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Penybont vs Colwyn Bay Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026
Time: 11:30
Penybont
Penybont
Vs
48%
31%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay
Wales: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Penybont’s defensive record at home - conceding 0.75 goals per game - pairs with a modest 0.67 scoring rate, while Colwyn Bay’s away form shows a higher 1.17 average for and 1.33 conceded, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair. The model favours a home win, with a 48% chance, a draw at 31%, and an away win at 21%. The average total goals hover around 2.1, and the most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Peny­bont, a 14.8% probability. The predicted total of two goals aligns with the 28% chance of exactly two goals. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.1% with a 7% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9%), Under 5.5 (98.0% with a 7% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.7% with a 7% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.7% with a 6% edge), and Home under 3.5 goals (95.6% with a 5% edge). The match remains a defensive showdown, with Peny­bont’s recent unbeaten run and Colwyn Bay’s fresh win setting the stage for a narrow victory.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penybont win
47.5%
Avg Implied 44.8% · @ 2.02
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.12
Pinnacle
2.11
Superbet
2.10
Betano
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Draw
31.2%
Avg Implied 28.3% · @ 3.20
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
Dafabet
3.30
Pinnacle
3.22
Superbet
3.20
Colwyn Bay win
21.3%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.37
Edge
-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.70
Pinnacle
3.41
William Hil
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Dafabet
3.40

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PenybontPenybont

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L00D20W00D21W30W21W11D22DH·BAR03/04A·CAE18/04A·COL25/04H·HAV02/05H·THE02/08A·CAE07/08A·HAV14/08H·LLA21/08H·FLI28/08A·CAM31/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.400.730.801.732.00
vs Stronger (3)0.332.670.501.000.006.00
vs Similar (24)1.211.250.670.751.751.75
vs Weaker (3)2.331.332.001.002.501.50
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Colwyn Bay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Colwyn BayColwyn Bay

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D02L11D00D20W22D03L10W15L20WA·PEN28/03H·CAE03/04A·GAP18/04H·PEN25/04H·TRE31/07A·AMM07/08A·CAE15/08H·AIR21/08A·THE28/08H·LLA31/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.432.001.361.191.50
vs Stronger (4)0.752.000.002.001.002.00
vs Similar (22)1.681.502.301.701.171.33
vs Weaker (4)1.750.501.670.002.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Penybont) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
63.3%
@ 1.29-7.0%
Under 1.5
36.7%
@ 3.07+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.15
Betano
3.10
Marathonbet
3.08
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
35.0%
@ 1.96-12.1%
Under 2.5
65.0%
@ 1.74+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.05
Betfair
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.96
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Bet365
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
16.1%
@ 3.25-11.9%
Under 3.5
83.9%
@ 1.26+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.28
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
41.1%
@ 1.75-11.1%
No
58.9%
@ 1.92+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Betano
1.75
No
William Hil
2.05
Betfair
2.00
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.94

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.8%@ 6.69+8.2%
1-1
13.9%@ 6.03+6.7%
0-0
13.5%@ 7.99+8.0%
2-0
10.5%@ 8.96+5.6%
0-1
8.4%@ 9.33+3.7%
2-1
8.3%@ 8.01+2.8%
1-2
5.0%@ 11.00+1.0%
3-0
4.6%@ 16.89+2.0%
Penybont goals ↓
Colwyn Bay goals →
01234
014%8.4%3.8%1.0%0.2%
115%14%5.0%1.3%0.3%
210%8.3%3.3%0.9%0.2%
34.6%3.6%1.4%0.4%0.1%
41.5%1.2%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Penybont goals (down), columns = Colwyn Bay goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barry Town
3.00
The New Saints
2.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
Penybont
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Cardiff MET
2.00
Caernarfon Town
2.00
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Airbus UK
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Briton Ferry
1.17
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.33
Flint Town United
0.17
Trefelin
0.17
Holywell
0.00
Penybont is 0.33 points better than Colwyn Bay in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barry Town
2.83
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.83
The New Saints
2.67
Cardiff MET
2.67
Caernarfon Town
2.50
Llandudno
2.17
Airbus UK
1.83
Penybont
1.67
Holywell
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Flint Town United
1.00
Briton Ferry
0.83
Ammanford AFC
0.67
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Trefelin
0.33
Penybont is 0.33 goals better than Colwyn Bay in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
The New Saints
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Penybont
0.83
Llandudno
1.17
Barry Town
1.17
Cardiff MET
1.17
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Airbus UK
1.50
Caernarfon Town
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Briton Ferry
1.67
Flint Town United
1.83
Haverfordwest County AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.33
Trefelin
2.83
Holywell
4.33
Penybont is 0.83 goals better than Colwyn Bay in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Penybont or Draw
78.7%
Avg Implied 72.5% · @ 1.26
Edge
+6.2%
48%
31%
21%
covers Penybont + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.34
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Penybont or Colwyn Bay
68.8%
Avg Implied 72.8% · @ 1.26
Edge
-3.9%
48%
31%
21%
covers Penybont + Colwyn Bay
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw or Colwyn Bay
52.5%
Avg Implied 54.8% · @ 1.67
Edge
-2.3%
48%
31%
21%
covers Draw + Colwyn Bay
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.70
BetVictor
1.67
Betfair
1.67
William Hil
1.65

