Pendikspor are the clear favourites, with a 49% chance of victory, a 29% chance of a draw and a 22% chance of an Ümraniyespor win. The match is expected to see about 2.4 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 27%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.6% probability. Pendikspor, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, average 1.21 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Ümraniyespor, on the road against a comparable side, average 1.08 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.6%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.8%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.0%), Under 5.5 (96.5%) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.5%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Pendikspor win
49.7%
Avg Implied 52.7% · @ 1.73
Edge
-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Dafabet
1.79
Pinnacle
1.78
Bet365
1.75
Draw
28.7%
Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.50
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.72
Unibet
3.55
Dafabet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.54
1xBet
3.54
Ümraniyespor win
21.6%
Avg Implied 21.2% · @ 4.30
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.80
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.40
1xBet
4.37
William Hil
4.33
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Pendikspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.43
1.14
0.93
1.31
1.88
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
1.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.26
1.41
1.08
0.83
1.40
1.87
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ümraniyespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ümraniyespor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.20
1.80
1.13
1.07
1.27
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.80
2.00
2.00
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (25)
1.48
1.08
1.77
1.00
1.17
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Pendikspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
70.2%
@ 1.31-0.0%
Under 1.5
29.8%
@ 3.10+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Marathonbet
1.29
Under
Unibet
3.40
Pinnacle
3.15
BetVictor
3.10
1xBet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.9%
@ 2.02-3.4%
Under 2.5
57.1%
@ 1.73+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
Under
Unibet
1.86
Betfair
1.73
Pinnacle
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
22.0%
@ 3.52-4.2%
Under 3.5
78.0%
@ 1.25+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.61
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Under
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Both teams to score
Yes
47.3%
@ 1.91-1.1%
No
52.7%
@ 1.79+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.91
1xBet
1.91
William Hil
1.91
No
Unibet
1.87
William Hil
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Betano
1.78
BetVictor
1.78
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%@ 6.37+6.6%
1-0
12.4%@ 5.71+4.7%
0-0
10.4%@ 8.58+5.2%
2-0
10.1%@ 7.29+4.1%
2-1
9.2%@ 7.73+3.5%
0-1
7.0%@ 9.87+2.6%
1-2
5.6%@ 13.29+2.2%
3-0
5.0%@ 12.93+1.6%
Pendikspor goals ↓
Ümraniyespor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
7.0%
3.7%
1.1%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
5.6%
1.7%
0.4%
2
10%
9.2%
4.1%
1.2%
0.3%
3
5.0%
4.5%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.9%
1.7%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pendikspor goals (down), columns = Ümraniyespor goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Batman Petrolspor
2.60
Bursaspor
2.40
Sarıyer
2.00
Kayserispor
2.00
Iğdır FK
1.80
Mardin 1969
1.80
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Muğlaspor
1.60
Bandırmaspor
1.20
Antalyaspor
1.20
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
0.80
Esenler Erokspor
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Sivasspor
0.60
Ümraniyespor
0.60
İstanbulspor
0.40
Boluspor
0.00
Pendikspor is 0.40 points better than Ümraniyespor in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Keçiörengücü
2.40
Batman Petrolspor
2.00
Bursaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Antalyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.60
Mardin 1969
1.60
Iğdır FK
1.40
Pendikspor
1.40
Kayserispor
1.40
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Vanspor FK
1.00
Bandırmaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
İstanbulspor
1.00
Ümraniyespor
0.80
Muğlaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.40
Bodrum FK
0.40
Boluspor
0.20
Pendikspor is 0.60 goals better than Ümraniyespor in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 0.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Muğlaspor
0.40
Bandırmaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.60
Mardin 1969
0.60
Bursaspor
0.60
Kayserispor
0.60
Sarıyer
0.80
Batman Petrolspor
0.80
Iğdır FK
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Ümraniyespor
1.20
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Sivasspor
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Antalyaspor
2.00
Vanspor FK
2.20
Boluspor
2.20
Pendikspor
2.20
İstanbulspor
2.60
Pendikspor is 1.00 goals worse than Ümraniyespor in terms of goals conceded per game (2.20 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Esenler Erokspor
61%
Bandırmaspor
60%
Bursaspor
59%
Manisa F.K.
