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Peterhead vs Bonnyrigg Rose Result & Analysis

Date: 05/04/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 5-0
Peterhead
Peterhead
Vs
68%
20%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Peterhead win✓ Hit
68.4%
Avg Implied 62.4% · @ 1.47
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.1%
Avg Implied 22.3% · @ 4.12
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose win✗ Miss
11.5%
Avg Implied 15.4% · @ 5.97
Edge
-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L22D43W22D00D20W00D20W21W00DA·SPA25/01H·FOR01/02A·BON08/02H·CLY15/02A·EAS22/02H·ELG01/03A·STR08/03H·EDI15/03A·STI22/03A·FOR29/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.172.071.331.131.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.461.232.141.140.671.33
vs Weaker (17)1.711.122.001.501.440.78
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W03L34L11D02L13L01L11D13L01LH·CLY01/02A·ELG04/02H·PET08/02A·EAS15/02H·FOR22/02A·SPA01/03H·EDI08/03H·STI15/03A·CLY22/03H·ELG29/03
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.771.471.130.872.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.922.171.601.600.432.57
vs Weaker (18)1.331.501.400.901.252.25
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.4%
Under 1.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.4%
@ 1.79+6.2%
Under 2.5
41.6%
@ 1.96-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.0%
Under 3.5
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.7%
4-0
4.9%
Peterhead goals ↓
Bonnyrigg Rose goals →
01234
05.7%3.1%1.6%0.4%0.1%
19.8%9.6%3.6%1.0%0.2%
212%9.7%3.9%1.1%0.2%
38.8%7.1%2.9%0.8%0.2%
44.9%4.0%1.6%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Peterhead goals (down), columns = Bonnyrigg Rose goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
1.83
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.56
Elgin
1.53
Spartans
1.44
Stirling
1.33
Clyde
1.19
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.17
Stranraer
1.11
Forfar
1.00
Peterhead is 0.67 points better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 1.17).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
East Fife
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.50
Peterhead
1.44
Stirling
1.39
Clyde
1.36
Spartans
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.11
Stranraer
0.94
Forfar
0.81
Peterhead is 0.33 goals better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.11).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
East Fife
1.03
Peterhead
1.11
Elgin
1.14
Stranraer
1.17
Forfar
1.17
Spartans
1.31
Edinburgh City
1.31
Clyde
1.50
Stirling
1.58
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.72
Peterhead is 0.61 goals better than Bonnyrigg Rose in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.72).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

For 4.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

1102673423423267352658281067581071110A·FORA·STIH·EDIA·STRH·ELGA·EASH·CLYA·BONH·FORA·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70332334423434211133136576773264A·FORA·STIH·EDIA·STRH·ELGA·EASH·CLYA·BONH·FORA·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 13.5 · Total 26.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

3101215713151418131215131212111813131591427202931272523312823A·FORA·STIH·EDIA·STRH·ELGA·EASH·CLYA·BONH·FORA·SPA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

For 4.7 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

1209346415165356625632412105611812796H·ELGA·CLYH·STIH·EDIA·SPAH·FORA·EASH·PETA·ELGH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6024113223233311142412544564265H·ELGA·CLYH·STIH·EDIA·SPAH·FORA·EASH·PETA·ELGH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 13.3 · Total 26.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

31011111813814121214141215151113181110151522312224282726312130H·ELGA·CLYH·STIH·EDIA·SPAH·FORA·EASH·PETA·ELGH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.88.19.54.64.25.024.725.124.2
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (23)9.17.510.43.93.74.124.926.823.5
vs Weaker (26)8.68.58.85.44.66.324.524.224.8
% over line41%27%55%72%65%79%73%73%73%
% under line59%73%45%28%35%21%27%27%27%
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.010.34.44.04.924.325.523.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (22)9.59.19.94.24.04.526.328.424.3
vs Weaker (28)9.89.010.74.64.15.222.723.521.8
% over line50%46%54%64%62%67%68%77%58%
% under line50%54%46%36%38%33%32%23%42%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.3
East Fife
9.7
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.7
Forfar
9.6
Clyde
9.6
Edinburgh City
9.3
Stranraer
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Elgin
9.1
Peterhead
8.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.2
Forfar
4.6
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.4
Elgin
4.4
Edinburgh City
4.4
Stranraer
4.1
Clyde
4.1
Stirling
4.0
East Fife
3.9
Spartans
3.6

