Penybont’s recent three-game winning streak fuels confidence as they host Flint Town United, who have struggled with four straight defeats. The model favours a home win, with a 49% chance, a 28% draw, and a 23% away win. The expected total is 2.5 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.4% probability. Penyebont’s home form shows 0.85 goals scored and 0.77 conceded against similar opposition, while Flint Town United’s away record is 1.31 scored and 1.54 conceded versus comparable teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Under 6.5 (98.6% with a 7% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (98.2% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.7% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.9% with a 6% edge), Under 5.5 (95.7% with a 7% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.5% with an 8% edge).
Results analysis
The upset came early, with the pre-match favourite, Home win, failing to deliver a victory; the match finished 1-1, a draw. The model had predicted a home win with a 47% probability, but this call was wrong. The final score of 1-1 matched the actual result, confirming the draw. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.8%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.6%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.0%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.6%, Under 5.5 hit at 95.8%, and Home under 3.5 goals hit at 93.6%. The game saw both sides keep their recent form, with Penyebont remaining unbeaten in their last five and Flint Town United coming off a draw.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Penybont win✗ Miss
47.2%
Avg Implied 54.1% · @ 1.67
Edge
-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.75
Superbet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Betano
1.72
Betfair
1.70
Draw✓ Hit
28.5%
Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.69
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.10
10Bet
3.95
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.72
Unibet
3.70
Flint Town United win✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied 21.4% · @ 4.21
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.80
Unibet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
SBO
4.48
1xBet
4.32
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Penybont
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.53
0.80
0.80
1.73
2.27
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
3.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
6.00
vs Similar (24)
1.25
1.25
0.75
0.75
1.75
1.75
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Flint Town United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Flint Town United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.53
1.27
1.67
1.47
1.40
vs Stronger (4)
2.75
1.00
2.67
1.33
3.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
1.16
1.68
0.91
1.91
1.36
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Penybont) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.4%
@ 1.19-3.9%
Under 1.5
27.6%
@ 3.85+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.90
Superbet
3.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.5%
@ 1.66-9.9%
Under 2.5
54.5%
@ 2.06+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.73
Bet365
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Under
10Bet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.1%
@ 2.59-11.1%
Under 3.5
75.9%
@ 1.41+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.78
Betfair
2.70
1xBet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Under
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.4%
@ 1.64-5.3%
No
49.6%
@ 2.06+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.67
William Hil
1.67
1xBet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
No
Betfair
2.20
Superbet
2.15
Betano
2.12
William Hil
2.10
1xBet
2.07
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.6%@ 6.81+7.1%
1-0
11.1%@ 7.43+5.1%
0-0
9.5%@ 11.97+5.8%
2-1
9.2%@ 7.31+3.2%
2-0
9.2%@ 8.04+3.7%
0-1
7.1%@ 12.83+3.6%
1-2
6.2%@ 12.99+2.8%
2-2
4.6%@ 12.72+1.1%
Penybont goals ↓
Flint Town United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
7.1%
4.2%
1.4%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.2%
2.1%
0.5%
2
9.2%
9.2%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
3
4.5%
4.6%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.7%
1.7%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Penybont goals (down), columns = Flint Town United goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barry Town
3.00
The New Saints
2.67
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.50
Penybont
2.00
Llandudno
2.00
Cardiff MET
2.00
Caernarfon Town
2.00
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Airbus UK
1.50
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Briton Ferry
1.17
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.50
Ammanford AFC
0.33
Flint Town United
0.17
Trefelin
0.17
Holywell
0.00
Penybont is 1.83 points better than Flint Town United in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barry Town
2.83
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2.83
The New Saints
2.67
Cardiff MET
2.67
Caernarfon Town
2.50
Llandudno
2.17
Airbus UK
1.83
Penybont
1.67
Holywell
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.33
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Flint Town United
1.00
Briton Ferry
0.83
Ammanford AFC
0.67
Haverfordwest County AFC
0.33
Trefelin
0.33
Penybont is 0.67 goals better than Flint Town United in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
The New Saints
0.50
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0.67
Penybont
0.83
Llandudno
1.17
Barry Town
1.17
Cardiff MET
1.17
Cambrian & Clydach
1.33
Airbus UK
1.50
Caernarfon Town
1.50
Colwyn Bay
1.67
Briton Ferry
1.67
Flint Town United
1.83
Haverfordwest County AFC
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.33
Trefelin
2.83
Holywell
4.33
Penybont is 1.00 goals better than Flint Town United in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.83).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Penybont or Draw✓ Hit
75.7%
Avg Implied 78.6% · @ 1.16
Edge
-2.9%
47%
29%
24%
covers Penybont + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
BetVictor
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Penybont or Flint Town United✗ Miss
