This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Venezia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.63
1.07
1.93
1.00
1.33
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.75
1.00
3.00
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (16)
1.12
1.75
1.11
2.11
1.14
1.29
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
1.40
1.00
1.40
1.00
1.40
Clean sheet %
10% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Perugia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.3%
Under 1.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
33.9%
@ 2.24-8.1%
Under 2.5
66.1%
@ 1.62+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.4%
Under 3.5
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.0%
No
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
14.5%
1-1
14.3%
0-0
14.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-1 ✓
5.3%
2-0
4.3%
Perugia goals ↓
Venezia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
15%
9.8%
4.1%
1.3%
1
9.2%
14%
8.0%
3.3%
1.0%
2
4.3%
5.3%
3.3%
1.4%
0.4%
3
1.2%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Perugia goals (down), columns = Venezia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Frosinone
2.11
Genoa
1.95
Cagliari
1.65
Bari
1.64
Sudtirol
1.56
Parma
1.55
Reggina
1.41
Palermo
1.29
Modena
1.26
Venezia
1.26
Ascoli
1.24
Pisa
1.24
Como
1.24
Cittadella
1.13
Ternana
1.13
Cosenza
1.10
Perugia
1.03
Brescia
1.02
Spal
1.00
Benevento
0.92
Perugia is 0.23 points worse than Venezia in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Frosinone
1.66
Bari
1.43
Genoa
1.39
Venezia
1.33
Cagliari
1.33
Pisa
1.26
Palermo
1.26
Reggina
1.26
Parma
1.25
Como
1.24
Modena
1.24
Spal
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Ascoli
1.05
Sudtirol
0.98
Ternana
0.97
Brescia
0.93
Cittadella
0.89
Benevento
0.87
Cosenza
0.80
Perugia is 0.28 goals worse than Venezia in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Frosinone
0.68
Genoa
0.74
Sudtirol
0.85
Cagliari
0.88
Bari
0.95
Parma
1.05
Pisa
1.11
Reggina
1.18
Cittadella
1.18
Ascoli
1.24
Como
1.26
Benevento
1.29
Palermo
1.29
Venezia
1.33
Spal
1.34
Cosenza
1.35
Perugia
1.37
Ternana
1.37
Modena
1.39
Brescia
1.48
Perugia is 0.04 goals worse than Venezia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Perugia
For 5.7 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.1 · Against 16.1 · Total 33.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Venezia
For 3.2 · Against 8.5 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 14.3 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Perugia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.2
9.6
3.9
4.1
3.7
34.1
33.5
34.8
vs Stronger (19)
9.7
10.7
8.2
3.9
4.6
3.2
33.8
34.6
32.8
vs Similar (31)
10.0
9.8
10.2
3.9
3.8
3.9
34.3
32.7
35.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
59%
44%
60%
60%
60%
97%
100%
94%
% under line
48%
41%
56%
40%
40%
40%
3%
0%
6%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Venezia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.6
10.5
3.5
3.7
3.2
26.3
27.0
25.5
vs Stronger (12)
10.8
10.3
11.6
4.7
4.6
4.8
23.7
23.4
24.0
vs Similar (27)
10.4
10.9
9.9
3.7
4.4
3.0
27.6
29.2
25.9
vs Weaker (11)
9.5
9.0
10.0
1.5
1.2
2.0
29.5
30.0
29.0
% over line
52%
50%
53%
48%
56%
39%
88%
89%
87%
% under line
48%
50%
47%
52%
44%
61%
12%
11%
13%
This opponent (Perugia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
11.0
Benevento
11.0
Venezia
10.5
Spal
10.5
Bari
10.5
Como
10.5
Frosinone
10.5
Reggina
10.4
Parma
10.3
Ascoli
10.0
Ternana
9.9
Cittadella
9.5
Perugia
9.5
Palermo
9.4
Cagliari
9.0
Genoa
8.9
Cosenza
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Perugia
5.9
Pisa
5.8
Frosinone