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.7
Forfar
24.4
Bonnyrigg Rose
24.3
Elgin
24.3
Edinburgh City
23.7
East Fife
22.9
Clyde
22.5
Spartans
21.9
Stirling
21.0
Stranraer
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.3%
Under 9.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.7%
Under 3.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
75.1%
Under 21.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W32W11D00D10W00D00D11D00DA·SPA25/01H·FOR01/02A·BON08/02H·CLY15/02A·EAS22/02H·ELG01/03A·STR08/03H·EDI15/03A·STI22/03A·FOR29/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.671.070.670.800.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.850.851.140.860.500.83
vs Weaker (17)1.000.531.000.501.000.56
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L23L10W01L01L00D01L01L00DH·CLY01/02A·ELG04/02H·PET08/02A·EAS15/02H·FOR22/02A·SPA01/03H·EDI08/03H·STI15/03A·CLY22/03H·ELG29/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.730.470.330.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.500.671.000.800.140.57
vs Weaker (18)0.560.720.600.300.501.25
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L11D11D00D10W00D20W10W00DA·SPA25/01H·FOR01/02A·BON08/02H·CLY15/02A·EAS22/02H·ELG01/03A·STR08/03H·EDI15/03A·STI22/03A·FOR29/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.501.000.670.330.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.381.000.290.170.50
vs Weaker (17)0.710.591.001.000.440.22
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Bonnyrigg Rose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L11D01L01L12L01L10W12L01LH·CLY01/02A·ELG04/02H·PET08/02A·EAS15/02H·FOR22/02A·SPA01/03H·EDI08/03H·STI15/03A·CLY22/03H·ELG29/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.070.730.670.531.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.421.500.600.800.292.00
vs Weaker (18)0.780.780.800.600.751.00
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bonnyrigg Rose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards90.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls86.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.581.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners79.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards77.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls75.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
PET wins
3
Draws
0
BR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Peterhead vs Bonnyrigg Rose · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
08/02/25ABonnyrigg Rose Vs PET3-4
21/12/24HPET Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-0
03/08/24ABonnyrigg Rose Vs PET0-1
06/04/24ABonnyrigg Rose Vs PET2-2
20/02/24HPET Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-0
09/12/23ABonnyrigg Rose Vs PET1-1
16/09/23HPET Vs Bonnyrigg Rose2-1

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/03/25AForfar Vs PET0-0
22/03/25AStirling Vs PET1-2
15/03/25HPET Vs Edinburgh City2-0
08/03/25AStranraer Vs PET0-0
01/03/25HPET Vs Elgin2-0
22/02/25AEast Fife Vs PET0-0
15/02/25HPET Vs Clyde2-2
08/02/25ABonnyrigg Rose Vs PET3-4
01/02/25HPET Vs Forfar2-2
25/01/25ASpartans Vs PET1-0

BR
Bonnyrigg Rose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/03/25HBR Vs Elgin0-1
22/03/25AClyde Vs BR3-1
15/03/25HBR Vs Stirling1-1
08/03/25HBR Vs Edinburgh City0-1
01/03/25ASpartans Vs BR3-1
22/02/25HBR Vs Forfar0-2
15/02/25AEast Fife Vs BR1-1
08/02/25HBR Vs Peterhead3-4
04/02/25AElgin Vs BR3-0
01/02/25HBR Vs Clyde2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWD1.72
HomeWDDWW2.08
AwayWDDWD1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%62%29%
AVG goals2.763.192.29
Over 1.5 %68%81%54%
Over 2.5 %48%58%38%
Over 3.5 %36%38%33%
Scored1.541.921.12
Conceded1.221.271.17
BTTS50%62%38%
Clean Sheet36%31%42%
Corners8.828.149.50
Cards5.204.915.50
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.00
HomeLLLDL1.31
AwayLLDLL0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%35%12%
AVG goals2.642.422.88
Over 1.5 %80%73%88%
Over 2.5 %46%38%54%
Over 3.5 %28%23%33%
Scored1.121.310.92
Conceded1.521.121.96
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet18%23%12%
Corners9.669.0410.33
Cards4.444.044.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3666
53%
1.8
5240+12
2.6
61%
44%
33%
8.5
36%
5.3
86%
25.0
75%
0
0001.41.1
-
2East FifeEast Fife3665
56%
1.8
6537+28
2.8
72%
47%
28%
9.7
56%
4.2
67%
23.6
58%
0
0001.81.0
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3656
47%
1.6
5447+7
2.8
75%
47%
28%
9.2
42%
4.8
81%
24.4
72%
0
0001.51.3
-
4ElginElgin3655
44%
1.5
4841+7
2.5
72%
39%
19%
9.4
53%
4.8
75%
23.4
61%
0
0001.31.1
-
5SpartansSpartans3652
42%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
47%
31%
8.8
39%
4.2
67%
22.0
53%
0
0001.31.3
-
6StirlingStirling3648
39%
1.3
5057-7
3.0
86%
61%
33%
10.1
64%
4.2
61%
21.5
47%
0
0001.41.6
-
7ClydeClyde3643
31%
1.2
4954-5
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.6
50%
4.6
64%
22.8
58%
0
0001.41.5
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3642
33%
1.2
4062-22
2.8
86%
50%
28%
9.0
39%
4.9
78%
24.4
69%
0
0001.11.7
-
9StranraerStranraer3640
31%
1.1
3442-8
2.1
67%
42%
11%
9.1
42%
4.2
56%
20.6
33%
0
0000.91.2
-
10ForfarForfar3636
22%
1.0
2942-13
2.0
61%
33%
11%
9.3
36%
4.9
78%
24.7
78%
0
0000.81.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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