71.5%
Avg Implied 76.8% · @ 1.19
Edge
-5.3%
47%
29%
24%
covers Penybont + Flint Town United
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
Draw or Flint Town United✓ Hit
52.8%
Avg Implied 44.6% · @ 2.04
Edge
+8.2%
47%
29%
24%
covers Draw + Flint Town United
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
2.25
10Bet
2.20
SBO
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.07
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Penybont over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.5%
@ 1.12-4.4%
Under
22.5%
@ 5.06+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Under
10Bet
5.25
1xBet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
Betano
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Penybont over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.9%
@ 1.67-11.3%
Under
56.1%
@ 2.06+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Under
10Bet
2.15
Unibet
2.08
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.04
Penybont over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.9%
@ 3.10-10.8%
Under
81.1%
@ 1.31+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.12
Betano
3.10
1xBet
3.08
Superbet
2.95
Under
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Penybont over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 6.17-8.7%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.10+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Betano
6.00
1xBet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Flint Town United over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.4%
@ 1.43-1.1%
Under
36.6%
@ 2.59+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Under
Pinnacle
2.73
Betano
2.67
Superbet
2.67
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.60
Flint Town United over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.6%
@ 3.02-3.9%
Under
73.4%
@ 1.33+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.10
1xBet
3.08
Marathonbet
3.04
Betano
2.90
Under
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Flint Town United over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.1%
@ 7.06-4.9%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.05+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.60
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
Betano
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Flint Town United over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 12.25-5.7%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Penybont, so a minus line means Penybont give that many goals of a start and Flint Town United receive them. At -1, Penybont must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Penybont win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Penybont)Actual: Flint Town United
Penybont -2
9.6%
@ 5.17-7.4%
Draw -2
14.7%
@ 4.85-3.5%
Flint Town United +2
75.7%
@ 1.36+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.35
Bet365
5.00
Draw
Marathonbet
4.95
Bet365
4.75
Away
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.33
Handicap -1 (Penybont)Actual: Flint Town United
Penybont -1
24.3%
@ 2.68-8.2%
Draw -1
22.9%
@ 3.47-2.2%
Flint Town United +1
52.8%
@ 2.05+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.83
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Unibet
2.33
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.48
Unibet
2.95
Away
10Bet
2.20
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.02
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.94
Handicap +1 (Penybont)Actual: Penybont
Penybont +1
75.7%
@ 1.16+0.5%
Draw +1
15.0%
@ 5.88+0.2%
Flint Town United -1
9.3%
@ 8.75-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.75
Away
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.50
Handicap +2 (Penybont)Actual: Penybont
Penybont +2
90.7%
@ 1.05+2.0%
Draw +2
6.7%
@ 13.00-0.5%
Flint Town United -2
2.6%
@ 23.00-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Penybont
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.27
0.33
0.80
1.20
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.67
0.17
0.33
0.83
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Flint Town United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Flint Town United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.67
0.67
0.73
0.87
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
0.50
1.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.72
0.45
0.82
0.86
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Penybont) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.9%
@ 1.29-3.0%
Under 0.5
32.1%
@ 3.12+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.35
William Hil
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Superbet
3.15
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.1%
@ 2.37-7.6%
Under 1.5
68.9%
@ 1.49+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.53
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.47
1xBet
2.41
Marathonbet
2.41
Under
10Bet
1.53
William Hil
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.51
Betano
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.5%
@ 5.19-6.0%
Under 2.5
88.5%
@ 1.10+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
5.80
1xBet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.45
Betano
5.20
Under
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Penybont over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
49.1%
@ 1.66-6.5%
Under
50.9%
@ 2.08+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.65
Superbet
1.62
Under
Superbet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.11
1xBet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
Penybont over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.6%
@ 4.23-5.1%
Under
83.4%
@ 1.17+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.25
Betano
4.15
Under
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Penybont over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 9.75-6.1%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.02+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Flint Town United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.2%
@ 2.38-1.5%
Under
62.8%
@ 1.50+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.49
1xBet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.38
Betano
2.35
Superbet
2.30
Under
Superbet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.48
Flint Town United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.1%