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Reggina
5.5
Parma
5.5
Venezia
5.4
Como
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Spal
5.2
Ternana
4.8
Palermo
4.8
Brescia
4.6
Benevento
4.6
Genoa
4.6
Cagliari
4.5
Bari
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
33.7
Cittadella
33.4
Perugia
33.0
Pisa
32.8
Ascoli
31.3
Palermo
31.3
Frosinone
31.2
Spal
30.8
Como
29.9
Parma
29.4
Ternana
29.1
Benevento
28.6
Bari
28.3
Genoa
27.9
Cagliari
27.8
Cosenza
27.5
Venezia
27.5
Brescia
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
60.2%
Under 9.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
83.1%
Under 3.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
96.0%
Under 21.5
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Perugia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.57
0.20
0.40
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
0.58
0.25
0.25
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (18)
0.39
0.56
0.14
0.57
0.55
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Venezia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.60
0.60
0.73
0.07
0.47
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (16)
0.31
0.75
0.56
1.00
0.00
0.43
vs Weaker (10)
0.40
0.40
0.80
0.20
0.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Perugia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Perugia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Perugia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Perugia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Perugia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.53
0.67
0.33
0.47
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.58
0.62
0.62
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.39
0.56
0.43
0.71
0.36
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Venezia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.03
0.47
1.20
0.93
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
1.00
2.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.81
1.00
0.56
1.11
1.14
0.86
vs Weaker (10)
0.60
1.00
0.20
1.20
1.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Perugia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Perugia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Perugia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Perugia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Venezia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Perugia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tiago Casasola26%
Luca Strizzolo20%
Giuseppe Di Serio15%
Samuel Di Carmine14%
Francesco Lisi12%
Gregorio Luperini11%
Federico Melchiorri11%
Marco Olivieri8%
Christian Kouan6%
Gabriele Angella6%
Simone Santoro6%
Miloš Vulić0%
Stipe Vulikić0%
Stefano Gori0%
Paolo Bartolomei0%
Ryder Matos0%
Marcos Curado0%
Cristian Dell'Orco0%
Leonardo Capezzi0%
Andrea Beghetto0%
Aleandro Rosi0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Aljaž Struna0%
Jacopo Furlan0%
Yeferson Paz0%
Edoardo Iannoni0%
Emmanuel Ekong0%
Damiano Cancellieri0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcos Curado43%
Francesco Lisi35%
Aleandro Rosi33%
Simone Santoro29%
Yeferson Paz27%
Marco Olivieri24%
Cristian Dell'Orco24%
Tiago Casasola23%
Christian Kouan23%
Federico Melchiorri22%
Aljaž Struna21%
Paolo Bartolomei19%
Giuseppe Di Serio19%
Edoardo Iannoni18%
Damiano Cancellieri17%
Leonardo Capezzi15%
Miloš Vulić12%
Gabriele Angella12%
Filippo Sgarbi12%
Samuel Di Carmine7%
Ryder Matos7%
Luca Strizzolo7%
Gregorio Luperini3%
Stipe Vulikić0%
Stefano Gori0%
Andrea Beghetto0%
Jacopo Furlan0%
Emmanuel Ekong0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Francesco Lisi15%