55%
Antalyaspor
55%
Kayserispor
53%
Batman Petrolspor
52%
Ümraniyespor
52%
Pendikspor
51%
Sarıyer
50%
Iğdır FK
49%
Mardin 1969
49%
Sivasspor
48%
Bodrum FK
46%
Keçiörengücü
45%
Fatih Karagümrük
45%
İstanbulspor
44%
Muğlaspor
43%
Vanspor FK
42%
Boluspor
41%
Pendikspor is 0.4 percentage points worse than Ümraniyespor in terms of average possession (51% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Pendikspor
For 4.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 10.1 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ümraniyespor
For 5.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.3 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pendikspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
8.0
8.4
4.8
5.1
4.5
27.1
28.0
26.2
vs Stronger (3)
8.0
7.0
10.0
5.3
5.5
5.0
23.3
21.0
28.0
vs Similar (47)
8.2
8.2
8.3
4.7
5.1
4.5
27.3
28.8
26.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
34%
27%
40%
68%
70%
67%
85%
91%
80%
% under line
66%
73%
60%
32%
30%
33%
15%
9%
20%
This opponent (Ümraniyespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ümraniyespor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.3
9.4
4.2
4.0
4.3
23.2
22.0
24.4
vs Stronger (7)
9.0
8.5
9.7
4.3
5.2
3.0
23.0
22.8
23.3
vs Similar (43)
8.8
8.3
9.4
4.1
3.8
4.5
23.2
21.9
24.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
35%
32%
38%
54%
48%
60%
65%
56%
75%
% under line
65%
68%
62%
46%
52%
40%
35%
44%
25%
This opponent (Pendikspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kayserispor
10.0
Sivasspor
9.5
Antalyaspor
9.1
Bursaspor
9.1
Bandırmaspor
9.1
Iğdır FK
9.0
Bodrum FK
8.9
Ümraniyespor
8.9
Fatih Karagümrük
8.9
Esenler Erokspor
8.8
Manisa F.K.
8.7
Mardin 1969
8.6
İstanbulspor
8.4
Pendikspor
8.4
Boluspor
8.3
Vanspor FK
8.3
Keçiörengücü
8.2
Batman Petrolspor
8.0
Sarıyer
7.8
Muğlaspor
6.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Muğlaspor
6.8
Batman Petrolspor
5.8
Antalyaspor
5.3
Pendikspor
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Vanspor FK
5.1
Boluspor
5.1
Manisa F.K.
5.0
Sivasspor
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
4.9
Iğdır FK
4.9
Bandırmaspor
4.7
İstanbulspor
4.7
Keçiörengücü
4.6
Kayserispor
4.6
Bursaspor
4.5
Fatih Karagümrük
4.3
Ümraniyespor
4.3
Bodrum FK
4.2
Mardin 1969
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Muğlaspor
30.8
Bursaspor
28.9
Fatih Karagümrük
28.7
Vanspor FK
27.8
Antalyaspor
27.4
Pendikspor
26.5
Batman Petrolspor
26.2
Mardin 1969
25.6
Boluspor
25.6
Kayserispor
24.8
Bandırmaspor
24.2
Bodrum FK
23.9
Iğdır FK
23.8
Keçiörengücü
23.7
Sivasspor
23.7
Manisa F.K.
23.6
Sarıyer
23.4
Ümraniyespor
23.2
İstanbulspor
23.1
Esenler Erokspor
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
38.5%
Under 9.5
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.3%
Under 3.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.0%
Under 21.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Pendikspor or Draw
78.4%
Avg Implied 78.5% · @ 1.18
Edge
-0.1%
50%
29%
22%
covers Pendikspor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Pendikspor or Ümraniyespor
71.3%
Avg Implied 74.5% · @ 1.24
Edge
-3.1%
50%
29%
22%
covers Pendikspor + Ümraniyespor
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Draw or Ümraniyespor
50.3%
Avg Implied 47.1% · @ 1.96
Edge
+3.2%
50%
29%
22%
covers Draw + Ümraniyespor
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.95
William Hil
1.95
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Pendikspor over/under 0.5
Over
77.5%
@ 1.22+0.8%
Under
22.5%
@ 4.00-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Under
Pinnacle
4.05
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Betano
3.95
Pendikspor over/under 1.5
Over
43.9%
@ 1.91-4.4%
Under
56.1%
@ 1.79+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Under
Unibet
1.96
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathonbet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Pendikspor over/under 2.5
Over
18.9%
@ 4.13-3.6%
Under
81.1%
@ 1.20+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.10
Pinnacle
3.96
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Pendikspor over/under 3.5
Over
6.4%
@ 9.60-3.3%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.04+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Ümraniyespor over/under 0.5
Over
59.5%
@ 1.56+0.5%
Under
40.5%
@ 2.25-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
Under
Pinnacle
2.30
Betano
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.23
1xBet
2.23
Ümraniyespor over/under 1.5
Over
22.9%
@ 3.73-2.0%
Under
77.1%
@ 1.24+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.94
Pinnacle
3.86
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.60
1xBet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
Ümraniyespor over/under 2.5
Over
6.3%
@ 10.21-2.9%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.04+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
9.80
1xBet
9.80
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Ümraniyespor over/under 3.5
Over
1.4%
@ 23.25-2.8%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
34.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Pendikspor, so a minus line means Pendikspor give that many goals of a start and Ümraniyespor receive them. At -1, Pendikspor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Pendikspor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Pendikspor)
Pendikspor -2
10.3%
@ 6.02-4.3%
Draw -2
15.5%
@ 4.82-2.7%
Ümraniyespor +2
74.1%
@ 1.31+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.80
Unibet
4.25
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
Unibet
3.75
Away
Unibet
1.34
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Handicap -1 (Pendikspor)
Pendikspor -1
25.9%
@ 2.95-3.6%
Draw -1
23.8%
@ 3.32-2.4%
Ümraniyespor +1
50.3%
@ 1.97+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.10
Marathonbet
3.08
Unibet
2.38
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
Unibet
2.95
Away
Unibet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Handicap +1 (Pendikspor)
Pendikspor +1
78.4%
@ 1.18+6.2%
Draw +1
14.0%
@ 4.85-3.6%
Ümraniyespor -1
7.7%
@ 8.32-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.14
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
4.20
Away
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
6.65
Handicap +2 (Pendikspor)
Pendikspor +2
92.3%
@ 1.04+2.7%
Draw +2
5.7%
@ 13.00-1.5%
Ümraniyespor -2
1.9%
@ 29.00-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
29.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pendikspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.57
0.50
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.52
0.58
0.50
0.67
0.53
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Ümraniyespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ümraniyespor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.73
0.53
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.52
0.77
0.46
0.58
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Pendikspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.7%
@ 1.40+1.9%
Under 0.5
32.3%
@ 2.70-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.43
Betfair
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.81
William Hil
2.80
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.74
1xBet
2.74
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
31.5%
@ 2.93-0.0%
Under 1.5
68.5%
@ 1.35+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.07
Betfair
3.00
Betano
3.00
1xBet
2.96
Under
Unibet
1.41
BetVictor
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.0%
@ 7.76-1.0%
Under 2.5
89.0%
@ 1.05+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
BetVictor
8.00
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.90
William Hil
7.50
Under
William Hil
1.08
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pendikspor over/under 0.5 HT
Over
48.1%
@ 1.84-2.3%
Under
51.9%
@ 1.86+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Pinnacle
1.82
Marathonbet
1.79
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.84
Betano
1.82
Pendikspor over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.4%
@ 5.23-3.2%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.12+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Pendikspor over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.0%
@ 10.00-6.3%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Ümraniyespor over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.3%
@ 2.71+0.3%
Under
65.7%
@ 1.40-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.88
Marathonbet
2.71
Betano
2.67
1xBet
2.60
Under
1xBet
1.43
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Ümraniyespor over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.7%
@ 8.67-3.9%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.03+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.20
1xBet
8.80
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Ümraniyespor over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pendikspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.87
0.57
0.43
0.69
1.25
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.89
0.50
0.33
0.73
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Ümraniyespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ümraniyespor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
1.07
0.60
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.80
0.56
1.00
0.54
0.58
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Pendikspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.4%
@ 1.25+0.1%
Under 0.5
26.6%
@ 3.44-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Under
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Betano
3.45
William Hil
3.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.1%
@ 2.24-4.3%
Under 1.5
62.9%
@ 1.58+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.30
1xBet
2.24
Marathonbet
2.24
Betano
2.18
Under
Betano
1.62
William Hil
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.9%
@ 4.90-2.8%
Under 2.5
84.1%
@ 1.13+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.10
Marathonbet
5.10
William Hil
5.00
Betano
4.40
Under
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pendikspor over/under 0.5 2H
Over
55.1%
@ 1.59-2.8%
Under
44.9%
@ 2.19+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.58
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.17
1xBet
2.16
Pendikspor over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.3%
@ 3.83-4.7%
Under
80.7%
@ 1.21+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Pendikspor over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.0%
@ 8.65-5.7%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.03+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.40
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Ümraniyespor over/under 0.5 2H
Over
39.4%
@ 2.25-1.6%
Under
60.6%
@ 1.57+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.30
1xBet
2.23
Betano
2.22
Under
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.52
Ümraniyespor over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.3%