@ 7.97-2.4%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.04+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
8.40
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Flint Town United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Penybont
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.53
0.47
0.93
1.07
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
3.50
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.58
0.58
0.42
0.92
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Flint Town United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Flint Town United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.87
0.60
0.93
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.67
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.48
0.96
0.45
1.09
0.50
0.86
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Penybont) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.1%
@ 1.17-1.1%
Under 0.5
22.9%
@ 4.21+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.25
William Hil
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
43.8%
@ 1.87-5.5%
Under 1.5
56.2%
@ 1.82+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.91
1xBet
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Superbet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Under
Betano
1.88
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.83
William Hil
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.9%
@ 3.69-8.0%
Under 2.5
83.1%
@ 1.22+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.74
Superbet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Penybont over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
59.7%
@ 1.44-4.1%
Under
40.3%
@ 2.53+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.46
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Under
Betano
2.60
Superbet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Penybont over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.7%
@ 3.08-7.2%
Under
77.3%
@ 1.31+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.18
1xBet
3.10
Betano
2.95
Under
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
Penybont over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.3%
@ 7.60-2.9%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.06+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Flint Town United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
47.9%
@ 1.98+1.3%
Under
52.1%
@ 1.73-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.01
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Betano
1.95
Under
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.68
Flint Town United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.6%
@ 5.85-2.2%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.10+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.25
1xBet
6.10
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
Flint Town United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 10.25-7.0%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.02+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.8%
1.03
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
BetVictor
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.6%
1.10
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.09
-
-
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.9%
1.05
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.9%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.7%
1.06
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
89.2%
1.14
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
+9.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.5%
1.10
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.10
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.4%
1.10
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.4%
1.17
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.1%
1.22
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
+8.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
81.1%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
+10.8%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
77.5%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
-4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.3%
1.31
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.1%
1.17
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.9%
1.41
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
+11.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
75.7%
1.16
Betano
1.24
BetVictor
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
75.7%
1.16
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
75.7%
1.36
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.33
-
-
-
+11.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
73.4%
1.33
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.4%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.20
-3.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.5%
1.19
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
-5.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (25)
€3m
HCA (23)
€1m
PEN (18)
€1m
CB (20)
€1m
CT (16)
€1m
BF (19)
€1m
BT (14)
€1m
GCS (9)
€1m
FTU (10)
€1m
CM (11)
€1m
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Penybont and Flint Town United have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (10)
€1m
PEN (8)
€1m
BF (7)
€0m
GCS (5)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CB (5)
€0m
CT (3)
€0m
CM (5)
€0m
FTU (2)
€0m
BT (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Penybont and Flint Town United have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (7)
€1m
CB (7)
€0m
HCA (7)
€0m
CT (4)
€0m
BT (5)
€0m
PEN (3)
€0m
CM (2)
€0m
FTU (3)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
Penybont and Flint Town United have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TNS (8)
€1m
HCA (9)
€1m
CT (9)
€1m
BF (10)
€0m
PEN (7)
€0m
BT (7)
€0m
CB (8)
€0m
FTU (5)
€0m
CM (4)
€0m
C&C (4)
€0m
GCS (2)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
Penybont and Flint Town United have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Wales: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Barry Town
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Cardiff MET
Caernarfon Town
Llandudno
Colwyn Bay
Airbus UK
Cambrian & Clydach
Briton Ferry
Haverfordwest County AFC
Ammanford AFC
Trefelin
Holywell