Aleandro Rosi13%
Tiago Casasola11%
Emmanuel Ekong11%
Paolo Bartolomei9%
Giuseppe Di Serio7%
Ryder Matos7%
Gabriele Angella6%
Filippo Sgarbi6%
Federico Melchiorri6%
Cristian Dell'Orco5%
Samuel Di Carmine3%
Marcos Curado3%
Christian Kouan3%
Miloš Vulić0%
Stipe Vulikić0%
Stefano Gori0%
Leonardo Capezzi0%
Andrea Beghetto0%
Simone Santoro0%
Luca Strizzolo0%
Gregorio Luperini0%
Aljaž Struna0%
Marco Olivieri0%
Jacopo Furlan0%
Yeferson Paz0%
Edoardo Iannoni0%
Damiano Cancellieri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samuel Di Carmine17%
Marco Olivieri16%
Gregorio Luperini11%
Federico Melchiorri11%
Francesco Lisi8%
Yeferson Paz8%
Giuseppe Di Serio7%
Paolo Bartolomei6%
Gabriele Angella6%
Tiago Casasola6%
Christian Kouan3%
Miloš Vulić0%
Stipe Vulikić0%
Stefano Gori0%
Ryder Matos0%
Marcos Curado0%
Cristian Dell'Orco0%
Leonardo Capezzi0%
Andrea Beghetto0%
Aleandro Rosi0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Simone Santoro0%
Luca Strizzolo0%
Aljaž Struna0%
Jacopo Furlan0%
Edoardo Iannoni0%
Emmanuel Ekong0%
Damiano Cancellieri0%
Venezia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joel Pohjanpalo39%
Andrea Carboni18%
Domen Črnigoj17%
Michaël Cuisance15%
Nicholas Pierini14%
Denis Cheryshev12%
Mikael Ellertsson12%
Tanner Tessmann9%
Tommaso Milanese9%
Dennis Johnsen9%
Antonio Candela7%
Ridgeciano Haps5%
Pietro Ceccaroni5%
Francesco Zampano3%
Andrija Novakovich3%
Jesse Joronen0%
Michael Svoboda0%
Maximilian Ullmann0%
Mato Jajalo0%
Magnus Kofod Andersen0%
Aaron Connolly0%
Marin Šverko0%
Luca Ceppitelli0%
Petko Hristov0%
Bruno Bertinato0%
Marco Modolo0%
Luca Fiordilino0%
Przemyslaw Wiśniewski0%
Gianluca Busio0%
Jack De Vries0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Petko Hristov50%
Ridgeciano Haps37%
Przemyslaw Wiśniewski26%
Mikael Ellertsson24%
Andrea Carboni24%
Michael Svoboda23%
Luca Ceppitelli23%
Aaron Connolly20%
Marin Šverko20%
Marco Modolo20%
Pietro Ceccaroni20%
Tanner Tessmann18%
Francesco Zampano18%
Mato Jajalo14%
Luca Fiordilino14%
Antonio Candela13%
Dennis Johnsen12%
Andrija Novakovich11%
Domen Črnigoj11%
Tommaso Milanese9%
Jesse Joronen9%
Gianluca Busio7%
Joel Pohjanpalo5%
Denis Cheryshev4%
Magnus Kofod Andersen4%
Nicholas Pierini3%
Maximilian Ullmann0%
Michaël Cuisance0%
Bruno Bertinato0%
Jack De Vries0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Riccardo Ciervo33%
Maximilian Ullmann20%
Joel Pohjanpalo16%
Michaël Cuisance15%
Magnus Kofod Andersen15%
Dennis Johnsen12%
Mikael Ellertsson12%
Antonio Candela10%
Denis Cheryshev8%
Tanner Tessmann6%
Francesco Zampano6%
Andrea Carboni6%
Domen Črnigoj6%
Andrija Novakovich3%
Jesse Joronen0%
Michael Svoboda0%
Mato Jajalo0%
Aaron Connolly0%
Marin Šverko0%
Luca Ceppitelli0%
Nicholas Pierini0%
Petko Hristov0%
Bruno Bertinato0%
Marco Modolo0%
Pietro Ceccaroni0%
Luca Fiordilino0%
Ridgeciano Haps0%
Przemyslaw Wiśniewski0%
Gianluca Busio0%
Jack De Vries0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joel Pohjanpalo32%
Tommaso Milanese18%
Pietro Ceccaroni10%
Michaël Cuisance8%
Tanner Tessmann6%
Francesco Zampano6%
Dennis Johnsen6%
Andrija Novakovich6%
Denis Cheryshev4%
Jesse Joronen0%
Michael Svoboda0%
Maximilian Ullmann0%
Mato Jajalo0%
Magnus Kofod Andersen0%
Aaron Connolly0%
Marin Šverko0%
Luca Ceppitelli0%
Antonio Candela0%
Nicholas Pierini0%
Petko Hristov0%
Bruno Bertinato0%
Marco Modolo0%
Luca Fiordilino0%
Ridgeciano Haps0%
Przemyslaw Wiśniewski0%
Domen Črnigoj0%
Gianluca Busio0%
Mikael Ellertsson0%
Jack De Vries0%
Andrea Carboni0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Frosinone
Genoa
Cagliari
Bari
Sudtirol
Parma
Reggina
Palermo
Modena
Pisa
Como
Ascoli
Cosenza
Cittadella
Ternana
Brescia
Spal
Benevento