
Pinnacle
3.97
BetVictor
3.90
Superbet
3.80
Unibet
3.75
Under
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
39.6%
@ 1.81-11.5%
No
60.4%
@ 1.90+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Bet365
1.83
William Hil
1.83
Betano
1.80
No
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.8%@ 8.24+10.4%
1-1
14.8%@ 5.88+7.2%
1-0
13.6%@ 6.76+7.0%
0-1
11.7%@ 8.35+6.4%
2-0
7.7%@ 9.94+3.2%
2-1
6.9%@ 8.48+1.7%
1-2
6.1%@ 10.63+1.9%
0-2
5.9%@ 14.56+2.8%
PAU goals ↓
Sochaux goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
12%
5.9%
1.8%
0.4%
1
14%
15%
6.1%
1.8%
0.4%
2
7.7%
6.9%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
3
2.6%
2.4%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PAU goals (down), columns = Sochaux goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Nantes
1.92
Saint Etienne
1.75
Rodez
1.67
Reims
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Metz
1.64
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Sochaux
1.11
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Dijon
1.03
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
PAU is 0.22 points better than Sochaux in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nantes
1.80
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
Metz
1.54
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Clermont Foot
1.11
Sochaux
1.05
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Dijon
0.97
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
PAU is 0.37 goals better than Sochaux in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.05).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Nantes
0.85
Montpellier
0.92
Metz
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Sochaux
1.47
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
Dijon
1.58
PAU
1.81
PAU is 0.34 goals worse than Sochaux in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
PAU
For 4.1 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 14.4 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sochaux
For 3.3 · Against 5.6 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 14.3 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
PAU
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.3
9.3
4.1
4.6
3.6
25.5
26.0
25.0
vs Stronger (3)
8.0
9.0
7.0
2.3
5.0
1.0
13.0
23.0
8.0
vs Similar (44)
9.4
9.3
9.6
4.3
4.6
4.0
26.2
26.1
26.2
vs Weaker (3)
7.5
-
7.5
2.0
-
2.0
29.5
-
29.5
% over line
38%
46%
30%
68%
83%
54%
73%
71%
75%
% under line
62%
54%
70%
32%
17%
46%
27%
29%
25%
This opponent (Sochaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sochaux
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
7.5
9.0
0.5
0.5
0.5
28.5
30.0
27.0
vs Stronger (9)
8.0
8.0
-
0.1
0.2
0.0
28.0
28.0
-
vs Similar (38)
8.6
7.0
9.7
0.5
0.6
0.5
28.8
32.0
26.7
vs Weaker (3)
7.0
-
7.0
1.7
-
1.7
28.0
-
28.0
% over line
25%
25%
25%
8%
9%
7%
88%
100%
75%
% under line
75%
75%
75%
92%
91%
93%
12%
0%
25%
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Laval
10.2
Rodez
10.0
Metz
9.5
Grenoble
9.5
PAU
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.4
Montpellier
9.4
Nancy
9.4
Dijon
9.3
Clermont Foot
9.2
Nantes
9.2
Sochaux
9.2
Guingamp
9.1
Reims
8.6
Annecy
8.6
Boulogne
8.5
Dunkerque
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Guingamp
4.6
Nantes
4.4
Boulogne
4.4
PAU
4.4
Sochaux
4.2
Annecy
4.2
Montpellier
4.2
Reims
4.1
Rodez
4.1
Laval
4.0
Nancy
4.0
RED Star FC 93
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
Metz
3.8
Clermont Foot
3.8
Grenoble
3.8
Dijon
3.8
Saint Etienne
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Montpellier
29.8
Nancy
29.1
Boulogne
28.3
Laval
28.3
Annecy
28.3
Guingamp
27.6
Dijon
27.6
Clermont Foot
26.7
Nantes
26.7
RED Star FC 93
26.7
Saint Etienne
26.3
Sochaux
26.1
Dunkerque
25.8
Grenoble
25.8
Rodez
25.7
PAU
25.6
Reims
24.6
Metz
23.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.5%
@ 2.05-0.5%
Under 9.5
55.5%
@ 1.68+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.04
Under
Pinnacle
1.71
Unibet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.3%
Under 3.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
82.3%
Under 21.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
PAU or Draw
70.5%
Avg Implied 70.6% · @ 1.32
Edge
-0.1%
36%
34%
30%
covers PAU + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
PAU or Sochaux
65.9%
Avg Implied 71.1% · @ 1.31
Edge
-5.2%
36%
34%
30%
covers PAU + Sochaux
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.35
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Draw or Sochaux
63.6%
Avg Implied 58.2% · @ 1.60
Edge
+5.4%
36%
34%
30%
covers Draw + Sochaux
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.67
Betano
1.65
William Hil
1.62
Betfair
1.62
10Bet
1.62
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
PAU over/under 0.5
Over
64.4%
@ 1.26-9.2%
Under
35.6%
@ 3.49+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Superbet
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Superbet
3.55
Betano
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
PAU over/under 1.5
Over
27.6%
@ 2.32-12.7%
Under
72.4%
@ 1.56+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.49
BetVictor
2.38
Betfair
2.38
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Under
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Superbet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
PAU over/under 2.5
Over
8.6%
@ 5.18-9.3%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.13+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
PAU over/under 3.5
Over
2.1%
@ 12.17-5.7%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.03+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Sochaux over/under 0.5
Over
59.5%
@ 1.40-6.6%
Under
40.5%
@ 2.73+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.98
Marathonbet
2.80
BetVictor
2.75
Betano
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Sochaux over/under 1.5
Over
22.8%
@ 3.01-8.1%
Under
77.2%
@ 1.35+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.24
Superbet
3.05
Unibet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.38
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Sochaux over/under 2.5
Over
6.3%
@ 7.53-6.1%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.06+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
7.80
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.40
Marathonbet
7.40
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Sochaux over/under 3.5
Over
1.4%
@ 19.83-3.5%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to PAU, so a minus line means PAU give that many goals of a start and Sochaux receive them. At -1, PAU must win by two or more to land; a one-goal PAU win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (PAU)
PAU -2
4.3%
@ 9.90-4.8%
Draw -2
10.4%
@ 6.12-4.4%
Sochaux +2
85.3%
@ 1.19+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
9.00
Superbet
8.60
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Superbet
5.90
Unibet
5.60
Away
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Handicap -1 (PAU)
PAU -1
14.7%
@ 4.25-6.4%
Draw -1
21.7%
@ 3.76-2.2%
Sochaux +1
63.6%
@ 1.63+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.10
Unibet
4.00
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.70
Unibet
3.65
Away
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.65
Unibet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.57
Handicap +1 (PAU)
PAU +1
70.5%
@ 1.32+2.3%
Draw +1
18.8%
@ 4.61-0.7%
Sochaux -1
10.7%
@ 7.24-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Unibet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Unibet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Away
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
6.70
Handicap +2 (PAU)
PAU +2
89.3%
@ 1.07+3.8%
Draw +2
7.9%
@ 9.53-1.7%
Sochaux -2
2.8%
@ 18.67-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
8.60
Away
Betfair
20.00
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
PAU
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
0.62
0.69
0.71
1.06
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.93
0.62
0.69
0.64
1.14
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sochaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sochaux
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.42
0.83
0.78
0.44
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.00
0.00
1.25
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.55
0.62
0.62
0.64
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
-
-
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
66.7%
@ 1.44+1.7%
Under 0.5
33.3%
@ 2.66-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Under
William Hil
2.80
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.74
Superbet
2.67
10Bet
2.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
28.6%
@ 3.02-2.3%
Under 1.5
71.4%
@ 1.35+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.19
Betano
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Under
Betano
1.37
William Hil
1.36
10Bet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.8%
@ 7.84-2.1%
Under 2.5
90.2%
@ 1.06+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
William Hil
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.40
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PAU over/under 0.5 HT
Over
50.9%
@ 2.02+5.0%
Under
49.1%
@ 1.71-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Under
10Bet
1.73
Unibet
1.72
Superbet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.71
1xBet
1.70
PAU over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.2%
@ 6.29-3.6%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.09+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.55
Marathonbet
6.55
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.10
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
PAU over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.5%
@ 18.33-2.8%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Sochaux over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.1%
@ 2.37-4.9%
Under
65.9%
@ 1.52+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.45
Superbet
2.42
Betano
2.40
Unibet
2.38
1xBet
2.33
Under
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Sochaux over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.7%
@ 8.18-4.6%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.05+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
8.60
Superbet
8.30
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Sochaux over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
@ 33.00-99.2%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
33.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
PAU
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.93
0.46
1.08
0.76
0.82
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.93
0.46
1.08
0.71
0.79
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Sochaux) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sochaux
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.50
0.50
0.83
0.61
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.00
0.25
0.75
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.45
0.62
0.38
0.43
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
3.00
0.67
-
-
3.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (PAU) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.6%
@ 1.27+2.2%
Under 0.5
24.4%
@ 3.51-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.23
Under
Betano
3.60
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.6%
@ 2.25-1.9%
Under 1.5
60.4%
@ 1.60+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.32
William Hil
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Unibet
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Under
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Superbet
1.59
William Hil
1.57
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.4%
@ 4.99-4.3%
Under 2.5
85.6%
@ 1.15+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.25
William Hil
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Under
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
1xBet
1.13
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PAU over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.6%
@ 1.71+2.5%
Under
43.4%
@ 2.02-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
Superbet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
PAU over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.4%
@ 4.47-2.3%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.17+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
PAU over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.7%
@ 12.25-4.0%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.02+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Sochaux over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.8%
@ 1.97+1.7%
Under
51.2%
@ 1.75-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.71
Superbet
1.71
Sochaux over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.2%
@ 5.96-4.3%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.09+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.30
Superbet
6.10
10Bet
6.00
Marathonbet
6.00
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
Marathonbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Sochaux over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.0%
@ 17.50-3.5%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.4%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.5%
Under 5.5
98.6%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+4.6%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.5%
Home under 3.5 goals
97.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
-
+5.7%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.0%
Under 4.5
95.3%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
+7.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
93.7%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
+6.1%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.3%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
+4.6%
Home under 2.5 goals
91.4%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
+9.3%
Over 19.5 fouls
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.2%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
+2.1%
Home +2 handicap
89.3%
1.07
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
-
-
+3.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.8%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
+3.6%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.8%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Marathonbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
+4.3%
Under 3.5
86.9%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
+11.9%
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.6%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
1xBet
1.13
+4.3%
Away +2 handicap
85.3%
1.19
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
-
+9.2%
Over 21.5 fouls
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.6%
1.17
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
+2.3%
Under 5.5 cards
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
77.8%
1.23
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
+3.9%
Away under 1.5 goals
77.2%
1.35
Marathonbet
1.38
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.38
BetVictor
1.36
10Bet
1.35
+8.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.6%
1.27
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.23
+2.2%
Over 2.5 cards
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
72.4%
1.56
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Superbet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
+12.7%
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.4%
1.35
Betano
1.37
William Hil
1.36
10Bet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Superbet
1.36
+2.3%
Home or Draw
70.5%
1.32
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
-0.1%
Home +1 handicap
70.5%
1.32
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Unibet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
+2.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
PAU
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Babacar Leye50%
Axel Bamba0%
Brice Maubleu0%
Jessy Benet0%
Lorenzo Rajot0%
Gaëtan Paquiez0%
Hacene Benali0%
Alexis Lefebvre0%
Tom Pouilly0%
Tom Saettel0%
Cheikh Fall0%
Luan Gadegbeku0%
Giovani Versini0%
Axel Dodote0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Axel Bamba50%
Gaëtan Paquiez50%
Tom Saettel33%
Giovani Versini33%
Lorenzo Rajot25%
Hacene Benali25%
Axel Dodote25%
Brice Maubleu0%
Jessy Benet0%
Alexis Lefebvre0%
Tom Pouilly0%
Cheikh Fall0%
Luan Gadegbeku0%
Babacar Leye0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jessy Benet25%
Lorenzo Rajot25%
Axel Bamba0%
Brice Maubleu0%
Gaëtan Paquiez0%
Hacene Benali0%
Alexis Lefebvre0%
Tom Pouilly0%
Tom Saettel0%
Cheikh Fall0%
Luan Gadegbeku0%
Babacar Leye0%
Giovani Versini0%
Axel Dodote0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cheikh Fall50%
Babacar Leye25%
Axel Bamba0%
Brice Maubleu0%
Jessy Benet0%
Lorenzo Rajot0%
Gaëtan Paquiez0%
Hacene Benali0%
Alexis Lefebvre0%
Tom Pouilly0%
Tom Saettel0%
Luan Gadegbeku0%
Giovani Versini0%
Axel Dodote0%
Sochaux
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Boubacar Fofana25%
Mehdi Jeannin0%
Julien Masson0%
Jonathan Mexique0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Landry Nomel0%
Kapit Djoco0%
Samy Baghdadi0%
Dylan Tavares0%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Dalangunypole Gomis0%
Noa Kotto Kotto Mouyema0%
Élie N'Gatta0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Élie N'Gatta25%
Mehdi Jeannin0%
Julien Masson0%
Boubacar Fofana0%
Jonathan Mexique0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Landry Nomel0%
Kapit Djoco0%
Samy Baghdadi0%
Dylan Tavares0%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Dalangunypole Gomis0%
Noa Kotto Kotto Mouyema0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mehdi Jeannin0%
Julien Masson0%
Boubacar Fofana0%
Jonathan Mexique0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Landry Nomel0%
Kapit Djoco0%
Samy Baghdadi0%
Dylan Tavares0%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Dalangunypole Gomis0%
Noa Kotto Kotto Mouyema0%
Élie N'Gatta0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mehdi Jeannin0%
Julien Masson0%
Boubacar Fofana0%
Jonathan Mexique0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Landry Nomel0%
Kapit Djoco0%
Samy Baghdadi0%
Dylan Tavares0%
Mathis Clairicia0%
Dalangunypole Gomis0%
Noa Kotto Kotto Mouyema0%
Élie N'Gatta0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (30)
€93m
NAN (25)
€82m
REI (30)
€72m
MET (26)
€43m
MON (24)
€29m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BOU (23)
€8m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
PAU's squad is €7m more valuable than Sochaux's (€14m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (10)
€54m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
MET (11)
€17m
MON (9)
€11m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
BOU (6)
€2m
CF (5)
€2m
LAV (7)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
PAU's attack is €4m more valuable than Sochaux's (€6m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
BOU (6)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
PAU's midfield is €1m more valuable than Sochaux's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (10)
€34m
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
MON (10)
€12m
CF (12)
€10m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
BOU (11)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
DIJ (7)
€2m
PAU's defence is €3m more valuable than Sochaux's (€6m vs €3m).
France: Ligue 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Saint Etienne
Reims
Montpellier
Rodez
Nancy
Annecy
Metz
RED Star FC 93
Dunkerque
Guingamp
Grenoble
Laval
Boulogne
Clermont Foot
Dijon
Nantes