@ 7.60-0.8%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.05+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.80
1xBet
7.70
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
Ümraniyespor over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.3%
@ 11.25-6.0%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.0%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.8%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.0%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.3%
Under 5.5
96.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+3.0%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.0%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
93.7%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
+2.9%
Home under 3.5 goals
93.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.3%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
+3.9%
Home +2 handicap
92.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.7%
Under 4.5
90.5%
1.07
Pinnacle
1.12
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.05
1xBet
1.03
+3.6%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.0%
1.05
William Hil
1.08
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
+1.0%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
+0.8%
Over 19.5 fouls
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.6%
1.12
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+3.2%
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.1%
1.13
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
+2.8%
Under 11.5 corners
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
81.1%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
+3.6%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.7%
1.21
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
-
-
+4.7%
Home or Draw
78.4%
1.18
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Betfair
1.17
-0.1%
Home +1 handicap
78.4%
1.18
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
-
+6.2%
Under 3.5
78.0%
1.25
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
+4.2%
Home over 0.5 goals
77.5%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
-
+0.8%
Away under 1.5 goals
77.1%
1.24
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
+2.0%
Over 21.5 fouls
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
74.1%
1.31
Unibet
1.34
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
+7.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals
73.4%
1.25
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
+0.1%
Under 10.5 corners
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.3%
1.24
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
-3.1%
Over 3.5 cards
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
70.2%
1.31
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Marathonbet
1.29
-0.0%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Pendikspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Samuel Abifade33%
Görkem Bitin33%
Thuram25%
M. Özdemir25%
Jonson Clarke-Harris0%
B. Sülüngöz0%
V. Soldo0%
B. Karadeniz0%
H. Yeşil0%
K. Kalafat0%
Y. Sönmez0%
Furkan Dogan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Özdemir50%
V. Soldo33%
B. Karadeniz25%
Jonson Clarke-Harris0%
Thuram0%
B. Sülüngöz0%
H. Yeşil0%
Samuel Abifade0%
K. Kalafat0%
Görkem Bitin0%
Y. Sönmez0%
Furkan Dogan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thuram25%
H. Yeşil25%
Y. Sönmez25%
Jonson Clarke-Harris0%
B. Sülüngöz0%
V. Soldo0%
B. Karadeniz0%
Samuel Abifade0%
K. Kalafat0%
Görkem Bitin0%
M. Özdemir0%
Furkan Dogan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samuel Abifade33%
Görkem Bitin33%
B. Karadeniz25%
Jonson Clarke-Harris0%
Thuram0%
B. Sülüngöz0%
V. Soldo0%
H. Yeşil0%
K. Kalafat0%
Y. Sönmez0%
M. Özdemir0%
Furkan Dogan0%
Ümraniyespor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Blanco33%
S. Hostikka0%
C. Topaloğlu0%
A. Yaşar0%
S. Göksu0%
Tomislav Glumac0%
O. Yıldırım0%
Andrej Đokanović0%
Melih Bostan0%
Berat Yılmaz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
C. Topaloğlu33%
S. Göksu33%
Tomislav Glumac33%
O. Yıldırım33%
Andrej Đokanović33%
S. Hostikka0%
Álex Blanco0%
A. Yaşar0%
Melih Bostan0%
Berat Yılmaz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
S. Göksu33%
S. Hostikka0%
Álex Blanco0%
C. Topaloğlu0%
A. Yaşar0%
Tomislav Glumac0%
O. Yıldırım0%
Andrej Đokanović0%
Melih Bostan0%
Berat Yılmaz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Hostikka33%
Álex Blanco33%
C. Topaloğlu0%
A. Yaşar0%
S. Göksu0%
Tomislav Glumac0%
O. Yıldırım0%
Andrej Đokanović0%
Melih Bostan0%
Berat Yılmaz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
Pendikspor and Ümraniyespor have a similar squad value (both €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (10)
€10m
BF (10)
€6m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
BOL (5)
€1m
Pendikspor's attack is €1m less valuable than Ümraniyespor's (€2m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (5)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
Pendikspor and Ümraniyespor have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
Pendikspor's defence is €2m more valuable than Ümraniyespor's (€3m vs €2m).
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Batman Petrolspor
Bursaspor
Sarıyer
Kayserispor
Mardin 1969
Iğdır FK
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
Muğlaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Bandırmaspor
Antalyaspor
Esenler Erokspor
Bodrum FK
Vanspor FK
Sivasspor
İstanbulspor
Boluspor