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Peterhead vs East Fife Result & Analysis

Date: 16/03/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Peterhead
Peterhead
Vs
44%
30%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Peterhead win✗ Miss
43.6%
Avg Implied 42.2% · @ 2.18
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.8%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.30
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
East Fife win✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied 29.9% · @ 3.08
Edge
-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W02L22D21W11D33D00D11D01L20WH·DUM09/01A·STR13/01A·EAS20/01H·STE27/01A·CLY03/02A·FOR17/02H·BON20/02H·ELG24/02A·DUM02/03H·STR09/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.171.670.931.401.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.571.071.500.881.671.33
vs Weaker (16)1.501.251.861.001.221.44
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D22D10W03L01L11D20W11D31W32WH·CLY13/01H·PET20/01A·STR27/01H·SPA30/01A·ELG03/02H·STE10/02A·BON17/02H·FOR24/02A·SPA02/03H·DUM09/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.271.401.401.271.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.381.771.332.001.431.57
vs Weaker (17)1.290.881.441.001.120.75
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.9%
Under 1.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.4%
@ 1.91-6.5%
Under 2.5
57.6%
@ 1.83+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.6%
Under 3.5
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.7%
No
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.1%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.8%
Peterhead goals ↓
East Fife goals →
01234
011%8.1%4.8%1.6%0.4%
111%14%6.5%2.2%0.6%
28.6%8.7%4.4%1.5%0.4%
33.9%4.0%2.0%0.7%0.2%
41.3%1.4%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Peterhead goals (down), columns = East Fife goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stenhousemuir
1.89
Peterhead
1.67
Spartans
1.61
Dumbarton
1.58
East Fife
1.22
Forfar
1.17
Elgin
1.11
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.08
Clyde
1.06
Stranraer
1.00
Peterhead is 0.44 points better than East Fife in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.22).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
1.61
Dumbarton
1.56
Spartans
1.47
Stenhousemuir
1.39
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.31
East Fife
1.28
Clyde
1.28
Stranraer
1.06
Forfar
1.06
Elgin
0.97
Peterhead is 0.33 goals better than East Fife in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.28).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stenhousemuir
0.86
Peterhead
1.08
Spartans
1.19
Dumbarton
1.22
Forfar
1.25
East Fife
1.31
Bonnyrigg Rose
1.33
Stranraer
1.47
Clyde
1.61
Elgin
1.64
Peterhead is 0.22 goals better than East Fife in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.31).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

For 4.4 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

150572744438744366743411298715891375H·STRA·DUMH·ELGH·BONA·FORA·CLYH·STEA·EASA·STRH·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70133252213231343232334573547556H·STRA·DUMH·ELGH·BONA·FORA·CLYH·STEA·EASA·STRH·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 12.4 · Total 24.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

32014816102012910131312119171218101391222263219262326302321H·STRA·DUMH·ELGH·BONA·FORA·CLYH·STEA·EASA·STRH·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

East FifeEast Fife

For 4.9 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

140833611122536823297634119124814511137H·DUMA·SPAH·FORA·BONH·STEA·ELGH·SPAA·STRH·PETH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 2.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50122211133111122323424421252H·DUMA·SPAH·FORA·BONH·STEA·ELGH·SPAA·STRH·PETH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.1 · Total 22.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

300713119121015151591112711711181212920202230242318183021H·DUMA·SPAH·FORA·BONH·STEA·ELGH·SPAA·STRH·PETH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.28.59.84.84.94.724.324.124.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (31)8.88.19.64.74.84.624.324.024.6
vs Weaker (19)9.79.210.24.95.14.824.324.324.3
% over line42%36%48%80%76%84%76%72%80%
% under line58%64%52%20%24%16%24%28%20%
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.610.23.94.13.821.422.120.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)9.88.810.74.13.84.322.823.222.5
vs Weaker (32)9.99.99.83.84.23.420.621.519.5
% over line46%48%44%62%64%60%42%52%32%
% under line54%52%56%38%36%40%58%48%68%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.8
Stenhousemuir
10.4
Forfar
10.2
Stranraer
10.1
Clyde
10.0
East Fife
9.9
Bonnyrigg Rose
9.5
Spartans
9.2
Peterhead
9.2
Elgin
8.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.8
Dumbarton
4.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
4.3
Stenhousemuir
4.1
East Fife
3.9
Elgin
3.6
Stranraer
3.6
Forfar
3.4
Clyde
3.4
Spartans
3.4

