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Peterhead vs Bonnyrigg Rose Result & Analysis

Date: 20/02/2024
Time: 19:45
Final 0-0
Peterhead
Peterhead
Vs
53%
27%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Peterhead win✗ Miss
53.1%
Avg Implied 49.8% · @ 1.84
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.8%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.49
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose win✗ Miss
20.1%
Avg Implied 24.0% · @ 3.82
Edge
-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W12L12L01L31W02L22D21W11D33DH·CLY16/12H·FOR23/12A·ELG30/12H·SPA06/01H·DUM09/01A·STR13/01A·EAS20/01H·STE27/01A·CLY03/02A·FOR17/02
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.271.601.071.471.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.531.201.501.001.571.43
vs Weaker (15)1.531.331.711.141.381.50
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D13L30W23L11D00D00D20W02LA·STE02/12H·PET09/12A·STR16/12A·EAS22/12A·CLY06/01H·DUM13/01A·FOR27/01H·STR03/02H·ELG06/02H·EAS17/02
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.131.471.071.001.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)2.001.092.501.001.401.20
vs Weaker (19)0.791.160.781.110.801.20
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.3%
Under 1.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.0%
@ 1.88-1.8%
Under 2.5
52.0%
@ 1.86+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.2%
Under 3.5
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.4%
No
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
0-0 ✓
8.6%
0-1
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
Peterhead goals ↓
Bonnyrigg Rose goals →
01234
08.6%5.8%3.3%1.0%0.2%
111%13%5.4%1.7%0.4%
210%9.6%4.5%1.4%0.3%
35.7%5.3%2.5%0.8%0.2%
42.3%2.2%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Peterhead goals (down), columns = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Peterhead is 0.58 points better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Peterhead is 0.31 goals better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.31).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Peterhead is 0.25 goals better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.33).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

For 5.0 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

1508744366743415261525158913757775A·FORA·CLYH·STEA·EASA·STRH·DUMH·SPAA·ELGH·FORH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

9032313432323331364325475564945A·FORA·CLYH·STEA·EASA·STRH·DUMH·SPAA·ELGH·FORH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 14.9 · Total 26.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

3401313121191712181013912111316181120121426232630232124343126A·FORA·CLYH·STEA·EASA·STRH·DUMH·SPAA·ELGH·FORH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 5.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

150226576746977435394354111311151478138H·EASH·ELGH·STRA·FORH·DUMA·CLYA·EASA·STRH·PETA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6031135141321122223334465524256H·EASH·ELGH·STRA·FORH·DUMA·CLYA·EASA·STRH·PETA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 10.8 · Total 23.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

3401515181012101212911651111881915171130282224201122163428H·EASH·ELGH·STRA·FORH·DUMA·CLYA·EASA·STRH·PETA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.28.59.84.74.94.424.023.724.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (33)9.08.49.64.54.84.223.823.224.3
vs Weaker (17)9.68.910.35.05.24.824.424.624.1
% over line46%42%50%76%75%77%74%71%77%
% under line54%58%50%24%25%23%26%29%23%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.510.19.04.44.44.423.324.022.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (17)9.611.17.44.23.94.624.925.024.9
vs Weaker (33)9.59.49.64.54.84.322.523.421.6
% over line44%50%38%64%65%62%58%58%58%
% under line56%50%62%36%35%38%42%42%42%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.8
Stenhousemuir
10.4
Forfar
10.0
Stranraer
10.0
East Fife
9.7
Clyde
9.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.5
Peterhead
9.2
Spartans
9.0
Elgin
8.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.7
Dumbarton
4.4
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.4
Stenhousemuir
4.2
East Fife
4.2
Elgin
3.7
Stranraer
3.6
Clyde
3.6
Forfar
3.6
Spartans
3.3

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.0
Forfar
23.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.3
Elgin
22.9
East Fife
21.9
Stenhousemuir
21.3
Dumbarton
20.8
Stranraer
20.8
Clyde
20.4
Spartans
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.3%
Under 9.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
68.8%
Under 3.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
67.3%
Under 21.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L01L00D01L01L02L11D01L03LH·CLY16/12H·FOR23/12A·ELG30/12H·SPA06/01H·DUM09/01A·STR13/01A·EAS20/01H·STE27/01A·CLY03/02A·FOR17/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.800.400.401.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.470.400.620.120.290.71
vs Weaker (15)0.731.001.000.710.501.25
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W01L10W03L10W00D00D10W02LA·STE02/12H·PET09/12A·STR16/12A·EAS22/12A·CLY06/01H·DUM13/01A·FOR27/01H·STR03/02H·ELG06/02H·EAS17/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.470.530.470.330.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.640.270.830.500.400.00
vs Weaker (19)0.320.580.330.440.300.70
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D11D01L30W01L20W10W10W30WH·CLY16/12H·FOR23/12A·ELG30/12H·SPA06/01H·DUM09/01A·STR13/01A·EAS20/01H·STE27/01A·CLY03/02A·FOR17/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.570.800.671.070.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.070.800.880.881.290.71
vs Weaker (15)0.800.330.710.430.880.25
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L12L20W20W01L00D00D10W00DA·STE02/12H·PET09/12A·STR16/12A·EAS22/12A·CLY06/01H·DUM13/01A·FOR27/01H·STR03/02H·ELG06/02H·EAS17/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.670.930.600.670.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.360.821.670.501.001.20
vs Weaker (19)0.470.580.440.670.500.50
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards84.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners82.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls81.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.574.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners73.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
PET wins
1
Draws
0
BR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Peterhead vs Bonnyrigg Rose · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
09/12/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs PET1-1
16/09/23HPET Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-1

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/02/24AForfar Vs PET3-3
03/02/24AClyde Vs PET1-1
27/01/24HPET Vs Stenhousemuir2-1
20/01/24AEast Fife Vs PET2-2
13/01/24AStranraer Vs PET2-0
09/01/24HPET Vs Dumbarton3-1
06/01/24HPET Vs Spartans0-1
30/12/23AElgin Vs PET2-1
23/12/23HPET Vs Forfar1-2
16/12/23HPET Vs Clyde2-1

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/02/24HBR Vs East Fife0-2
06/02/24HBR Vs Elgin2-0
03/02/24HBR Vs Stranraer0-0
27/01/24AForfar Vs BR0-0
13/01/24HBR Vs Dumbarton1-1
06/01/24AClyde Vs BR3-2
22/12/23AEast Fife Vs BR0-3
16/12/23AStranraer Vs BR3-1
09/12/23HBR Vs Peterhead1-1
02/12/23AStenhousemuir Vs BR1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDD1.04
HomeWLLWW1.33
AwayLLDDD0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%38%19%
AVG goals2.742.423.04
Over 1.5 %82%75%88%
Over 2.5 %54%42%65%
Over 3.5 %24%21%27%
Scored1.041.170.92
Conceded1.701.252.12
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet16%25%8%
Corners9.228.549.85
Cards4.664.924.42
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWL1.20
HomeDDDWL1.23
AwayLLWLD1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%31%29%
AVG goals2.442.772.08
Over 1.5 %72%85%58%
Over 2.5 %40%38%42%
Over 3.5 %24%27%21%
Scored1.121.350.88
Conceded1.321.421.21
BTTS48%58%38%
Clean Sheet30%19%42%
Corners9.5410.088.96
Cards4.404.424.38

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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