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Penybont over/under 0.5
Over
73.0%
@ 1.22-2.3%
Under
27.0%
@ 3.73+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.65
Penybont over/under 1.5
Over
37.6%
@ 2.12-6.2%
Under
62.4%
@ 1.66+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.17
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.12
Under
Bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
1.67
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Penybont over/under 2.5
Over
14.5%
@ 4.56-5.8%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.16+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.55
Betano
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Under
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Penybont over/under 3.5
Over
4.4%
@ 9.69-5.3%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.03+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.50
Betfair
10.00
Betano
8.75
Bet365
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Colwyn Bay over/under 0.5
Over
54.6%
@ 1.42-10.5%
Under
45.4%
@ 2.66+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Under
Betano
2.77
Pinnacle
2.76
Betfair
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.64
Colwyn Bay over/under 1.5
Over
18.8%
@ 2.96-12.6%
Under
81.2%
@ 1.35+12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.04
Betfair
3.00
Betano
2.87
1xBet
2.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Colwyn Bay over/under 2.5
Over
4.6%
@ 7.38-7.9%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.05+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.70
1xBet
7.70
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Colwyn Bay over/under 3.5
Over
0.9%
@ 13.25-6.2%
Under
99.1%
@ 1.01+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Penybont, so a minus line means Penybont give that many goals of a start and Colwyn Bay receive them. At -1, Penybont must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Penybont win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Penybont)
Penybont -2
8.3%
@ 7.65-3.4%
Draw -2
14.6%
@ 5.78-0.9%
Colwyn Bay +2
77.1%
@ 1.23+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
8.30
Bet365
7.00
Draw
Marathonbet
6.05
Bet365
5.50
Away
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.18
Handicap -1 (Penybont)
Penybont -1
22.9%
@ 3.77-0.6%
Draw -1
24.6%
@ 3.62+0.2%
Colwyn Bay +1
52.5%
@ 1.70+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
3.85
Bet365
3.25
Draw
Marathonbet
3.65
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Away
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.63
Handicap +1 (Penybont)
Penybont +1
78.7%
@ 1.23+6.7%
Draw +1
14.4%
@ 5.25-2.5%
Colwyn Bay -1
6.9%
@ 7.95-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.00
Away
Bet365
8.50
Marathonbet
7.40
Handicap +2 (Penybont)
Penybont +2
93.1%
@ 1.06+4.4%
Draw +2
5.3%
@ 13.00-1.9%
Colwyn Bay -2
1.6%
@ 23.00-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
23.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PenybontPenybont

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L02L00D10W00D21W20W10W10W11DH·BAR03/04A·CAE18/04A·COL25/04H·HAV02/05H·THE02/08A·CAE07/08A·HAV14/08H·LLA21/08H·FLI28/08A·CAM31/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.670.330.270.871.07
vs Stronger (3)0.331.000.500.500.002.00
vs Similar (24)0.540.620.250.250.831.00
vs Weaker (3)1.330.671.000.001.501.00
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Colwyn Bay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Colwyn BayColwyn Bay

