Pendikspor’s defensive solidity is highlighted by an average of 0.75 goals conceded at home, while Bandırmaspor’s away form shows 1.46 goals allowed, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair. The model favours a home win, with a 43 % chance, a draw at 32 %, and an away win at 26 %. The expected total goals sits at 2.2, pointing to a 2-goal match, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.4 % probability. Pendikspor averages 1.33 goals scored per home match against similar opposition, whereas Bandırmaspor averages 0.77 away goals, reinforcing the low-scoring narrative. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.8 %), Under 6.5 (99.3 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.6 % with a 7 % edge), Under 5.5 (97.7 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.7 % with a 6 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.2 % with a 6 % edge), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.3 % with a 6 % edge). Pendikspor’s recent win over Antalyaspor and Bandırmaspor’s unbeaten run add confidence to the home side’s edge.
Results analysis
The draw surprised everyone, as the pre-match favourite, Pendikspor, had been tipped to win with a 42% chance. The model’s call was wrong, and the match finished 1-1, a draw that extended Pendikspor’s recent form of DWLDL and left Bandırmaspor unbeaten in their last five. The model’s selection of a home win was therefore missed. The model’s other picks all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.8%, Under 6.5 at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.6%, Under 5.5 at 97.9%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.3%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.5%. The most likely scoreline was 1-1, with a 28% probability.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Pendikspor win✗ Miss
41.8%
Avg Implied 44.5% · @ 2.05
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.14
William Hil
2.10
Betano
2.10
Dafabet
2.09
Superbet
2.07
Draw✓ Hit
31.9%
Avg Implied 28.3% · @ 3.21
Edge
+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.40
Pinnacle
3.32
BetVictor
3.30
Unibet
3.30
Dafabet
3.30
Bandırmaspor win✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.35
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.55
Dafabet
3.45
1xBet
3.41
Betano
3.40
Unibet
3.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Pendikspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.33
1.21
0.86
1.38
1.75
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
1.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.33
1.30
1.17
0.75
1.47
1.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Bandırmaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bandırmaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.87
1.47
0.47
0.93
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.20
0.87
1.47
0.47
0.93
1.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Pendikspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.0%
@ 1.31-6.9%
Under 1.5
36.0%
@ 3.18+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Under
10Bet
3.45
Pinnacle
3.26
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.7%
@ 1.97-11.5%
Under 2.5
64.3%
@ 1.76+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.09
Bet365
2.05
Superbet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.85
SBO
1.83
Betano
1.78
Unibet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.76
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.6%
@ 3.40-10.6%
Under 3.5
83.4%
@ 1.27+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.68
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Under
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Unibet
1.28
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.3%
@ 1.77-8.8%
No
56.7%
@ 1.93+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
No
William Hil
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Betfair
1.95
Betano
1.95
Unibet
1.94
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.5%@ 5.79+7.0%
0-0
13.3%@ 8.42+8.1%
1-0
13.2%@ 6.71+6.7%
0-1
9.6%@ 9.17+4.8%
2-0
8.8%@ 9.10+4.0%
2-1
8.0%@ 7.88+2.5%
1-2
6.0%@ 10.73+1.9%
0-2
5.0%@ 15.87+2.2%
Pendikspor goals ↓
Bandırmaspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
9.6%
5.0%
1.5%
0.3%
1
13%
15%
6.0%
1.8%
0.4%
2
8.8%
8.0%
3.6%
1.1%
0.3%
3
3.6%
3.2%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.1%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pendikspor goals (down), columns = Bandırmaspor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Batman Petrolspor
2.60
Bursaspor
2.40
Sarıyer
2.00
Kayserispor
2.00
Iğdır FK
1.80
Mardin 1969
1.80
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Muğlaspor
1.60
Bandırmaspor
1.20
Antalyaspor
1.20
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
0.80
Esenler Erokspor
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Sivasspor
0.60
Ümraniyespor
0.60
İstanbulspor
0.40
Boluspor
0.00
Pendikspor is 0.20 points worse than Bandırmaspor in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Keçiörengücü
2.40
Batman Petrolspor
2.00
Bursaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Antalyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.60
Mardin 1969
1.60
Iğdır FK
1.40
Pendikspor
1.40
Kayserispor
1.40
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Vanspor FK
1.00
Bandırmaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
İstanbulspor
1.00
Ümraniyespor
0.80
Muğlaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.40
Bodrum FK
0.40
Boluspor
0.20
Pendikspor is 0.40 goals better than Bandırmaspor in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Muğlaspor
0.40
Bandırmaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.60
Mardin 1969
0.60
Bursaspor
0.60
Kayserispor
0.60
Sarıyer
0.80
Batman Petrolspor
0.80
Iğdır FK
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Ümraniyespor
1.20
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Sivasspor
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Antalyaspor
2.00
Vanspor FK
2.20
Boluspor
2.20
Pendikspor
2.20
İstanbulspor
2.60
Pendikspor is 1.60 goals worse than Bandırmaspor in terms of goals conceded per game (2.20 vs 0.60).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Esenler Erokspor
61%
Bandırmaspor
60%
Bursaspor
59%
Manisa F.K.
