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Peterhead vs Airdrie United Result & Analysis

Date: 19/03/2016
Time: 00:00
Final 1-0
Peterhead
Peterhead
Vs
60%
21%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Peterhead win✓ Hit
59.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United win✗ Miss
19.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W00D51W21W32W32W41W11D41W00DA·STR16/01H·DUN23/01H·ALB30/01A·AYR06/02H·FOR13/02A·COW20/02H·BRE27/02A·ALB05/03A·STE12/03H·STR15/03
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.331.132.531.002.131.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)2.060.942.860.431.441.33
vs Weaker (14)2.641.362.251.503.171.17
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W33D10W20W23L11D01L31W11D02LA·ALB02/01A·BRE23/01A·DUN29/01H·COW06/02A·STE13/02H·STR20/02H·AYR27/02A·COW05/03H·FOR08/03H·BRE12/03
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.311.480.931.271.711.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.311.501.381.501.251.50
vs Weaker (13)1.311.460.431.002.332.00
Clean sheet %14% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.0%
Under 1.5
12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.3%
Under 2.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.0%
Under 3.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.7%
No
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.5%
1-1
9.0%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.3%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-0 ✓
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
Peterhead goals ↓
Airdrie United goals →
01234
03.6%2.7%2.3%1.0%0.3%
15.6%9.0%5.2%2.2%0.7%
27.4%9.5%6.0%2.6%0.8%
35.7%7.3%4.6%2.0%0.6%
43.3%4.2%2.7%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Peterhead goals (down), columns = Airdrie United goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunfermline
2.19
Ayr
1.69
Peterhead
1.64
Stranraer
1.42
Albion Rvs
1.36
Airdrie United
1.36
Brechin
1.17
Stenhousemuir
1.11
Cowdenbeath
1.08
Forfar
0.94
Peterhead is 0.28 points better than Airdrie United in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.36).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dunfermline
2.31
Peterhead
2.00
Ayr
1.81
Forfar
1.33
Airdrie United
1.33
Brechin
1.31
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Stenhousemuir
1.28
Stranraer
1.19
Albion Rvs
1.11
Peterhead is 0.67 goals better than Airdrie United in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.33).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunfermline
0.83
Albion Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.31
Peterhead
1.31
Stranraer
1.36
Airdrie United
1.39
Brechin
1.64
Forfar
1.67
Cowdenbeath
2.00
Stenhousemuir
2.22
Peterhead is 0.08 goals better than Airdrie United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.39).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (30)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (14)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (29)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (13)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D11D21W22D21W20W01L20W00DA·STR16/01H·DUN23/01H·ALB30/01A·AYR06/02H·FOR13/02A·COW20/02H·BRE27/02A·ALB05/03A·STE12/03H·STR15/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.601.130.731.130.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.880.561.140.430.670.67
vs Weaker (14)1.430.641.121.001.830.17
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L31W10W10W11D00D01L10W01L01LA·ALB02/01A·BRE23/01A·DUN29/01H·COW06/02A·STE13/02H·STR20/02H·AYR27/02A·COW05/03H·FOR08/03H·BRE12/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.720.620.400.601.070.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.690.750.750.620.62
vs Weaker (13)0.770.540.000.431.670.67
Clean sheet %41% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W00D40W00D10W11D21W10W21W00DA·STR16/01H·DUN23/01H·ALB30/01A·AYR06/02H·FOR13/02A·COW20/02H·BRE27/02A·ALB05/03A·STE12/03H·STR15/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.531.400.271.000.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.190.381.710.000.780.67
vs Weaker (14)1.210.711.120.501.331.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W02L00D10W12L11D00D21W10W01LA·ALB02/01A·BRE23/01A·DUN29/01H·COW06/02A·STE13/02H·STR20/02H·AYR27/02A·COW05/03H·FOR08/03H·BRE12/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.590.860.530.670.641.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.620.810.620.750.620.88
vs Weaker (13)0.540.920.430.570.671.33
Clean sheet %31% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (26)
€4m
STE (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (9)
€2m
STE (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (4)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (13)
€2m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
PET wins
0
Draws
1
AU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Peterhead vs Airdrie United · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
26/12/15AAirdrie United Vs PET3-4
24/10/15HPET Vs Airdrie United2-0
29/08/15AAirdrie United Vs PET1-0

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/16HPET Vs Stranraer0-0
12/03/16AStenhousemuir Vs PET1-4
05/03/16AAlbion Rvs Vs PET1-1
27/02/16HPET Vs Brechin4-1
20/02/16ACowdenbeath Vs PET2-3
13/02/16HPET Vs Forfar3-2
06/02/16AAyr Vs PET1-2
30/01/16HPET Vs Albion Rvs5-1
23/01/16HPET Vs Dunfermline0-0
16/01/16AStranraer Vs PET1-5

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/16HAU Vs Brechin0-2
08/03/16HAU Vs Forfar1-1
05/03/16ACowdenbeath Vs AU1-3
27/02/16HAU Vs Ayr0-1
20/02/16HAU Vs Stranraer1-1
13/02/16AStenhousemuir Vs AU3-2
06/02/16HAU Vs Cowdenbeath2-0
29/01/16ADunfermline Vs AU0-1
23/01/16ABrechin Vs AU3-3
02/01/16AAlbion Rvs Vs AU1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League One
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWD1.87
HomeDWWWD2.00
AwayWWWDW1.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%53%47%
AVG goals3.473.533.40
Over 1.5 %83%87%80%
Over 2.5 %60%67%53%
Over 3.5 %50%53%47%
Scored2.332.532.13
Conceded1.131.001.27
BTTS67%67%67%
Clean Sheet27%33%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDL1.31
HomeWDLDL1.00
AwayWDWLW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%27%50%
AVG goals2.792.203.43
Over 1.5 %76%60%93%
Over 2.5 %48%20%79%
Over 3.5 %28%13%43%
Scored1.310.931.71
Conceded1.481.271.71
BTTS55%40%71%
Clean Sheet14%20%7%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DunfermlineDunfermline3679
67%
2.2
8330+53
3.1
78%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2022.30.8
-
2
A
Ayr
3661
53%
1.7
6547+18
3.1
81%
69%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.3
-
3PeterheadPeterhead3659
44%
1.6
7247+25
3.3
78%
56%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.3
-
4StranraerStranraer3651
42%
1.4
4349-6
2.6
67%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
5Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3649
39%
1.4
4850-2
2.7
78%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
6
AR
Albion Rvs
3649
36%
1.4
4044-4
2.3
67%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
7BrechinBrechin3642
33%
1.2
4759-12
2.9
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
8StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3640
31%
1.1
4680-34
3.5
78%
69%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.2
-
9CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3639
31%
1.1
4672-26
3.3
78%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
10ForfarForfar3634
22%
0.9
4860-12
3.0
81%
58%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
Scotland: League One 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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