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D11D00D20W20W01L10W03L10WA·PEN28/03H·CAE03/04A·GAP18/04H·PEN25/04H·TRE31/07A·AMM07/08A·CAE15/08H·AIR21/08A·THE28/08H·LLA31/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.531.140.500.690.56
vs Stronger (4)0.501.000.000.000.671.33
vs Similar (22)0.860.551.200.700.580.42
vs Weaker (4)1.500.001.330.002.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Penybont) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
66.2%
@ 1.38+0.1%
Under 0.5
33.8%
@ 2.70-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
Under
William Hil
3.00
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
30.1%
@ 2.78-2.8%
Under 1.5
69.9%
@ 1.36+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.86
Marathonbet
2.82
Under
William Hil
1.40
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.5%
@ 6.59-4.4%
Under 2.5
90.5%
@ 1.06+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
1xBet
7.10
Bet365
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.05

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Penybont over/under 0.5 HT
Over
46.7%
@ 1.93-1.3%
Under
53.3%
@ 1.78+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.98
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Penybont over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.1%
@ 5.90-3.5%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.09+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
5.90
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Penybont over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.4%
@ 10.50-6.5%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Colwyn Bay over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.5%
@ 2.37-4.4%
Under
65.5%
@ 1.51+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.44
1xBet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Betano
2.37
Superbet
2.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Colwyn Bay over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.5%
@ 8.60-3.3%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.04+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Marathonbet
8.80
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
Colwyn Bay over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PenybontPenybont

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D10W00D00D10W11D01L11DH·BAR03/04A·CAE18/04A·COL25/04H·HAV02/05H·THE02/08A·CAE07/08A·HAV14/08H·LLA21/08H·FLI28/08A·CAM31/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.730.400.530.870.93
vs Stronger (3)0.001.670.000.500.004.00
vs Similar (24)0.670.620.420.500.920.75
vs Weaker (3)1.000.671.001.001.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Colwyn Bay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Colwyn BayColwyn Bay

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D00D00D02L02L00D12L10WA·PEN28/03H·CAE03/04A·GAP18/04H·PEN25/04H·TRE31/07A·AMM07/08A·CAE15/08H·AIR21/08A·THE28/08H·LLA31/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.900.860.860.500.94
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.002.000.330.67
vs Similar (22)0.820.951.101.000.580.92
vs Weaker (4)0.250.500.330.000.002.00
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Penybont) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.2%
@ 1.24+3.0%
Under 0.5
22.8%
@ 3.55-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Under
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
William Hil
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.1%
@ 2.16-6.7%
Under 1.5
63.9%
@ 1.62+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.18
Superbet
2.15
Under
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.8%
@ 4.64-4.0%
Under 2.5
84.2%
@ 1.15+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
Superbet
4.30
Under
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.12

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Penybont over/under 0.5 2H
Over
55.9%
@ 1.66+0.2%
Under
44.1%
@ 2.08-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Under
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Penybont over/under 1.5 2H
Over
17.7%
@ 4.15-4.5%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.19+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Penybont over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.2%
@ 8.50-6.7%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.04+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Colwyn Bay over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.9%
@ 1.96-0.2%
Under
53.1%
@ 1.74+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Under
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.69
Colwyn Bay over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.9%
@ 5.90-4.8%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.10+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.40
1xBet
6.10
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
Colwyn Bay over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.3%
@ 10.25-6.8%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.9%-------
Under 6.599.4%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+5.7%
Away under 3.5 goals99.1%1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
---+6.2%
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.8%-------
Under 5.598.0%1.02
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-+6.2%
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.7%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+6.8%
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.6%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+6.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.8%1.04
Betano
1.04
----+6.7%
Home under 3.5 goals95.6%1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-+5.3%
Away under 2.5 goals95.4%1.05
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
+7.9%
Under 4.593.8%1.07
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
+8.6%
Home +2 handicap93.1%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+4.4%
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.5%1.04
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
--+3.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals90.5%1.06
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.05
+4.4%
Away under 1.5 2H goals89.1%1.10
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
--+4.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals87.9%1.09
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
--+3.5%
Home under 2.5 goals85.5%1.16
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
+5.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals84.2%1.15
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.12
+4.0%
Under 3.583.9%1.26
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.25
+11.9%
Home under 1.5 2H goals82.3%1.19
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
--+4.5%
Away under 1.5 goals81.2%1.35
Pinnacle
1.43
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
+12.6%
Home or Draw78.7%1.26
Betano
1.34
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
+6.2%
Home +1 handicap78.7%1.23
Marathonbet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
---+6.7%
Over 0.5 2H goals77.2%1.24
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
+3.0%
Away +2 handicap77.1%1.23
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.18
---+4.3%
Home over 0.5 goals73.0%1.22
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
-2.3%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Penybont and Colwyn Bay have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Penybont and Colwyn Bay have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
Penybont and Colwyn Bay have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Penybont and Colwyn Bay have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
PEN wins
2
Draws
3
CB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Penybont vs Colwyn Bay · H/A from PEN
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26AColwyn Bay Vs PEN0-0
28/03/26HPEN Vs Colwyn Bay0-0
21/02/26AColwyn Bay Vs PEN3-1
29/11/25AColwyn Bay Vs PEN5-4
27/09/25HPEN Vs Colwyn Bay1-0
16/03/24HPEN Vs Colwyn Bay5-0
03/02/24AColwyn Bay Vs PEN1-2
25/11/23AColwyn Bay Vs PEN2-1