55%
Antalyaspor
55%
Kayserispor
53%
Batman Petrolspor
52%
Ümraniyespor
52%
Pendikspor
51%
Sarıyer
50%
Iğdır FK
49%
Mardin 1969
49%
Sivasspor
48%
Bodrum FK
46%
Keçiörengücü
45%
Fatih Karagümrük
45%
İstanbulspor
44%
Muğlaspor
43%
Vanspor FK
42%
Boluspor
41%
Pendikspor is 8.2 percentage points worse than Bandırmaspor in terms of average possession (51% vs 60%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Pendikspor
For 5.0 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 10.6 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bandırmaspor
For 3.5 · Against 6.2 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.4 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pendikspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.3
8.6
4.8
5.0
4.6
26.8
27.1
26.5
vs Stronger (3)
8.0
7.0
10.0
5.3
5.5
5.0
23.3
21.0
28.0
vs Similar (47)
8.5
8.4
8.5
4.7
4.9
4.6
27.0
27.8
26.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
36%
32%
40%
66%
65%
67%
85%
86%
84%
% under line
64%
68%
60%
34%
35%
33%
15%
14%
16%
This opponent (Bandırmaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bandırmaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.6
9.6
4.5
4.8
4.3
23.9
24.4
23.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
9.1
8.6
9.6
4.5
4.8
4.3
23.9
24.4
23.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
44%
42%
66%
68%
64%
61%
72%
50%
% under line
57%
56%
58%
34%
32%
36%
39%
28%
50%
This opponent (Pendikspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kayserispor
10.0
Sivasspor
9.7
Antalyaspor
9.3
Bodrum FK
9.3
Bandırmaspor
9.2
Bursaspor
9.1
Muğlaspor
9.0
Ümraniyespor
9.0
Iğdır FK
8.9
Esenler Erokspor
8.8
Fatih Karagümrük
8.8
Mardin 1969
8.7
Manisa F.K.
8.6
Pendikspor
8.5
İstanbulspor
8.3
Batman Petrolspor
8.3
Keçiörengücü
8.3
Vanspor FK
8.3
Boluspor
8.2
Sarıyer
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Muğlaspor
7.0
Batman Petrolspor
6.7
Antalyaspor
5.2
Vanspor FK
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Pendikspor
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
5.0
Boluspor
5.0
Sivasspor
5.0
Manisa F.K.
4.9
Iğdır FK
4.8
Keçiörengücü
4.7
İstanbulspor
4.7
Bandırmaspor
4.7
Kayserispor
4.5
Bursaspor
4.4
Fatih Karagümrük
4.4
Ümraniyespor
4.3
Bodrum FK
4.1
Mardin 1969
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Muğlaspor
34.5
Bursaspor
29.1
Fatih Karagümrük
29.0
Vanspor FK
27.8
Antalyaspor
27.1
Pendikspor
26.5
Boluspor
25.5
Batman Petrolspor
25.0
Kayserispor
24.8
Bodrum FK
24.0
Bandırmaspor
23.9
Manisa F.K.
23.6
Keçiörengücü
23.5
Iğdır FK
23.5
Sarıyer
23.4
İstanbulspor
23.4
Sivasspor
23.2
Ümraniyespor
23.2
Esenler Erokspor
22.8
Mardin 1969
21.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
41.0%
@ 2.15-1.9%
Under 9.5
59.0%
@ 1.62+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.19
Superbet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
1xBet
2.12
Under
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.57
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.7%
Under 3.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.5%
Under 21.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Pendikspor or Draw✓ Hit
73.7%
Avg Implied 73.1% · @ 1.26
Edge
+0.6%
42%
32%
26%
covers Pendikspor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.32
BetVictor
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pendikspor or Bandırmaspor✗ Miss
68.1%
Avg Implied 72.2% · @ 1.27
Edge
-4.1%
42%
32%
26%
covers Pendikspor + Bandırmaspor
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Draw or Bandırmaspor✓ Hit
58.2%
Avg Implied 54.8% · @ 1.68
Edge
+3.5%
42%
32%
26%
covers Draw + Bandırmaspor
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.72
SBO
1.70
Unibet
1.68
William Hil
1.67
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Pendikspor over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.3%
@ 1.23-5.2%
Under
29.7%
@ 3.78+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.27
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
3.94
10Bet
3.90
BetVictor
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Pendikspor over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.2%
@ 2.10-9.8%
Under
65.8%
@ 1.66+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.25
Betfair
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
BetVictor
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Under
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
Pendikspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.4%
@ 4.60-7.8%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.16+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
Superbet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.55
Under
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Pendikspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 10.08-5.9%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.04+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.50
Betano
8.75
Under
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.03
Bandırmaspor over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
59.8%
@ 1.41-5.7%
Under
40.2%
@ 2.67+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.44
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Under
Pinnacle
2.79
Bet365
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.70
Bandırmaspor over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
23.1%
@ 3.01-7.7%
Under
76.9%
@ 1.34+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.23
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.04
Betfair
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Under
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Bandırmaspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.5%
@ 7.45-6.0%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.06+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.50
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.40
Under
Bet365
1.08
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Bandırmaspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 16.38-4.4%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Pendikspor, so a minus line means Pendikspor give that many goals of a start and Bandırmaspor receive them. At -1, Pendikspor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Pendikspor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Pendikspor)Actual: Bandırmaspor
Pendikspor -2
6.4%
@ 8.77-3.8%
Draw -2
12.5%
@ 5.93-2.6%
Bandırmaspor +2
81.1%
@ 1.20+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
8.50
Marathonbet
7.80
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
Away
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Handicap -1 (Pendikspor)Actual: Bandırmaspor
Pendikspor -1
18.9%
@ 3.69-4.8%
Draw -1
22.8%
@ 3.57-1.7%
Bandırmaspor +1
58.2%
@ 1.70+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Unibet
3.05
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.64
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Unibet
3.00
Away
10Bet
1.77
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.63
Handicap +1 (Pendikspor)Actual: Pendikspor
Pendikspor +1
73.7%
@ 1.25+2.8%
Draw +1
16.8%
@ 5.17-0.3%
Bandırmaspor -1
9.5%
@ 7.30-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
Handicap +2 (Pendikspor)Actual: Pendikspor
Pendikspor +2
90.5%
@ 1.07+3.8%
Draw +2
7.0%
@ 11.00-1.4%
Bandırmaspor -2
2.5%
@ 19.00-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pendikspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.50
0.43
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.48
0.50
0.42
0.67
0.53
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Bandırmaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bandırmaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.33
0.53
0.13
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.50
0.33
0.53
0.13
0.47
0.53
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Pendikspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.2%
@ 1.39+0.8%
Under 0.5
32.8%
@ 2.75-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
BetVictor
1.41
Under
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.80
Unibet
2.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
29.7%
@ 2.85-2.7%
Under 1.5
70.3%
@ 1.37+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.19
Betano
2.92
Marathonbet
2.90
1xBet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Under
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Betano
1.37
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.8%
@ 7.16-3.2%
Under 2.5
90.2%
@ 1.07+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.00
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pendikspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
44.8%
@ 1.96-2.5%
Under
55.2%
@ 1.76+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.02
Marathonbet
1.95
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.78
Superbet
1.78
1xBet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Pendikspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.4%
@ 5.90-4.2%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.09+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
5.90
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Pendikspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 10.50-6.6%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bandırmaspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
41.3%
@ 2.43+3.3%
Under
58.7%
@ 1.50-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.59
Betano
2.40
Superbet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.40
1xBet
2.38
Under
Superbet
1.51
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.48
Bandırmaspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.1%
@ 8.40-0.9%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.04+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Marathonbet
8.60
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
Bandırmaspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pendikspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.71
0.43
0.75
1.12
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.74
0.81
0.67
0.33
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bandırmaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bandırmaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.93
0.33
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.70
0.53
0.93
0.33
0.47
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Pendikspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
75.2%
@ 1.24+0.9%
Under 0.5
24.8%
@ 3.58-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.26
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Under
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
3.60
Betano
3.55
Superbet
3.50
1xBet
3.42
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.5%
@ 2.12-4.2%
Under 1.5
60.5%
@ 1.64+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.18
Superbet
2.17
William Hil
2.15
Betano
2.10
Under
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.65
William Hil
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.1%
@ 4.59-5.0%
Under 2.5
84.9%
@ 1.16+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.00
Superbet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.60
Bet365
4.33
Under
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.13
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pendikspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.1%
@ 1.68-3.1%
Under
47.9%
@ 2.07+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.73
Superbet
1.68
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Under
1xBet
2.13
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.07
Marathonbet
1.95
Pendikspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.2%
@ 4.05-6.5%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.19+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.10
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Pendikspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 8.50-7.4%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.04+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bandırmaspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.3%
@ 1.98-0.3%
Under
53.7%
@ 1.73+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Betano
1.93
Under
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Bandırmaspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.3%
@ 5.87-1.4%
Under
85.7%
@ 1.09+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.20
1xBet
6.10
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Bandırmaspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 10.50-6.1%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.02+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.5%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.08
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.03
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
93.5%
1.08
Pinnacle
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.5%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.2%
1.07
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.9%
1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.6%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
87.6%
1.16
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+7.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.7%
1.09
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.16
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.13
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.8%
1.19
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
-
-
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.4%
1.27
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Unibet
1.28
+10.6%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
81.1%
1.20
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.5%
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
76.9%
1.34
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.2%
1.24
Superbet
1.26
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
+0.9%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
73.7%
1.26
Betano
1.32
BetVictor
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
73.7%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.8%
1.37
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
70.3%
1.23
Marathonbet
1.27
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
-5.2%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.3%
1.37
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Betano
1.37
+2.7%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Pendikspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Samuel Abifade33%
Görkem Bitin33%
Thuram25%
M. Özdemir25%
Jonson Clarke-Harris0%
B. Sülüngöz0%
V. Soldo0%
B. Karadeniz0%
H. Yeşil0%
K. Kalafat0%
Y. Sönmez0%
Furkan Dogan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Özdemir50%
V. Soldo33%
B. Karadeniz25%
Jonson Clarke-Harris0%
Thuram0%
B. Sülüngöz0%
H. Yeşil0%
Samuel Abifade0%
K. Kalafat0%
Görkem Bitin0%
Y. Sönmez0%
Furkan Dogan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thuram25%
H. Yeşil25%
Y. Sönmez25%
Jonson Clarke-Harris0%
B. Sülüngöz0%
V. Soldo0%
B. Karadeniz0%
Samuel Abifade0%
K. Kalafat0%
Görkem Bitin0%
M. Özdemir0%
Furkan Dogan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samuel Abifade33%
Görkem Bitin33%
B. Karadeniz25%
Jonson Clarke-Harris0%
Thuram0%
B. Sülüngöz0%
V. Soldo0%
H. Yeşil0%
K. Kalafat0%
Y. Sönmez0%
M. Özdemir0%
Furkan Dogan0%
Bandırmaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gianni Bruno33%
Amidou Badji33%
Muhammed Gümüşkaya0%
R. Mulumba0%
Lucas Lima0%
Akin Alkan0%
A. Ülgen0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
D. Liço0%
Emirhan Acar0%
Yusuf Kocatürk0%
Enes Aydın0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
A. Ülgen67%
R. Mulumba33%
Lucas Lima33%
D. Liço33%
Yusuf Kocatürk33%
Muhammed Gümüşkaya0%
Gianni Bruno0%
Akin Alkan0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
Emirhan Acar0%
Enes Aydın0%
Amidou Badji0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Muhammed Gümüşkaya33%
Amidou Badji33%
R. Mulumba0%
Gianni Bruno0%
Lucas Lima0%
Akin Alkan0%
A. Ülgen0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
D. Liço0%
Emirhan Acar0%
Yusuf Kocatürk0%
Enes Aydın0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianni Bruno33%
Muhammed Gümüşkaya0%
R. Mulumba0%
Lucas Lima0%
Akin Alkan0%
A. Ülgen0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
D. Liço0%
Emirhan Acar0%
Yusuf Kocatürk0%
Enes Aydın0%
Amidou Badji0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
Pendikspor and Bandırmaspor have a similar squad value (both €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (10)
€10m
BF (10)
€6m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
BOL (5)
€1m
Pendikspor and Bandırmaspor have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (5)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
Pendikspor and Bandırmaspor have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
Pendikspor and Bandırmaspor have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Batman Petrolspor
Bursaspor
Sarıyer
Kayserispor
Mardin 1969
Iğdır FK
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
Muğlaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Antalyaspor
Esenler Erokspor
Bodrum FK
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
Sivasspor
İstanbulspor
Boluspor