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.3
Bonnyrigg Rose
23.9
Forfar
23.3
Elgin
23.2
East Fife
21.4
Stenhousemuir
21.3
Dumbarton
20.7
Spartans
20.6
Stranraer
20.3
Clyde
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.3%
Under 9.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
62.9%
Under 3.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
63.9%
Under 21.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L02L11D01L03L00D11D00D20WH·DUM09/01A·STR13/01A·EAS20/01H·STE27/01A·CLY03/02A·FOR17/02H·BON20/02H·ELG24/02A·DUM02/03H·STR09/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.870.470.400.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.500.430.620.250.330.67
vs Weaker (16)0.750.941.140.710.441.11
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W10W00D01L11D20W01L11D10WH·CLY13/01H·PET20/01A·STR27/01H·SPA30/01A·ELG03/02H·STE10/02A·BON17/02H·FOR24/02A·SPA02/03H·DUM09/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.530.800.530.530.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.690.690.830.500.570.86
vs Weaker (17)0.650.410.780.560.500.25
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L20W10W10W30W00D00D01L00DH·DUM09/01A·STR13/01A·EAS20/01H·STE27/01A·CLY03/02A·FOR17/02H·BON20/02H·ELG24/02A·DUM02/03H·STR09/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.470.800.471.000.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.070.640.880.621.330.67
vs Weaker (16)0.750.310.710.290.780.33
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L00D03L00D00D00D10W20W22DH·CLY13/01H·PET20/01A·STR27/01H·SPA30/01A·ELG03/02H·STE10/02A·BON17/02H·FOR24/02A·SPA02/03H·DUM09/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.600.870.730.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.691.080.501.500.860.71
vs Weaker (17)0.650.470.670.440.620.50
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards80.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners79.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls78.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards73.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
PET wins
3
Draws
1
EF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Peterhead vs East Fife · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
20/01/24AEast Fife Vs PET2-2
04/11/23HPET Vs East Fife2-0
05/08/23AEast Fife Vs PET0-3
23/04/22HPET Vs East Fife1-0
29/01/22AEast Fife Vs PET0-0
11/12/21HPET Vs East Fife1-1
28/08/21AEast Fife Vs PET3-0
29/04/21AEast Fife Vs PET1-3

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/24HPET Vs Stranraer2-0
02/03/24ADumbarton Vs PET1-0
24/02/24HPET Vs Elgin1-1
20/02/24HPET Vs Bonnyrigg Rose0-0
17/02/24AForfar Vs PET3-3
03/02/24AClyde Vs PET1-1
27/01/24HPET Vs Stenhousemuir2-1
20/01/24AEast Fife Vs PET2-2
13/01/24AStranraer Vs PET2-0
09/01/24HPET Vs Dumbarton3-1

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/24HEF Vs Dumbarton3-2
02/03/24ASpartans Vs EF1-3
24/02/24HEF Vs Forfar1-1
17/02/24ABonnyrigg Rose Vs EF0-2
10/02/24HEF Vs Stenhousemuir1-1
03/02/24AElgin Vs EF1-0
30/01/24HEF Vs Spartans0-3
27/01/24AStranraer Vs EF0-1
20/01/24HEF Vs Peterhead2-2
13/01/24HEF Vs Clyde1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLW1.12
HomeWWDDW1.44
AwayLDDDL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals2.662.323.00
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %52%40%64%
Over 3.5 %24%20%28%
Scored1.081.200.96
Conceded1.581.122.04
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet20%32%8%
Corners9.168.489.84
Cards4.804.924.68
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.30
HomeDLDDW1.40
AwayWWLWW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals2.662.882.44
Over 1.5 %80%88%72%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.361.601.12
Conceded1.301.281.32
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners9.869.5610.16
Cards3.924.083.76

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3668
50%
1.9
5031+19
2.2
64%
36%
22%
9.8
50%
4.2
61%
23.0
56%
0
0001.40.9
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3660
44%
1.7
5839+19
2.7
81%
56%
25%
8.7
39%
5.1
89%
25.0
78%
0
0001.61.1
-
3SpartansSpartans3658
42%
1.6
5343+10
2.7
69%
56%
31%
9.4
47%
3.2
42%
20.9
44%
0
0001.51.2
-
4DumbartonDumbarton3657
44%
1.6
5644+12
2.8
67%
44%
36%
11.1
61%
3.9
61%
19.8
33%
0
0001.61.2
-
5East FifeEast Fife3644
31%
1.2
4647-1
2.6
81%
47%
25%
9.1
44%
3.5
56%
21.9
50%
0
0001.31.3
-
6ForfarForfar3642
25%
1.2
3845-7
2.3
72%
42%
22%
9.7
50%
3.5
50%
24.8
75%
0
0001.11.2
-
7ElginElgin3640
28%
1.1
3559-24
2.6
81%
50%
22%
8.8
39%
3.7
47%
25.0
69%
0
0001.01.6
-
8
BR
Bonnyrigg Rose
3639
25%
1.1
4748-1
2.6
78%
44%
31%
9.6
44%
4.0
50%
24.2
58%
0
0001.31.3
-
9ClydeClyde3638
25%
1.1
4658-12
2.9
83%
56%
28%
9.0
42%
3.4
50%
20.8
50%
0
0001.31.6
-
10StranraerStranraer3636
25%
1.0
3853-15
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.3
67%
3.6
44%
20.0
36%
0
0001.11.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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