PenybontPenybont

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26ACambrian & Clydach Vs PEN2-2
28/08/26HPEN Vs Flint Town United1-1
21/08/26HPEN Vs Llandudno2-1
14/08/26AHaverfordwest County AFC Vs PEN0-3
07/08/26ACaernarfon Town Vs PEN1-2
02/08/26HPEN Vs The New Saints0-0
02/05/26HPEN Vs Haverfordwest County AFC2-0
25/04/26AColwyn Bay Vs PEN0-0
18/04/26ACaernarfon Town Vs PEN2-0
03/04/26HPEN Vs Barry Town0-2

Colwyn BayColwyn Bay

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HCB Vs Llandudno2-0
28/08/26AThe New Saints Vs CB5-1
21/08/26HCB Vs Airbus UK1-0
15/08/26ACaernarfon Town Vs CB3-0
07/08/26AAmmanford AFC Vs CB2-2
31/07/26HCB Vs Trefelin2-0
25/04/26HCB Vs Penybont0-0
18/04/26AGAP Connah S Quay FC Vs CB1-1
03/04/26HCB Vs Caernarfon Town0-2
28/03/26APenybont Vs CB0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Penybont
Penybont
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD1.50
HomeLWDWD1.52
AwayLDWWD1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%36%44%
AVG goals2.641.763.52
Over 1.5 %70%64%76%
Over 2.5 %48%24%72%
Over 3.5 %28%8%48%
Scored1.361.041.68
Conceded1.280.721.84
BTTS44%40%48%
Clean Sheet38%44%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay
Wales: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLW1.72
HomeLDWWW1.88
AwayDDDLL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%54%46%
AVG goals2.582.832.35
Over 1.5 %68%75%62%
Over 2.5 %46%50%42%
Over 3.5 %30%38%23%
Scored1.521.791.27
Conceded1.061.041.08
BTTS40%46%35%
Clean Sheet42%42%42%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Barry TownBarry Town618
100%
3.0
177+10
4.0
83%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.2
-
2The New SaintsThe New Saints616
83%
2.7
163+13
3.2
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.70.5
-
3GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FC615
83%
2.5
174+13
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.80.7
-
4Cardiff METCardiff MET612
67%
2.0
167+9
3.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.71.2
-
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon Town612
67%
2.0
159+6
4.0
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.51.5
-
6LlandudnoLlandudno612
67%
2.0
137+6
3.3
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
7PenybontPenybont612
50%
2.0
105+5
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.70.8
-
8Colwyn BayColwyn Bay610
50%
1.7
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
9Airbus UKAirbus UK69
50%
1.5
119+2
3.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
10Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach68
33%
1.3
88+0
2.7
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Briton FerryBriton Ferry67
33%
1.2
510-5
2.5
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
12Haverfordwest County AFCHaverfordwest County AFC63
17%
0.5
212-10
2.3
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.32.0
-
13Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC62
0%
0.3
414-10
3.0
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
14Flint Town UnitedFlint Town United61
0%
0.2
611-5
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.8
-
15TrefelinTrefelin61
0%
0.2
217-15
3.2
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.32.8
-
16HolywellHolywell60
0%
0.0
926-17
5.8
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.54.3
-
Wales: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches