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Peterhead vs Bonnyrigg Rose Result & Analysis

Date: 16/09/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Peterhead
Peterhead
Vs
29%
36%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Peterhead win✓ Hit
28.6%
Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.44
Edge
-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
35.7%
Avg Implied 28.3% · @ 3.25
Edge
+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose win✗ Miss
35.7%
Avg Implied 34.0% · @ 2.71
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L12L11D12L13L30W00D21W01L12LH·DUN11/04A·MON15/04H·CLY22/04A·KEL29/04H·FAL06/05A·EAS05/08H·STE12/08A·CLY19/08H·SPA26/08A·STR02/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.970.471.400.672.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.502.250.421.670.582.83
vs Weaker (6)0.830.830.670.331.001.33
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D02L10W00D30W11D20W11D21W51WA·STE08/04H·DUM15/04A·FOR22/04A·ANN29/04H·ELG06/05H·DUM05/08A·CLY12/08H·STR19/08A·FOR26/08H·ELG02/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.131.401.470.800.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.621.122.201.800.670.00
vs Weaker (22)0.911.141.001.300.831.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%18%027%128%216%37%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
54.2%
Under 1.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
26.2%
@ 1.93-22.3%
Under 2.5
73.8%
@ 1.82+22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
10.4%
Under 3.5
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
35.7%
No
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
18.3%
0-1
14.8%
1-1
14.6%
1-0
12.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
2-1 ✓
5.5%
Peterhead goals ↓
Bonnyrigg Rose goals →
01234
018%15%7.7%2.4%0.6%
113%15%6.3%2.0%0.5%
25.7%5.5%2.6%0.8%0.2%
31.6%1.5%0.7%0.2%0.1%
40.3%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Peterhead goals (down), columns = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Peterhead is 0.58 points better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.08).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Peterhead is 0.31 goals better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Peterhead is 0.25 goals better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

For 3.2 · Against 6.0 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

1405635124644246641021215118310861214146A·STRH·SPAA·CLYH·STEA·EASH·FALA·KELH·CLYA·MONH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

803341232232324421416554550835A·STRH·SPAA·CLYH·STEA·EASH·FALA·KELH·CLYA·MONH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.1 · Total 24.1

⚠️ Fouls

290181110841310141210159111711101316161329181724222428212929A·STRH·SPAA·CLYH·STEA·EASH·FALA·KELH·CLYA·MONH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 5.1 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

14063432454104754273125597691412610310H·ELGA·FORH·STRA·CLYH·DUMH·ELGA·ANNA·FORH·DUMA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

801113212321152253112432527282H·ELGA·FORH·STRA·CLYH·DUMH·ELGA·ANNA·FORH·DUMA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 11.0 · Total 24.5

⚠️ Fouls

41022112021128106131210212111313141491233412016251223262821H·ELGA·FORH·STRA·CLYH·DUMH·ELGA·ANNA·FORH·DUMA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.18.99.24.34.73.822.522.922.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (41)8.98.59.34.14.83.522.523.021.9
vs Weaker (9)9.711.78.74.94.35.222.721.723.2
% over line46%46%46%62%62%62%64%71%58%
% under line54%54%54%38%38%38%36%29%42%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (41)9.410.38.64.24.04.322.723.122.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (13)9.511.37.53.33.33.322.221.922.5
vs Weaker (28)9.49.89.04.64.44.822.923.822.1
% over line46%57%35%59%57%60%59%57%60%
% under line54%43%65%41%43%40%41%43%40%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.9
Forfar
10.4
Dumbarton
9.9
Stranraer
9.8
Clyde
9.7
Spartans
9.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.4
East Fife
9.2
Peterhead
9.1
Elgin
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Dumbarton
4.6
Peterhead
4.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.2
Stenhousemuir
4.2
East Fife
4.1
Elgin
3.9
Stranraer
3.9
Clyde
3.7
Forfar
3.5
Spartans
2.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bonnyrigg Rose
22.7
Peterhead
22.5
Forfar
22.4
Elgin
22.3
Clyde
21.5
East Fife
21.3
Stranraer
21.1
Dumbarton
20.4
Stenhousemuir
20.3
Spartans
14.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.9%
Under 9.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.6%
Under 3.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.5%
Under 21.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W00D11D10W00D21W00D02LH·DUN11/04A·MON15/04H·CLY22/04A·KEL29/04H·FAL06/05A·EAS05/08H·STE12/08A·CLY19/08H·SPA26/08A·STR02/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.530.330.270.270.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.250.540.330.330.170.75
vs Weaker (6)0.500.500.330.000.671.00
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W00D00D01L10W10W10W20WA·STE08/04H·DUM15/04A·FOR22/04A·ANN29/04H·ELG06/05H·DUM05/08A·CLY12/08H·STR19/08A·FOR26/08H·ELG02/09
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.500.470.730.400.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.250.750.401.200.000.00
vs Weaker (22)0.500.410.500.500.500.33
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D01L12L02L20W00D00D01L10WH·DUN11/04A·MON15/04H·CLY22/04A·KEL29/04H·FAL06/05A·EAS05/08H·STE12/08A·CLY19/08H·SPA26/08A·STR02/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.271.430.131.130.401.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.251.710.081.330.422.08
vs Weaker (6)0.330.330.330.330.330.33
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L00D00D30W10W10W01L11D31WA·STE08/04H·DUM15/04A·FOR22/04A·ANN29/04H·ELG06/05H·DUM05/08A·CLY12/08H·STR19/08A·FOR26/08H·ELG02/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.930.730.400.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.380.381.800.600.670.00
vs Weaker (22)0.410.730.500.800.330.67
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.589.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners81.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls75.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards73.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls72.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners71.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
PET wins
0
Draws
0
BR wins

Head-to-head

Peterhead vs Bonnyrigg Rose · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/23AStranraer Vs PET2-1
26/08/23HPET Vs Spartans0-1
19/08/23AClyde Vs PET1-2
12/08/23HPET Vs Stenhousemuir0-0
05/08/23AEast Fife Vs PET0-3
06/05/23HPET Vs Falkirk1-3
29/04/23AKelty Hearts Vs PET2-1
22/04/23HPET Vs Clyde1-1
15/04/23AMontrose Vs PET2-1
11/04/23HPET Vs Dunfermline0-2

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/23HBR Vs Elgin5-1
26/08/23AForfar Vs BR1-2
19/08/23HBR Vs Stranraer1-1
12/08/23AClyde Vs BR0-2
05/08/23HBR Vs Dumbarton1-1
06/05/23HBR Vs Elgin3-0
29/04/23AAnnan Athletic Vs BR0-0
22/04/23AForfar Vs BR0-1
15/04/23HBR Vs Dumbarton0-2
08/04/23AStenhousemuir Vs BR0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLL0.74
HomeLDLDL0.96
AwayLLWWL0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%25%12%
AVG goals2.682.083.23
Over 1.5 %78%67%88%
Over 2.5 %50%29%69%
Over 3.5 %26%17%35%
Scored0.720.580.85
Conceded1.961.502.38
BTTS40%33%46%
Clean Sheet16%25%8%
Corners9.068.929.19
Cards4.264.713.85
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.29
HomeLWDDW1.24
AwayDWDWW1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%33%35%
AVG goals2.392.901.85
Over 1.5 %71%86%55%
Over 2.5 %39%43%35%
Over 3.5 %20%29%10%
Scored1.151.380.90
Conceded1.241.520.95
BTTS46%57%35%
Clean Sheet34%24%45%
Corners9.4410.298.55
Cards4.204.054.35

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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